tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Hancock Whitney Corporation (HWC)
NASDAQ:HWC

Hancock Whitney (HWC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
231 Followers

Top Page

HWC

Hancock Whitney

(NASDAQ:HWC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(10.09% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (healthy profitability and improved leverage versus 2022) and a constructive earnings outlook with quantified benefits from the bond portfolio restructuring plus ongoing buybacks. Valuation is supportive with a modest P/E and a mid-single-digit dividend yield, while the main offsets are cash flow volatility and mixed near-term technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and margins
Consistently strong operating and net margins indicate durable core profitability and efficient operations. This margin profile supports internal capital generation, funds reinvestment and shareholder returns, and provides a buffer to absorb cyclical credit losses over the next several quarters.
Robust capital and buyback capacity
Healthy regulatory capital ratios provide structural flexibility to support lending, withstand stress, and return capital via buybacks/dividends. A board‑approved buyback backed by strong CET1/TCE signals management confidence and preserves optionality for capital deployment over months to come.
Bond portfolio restructuring boosting NII/NIM
A completed, value‑accretive repositioning of securities yields a structural uplift to net interest income and margin. The reinvestment raises recurring yields on the bond book, supporting NII and EPS over multiple quarters even after the one‑time charge is recognized.
Negative Factors
Cash flow volatility and decline
Material swings and a steep TTM decline in operating/free cash flow reduce predictability of internally generated funds. Over the medium term this can constrain capacity for organic investment, support for dividends/buybacks, and make capital planning more sensitive to cyclical earnings and credit outcomes.
Rising expense base from reinvestment
Planned reinvestment and acquisition integration will structurally raise operating expenses, pressuring efficiency ratios. If revenue/margin gains lag, margin compression could persist for multiple quarters, reducing incremental earnings leverage from the core franchise.
Funding and margin pressure from deposit re‑pricing
Concentrated near‑term CD maturities and declining loan yields create structural margin risk as deposits reprice and loan yields compress. Unless offset by continued bond reinvestment or loan mix shifts, NIM and NII could face headwinds across the next several quarters.

Hancock Whitney (HWC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hancock Whitney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHancock Whitney Corporation operates as the financial holding company for Hancock Whitney Bank that provides traditional and online banking services to commercial, small business, and retail customers. It accepts various deposit products, including noninterest-bearing demand deposits, interest-bearing transaction accounts, savings accounts, money market deposit accounts, and time deposit accounts. The company also offers loans products comprising commercial and industrial loans; commercial real estate loans; construction and land development loans; residential mortgages; consumer loans comprising second lien mortgage home loans, home equity lines of credit, and nonresidential consumer purpose loans; revolving credit facilities; and letters of credit and financial guarantees. In addition, it offers investment brokerage and treasury management services, and annuity and life insurance products; and trust and investment management services to retirement plans, corporations, and individuals. Further, the company facilitates investments in new market tax credit activities; and holds various foreclosed assets. The company operates 177 banking locations and 239 automated teller machines primarily in the Gulf south corridor, including southern and central Mississippi; southern and central Alabama; southern, central, and northwest Louisiana; the northern, central, and panhandle regions of Florida; and certain areas of east Texas, including Houston, Beaumont, Dallas, and San Antonio. It also operates a loan production office in Tennessee; and a trust and asset management office in Texas. The company was formerly known as Hancock Holding Company and changed its name to Hancock Whitney Corporation in May 2018. Hancock Whitney Corporation was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Gulfport, Mississippi.
How the Company Makes MoneyHancock Whitney generates revenue primarily through its core banking operations, which include interest income from loans and investment securities, as well as non-interest income from services such as wealth management, mortgage banking, and transaction fees. The bank earns interest income by providing various loan products, including commercial loans, consumer loans, and mortgages, and collects interest on investment securities. Additionally, HWC benefits from non-interest income streams, including fees for account services, financial advisory services, and asset management. Its strategic partnerships with financial technology companies also enhance its service offerings and customer experience, contributing to its overall earnings. The bank's focus on economic growth in its operating regions and maintaining a strong loan portfolio further supports its revenue generation efforts.

Hancock Whitney Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately positive outlook: management reported solid year-over-year improvements in EPS, PPNR and tangible book value, delivered strong loan and deposit production, completed a value-accretive bond restructuring with quantifiable NII/NIM/EPS benefits, and kept an efficient cost profile and robust capital levels while approving a new buyback plan. Lowlights included modest quarter-over-quarter stagnation in EPS/PPNR, short-term NIM pressure from lower loan yields and a one-time pretax charge of $99 million tied to the restructuring, plus reinvestment-driven expense growth and near-term funding seasonality. Overall, the positives (organic growth, fee momentum, capital strength and the bond portfolio uplift) materially outweigh the transitory and manageable negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Year-over-Year Earnings and Profitability Improvement
EPS improved 8% year-over-year; fourth quarter earnings of $126 million ($1.49 per share) with annual PPNR growth of 6% and tangible book value per share up 12%.
Strong Core Earnings and Efficiency
PPNR for the company was $174 million in the quarter (ROAA / return on average assets for PPNR of 1.96% noted), with an efficiency ratio of 54.9% for the quarter and 54.8% for the year (down 58 bps from 2024).
Loan and Deposit Growth
Loans grew $362 million (approximately 6% annualized) in Q4 with production near $1.6 billion in the quarter; deposits increased $620 million (about 9% annualized) and DDA mix finished the quarter at 35%.
Fee Income Momentum
Fee income was $107 million in Q4 and grew in each quarter of 2025; management guides fee income up 4%–5% in 2026 driven by core deposit growth, treasury, card and wealth channels.
Bond Portfolio Restructuring Delivering Immediate Benefit
Completed bond portfolio restructuring (sold $1.5B at 2.49% and reinvested at ~4.35%); expected annualized benefit: +7 bps to NIM, +$24 million NII and roughly +$0.23 to EPS (transaction excludes a pretax charge of $99 million).
Funding Cost and Security Yield Improvements
Cost of funds fell 7 bps to 1.52%; cost of deposits down 7 bps to 1.57% for the quarter (1.53% in December); yield on the bond portfolio rose 6 bps to 2.98% due to reinvestments.
Capital Position and Share Repurchase Authorization
Despite exhausting prior buyback authority (roughly $147 million repurchased in Q4), capital remains strong with TCE just over 10% and CET1 at 13.66%; Board approved a new 5% buyback plan for 2026.
Asset Quality and Reserving
Criticized commercial loans improved (down $14 million to $535 million); nonaccrual loans declined $7 million to $107 million; loan loss reserves remain solid at 1.43% of loans and management expects net charge-offs of 15–25 bps in 2026.
Clear 2026 Guidance with Growth Targets
Guidance assumes two 25 bp Fed cuts (April and July 2026) with expectations that NII will rise 5%–6% and PPNR will increase 4.5%–5.5% in 2026; NIM modestly expands (management cites ~12–15 bps Q4'25 to Q4'26, inclusive of bond restructure).
Negative Updates
Quarterly EPS and PPNR Nearly Flat
Q4 earnings were $126 million ($1.49), essentially flat versus Q3 ($127 million, $1.49), and PPNR was down slightly from the prior quarter to $174 million, reflecting limited near-term QoQ upside.
NIM Pressure and Loan Yield Declines
NIM was relatively flat and narrowed 1 basis point quarter-over-quarter as lower loan yields (including effects from two rate cuts) outpaced higher security yields; management expects loan yields to continue declining modestly in 2026.
One-Time Pretax Charge Related to Restructuring
Bond portfolio actions include a pretax charge of $99 million that is excluded from forward guidance and will weigh on reported GAAP results when taken.
Expense Increases from Reinvestment
Expenses rose (up 2% q/q; 3.6% y/y) driven by investments in revenue-generating hires and integrations (including a full year impact of the Stable Trust Company acquisition); management expects expenses to increase 5%–6% in 2026.
Deposit & Funding Risks and Concentrations
Retail time deposits decreased $90 million in the quarter due to maturities; management highlighted $8 billion of CD maturities in 2026 (renewals assumed at lower rates) and noted typical seasonal public fund outflows in Q1 as a potential short-term headwind.
Paydowns and CRE Funding Headwinds
Higher prepayments and planned CRE paydowns are expected to be headwinds to some CRE balance growth even as production funds up; certain specialty segments (healthcare, commercial finance) have thinner spreads which can pressure aggregate margin.
Company Guidance
Hancock Whitney’s 2026 guidance assumes two 25‑bp rate cuts (April and July) and includes the recently completed bond portfolio restructuring (sold $1.5B at 2.49% and reinvested at ~4.35%; expected to add ~7 bps to NIM, ~$24M to NII and ~$0.23 to EPS, excluding a $99M pretax charge), and calls for NII growth of 5%–6% with modest NIM expansion (management noted a potential 12–15 bps 4Q‑to‑4Q improvement with ~7 bps from the restructure), PPNR up 4.5%–5.5%, fee income up 4%–5%, expenses up 5%–6% (including ~185 bps impact from the organic growth plan and a full year of Stable Trust), an efficiency ratio of 54%–55%, loan growth in the mid‑single digits, deposit growth in the low single digits (management assumes ~$8B of CD maturities rolling at ~3.34% and re‑pricing back near ~2.80% with ~81% renewal), net charge‑offs averaging 15–25 bps, a current allowance at 1.43% of loans, a target TCE of ~9.0%–9.5% (versus just over 10% today), and a Board‑approved 5% buyback plan to be executed more evenly through 2026.

Hancock Whitney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid with strong operating and net margins and consistently positive results since 2021, and leverage improved materially from 2022 levels. Offsetting this, cash flow is volatile with a sharp TTM decline in operating/free cash flow and debt stepped up in the most recent period, reducing near-term consistency.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Hancock Whitney shows a solid profitability profile in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with strong operating and net profitability (about 31% operating margin and ~24% net margin). Revenue growth in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is very strong versus the prior period, and profits have remained consistently positive since 2021. Offsetting this, profitability is below the 2021–2022 peak levels, and results appear more cyclical across the period (including a loss in 2020), which reduces the stability component of the score.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet looks reasonably conservative for a regional bank, with debt-to-equity improving materially from 2022 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~0.67 down to ~0.27). Equity has grown over time, supporting the capital base, while returns on equity are steady around ~11% in 2023–TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The key weakness is leverage increased in 2025 versus 2024 (total debt rose and debt-to-equity ticked up), and total assets have been roughly flat over the last few years, suggesting limited balance sheet expansion.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is generally supportive: free cash flow has been positive every year shown and tracks net income closely in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (free cash flow is ~97% of net income), which suggests earnings are translating into cash. However, cash flow volatility is a clear drawback—TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow declined sharply (free cash flow growth ~-30% vs 2024), and cash flow has swung meaningfully year to year, which lowers confidence in near-term consistency.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.02B2.05B1.89B1.47B1.35B
Gross Profit1.47B1.39B1.31B1.41B1.37B
EBITDA655.82M615.69M536.40M704.81M613.83M
Net Income486.07M460.81M392.60M524.09M463.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.47B35.08B35.58B35.18B36.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments132.27M6.68B6.10B6.44B11.22B
Total Debt1.22B967.38M1.52B2.23B2.03B
Total Liabilities31.01B30.95B31.77B31.84B32.86B
Stockholders Equity4.46B4.13B3.80B3.34B3.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow396.36M615.50M470.22M812.88M562.15M
Operating Cash Flow396.36M625.74M495.25M842.02M585.69M
Investing Cash Flow0.00274.76M-295.21M662.36M-3.22B
Financing Cash Flow-404.54M-886.79M-203.29M-1.34B2.51B

Hancock Whitney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.94
Price Trends
50DMA
68.33
Positive
100DMA
63.76
Positive
200DMA
61.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Positive
RSI
51.42
Neutral
STOCH
35.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HWC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.87, above the 50-day MA of 68.33, and above the 200-day MA of 61.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HWC.

Hancock Whitney Risk Analysis

Hancock Whitney disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hancock Whitney reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hancock Whitney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.17B12.0516.75%1.66%-9.31%
73
Outperform
$4.61B18.2013.89%2.42%12.90%16.92%
71
Outperform
$5.42B13.2310.53%1.02%2.20%20.88%
70
Outperform
$5.66B11.8911.28%2.74%-0.78%25.39%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$5.48B18.976.72%3.83%43.53%-21.74%
61
Neutral
$5.98B13.038.84%3.77%8.83%15.49%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HWC
Hancock Whitney
65.81
10.42
18.80%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
77.66
13.68
21.38%
AX
Axos Financial
86.82
20.02
29.97%
FFIN
First Financial Bankshares
30.93
-5.92
-16.06%
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares
37.06
2.90
8.48%
UBSI
United Bankshares
41.30
6.60
19.01%

Hancock Whitney Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Hancock Whitney Raises Quarterly Dividend, Signals Earnings Confidence
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Hancock Whitney Corporation’s board of directors approved an 11.1% increase in its regular first-quarter 2026 common stock cash dividend to $0.50 per share, payable on March 16, 2026 to shareholders of record as of March 5, 2026. The move, which continues a record of uninterrupted quarterly dividend payments since 1967, underscores the bank’s ongoing emphasis on shareholder returns and signals confidence in the stability of its earnings and capital position within its regional banking markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (HWC) stock is a Buy with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hancock Whitney stock, see the HWC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Hancock Whitney Posts Strong Q4 Results, Expands Buybacks
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Hancock Whitney reported fourth-quarter 2025 net income of $125.6 million, or $1.49 per diluted share, essentially flat versus the prior quarter and up from $1.40 a year earlier, capping what management described as a strong year of higher adjusted EPS, improved adjusted pre-provision net revenue, and double-digit tangible book value growth. The bank posted solid loan and deposit expansion, continued improvement in criticized and nonaccrual loans, and maintained a 1.43% allowance for credit losses while delivering a 3.48% net interest margin and a sub-55% efficiency ratio, even as noninterest expenses ticked higher. Capital levels remained robust—with an estimated CET1 ratio of 13.66% and TCE ratio of 10.06%—supporting an active capital return strategy, including repurchase of 2.54 million shares in the fourth quarter that exhausted its existing buyback authorization and a newly approved program effective January 1, 2026 for up to about 4.1 million additional shares, signaling confidence in ongoing growth and shareholder value creation going into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (HWC) stock is a Buy with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hancock Whitney stock, see the HWC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Hancock Whitney Announces New Stock Buyback Program
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Hancock Whitney Corporation’s Board of Directors authorized a new stock buyback program, effective January 1, 2026, allowing the company to repurchase up to 5% of its outstanding common stock by December 31, 2026. This initiative replaces the previous program, which was fully utilized in the fourth quarter of 2025, and reflects the company’s strategic focus on enhancing shareholder value through flexible repurchase options in accordance with market conditions and regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HWC) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hancock Whitney stock, see the HWC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026