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Banco BBVA Argentina (BBAR)
NYSE:BBAR

Banco BBVA Argentina (BBAR) AI Stock Analysis

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BBAR

Banco BBVA Argentina

(NYSE:BBAR)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(15.12% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance and balance-sheet conservatism, tempered by negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals remain supportive with price above major moving averages, but overbought momentum signals add near-term risk. Valuation is moderate with a low dividend yield, while the latest earnings call was mixed—reiterated growth guidance and market share gains were offset by weaker quarterly earnings, higher provisions, and capital ratio pressure.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage
A very low debt-to-equity ratio and solid equity ratio provide durable financial stability and capital buffer. This conservative leverage profile supports resilience to macro shocks, gives room to expand lending, and reduces refinancing risk, improving long-term solvency and strategic optionality.
Growing market share in loans and deposits
Consistent loan and deposit market share gains reflect durable competitive positioning and customer acquisition strength. Strong deposit growth improves stable funding, enabling sustained loan growth and interest income generation, underpinning franchise value and margin stability over a multi-quarter horizon.
Strategic acquisition expands franchise
Completing a 50% acquisition of FCA broadens BBVA Argentina's product set and auto-finance footprint, creating cross-sell opportunities and scale benefits. Regulatory approval and closing indicate a structural expansion that should lift fee income and diversify risk over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows signal liquidity stress that can constrain lending capacity and capital deployment. Even with improving free cash flow trends, prolonged cash shortfalls force reliance on wholesale funding or asset sales, raising structural funding cost and execution risk.
Rising credit costs and retail NPLs
A sharp increase in provisions, concentrated in the retail book, indicates weakening asset quality that could pressure net interest margins and earnings persistently. If retail NPL trends continue, the bank may need higher provisioning or tighter underwriting, limiting sustainable credit growth.
Capital and equity pressure
A sizeable decline in capital ratio and reported equity erosion from negative other comprehensive income reduce regulatory headroom. This structural pressure may limit organic growth, require capital preservation actions, or force capital raising in adverse conditions, constraining long-term strategic flexibility.

Banco BBVA Argentina (BBAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco BBVA Argentina Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanco BBVA Argentina S.A. provides various banking products and services to individuals and companies in Argentina. It provides retail banking products and services, such as checking and savings accounts, time deposits, credit cards, consumer and secured loans, mortgages, insurance, and investment products to individuals; and small and medium-sized companies products and services, including financing products, factoring, checking accounts, time deposits, transactional and payroll services, insurance, and investment products to private-sector companies. The company also provides corporate and investment banking products and services, such as global transaction services; global markets solutions comprising risk management and securities brokerage; long-term financing products, including project finance and syndicated loans; and corporate finance services comprising mergers and acquisitions, and capital markets advisory services to corporations and multinational companies operating in Argentina. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a network of 243 branches, 15 in-company branches, 7 point of sale outlets, 2 points of express support, 884 ATMs, and 854 self-service terminals, as well as mobile and internet banking services. The company was formerly known as BBVA Banco Francés S.A. and changed its name to Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. in July 2019. Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. was incorporated in 1886 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanco BBVA Argentina generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and credit facilities extended to customers. This includes personal loans, mortgages, and corporate loans, where the bank earns interest on the funds lent out. Additionally, BBVA Argentina earns fee-based income from various services such as account maintenance, transaction fees, and commissions from investment and insurance products. The bank also benefits from foreign exchange transactions and asset management services. Significant partnerships with fintech companies and other financial institutions enhance its offerings and customer reach, contributing further to its earnings. Overall, the bank's diversified portfolio and focus on digital banking solutions play a crucial role in its revenue generation.

Banco BBVA Argentina Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance for BBVA Argentina in the third quarter of 2025. While the bank showed strong growth in loans and deposits, and operational efficiency gains, it faced challenges such as a significant decrease in net income, increased loan loss allowances, and a decline in net interest income and capital ratio. The overall financial environment remains volatile, with high interest rates impacting margins and asset quality.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Private Sector Loan Growth
BBVA Argentina's total loans to the private sector grew by 6.7% in real terms quarter-over-quarter, with a consolidated market share of 11.39%.
Deposit Growth
The bank achieved a real-term increase of 10.2% in deposits, with a market share rising 44 basis points to reach 10.09%.
Net Fee Income Increase
Net fee income increased by 37.5% quarter-over-quarter, thanks to continued alignment in pricing strategies.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Total operating expenses decreased by 3.4% quarter-over-quarter, with improvements in administrative expenses.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Income
Inflation-adjusted net income decreased by 39.7% quarter-over-quarter, with a quarterly ROE of 4.7% and ROA of 0.7%.
Decrease in Net Interest Income
Net interest income decreased by 6.6% quarter-over-quarter, affected by higher interest expenses and a sudden increase in interest rates.
Higher Loan Loss Allowances
Loan loss allowances increased by 37.1%, driven by deterioration of nonperforming loans, particularly in the retail book.
Decline in Capital Ratio
The capital ratio decreased by 170 basis points compared to the previous quarter, due to the temporary impact of sovereign debt valuation.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, BBVA Argentina maintained its growth strategy despite a volatile environment marked by political uncertainty and significant financial fluctuations. The bank's total loans to the private sector grew by 6.7%, achieving a consolidated market share of 11.39%. Deposits increased by 10.2% in real terms, pushing the market share to 10.09%. The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio on private loans was 3.28%, below the system average, highlighting BBVA's effective credit risk management. The capital ratio stood at 16.7%, reflecting a 170 basis point decrease from the previous quarter due to temporary sovereign debt valuation impacts. The bank's liquidity ratio was comfortable at 44.3%. Despite a challenging quarter, the bank's inflation-adjusted net income was ARS 38.1 billion, with a quarterly ROE of 4.7% and a quarterly ROA of 0.7%. The bank reiterated its guidance for 2025, maintaining expectations for real loan growth of 45% to 50% year-over-year, deposit growth of 30% to 35% in real terms, and a capital ratio near 17% by year-end.

Banco BBVA Argentina Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (gross margin 59.7% TTM, improving EBIT margin 17.1% TTM, revenue growth 3.6% TTM) is partly offset by only moderate profitability (net margin 7.3% TTM) and cash flow concerns (negative operating and free cash flow TTM). Balance sheet is stable with conservative leverage (debt-to-equity 0.15) and healthy ROE (12.2% TTM).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Banco BBVA Argentina shows a solid gross profit margin of 59.7% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin of 7.3% TTM is stable, though slightly lower than previous years, suggesting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 3.6% TTM, recovering from a decline in the previous year, which is a positive sign for future performance. However, the EBIT margin of 17.1% TTM shows improvement, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The bank maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 TTM, indicating conservative leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is 12.2% TTM, which is a healthy return for shareholders, although it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio stands at 14.9% TTM, suggesting a solid capital base, but there is room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges with negative operating and free cash flows TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.92 TTM suggests that the bank is close to converting its earnings into cash. The significant growth in free cash flow TTM is a positive development, but the overall cash flow position needs careful management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.15T5.20T7.55T4.61T1.46T410.90B
Gross Profit2.76T3.42T4.16T2.65T904.85B287.38B
EBITDA421.54B520.69B743.02B445.57B118.65B65.18B
Net Income258.90B360.41B341.58B399.02B57.01B29.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.17T14.72T13.31T1.96T2.01T1.05T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.83T5.16T3.93T913.64B750.64B422.05B
Total Debt708.15B349.00B140.25B75.06B29.49B20.70B
Total Liabilities19.18T12.10T10.22T1.59T1.69T873.17B
Stockholders Equity2.92T2.57T3.04T360.48B311.27B169.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.15T-5.34T559.08B94.07B108.67B-13.29B
Operating Cash Flow-3.97T-5.17T601.23B110.48B116.71B-10.14B
Investing Cash Flow-182.99B-162.40B-93.63B-184.13B-11.00B-2.70B
Financing Cash Flow3.73T124.39B-57.61B-57.70B-34.36B202.64B

Banco BBVA Argentina Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.98
Price Trends
50DMA
17.64
Positive
100DMA
14.53
Positive
200DMA
15.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
60.78
Neutral
STOCH
64.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.85, above the 50-day MA of 17.64, and above the 200-day MA of 15.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BBAR.

Banco BBVA Argentina Risk Analysis

Banco BBVA Argentina disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco BBVA Argentina reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Banco BBVA Argentina Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.05B10.979.82%3.79%5.15%16.42%
74
Outperform
$1.10B59.862.35%1.54%-50.96%-89.23%
73
Outperform
$3.36B16.0611.01%3.14%9.41%20.64%
68
Neutral
$4.22B17.6010.18%0.80%-39.57%-49.55%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$6.50B23.017.66%2.37%-55.81%-78.94%
62
Neutral
$3.27B21.136.33%2.25%6.83%23.44%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
19.98
-0.93
-4.46%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
98.78
6.11
6.59%
CBU
Community Bank System
64.40
-0.14
-0.22%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
29.46
2.28
8.40%
SBCF
Seacoast Banking Of Florida
34.16
6.32
22.69%
SUPV
Grupo Supervielle SA
11.65
-4.23
-26.62%

Banco BBVA Argentina Corporate Events

Banco BBVA Argentina Sets January 30, 2026 Payment for Eighth Dividend Installment
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. announced the execution of the eighth of ten installments of a dividend previously approved by shareholders on April 23, 2025 and authorized by the Argentine Central Bank in May 2025, corresponding to a total dividend originally set at AR$89.41 billion as of December 31, 2024 and adjusted to AR$117.62 billion in current pesos using the latest CPI data. For Installment 8, the bank will distribute AR$3.93 billion, equivalent to AR$19.1969 per share, payable on 33.4456% of the share capital that did not opt for payment in BOPREAL, with shareholders of record on January 27, 2026 receiving payment from January 30, 2026 in pesos through Caja de Valores or, for ADS holders, via The Bank of New York Mellon, while non-resident investors who chose BOPREAL will be paid upon settlement of the corresponding bond tender and all dividend payments remain subject to applicable Argentine tax withholdings.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBAR) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco BBVA Argentina stock, see the BBAR Stock Forecast page.

Banco BBVA Argentina Reports Nine-Month 2025 Results with Rapid Asset Growth but Lower Equity
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Banco BBVA Argentina filed its Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, furnishing condensed interim consolidated and separate financial statements for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, presented in constant Argentine pesos. As of September 30, 2025, total assets rose to ARS 22.17 trillion from ARS 17.96 trillion at year-end 2024, driven mainly by strong growth in loans and other financing and an expansion in debt securities and pledged financial assets, while deposits increased to ARS 15.36 trillion, reflecting balance-sheet expansion in a volatile macroeconomic context. Total liabilities climbed to ARS 19.18 trillion from ARS 14.76 trillion, supported by higher customer deposits, repo transactions, and financing from the BCRA and other institutions, but equity attributable to owners of the parent declined to ARS 2.92 trillion from ARS 3.15 trillion, as accumulated other comprehensive income turned sharply negative and period income (ARS 181.86 billion for the nine months) was lower than the prior full-year result, signaling pressure on capital amid rapid nominal growth and market volatility that stakeholders will monitor closely.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBAR) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco BBVA Argentina stock, see the BBAR Stock Forecast page.

BBVA Argentina Announces Seventh Dividend Payment for 2025
Dec 12, 2025

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. announced the payment of the seventh installment of dividends, amounting to AR$ 3,825,081,449, to its shareholders. This payment, approved in meetings held earlier in the year, will be distributed on December 30, 2025, with a cut-off date of December 23, 2025. The payment will be made in pesos for resident shareholders and in accordance with specific terms for non-resident shareholders, including the option to receive payment in BOPREAL. This dividend distribution reflects the bank’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and its strategic financial management.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBAR) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco BBVA Argentina stock, see the BBAR Stock Forecast page.

BBVA Argentina Completes Acquisition of FCA Compañía Financiera
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. successfully closed the acquisition of 50% of the share capital of FCA Compañía Financiera S.A., after receiving all necessary regulatory approvals. The transaction was finalized at a price of ARS 34,789 million, with a potential adjustment based on the audited financial statements as of November 30, 2025. This acquisition marks a significant strategic move for BBVA Argentina, potentially enhancing its market position and expanding its financial services offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBAR) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco BBVA Argentina stock, see the BBAR Stock Forecast page.

Banco BBVA Argentina Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 25, 2025

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. reported its financial results for the period ending September 30, 2025, with a net income of 192,923,603 thousand pesos. Despite a significant net income, the company faced a comprehensive income loss of 104,912,361 thousand pesos, impacting its overall financial standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBAR) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco BBVA Argentina stock, see the BBAR Stock Forecast page.

Banco BBVA Argentina Reports Decline in 3Q25 Earnings Amid Economic Challenges
Nov 25, 2025

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. announced its third-quarter 2025 results, revealing a significant decline in net income and return on equity compared to previous periods due to high inflation and political uncertainty. Despite these challenges, the bank managed to increase its market share in private sector loans and deposits, demonstrating resilience and effective management in a volatile economic environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBAR) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco BBVA Argentina stock, see the BBAR Stock Forecast page.

Banco BBVA Argentina Announces Sixth Dividend Payment Installment
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. announced the payment of the sixth installment of dividends, amounting to AR$ 3,732,773,688, as part of a ten-installment plan approved earlier in the year. The payment will be made to shareholders registered by November 25, 2025, with the payout scheduled for November 28, 2025. This move reflects the bank’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders, with payments structured in pesos for resident shareholders and options for non-resident shareholders to receive payments in pesos or through subscription to Bonds for the Reconstruction of a Free Argentina (BOPREAL).

The most recent analyst rating on (BBAR) stock is a Sell with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco BBVA Argentina stock, see the BBAR Stock Forecast page.

BBVA Argentina Gains Approval for Strategic Acquisition
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. announced the approval from the Central Bank of the Argentine Republic and the Secretariat of Industry and Commerce for its acquisition of 50% of FCA Compañía Financiera S.A. This strategic move, in collaboration with Stellantis Financial Services Europe, marks a significant expansion in BBVA Argentina’s market presence, as it gains joint control over FCA Compañía Financiera S.A. The acquisition is expected to enhance BBVA Argentina’s competitive positioning in the financial sector and provide new opportunities for growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBAR) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco BBVA Argentina stock, see the BBAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026