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Community Bank System (CBU)
NYSE:CBU
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Community Bank System (CBU) AI Stock Analysis

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CBU

Community Bank System

(NYSE:CBU)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$72.00
â–²(13.73% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/23/26
CBU scores well on financial performance (revenue/earnings growth and strong free-cash-flow generation) and is further supported by a positive earnings call with maintained guidance and improving operating metrics. Valuation is reasonable with a ~3% dividend, while technicals are constructive but not strongly momentum-driven.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
CBU consistently converts a high share of earnings into free cash flow (roughly 0.76–0.94 of net income). Reliable FCF across periods supports durable capital flexibility for dividends, opportunistic buybacks and targeted M&A, strengthening long-term shareholder return capacity.
Negative Factors
Leverage volatility
Historical swings in leverage (rising sharply into 2022 then declining) indicate shifting balance-sheet strategy and sensitivity to funding/market conditions. Such variability can constrain consistent capital allocation and increase earnings volatility during stress periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
CBU consistently converts a high share of earnings into free cash flow (roughly 0.76–0.94 of net income). Reliable FCF across periods supports durable capital flexibility for dividends, opportunistic buybacks and targeted M&A, strengthening long-term shareholder return capacity.
Read all positive factors

Community Bank System (CBU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Community Bank System Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Community Bank System, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Community Bank, N.A. that provides various banking and other financial services to retail, commercial, and municipal customers. It operates through three segments: Banking, Emplo...
How the Company Makes Money
CBU generates earnings primarily through a mix of bank interest income and non-interest (fee) income across its operating businesses. (1) Net interest income (banking): The core revenue engine is the spread between interest earned on loans and inv...

Community Bank System Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a clearly positive operating quarter highlighted by double-digit net interest income growth, margin expansion, strong loan and deposit growth, record operating PPNR and operating EPS, and active but disciplined capital deployment (including opportunistic buybacks and targeted M&A). Headwinds were manageable and largely timing- or investment-related: insurance contingent commission timing, expense increases from strategic branch expansion and acquisitions, modest upticks in early-stage delinquency metrics, and short-term deposit cost seasonality. Management maintained full-year guidance and emphasized diversified revenue, strong liquidity, and continued organic and targeted inorganic growth.
Positive Updates
Top-Line and EPS Growth
Total revenue grew 9% year-over-year. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.08, up $0.15 or 16.1% year-over-year. Management reported a 17% increase in operating diluted EPS versus the prior-year period and record operating earnings per share and operating pre-tax pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) per share (operating PPNR per share of $1.10, up $0.21 year-over-year).
Negative Updates
Insurance Revenue Timing Headwind
Insurance Services faced a difficult year-over-year comparison due to timing of contingent commission payments that occurred in 2025 rather than the typical pattern; this reduced insurance noninterest revenue in Q1 with contingent commissions expected to be realized mostly in Q2 (~$1.5–$2.0 million range).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-Line and EPS Growth
Total revenue grew 9% year-over-year. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.08, up $0.15 or 16.1% year-over-year. Management reported a 17% increase in operating diluted EPS versus the prior-year period and record operating earnings per share and operating pre-tax pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) per share (operating PPNR per share of $1.10, up $0.21 year-over-year).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said full‑year 2026 guidance remains intact, with expense growth forecast 4–7% (mid‑single digits) and full‑year noninterest expenses targeted at $535M–$550M (≈$135M/quarter), while reiterating expectations for continued earnings growth; Q1 metrics cited included GAAP EPS $1.08 (+$0.15, +16.1% YoY), operating diluted EPS ~+17% YoY, operating PPNR per share $1.10 (+$0.21 YoY, +$0.03 q/q), net interest income $134.7M (+$14.5M, +12.1% YoY; +$1.3M q/q), FTE NIM 3.45% (up 6 bps q/q; Q2 guide +3–5 bps), cost of funds 1.2% (down 7 bps q/q), operating noninterest revenue +$3.2M (+4.2% YoY; 37% of operating revenues) with insurance contingent commissions typically ~$1.5–$2.0M in Q2, provision for credit losses $5.0M, total noninterest expense $133.0M (−$5.5M q/q; +$7.7M YoY), ending loans +$181.4M (+1.7% q/q; +$710M, +6.8% YoY), deposits +$978.1M (+7% YoY; +$483M, +3.4% q/q, including $543.7M from Santander), allowance for credit losses $90.2M (81 bps of loans; ~7x TTM NCOs), and continued disciplined capital deployment (opportunistic buybacks—recent repurchase in the low $60s—and targeted M&A with ClearPoint pending regulatory approval).

Community Bank System Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals driven by expanding revenue/earnings into TTM and consistently positive free cash flow with strong earnings conversion. Balance sheet leverage has improved recently, though prior leverage volatility and margin normalization versus 2021–2022 are key watch items.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B1.01B940.71M755.98M702.45M633.65M
Gross Profit815.03M796.94M723.53M640.67M664.58M629.49M
EBITDA308.62M305.60M265.36M196.58M270.74M271.51M
Net Income218.06M210.46M182.48M131.92M188.08M189.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.74B17.41B16.39B15.56B15.84B15.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments572.17M301.75M508.96M3.11B4.36B6.81B
Total Debt647.35M746.66M998.87M765.20M1.14B329.88M
Total Liabilities15.72B15.41B14.62B13.86B14.28B13.45B
Stockholders Equity2.02B2.01B1.76B1.70B1.55B2.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow226.27M233.33M221.57M209.84M201.68M189.17M
Operating Cash Flow310.91M301.86M242.28M228.42M214.60M202.55M
Investing Cash Flow-354.46M-182.10M-835.62M335.78M-2.14B-1.53B
Financing Cash Flow97.70M-15.01M599.38M-583.13M259.22M1.56B

Community Bank System Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.31
Price Trends
50DMA
61.05
Positive
100DMA
61.33
Positive
200DMA
59.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Positive
RSI
55.76
Neutral
STOCH
74.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.95, above the 50-day MA of 61.05, and above the 200-day MA of 59.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CBU.

Community Bank System Risk Analysis

Community Bank System disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Community Bank System reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Community Bank System Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.33B11.1310.39%3.96%0.76%24.52%
79
Outperform
$3.73B10.0011.34%1.16%-2.18%26.43%
78
Outperform
$3.33B13.5811.11%3.14%6.86%13.91%
74
Outperform
$3.32B9.358.00%4.35%49.44%102.42%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$3.19B18.576.38%3.04%13.97%-15.75%
62
Neutral
$3.10B10.35-10.51%4.41%-57.23%-320.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBU
Community Bank System
63.41
9.50
17.63%
SFNC
Simmons 1st Nat'l
21.34
3.35
18.62%
TOWN
TowneBank
34.63
2.40
7.44%
WSBC
WesBanco
34.56
5.53
19.04%
WSFS
Wsfs Financial
71.69
19.54
37.48%
FHB
First Hawaiian
27.35
4.88
21.71%

Community Bank System Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Community Bank System Shareholders Reaffirm Governance and Leadership
Positive
May 22, 2026
At its virtual annual shareholders meeting held on May 20, 2026, Community Financial System, Inc. shareholders elected 12 directors to one-year terms and reaffirmed the company’s governance structure. Investors also expressed support for man...
Business Operations and Strategy
Community Bank System Releases New Investor Presentation Online
Neutral
May 13, 2026
On May 13, 2026, Community Financial System, Inc. announced that it had posted a new investor presentation to its website for use in upcoming meetings with investors and analysts. The availability of this presentation signals the company’s o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 23, 2026