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Cathay General Bancorp (CATY)
NASDAQ:CATY

Cathay General Bancorp (CATY) AI Stock Analysis

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CATY

Cathay General Bancorp

(NASDAQ:CATY)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(8.63% Upside)
CATY scores well on financial strength (strong margins, low leverage, and strong cash generation) and supportive technicals (above major moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation is favorable with a low P/E and a solid dividend yield. The score is held back by the sharp recent revenue growth decline and earnings-call risk items tied to credit monitoring, deposit repricing competition, and a high uninsured deposit mix.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability margins
Sustained high net and EBIT margins signal durable operating efficiency and pricing power in core banking operations. These margins provide a buffer versus cyclical NIM compression and support internal capital generation for lending, reserves and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Low leverage and solid capitalization
Very low debt-to-equity and respectable ROE indicate a conservative balance sheet and capital base. This reduces insolvency risk, preserves lending capacity in downturns, and gives the bank flexibility to absorb credit losses or pursue buybacks/dividends without stressing solvency over the next several quarters.
Strong free cash flow generation
Robust FCF growth and near-par conversion of net income to cash underpin sustainable capital return programs and reserve builds. Reliable cash generation supports ongoing buybacks, dividend coverage and investment in lending capacity, improving resilience across economic cycles.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A pronounced drop in TTM revenue undermines the sustainability of earnings and heightens reliance on margin improvements or nonrecurring items. If top-line weakness persists, it could constrain loan growth, limit capacity for expense absorption, and pressure long-term profit momentum and capital accumulation.
High share of uninsured deposits
Nearly half of deposits being uninsured is a structural funding vulnerability. In stressed markets this mix can prompt faster outflows or higher pricing to retain balances. Even with stated liquidity coverage, the concentration raises ongoing funding cost and stability risks over the medium term.
Rising special-mention loans
An increase in special-mention loans signals emerging credit stress within the portfolio. Downgrades tied to covenant breaches point to idiosyncratic weakness that may require higher provisions and could weigh on net income and capital if not resolved within management's expected timeframe.

Cathay General Bancorp (CATY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cathay General Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCathay General Bancorp operates as the holding company for Cathay Bank that offers various commercial banking products and services to individuals, professionals, and small to medium-sized businesses in the United States. The company offers various deposit products, including passbook accounts, checking accounts, money market deposit accounts, certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, and public funds deposits. It also provides loan products, such as commercial mortgage loans, commercial loans, small business administration loans, residential mortgage loans, real estate construction loans, and home equity lines of credit, as well as installment loans to individuals for household, and other consumer expenditures. In addition, the company offers trade financing, letter of credit, wire transfer, forward currency spot and forward contract, traveler's check, safe deposit, night deposit, social security payment deposit, collection, bank-by-mail, drive-up and walk-up window, automatic teller machine, Internet banking, investment, and other customary bank services, as well as securities and insurance products. As of March 1, 2022, it operated 31 branches in Southern California, 16 branches in Northern California, 10 branches in New York, four branches in Washington, two branches in Illinois, and two branches in Texas, as well as one branch each in Maryland, Massachusetts, Nevada, and New Jersey, and Hong Kong; and a representative office each in Beijing, Taipei, and Shanghai. The company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCathay General Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from various banking services. Key revenue streams include net interest income, which is earned from the interest on loans provided to customers, and investment securities. Additionally, the bank earns fee-based income from services such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services. The company also benefits from its strong relationships with the Asian American community, which has led to a loyal customer base and increased demand for its products. Partnerships with local businesses and community organizations further enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings.

Cathay General Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive performance: solid quarterly and annual earnings growth, EPS expansion, loan and deposit growth, improved NIM and noninterest income, active buybacks, and modestly stronger capital. Key risks flagged include a rise in special mention loans, continued competition pressuring loan yields and deposit pricing (notably ~$4B of maturing CDs), higher effective tax rate and near-term expense growth, and a high share of uninsured deposits (though liquidity coverage is adequate). Overall, management presented confidence in credit trends and liquidity while acknowledging pockets of near-term credit monitoring and competitive pressure.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Net Income and EPS Growth
Q4 net income of $90.5M, up 16.5% QoQ from $77.7M; diluted EPS $1.33 in Q4, up 18.3% QoQ from $1.13. Full year 2025 net income $315.1M, up 10.1% YoY from $286.0M.
Share Repurchase Activity
Repurchased 1.1M shares for $51.9M at an average cost of $47.15 under the June 2025 $150M buyback program; $12M remains and is expected to be completed in early February; management plans a new buyback program pending approvals.
Loan Growth and Portfolio Composition
Total gross loans grew $42M in Q4, driven by +$18M CRE and +$17M residential. Management expects loan growth of 3.5%–4.5% in 2026. Fixed-rate and hybrid loans represent ~60% of the loan portfolio (30% fixed, 30% hybrid in fixed period); fixed-to-float swaps are 3.1% of total loans — positioning to support yields as market rates decline.
Credit Quality Improvements and Resolutions
Net charge-offs improved to $5.4M in Q4 versus $15.6M in prior quarter. Nonaccrual loans declined $53.3M to $112.4M (0.6% of loans). Bank sold a $15.8M CRE loan at par and returned a $10.8M CRE loan to accrual status. Classified loans decreased from $420M to $391M.
Provisioning and Reserve Metrics
Provision for credit losses declined to $17.2M in Q4 from $28.7M in Q3. Allowance for loan and lease losses (ALLL) to gross loan ratio increased modestly to 0.97% from 0.93%; excluding residential loans, reserve-to-loan would be 1.22%.
Deposit Growth and Strong Liquidity
Total deposits increased $373M (7.6% annualized) in Q4 driven by $366M core deposit growth. Management expects 4%–5% deposit growth in 2026. Uninsured deposits were $9.3B (44.6% of total) net of $0.9B collateralized, and available liquidity (FHLB $7.5B, FRB $1.3B, unpledged securities $1.6B) covers >100% of uninsured/unpledged deposits.
Net Interest Margin and Noninterest Income Improvement
Net interest margin rose to 3.36% in Q4 from 3.31% QoQ; management projects 2026 NIM of 3.4%–3.5% assuming two Fed cuts. Noninterest income increased to $27.8M from $21.0M QoQ, largely due to a $6.4M unrealized mark-to-market gain on equity securities. Interest recoveries/prepayment penalties added 5 bps to NIM in Q4.
Capital Ratios and Financial Strength
Capital ratios improved slightly QoQ: Tier 1 leverage 10.91% (from 10.88%), Tier 1 risk-based 13.27% (from 13.15%), total risk-based 14.93% (from 14.76%), indicating continued capital adequacy.
Negative Updates
Increase in Special Mention Loans
Special mention loans rose from $455M to $535M in Q4 (+$80M). Five loan relationships totaling $92M were downgraded to special mention due to covenant breaches or short-term financial stress; management expects these to resolve within 12 months but they represent near-term credit watch items.
Remaining Nonaccruals and Elevated Reserves
Nonaccrual loans remain at $112.4M (0.6% of loans) despite QoQ reduction. ALLL to gross loan ratio increased to 0.97% from 0.93%, reflecting modestly higher reserves.
Deposit Repricing Risk and Competitive Funding Environment
Approximately $4B of CDs maturing in Q1 with an average yield of ~3.8% creates repricing risk; management expects to protect base while transitioning some to noninterest-bearing accounts. Local markets (LA and NY) remain competitive for deposits.
Pressure on Loan Yields from Competition
Management noted elevated competition, particularly on C&I loans (rates said to have declined steeper) and some compression in CRE yields (management estimated ~15–20 bps headwind), which could pressure loan yields going forward.
Rising Noninterest Expense and Bonus Accrual
Noninterest expense increased $4.1M QoQ to $92.2M, primarily due to a $4.3M higher bonus accrual tied to above-budget performance. Management expects core noninterest expense to increase ~3.5%–4.5% in 2026.
Higher Effective Tax Rate
Effective tax rate increased to 20.33% in Q4 from 17.18% in Q3; management expects a 2026 effective tax rate of 20.5%–21.5%. Q4 had a $6.8M higher provision for income taxes QoQ which partially offset earnings gains.
High Proportion of Uninsured Deposits
Uninsured deposits represented 44.6% of total deposits as of Dec 31, 2025. Although management reports available liquidity that covers >100% of uninsured/unpledged deposits, the high uninsured share is a structural funding risk if liquidity access were constrained.
Company Guidance
Management guided to 2026 targets including loan growth of 3.5%–4.5%, deposit growth of 4%–5%, and a net interest margin of 3.4%–3.5% (assuming about a 60% deposit beta on interest‑bearing balances and two Fed funds cuts per futures in June and September); they expect core noninterest expense (ex tax credit and core deposit intangible amortization) to rise ~3.5%–4.5%, an effective tax rate of 20.5%–21.5%, and low‑income housing amortization of roughly $11 million per quarter. Management also noted 60% of loans are fixed or hybrid (30% fixed, 30% hybrid in fixed period, with fixed‑to‑float swaps at 3.1%), available liquidity covering more than 100% of uninsured/unpledged deposits (including $7.5B FHLB capacity, $1.3B Fed capacity and $1.6B unpledged securities), and that they expect to complete the remaining $12M of a $150M buyback in early February and to announce a new repurchase program after approvals.

Cathay General Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals supported by strong profitability (TTM net margin 22.6%, EBIT margin 37.7%), low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.041), healthy ROE (10.6%), and strong cash conversion (FCF-to-net income 98.1%) with FCF growth (+21.6%). The main offset is a sharp TTM revenue growth decline (-33.8%), which raises questions about near-term growth durability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cathay General Bancorp's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 33.8%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a solid net profit margin of 22.6% and an EBIT margin of 37.7%, reflecting strong profitability. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth with a peak in 2023, but recent declines suggest potential challenges in sustaining growth.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Cathay General Bancorp is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.041 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is healthy at 10.6%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's strong equity position relative to assets suggests a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cathay General Bancorp's cash flow statement reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, with a 21.6% increase in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 98.1%, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, which limits a full assessment of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.37B1.39B1.31B908.10M721.11M743.39M
Gross Profit711.62M692.22M784.06M775.97M668.37M537.43M
EBITDA379.77M334.37M421.69M492.34M397.96M270.48M
Net Income304.81M285.98M354.12M360.64M298.30M228.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.08B23.05B23.08B21.95B20.89B19.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.21B1.71B2.43B2.64B3.58B2.46B
Total Debt359.84M227.73M709.72M659.25M192.97M326.33M
Total Liabilities21.17B20.21B20.34B19.47B18.44B16.62B
Stockholders Equity2.90B2.85B2.74B2.47B2.45B2.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow394.89M325.52M381.34M464.00M330.59M314.18M
Operating Cash Flow400.33M329.15M384.74M467.39M334.32M319.95M
Investing Cash Flow-891.04M184.03M-1.48B-1.85B-859.92M-242.20M
Financing Cash Flow460.01M-302.47M758.74M94.74M1.55B749.55M

Cathay General Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.47
Price Trends
50DMA
50.08
Positive
100DMA
48.57
Positive
200DMA
46.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Negative
RSI
65.24
Neutral
STOCH
64.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CATY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.88, above the 50-day MA of 50.08, and above the 200-day MA of 46.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CATY.

Cathay General Bancorp Risk Analysis

Cathay General Bancorp disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cathay General Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cathay General Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.06B18.496.25%3.05%11.05%-10.78%
77
Outperform
$3.55B10.4618.97%3.38%2.35%13.72%
75
Outperform
$3.78B10.1110.92%3.52%9.60%20.38%
74
Outperform
$3.58B11.5810.63%2.72%-1.59%9.34%
73
Outperform
$3.79B12.528.95%5.24%-5.43%4.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$2.76B12.3230.85%29.24%21.49%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CATY
Cathay General Bancorp
53.63
7.82
17.08%
FBP
First Bancorp Puerto Rico
22.94
2.87
14.27%
FIBK
First Interstate Bancsystem
38.14
7.12
22.95%
FULT
Fulton Financial
22.06
2.07
10.38%
INDB
Independent Bank
85.22
18.56
27.84%
TBBK
Bancorp
60.24
-2.51
-4.00%

Cathay General Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Cathay General Bancorp Announces CFO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Jan 23, 2026

On January 23, 2026, Cathay General Bancorp announced that long-serving Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer Heng W. Chen will retire from his roles at Cathay General Bancorp and Cathay Bank effective March 1, 2026, after a 23-year tenure at the company, during which the bank recorded sustained growth, strong earnings and consistent shareholder value creation; Chen will stay on as Special Advisor to the Office of the President at Cathay Bank through December 31, 2026. The company named Deputy Chief Financial Officer Albert J. Wang, a certified public accountant with more than 28 years of finance and accounting experience at institutions including Webster Bank, Banc of California, Santander Bank and PricewaterhouseCoopers, as Chen’s successor as CFO and Treasurer effective March 1, 2026, with the two executives working closely to ensure a smooth leadership transition in the bank’s finance function.

The most recent analyst rating on (CATY) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay General Bancorp stock, see the CATY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Cathay General Bancorp Reports Strong Q4 and 2025 Results
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Cathay General Bancorp reported unaudited results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, posting net income of $315.1 million, or $4.54 per diluted share, for 2025 and $90.5 million, or $1.33 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter. Quarterly net income rose 16.5% from the third quarter, supported by higher net interest income as deposit costs declined, lifting net interest margin to 3.36% from 3.31%, while returns on average assets and equity improved to 1.49% and 12.27%, respectively. For the full year, loans grew 4.0% to $20.15 billion and deposits climbed 6.1% to $20.89 billion versus 2024, indicating solid franchise growth, while the efficiency ratio improved markedly to 43.41% from 51.35% a year earlier and the allowance for credit losses increased to 1.03% of gross loans as the bank continued to build reserves. Management also highlighted share repurchases in the fourth quarter, buying back about 1.1 million shares for $51.9 million, signaling ongoing capital return to shareholders alongside balance sheet expansion and tighter operating efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (CATY) stock is a Sell with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay General Bancorp stock, see the CATY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 26, 2026