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First Hawaiian Inc (FHB)
NASDAQ:FHB

First Hawaiian (FHB) AI Stock Analysis

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FHB

First Hawaiian

(NASDAQ:FHB)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
â–²(10.82% Upside)
The score is supported primarily by solid profitability and a conservative balance sheet, plus a generally constructive technical trend. These positives are tempered by a sharp TTM revenue decline and highly volatile recent free-cash-flow growth; valuation and the earnings call provide additional, but secondary, support.
Positive Factors
Strong Deposit Growth
The significant increase in deposits enhances First Hawaiian's liquidity position and ability to fund loans, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Margin Expansion
The expansion in net interest margin indicates improved profitability from core banking operations, which is crucial for sustaining earnings in the long term.
Strong Credit Performance
Maintaining strong credit performance with low charge-offs ensures asset quality and reduces the risk of future loan losses, supporting financial stability.
Negative Factors
Loan Portfolio Decline
The decline in the loan portfolio, particularly in commercial and industrial loans, may limit revenue growth opportunities and affect interest income.
Revenue Growth Concerns
Negative revenue growth poses a challenge to sustaining profitability and expanding market share, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
Federal Government Shutdown Concerns
Potential impacts from a government shutdown could affect consumer confidence and spending, leading to broader economic challenges that may impact the bank's operations.

First Hawaiian (FHB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Hawaiian Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Hawaiian, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for First Hawaiian Bank that provides a range of banking services to consumer and commercial customers in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Commercial Banking, and Treasury and Other. The company accepts various deposit products, including checking and savings accounts, and other deposit accounts. It also provides residential and commercial mortgage loans, home equity lines of credit, automobile loans and leases, personal lines of credit, installment loans, and small business loans and leases, as well as commercial lease and auto dealer financing. In addition, the company offers personal installment, credit card, individual investment and financial planning, insurance protection, trust and estate, private banking, retirement planning, treasury, and merchant processing services. It operates a network of 54 branches, which include 49 in Hawaii, 3 in Guam, and 2 in Saipan. The company was formerly known as BancWest Corporation and changed its name to First Hawaiian, Inc. in April 2016. First Hawaiian, Inc. was founded in 1858 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Hawaiian Bank generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from service fees and commissions. Key revenue streams include consumer and commercial loans, which provide interest income, and deposit accounts that generate fee-based income. Additionally, FHB earns money through wealth management services and investment products. The bank also benefits from partnerships with local businesses and government entities, enhancing its service offerings and customer base, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

First Hawaiian Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment with strong deposit growth, margin expansion, and robust credit performance. However, challenges included a decline in the loan portfolio and concerns about the federal government shutdown's impact on families.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Visitor Spending
Visitor spending year-to-date was $4.6 billion, up 4.5% compared to the same period last year.
Strong Deposit Growth
Total deposits increased by about $500 million in the third quarter, with commercial deposits up by $135 million.
Margin Expansion
Net interest income was $169.3 million, $5.7 million higher than the prior quarter, with a net interest margin of 3.19%, up 8 basis points.
Strong Credit Performance
The bank maintained strong credit metrics with net charge-offs at 12 basis points of total loans and leases.
Negative Updates
Loan Portfolio Decline
Total loans declined by $223 million in the quarter, primarily in C&I, with dealer flooring balances falling by $146 million.
Federal Government Shutdown Concerns
Concerns were raised about the potential financial hardship for families due to the federal government shutdown.
Decline in Retail Deposits
Retail deposits declined by $43 million during the quarter, attributed to seasonal patterns.
Company Guidance
During the First Hawaiian, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on various financial metrics. Net income improved from the prior quarter due to higher net interest and noninterest income, despite a higher effective tax rate of 23.2%. The balance sheet remained robust, with a $223 million decline in total loans primarily driven by reductions in dealer flooring balances and corporate line paydowns. Average deposits increased by $500 million, bolstered by a $135 million rise in commercial deposits and a $406 million surge in public deposits. The net interest margin (NIM) increased by 8 basis points to 3.19%, with expectations for positive momentum in the fourth quarter. Noninterest income totaled $57.1 million, with a normalized run rate anticipated at $54 million per quarter. The bank maintained strong credit metrics, with a $4.5 million provision for credit losses and classified assets increasing by $30.1 million due to a single borrower.

First Hawaiian Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid (TTM net margin ~23%, operating margin ~29%) and the balance sheet appears conservative with very low leverage and steady ROE (~9–10%). Offsetting this, TTM revenue declined ~33% and free cash flow growth fell sharply (~-90%), creating near-term uncertainty despite positive absolute free cash flow (~$306M).
Income Statement
71
Positive
Profitability remains solid, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin of ~23% and operating margin near ~29%, and margins have generally stayed healthy versus 2023–2024. However, the key concern is growth: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined ~33% after modest growth in 2024 and stronger growth in 2023, signaling a recent top-line setback despite still-positive earnings.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Balance sheet looks conservatively positioned with low leverage: debt-to-equity is near zero in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (and was ~0.10 in 2024, ~0.20 in 2023). Returns on equity are steady around ~9–10% in the last few periods, indicating consistent profitability on capital. Main watch item is that returns are good but not accelerating, and debt levels have moved around over time (though still modest).
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is currently positive with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow of ~$306M and free cash flow running at ~0.89x net income, suggesting earnings are largely backed by cash. The weakness is volatility: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow growth is down sharply (~-90%) after a gain in 2024 and a decline in 2023, indicating uneven conversion and less reliable momentum.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.11B1.13B1.09B811.75M708.98M758.02M
Gross Profit791.37M759.96M778.68M760.69M729.23M589.28M
EBITDA361.00M330.61M351.94M407.96M400.84M306.80M
Net Income258.83M230.13M234.98M265.69M265.74M185.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.10B23.83B24.93B24.58B24.99B22.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments249.56M1.18B4.00B3.68B9.69B1.04B
Total Debt0.00250.00M500.00M75.00M0.00200.01M
Total Liabilities21.36B21.21B22.44B22.31B22.34B19.92B
Stockholders Equity2.73B2.62B2.49B2.27B2.66B2.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow305.77M288.74M239.04M417.32M396.67M176.12M
Operating Cash Flow344.00M317.51M255.03M430.61M417.13M209.51M
Investing Cash Flow437.15M548.55M1.03B-965.10M-2.38B-2.10B
Financing Cash Flow1.68M-1.44B-66.92M-197.36M2.18B2.24B

First Hawaiian Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.07
Price Trends
50DMA
25.88
Positive
100DMA
25.30
Positive
200DMA
24.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
54.45
Neutral
STOCH
51.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FHB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.66, above the 50-day MA of 25.88, and above the 200-day MA of 24.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FHB.

First Hawaiian Risk Analysis

First Hawaiian disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Hawaiian reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Hawaiian Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.94B17.926.25%3.05%11.05%-10.78%
76
Outperform
$3.37B12.1210.27%1.16%-3.62%10.83%
75
Outperform
$3.38B15.835.25%4.35%41.49%-5.53%
74
Outperform
$3.43B11.1210.63%2.72%-1.59%9.34%
73
Outperform
$3.79B15.537.20%5.24%-5.43%4.19%
72
Outperform
$3.35B13.219.62%3.96%-4.45%16.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FHB
First Hawaiian
27.01
1.33
5.18%
CATY
Cathay General Bancorp
49.98
4.15
9.06%
FIBK
First Interstate Bancsystem
36.66
5.80
18.79%
INDB
Independent Bank
79.55
15.18
23.58%
WSBC
WesBanco
34.30
0.89
2.65%
WSFS
Wsfs Financial
62.23
7.32
13.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026