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Independent Bank (INDB)
NASDAQ:INDB
US Market

Independent Bank (INDB) AI Stock Analysis

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INDB

Independent Bank

(NASDAQ:INDB)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(14.24% Upside)
The score is led by strong underlying financial performance (notably revenue growth and a solid balance sheet) and bullish technical trend signals. Earnings call guidance supports continued NII/NIM improvement and capital returns, partially offset by expense growth and some credit/noninterest-income headwinds. Valuation is fair rather than clearly cheap, keeping the overall score from moving higher.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth and NII expansion
Sustained, large TTM revenue growth indicates durable franchise expansion (organic plus acquisition) and broadening interest income sources. With management guiding continued NII/NIM improvement, higher recurring interest income should support earnings durability and reinvestment over the next 2–6 months.
Prudent balance sheet and low leverage
Low leverage and a solid equity ratio provide a stable capital foundation that supports lending growth, cushions credit volatility, and preserves flexibility for buybacks/dividends. This prudent structure reduces refinancing and solvency risk through economic cycles.
Commercial loan growth and stable deposit funding
Robust commercial loan origination delivers higher-yield assets and diversifies the loan mix away from volatile consumer channels. Coupled with a stable, improving deposit mix, this supports net interest income resilience and lowers reliance on wholesale funding over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak operating cash flow conversion and slight FCF decline
A modest FCF decline and weak operating cash conversion signal potential limits on internally funded growth, higher sensitivity to working capital swings, and reduced flexibility for sustained buybacks or large accretive investments without using capital markets.
Concentrated credit exposure and rising NPLs
A sizeable portion of NPLs tied to one commercial development creates concentration risk; resolution delays or further deterioration could force additional provisions, stress earnings and capital ratios, and increase volatility in credit costs over upcoming quarters.
Decline in noninterest income and rising expense guidance
A structural reduction in fee-related income (MSR sale and lower mortgage gains) makes earnings more dependent on interest margins. At the same time management expects noninterest expense to rise (guidance +5%–6%), which reduces operating leverage and compresses durable net income growth unless new fee streams replace lost revenue.

Independent Bank (INDB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Independent Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndependent Bank Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Rockland Trust Company that provides commercial banking products and services to individuals and small-to-medium sized businesses primarily in Massachusetts. The company accepts interest checking, money market, and savings accounts, as well as demand deposits and time certificates of deposit. It also offers commercial and industrial, commercial real estate and construction, small business, consumer real estate, and personal loans. In addition, the company provides investment management and trust services to individuals, institutions, small businesses, and charitable institutions; Internet and mobile banking services, as well as estate settlement, financial planning, tax services, and other services; automated teller machine and debit cards; and mutual fund and unit investment trust shares, general securities, fixed and variable annuities, and life insurance products. As of December 31, 2021, it operates one hundred nineteen retail branches, two limited-service retail branches, and one mobile branch located within Barnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, and Worcester counties in Eastern Massachusetts. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Rockland, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndependent Bank generates revenue primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is derived from the interest earned on loans and leases extended to customers, which constitutes a significant portion of the bank's earnings. The bank also generates non-interest income from service fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services offered to clients. Additionally, Independent Bank may engage in investment activities that contribute to its overall profitability. Strategic partnerships with other financial services providers and investment firms can enhance its product offerings and attract more clients, thereby boosting revenue. Overall, the bank's diversified service portfolio and focus on customer relationships play a crucial role in sustaining its financial performance.

Independent Bank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a generally positive operational and financial picture: core earnings improved, net interest margin expanded, loans (especially commercial) grew strongly, capital metrics strengthened, and the bank returned capital via dividends and buybacks. Offsetting these positives were a sizable decline in noninterest income (largely due to the one-time sale of mortgage servicing rights), a modest rise in net charge-offs and nonperforming loans (including one concentrated commercial development exposure), and guidance for more moderate loan growth and higher noninterest expense in 2026. On balance, the highlights (margin/loan growth/capital/returns) outweigh the lowlights tied primarily to the MSR sale and some credit expense pickup, resulting in a constructive outlook for 2026 with manageable risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Profitability and EPS Growth
Fourth quarter 2025 net income of $18.6M ($0.89 diluted EPS) vs $18.5M ($0.87) prior year; full year 2025 net income of $68.5M ($3.27 diluted EPS) vs $66.8M ($3.06) in 2024, reflecting year-over-year improvement in earnings and EPS.
Net Interest Income and Margin Expansion
Tax-equivalent net interest margin of 3.62% in 4Q25 (3.45% in 4Q24) and up 8 basis points versus linked quarter; net interest income increased year-over-year (management cited increases of $1.0M and $3.5M in different remarks) with guidance for NII growth of 7-8% in 2026 and expected full-year NIM expansion of ~18-23 basis points.
Strong Loan Growth
Total loans grew $78.0M in 4Q25 (7.4% annualized from 9/30/25) and increased $237.0M (5.9%) for the year; commercial loans led at $276.0M growth (14.2% year-over-year) with commercial quarterly production of $88.0M (16% annualized).
Deposit Growth and Improved Funding Costs
Deposits totaled $4.80B at 12/31/25, up $107.6M year-over-year; business deposits +$20.4M linked quarter, retail deposits +$64.1M linked quarter. Total cost of funds decreased 15 basis points to 1.67% in the quarter.
Capital Position and Shareholder Returns
Tangible common equity ratio increased to 8.65% (back into the 8.5%-9.5% target range); repurchased 407,113 shares for $12.4M in 2025; board authorized potential buybacks of ~5% in 2026; paid a $0.26/share dividend in November 2025 and maintained a 32% payout ratio for the year.
Tangible Book Value and Returns
Tangible book value up 13.3% year-over-year; quarterly ROAA and ROAE of 1.35% and 14.75% respectively, indicating strong return metrics.
Credit Metrics Largely Stable
Credit quality described as strong overall with watch credits and non-performing assets below historic averages; net charge-offs for the year were $1.6M (4 basis points of average loans), with management appropriately reserving for known exposures and guiding provision expense of ~20-25 basis points for 2026.
Disciplined Balance Sheet Management and Liquidity
Management expects roughly $120M of securities runoff in 2026 to fund loan growth, continues to target securities as ~12-15% of assets, and highlighted improved deposit mix and reduction in wholesale funding driving NIM benefits.
Negative Updates
Material Decline in Noninterest Income
Noninterest income fell to $12.0M in 4Q25 from $19.1M in 4Q24. Mortgage servicing revenue dropped sharply to $0.9M from $7.8M year-over-year due to the sale of approximately $931M of mortgage servicing rights on 01/31/2025; net gains on mortgage loans also decreased (4Q25: $1.4M vs 4Q24: $1.7M).
Elevation in Nonperforming Loans Concentrated in One Exposure
Total nonperforming loans rose to $23.1M (54 bps of loans) from 48 bps at 9/30/25; $16.5M of the NPLs relate to a single commercial development exposure that remains under active resolution and is reserved for.
Increase in Net Charge-offs
Net charge-offs increased to $1.6M (4 basis points of average loans) for the year vs $900k (2 basis points) in 2024, reflecting a modest deterioration in loss experience year-over-year.
Consumer/Installment Loan Contraction
Installment loan portfolio decreased $17.0M in the quarter and management expects mortgage to remain flat and installment loans to decline in 2026, contributing to a more moderate overall loan growth outlook (targeting 4.5%-5.5% for 2026).
Noninterest Expense and Cost Pressures Ahead
Noninterest expense was $36.1M in 4Q25 and management forecasts quarterly noninterest expense in 2026 of $36.0M-$37.0M with full-year expense expected to be 5%-6% higher driven by compensation, data processing, loan & collections, and occupancy costs.
More Moderate Loan Growth Guidance
Management guided to mid single-digit (4.5%-5.5%) loan growth for 2026 — lower than the bank's historical high-single-digit growth profile — driven by plans to reduce some consumer lending exposure and expectations of flat mortgage volumes.
Company Guidance
For 2026 the company guided to mid‑single‑digit loan growth (targeting 4.5%–5.5% FY 2026) with low‑double‑digit commercial loan growth expected, net interest income growth of 7%–8% year‑over‑year, and net interest margin expansion of 5–7 basis points in Q1 followed by 3–5 bps each quarter thereafter (implying roughly 18–23 bps of NIM improvement y/y), assuming two 25‑bp Fed cuts (March and August) and slightly higher long‑term rates; management expects about $120 million of securities runoff to fund loans, a provision for credit losses of roughly 20–25 bps of average loans, quarterly noninterest income of $11.3M–$12.3M (noninterest income +3%–4% for the year; mortgage origination volumes down 6%–7%; net gain on sale down 14%–16%), quarterly noninterest expense of $36M–$37M (annual expense +5%–6%), an effective tax rate near 17%, and a board authorization for share repurchases of ~5% (though no buybacks are currently modeled).

Independent Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (Income Statement Score 85) is driven by strong TTM revenue growth and solid gross margin, but net margin softened. Balance sheet is healthy (Score 78) with low leverage and a stable capital structure, though ROE is only moderate. Cash flow is the main drag (Score 70) due to slightly negative FCF growth and weaker operating cash flow conversion despite strong FCF-to-net-income.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Independent Bank has demonstrated strong revenue growth, particularly with a 58.79% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin remains robust at 66.47%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 17.50% in TTM, suggesting some pressure on profitability. Overall, the income statement reflects solid growth and profitability, albeit with some margin compression.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 in TTM, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity is moderate at 8.71%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 14.19%, suggesting a stable capital structure. While the company maintains a strong financial position, there is room for improvement in equity utilization.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -2.78% in TTM, indicating potential challenges in cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.92, showing effective conversion of earnings into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in operational cash flow generation. Overall, cash flow management is stable but could benefit from enhanced operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B974.14M911.33M749.84M515.98M507.42M
Gross Profit706.37M646.86M698.88M713.75M484.06M420.58M
EBITDA271.94M288.02M351.24M386.55M189.50M180.10M
Net Income179.82M192.08M239.50M263.81M120.99M121.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.99B19.37B19.35B19.29B20.42B13.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.29B367.16M1.56B1.75B3.81B1.71B
Total Debt775.38M701.37M1.22B113.38M152.37M181.06M
Total Liabilities21.45B16.38B16.45B16.41B17.40B11.50B
Stockholders Equity3.55B2.99B2.90B2.89B3.02B1.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow208.73M209.49M261.15M399.13M165.02M52.05M
Operating Cash Flow215.12M229.92M276.99M421.20M190.22M64.64M
Investing Cash Flow-89.63M-33.01M-211.65M-1.00B-63.14M-488.21M
Financing Cash Flow360.85M-201.35M-193.95M-1.31B816.96M1.57B

Independent Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.53
Price Trends
50DMA
74.51
Positive
100DMA
71.49
Positive
200DMA
67.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.55
Negative
RSI
64.99
Neutral
STOCH
85.20
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INDB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.49, above the 50-day MA of 74.51, and above the 200-day MA of 67.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INDB.

Independent Bank Risk Analysis

Independent Bank disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Independent Bank reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Independent Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.00B18.146.25%3.05%11.05%-10.78%
77
Outperform
$3.49B10.3018.97%3.38%2.35%13.72%
75
Outperform
$3.71B9.9210.92%3.52%9.60%20.38%
74
Outperform
$3.48B11.1710.63%2.72%-1.59%9.34%
73
Outperform
$3.65B12.298.95%5.24%-5.43%4.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$2.61B12.0828.59%29.24%21.49%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INDB
Independent Bank
80.78
16.82
26.30%
CATY
Cathay General Bancorp
51.18
5.96
13.17%
FBP
First Bancorp Puerto Rico
22.12
2.62
13.41%
FIBK
First Interstate Bancsystem
35.47
5.65
18.95%
FULT
Fulton Financial
20.65
1.48
7.71%
TBBK
Bancorp
59.44
-1.68
-2.75%

Independent Bank Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Independent Bank posts strong Q4 2025 earnings growth
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

Independent Bank Corp. reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 22, 2026, with net income rising to $75.3 million, or $1.52 per diluted share, from $34.3 million in the prior quarter, and operating net income increasing to $84.4 million, or $1.70 per diluted share, reflecting the successful integration of its recent acquisition of Enterprise Bancorp. The bank delivered higher returns on assets and equity, an expanded net interest margin driven by lower deposit costs, modest loan growth led by commercial and industrial lending, slightly higher average deposits despite seasonal period-end outflows, and stable asset composition, while also enhancing shareholder value through stock repurchases, growth in book and tangible book value per share, and a stronger common equity-to-assets position despite ongoing merger-related expenses.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDB) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independent Bank stock, see the INDB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Independent Bank Highlights Acquisition Benefits to Investors
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

In December 2025, Independent Bank Corp. management presented to investors highlighting the successful acquisition of Enterprise Bancorp, which closed on July 1, 2025. The acquisition expanded the bank’s market presence into Northern Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire, contributing to a stable loan and deposit base. The company reported a net interest margin increase to 3.62% and achieved significant cost savings from the acquisition, enhancing operating efficiency. The strategic move is expected to strengthen Independent Bank’s market positioning and support continued growth in key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDB) stock is a Buy with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independent Bank stock, see the INDB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Independent Bank Announces Quarterly Dividend Declaration
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Independent Bank Corp. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.59 per share, payable on January 7, 2026, to stockholders of record as of December 29, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDB) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independent Bank stock, see the INDB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Independent Bank Expands with Enterprise Bancorp Acquisition
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, Independent Bank Corp. successfully closed its acquisition of Enterprise Bancorp on July 1, which expanded its market presence into Northern Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire. The acquisition contributed to a stable loan and deposit base, with key personnel retention and cost savings on track. The company’s net interest margin increased to 3.62%, and it reported strong organic growth in commercial and industrial loans. The acquisition and strategic growth have positioned Independent Bank Corp. as a top-performing bank in Massachusetts, with a significant capital buffer and a diversified, low-cost deposit base.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDB) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Independent Bank stock, see the INDB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026