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First Interstate Bancsystem (FIBK)
NASDAQ:FIBK

First Interstate Bancsystem (FIBK) AI Stock Analysis

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FIBK

First Interstate Bancsystem

(NASDAQ:FIBK)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(15.59% Upside)
Overall score is driven by solid financial fundamentals (strong margins, low leverage, and healthy cash generation) and supportive technicals with the stock trading above key moving averages. Valuation is helped by a high dividend yield and moderate P/E, while earnings-call takeaways are balanced: improving credit/capital and buybacks are positives, but loan growth and deposit-cost pressures temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
High profit margins indicate effective cost management and pricing power, supporting long-term financial stability and shareholder value.
Improved Credit Quality
Improved credit quality reduces risk and potential losses, enhancing the company's financial health and lending capacity.
Strategic Branch Optimization
Branch optimization allows the company to focus resources on more profitable markets, potentially increasing efficiency and market share.
Negative Factors
Decline in Loan Balances
A decline in loan balances can limit revenue growth and indicate challenges in attracting new customers or maintaining existing ones.
Increased Deposit Costs
Rising deposit costs can compress net interest margins, affecting profitability and competitive positioning in the banking sector.
Revenue Growth Decline
A decline in revenue growth can signal market challenges or reduced demand, impacting future earnings potential and strategic initiatives.

First Interstate Bancsystem (FIBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Interstate Bancsystem Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Interstate BancSystem, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Interstate Bank that provides range of banking products and services in the United States. It offers various traditional depository products, including checking, savings, and time deposits; and repurchase agreements primarily for commercial and municipal depositors. The company also offers real estate loans comprising commercial real estate, construction, residential, agricultural, and other real estate loans; consumer loans comprising direct personal loans, credit card loans and lines of credit, and indirect loans; variable and fixed rate commercial loans for small and medium-sized manufacturing, wholesale, retail, and service businesses for working capital needs and business expansions; and agricultural loans. In addition, it provides a range of trust, employee benefit, investment management, insurance, agency, and custodial services to individuals, businesses, and nonprofit organizations. Further, the company offers marketing, credit review, loan servicing, credit cards issuance and servicing, mortgage loan sales and servicing, indirect consumer loan purchasing and processing, loan collection services, and other operational services, as well as online and mobile banking services. It serves individuals, businesses, municipalities, and other entities in various industries, including agriculture, construction, education, energy, governmental services, healthcare, hospitality, housing, mining, professional services, real estate development, retail, technology, tourism, and wholesale trade. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 147 banking offices, including detached drive-up facilities in communities across Idaho, Montana, Oregon, South Dakota, Washington, and Wyoming. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Billings, Montana.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Interstate BancSystem generates revenue through various key streams primarily derived from its banking operations. The core revenue sources include net interest income, which is earned from the difference between interest paid on deposits and interest earned on loans and investment securities. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income from services such as fees for account maintenance, transaction services, asset management, and mortgage origination. The effectiveness of its lending practices, along with the overall economic environment, significantly influences its profitability. Partnerships with local businesses and community organizations also bolster its customer base and enhance its market presence, contributing to sustained revenue generation.

First Interstate Bancsystem Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted tangible progress on capital return, regulatory capital improvement, balance sheet flexibility and sequential net interest margin expansion, along with meaningful credit quality improvements in the quarter. However, several operational headwinds and near-term pressures remain: loan balances and deposits declined due to strategic branch divestitures and intentional run-off, Q4 earnings were materially supported by a one-time gain on sale, there was a Q4 spike in net charge-offs driven by a single large credit, and loan production was lower than expected in 2025. Management provided constructive guidance for NIM expansion and controlled expenses but acknowledged near-term seasonality that will pressure Q1 NII and expects loans roughly flat to slightly lower in 2026 (excluding indirect run-off). Overall, positive structural actions and capital returns are balanced by execution and recurring-earnings headwinds and some one-time items.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Net Income and EPS
Net income of $108.8M in Q4 2025, or $1.08 per diluted share, up from $71.4M or $0.69 in Q3 2025; increase driven largely by a gain on sale related to Arizona and Kansas divestiture.
Substantial Share Repurchase Activity and Increased Authorization
Repurchased ~3.7M shares through year-end for approximately $118M; repurchased ~2.8M shares (~$90M) in Q4; Board approved incremental $150M authorization raising total to $300M with ~$180M capacity remaining.
Improved Capital Metrics
Common equity Tier 1 ratio increased to 14.38% (up 48 bps QoQ); leverage ratio ~9.61%; tangible book value per share increased 2.9% in Q4 to $22.40.
Balance Sheet Deleveraging and Liquidity Strength
Other borrowed funds reduced from $1.6B at end of 2024 to $0 at end of 2025, strengthening funding flexibility and reducing interest expense on other borrowed funds.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Fully tax-equivalent NIM of 3.38% in Q4 2025 vs 3.36% in Q3 2025 and 3.20% in Q4 2024; adjusted FTE NIM (ex-purchase accounting accretion) improved to 3.34% (up 4 bps QoQ, up 26 bps YoY).
Credit Quality Trajectory Improving (Q4)
Criticized loans decreased by $112.3M or 9.6% in Q4; non-performing assets decreased by $47.3M or 26% in Q4; funded provision decreased to 1.26% of loans from 1.30% in Q3.
Return of Capital to Shareholders (Dividends)
Declared a quarterly dividend of $0.47 per common share, equating to a 5.7% annualized yield based on average Q4 closing price; returned ~$48M in dividends in Q4.
Footprint Optimization and Operational Restructuring
Completed sale of branches in Arizona and Kansas and announced sale of 11 Nebraska branches; consolidating footprint from 14 states to 10 contiguous states; initiated a flatter banking organization (State Presidents) to speed local decisions and drive organic growth.
Guidance: Expectation of NIM Expansion and Controlled Expenses
Company expects sequential NIM improvement toward >3.50% by year-end 2026, low single-digit deposit growth in 2026, roughly flat to slightly lower total expenses for 2026 (with ~1% higher due to medical normalization included).
Negative Updates
Loan Balances Declined Materially
Loans decreased $632.8M in Q4 2025 (including $72.5M moved to held for sale and $62.8M indirect amortization); year-over-year production was lower than expected and total loans down for 2025 due to intentional run-off and disposals.
Deposit Base Impacted by Branch Sales
Total deposits decreased $516.7M to $22.1B as of Dec 31, 2025, driven by the sale of $641.6M of deposits in the Arizona and Kansas transaction (excluding sold deposits, deposits increased in the quarter).
NII and Earning Asset Pressures
Net interest income decreased $0.4M (0.2%) QoQ to $206.4M and decreased $7.9M (3.7%) YoY, primarily due to a reduction in earning assets and lower yield on earning assets; yield on average loans decreased 1 bp to 5.67%.
Q4 Net Charge-Off Spike from Specific Credit
Net charge-offs increased by $19.8M to $22.1M in Q4, primarily driven by one larger credit with an $11.6M specific reserve; although full-year net charge-offs were 24 bps (in line with long-term expectations), Q4 volatility is notable.
Earnings Boost Largely One-Time Gain on Sale
Non-interest income increased $62.9M QoQ driven by a $62.7M gain on sale from the Arizona and Kansas divestiture, indicating a significant portion of Q4 earnings improvement was non-recurring.
Higher Operating Costs and One-Time Items in Q4
Non-interest expense rose $8.8M QoQ to $166.7M, including $2.3M branch closure costs, $4.2M severance related to redesign and $5.6M higher incentive accruals; expense volatility from restructuring and closures.
Runoff of Certain Products and Lower Production
Outsourced consumer credit card product and discontinued originations in indirect lending; continued amortization/runoff of indirect portfolio contributing 1–2% additional loan decline expected in 2026.
Loan-to-Deposit Ratio Compression
Loans held for investment to deposits ratio declined to 68.8% at quarter-end from 70.1% QoQ and 77.5% YoY, reflecting loan runoff and deposit movement from branch sales.
Near-Term NII Seasonality and Q1 Headwinds
Guidance assumes reported NII approximately 3% lower in Q1 2026 vs Q4 2025 due to fewer accrual days and normal deposit seasonality, indicating a near-term earnings drag.
Company Guidance
For 2026 management guided to low single‑digit deposit growth with normal seasonality and total loans roughly flat to slightly lower (excluding an additional 1–2% decline from continued indirect portfolio runoff), with loans expected to decline in H1 and modestly grow in H2; Q1 reported net interest income is modeled about 3% below Q4 2025. They expect sequential net interest margin expansion from the Q4 adjusted FTE NIM of 3.34% toward “north of 3.50%” by year‑end (roughly +~5 bps per quarter), supported by reinvestment of lower‑yielding securities (new securities pricing roughly 5‑year +60–70 bps) and new loan production in the low‑to‑mid‑6% range; fee income is assumed to show modest year‑over‑year growth. Expense guidance is roughly flat to slightly lower versus FY2025 (implying about $630–$645M annually or ~ $159–$160M per quarter) but the plan assumes ~1% higher costs from medical insurance normalization plus reinvestment for relationship managers, branch openings/relocations and increased advertising; guidance reflects the sale/closure of 17 branches (11 sold, 6 closed), excludes the anticipated Nebraska gain, notes ND/MN deposits of ≈$30M, and the company raised share‑repurchase capacity to $300M with roughly $180M remaining.

First Interstate Bancsystem Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains solid (gross margin 72.96%, net margin 18.77%, EBIT margin 24.42%) and leverage is low (debt-to-equity 0.23). Offsetting this, revenue declined (TTM revenue growth -8.66%) and cash-flow assessment is partially limited by missing operating cash flow efficiency metrics, despite positive free cash flow growth (+7.01%) and strong FCF-to-net-income (92.10%).
Income Statement
75
Positive
First Interstate Bancsystem has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 8.66%, which is a concern. However, the company maintains strong profitability metrics with a gross profit margin of 72.96% and a net profit margin of 18.77%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 24.42% and 27.14%, respectively. Despite the recent revenue decline, the company has managed to sustain its profitability, which is a positive sign.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of First Interstate Bancsystem reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage. The return on equity is moderate at 7.25%, showing decent profitability relative to equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the overall leverage has decreased compared to previous years, suggesting improved financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a positive trend with a 7.01% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 92.10%, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, which limits a full assessment of cash flow efficiency. Overall, the cash flow position is solid, but there is room for improvement in operating cash flow metrics.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.39B1.48B1.43B1.18B656.00M680.30M
Gross Profit953.70M931.90M993.60M1.02B653.30M596.80M
EBITDA371.10M351.50M390.60M312.60M292.20M254.40M
Net Income245.40M226.00M257.50M202.20M192.10M161.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.33B29.14B30.67B32.29B19.67B17.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55B960.40M6.42B7.82B7.17B6.29B
Total Debt794.50M2.39B3.67B3.66B1.25B1.29B
Total Liabilities23.88B25.83B27.44B29.21B17.69B15.69B
Stockholders Equity3.45B3.30B3.23B3.07B1.99B1.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow307.40M332.00M399.80M523.90M272.00M238.10M
Operating Cash Flow333.50M355.00M428.00M534.40M282.30M268.30M
Investing Cash Flow3.04B1.76B1.25B-949.00M-2.12B-1.87B
Financing Cash Flow-2.63B-1.80B-1.97B-1.06B1.91B2.80B

First Interstate Bancsystem Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.47
Price Trends
50DMA
35.14
Positive
100DMA
33.31
Positive
200DMA
30.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Positive
RSI
44.46
Neutral
STOCH
16.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.74, above the 50-day MA of 35.14, and above the 200-day MA of 30.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FIBK.

First Interstate Bancsystem Risk Analysis

First Interstate Bancsystem disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Interstate Bancsystem reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Interstate Bancsystem Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.00B18.196.25%3.05%11.05%-10.78%
76
Outperform
$3.54B12.7210.27%1.16%-3.62%10.83%
75
Outperform
$3.39B15.866.54%4.35%41.49%-5.53%
73
Outperform
$3.65B12.068.95%5.24%-5.43%4.19%
72
Outperform
$3.28B12.079.62%3.96%-4.45%16.92%
70
Outperform
$4.88B47.642.22%2.72%-1.18%-89.13%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIBK
First Interstate Bancsystem
35.47
5.65
18.95%
INDB
Independent Bank
80.78
16.82
26.30%
WSBC
WesBanco
35.29
2.52
7.71%
WSFS
Wsfs Financial
64.73
9.90
18.05%
FHB
First Hawaiian
26.55
-0.19
-0.71%
EBC
Eastern Bankshares
20.49
2.95
16.85%

First Interstate Bancsystem Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
First Interstate BancSystem Reports Strong Q4 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, First Interstate BancSystem reported that fourth-quarter 2025 net income rose to $108.8 million, or $1.08 per diluted share, up from $71.4 million in the prior quarter and $52.1 million a year earlier, while full-year 2025 net income increased to $302.1 million, or $2.94 per diluted share, from $226.0 million in 2024. Results were boosted by a $62.7 million gain from the October 10, 2025 sale of its Arizona and Kansas branches, which also reduced loans and deposits but helped drive higher net interest margin, elimination of other borrowed funds, lower non-performing assets, improved capital ratios, and continued progress on asset quality despite elevated but moderating net charge-offs. The company continued executing a strategic repositioning of its branch network, with previously announced closures of four Nebraska branches and single locations in Minnesota and North Dakota scheduled for February 2026 and a pending sale of 11 Nebraska branches expected to close in early second-quarter 2026, while the board expanded the stock repurchase authorization to a total of $300 million and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share payable on February 20, 2026 to shareholders of record on February 10, 2026; the company also posted an updated corporate presentation providing an overview of its operations and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIBK) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Interstate Bancsystem stock, see the FIBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
First Interstate BancSystem Announces Leadership Transition
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

On November 14, 2025, First Interstate BancSystem announced a leadership transition involving Ms. Lorrie F. Asker, who moved from her role as Executive Vice President and Co-Chief Banking Officer to become an executive advisor to the CEO. This transition is part of a strategic shift to appoint Mr. Chris L. Shepler as the sole Chief Banking Officer. The change aims to ensure strategic continuity and operational excellence, with Ms. Asker assisting in the transition process until the end of the first quarter of 2026. Mr. Shepler, with extensive leadership experience in the banking sector, was appointed to his new role under a new employment agreement, reflecting the company’s focus on growth and client-centric innovation.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIBK) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Interstate Bancsystem stock, see the FIBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
First Interstate BancSystem Declares Dividend Amid Earnings Report
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, First Interstate BancSystem announced a dividend of $0.47 per share, payable on November 20, 2025, and reported third-quarter earnings with a net income of $71.4 million. The company showed improvements in net interest margin and reduced non-performing assets, while also executing a stock repurchase program, reflecting a strategic focus on organic growth and maintaining strong liquidity and capital levels.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIBK) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Interstate Bancsystem stock, see the FIBK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026