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Fulton Financial Corp (FULT)
NASDAQ:FULT

Fulton Financial (FULT) AI Stock Analysis

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FULT

Fulton Financial

(NASDAQ:FULT)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(11.44% Upside)
Fulton Financial's overall stock score is driven by its solid financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's strategic initiatives, including a merger and share buyback, further strengthen its market position. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and challenges in loan growth and deposit volatility remain.
Positive Factors
Strategic Merger
The merger with Blue Foundry Bancorp enhances Fulton's market position and operational capabilities, expanding its presence in northern New Jersey.
Share Buyback Program
The $150M share buyback program reflects confidence in financial strength and commitment to shareholder value, enhancing market positioning.
Dividend Increase
Increasing the dividend signals strong cash generation and commitment to returning value to shareholders, supporting long-term investor confidence.
Negative Factors
Loan Growth Challenges
Limited loan growth may hinder revenue expansion and affect profitability, posing a challenge to maintaining competitive market positioning.
Municipal Deposit Volatility
Volatility in municipal deposits can lead to instability in funding sources, impacting liquidity management and financial planning.
Declining Revenue Growth
A declining revenue growth rate could signal challenges in market expansion and product adoption, affecting long-term financial health.

Fulton Financial (FULT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fulton Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFulton Financial Corporation (FULT) is a financial services holding company headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. The company operates through its subsidiaries, primarily in the banking sector, providing a range of services including commercial banking, consumer banking, mortgage banking, and wealth management. Fulton Financial serves customers across several states in the Mid-Atlantic region and offers products such as checking and savings accounts, loans, insurance, and investment services.
How the Company Makes MoneyFulton Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income, which comes from loans made to individuals and businesses, as well as from investment securities. The bank earns interest on various loan products, including commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans. Additionally, Fulton Financial generates non-interest income through fees for services such as ATM transactions, account maintenance, investment management, and financial advisory services. The company also benefits from wealth management services, which include trust services and investment products. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers further enhance their service offerings and contribute to their overall revenue. Overall, Fulton Financial's diverse revenue streams enable it to maintain a stable financial performance in varying economic conditions.

Fulton Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong operating results, record revenue, and positive credit trends, indicating solid financial health and strategic management. However, challenges remain in loan growth and deposit volatility, which management is addressing through strategic actions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating Results
Operating earnings of $101.3 million or $0.55 per share, indicating strong profitability and positive operating leverage. Efficiency ratio improved to 56.5%, and an operating ROA of 1.29% with an operating ROTCE of 15.79%.
Record Revenue
Achieved an all-time high in quarterly revenue with strong net interest margin and non-interest income contributing significantly.
Positive Credit Trends
Improvement in non-performing loans and charge-offs with a stable allowance ratio. ACL to non-performing loan coverage increased to 189%.
Share Repurchase
Repurchased 1,650,000 shares at a weighted average cost of $18.67 per share, contributing to an 18% growth in tangible book value per share on a linked quarter annualized basis.
Deposit Growth
Deposits grew by $194 million, primarily driven by a $387 million increase in demand and savings products, offsetting declines in brokered and time deposits.
Increased Net Interest Income Guidance
Revised net interest income guidance for 2025 upwards to a range of $1.025 billion to $1.035 billion, reflecting confidence in future financial performance.
Negative Updates
Loan Growth Challenges
Total loan balances grew by only $29 million due to strategic actions, representing a $600 million headwind to loan balance growth year-to-date.
Municipal Deposit Volatility
Anticipated outflows of municipal balances in the fourth quarter, similar to historical trends, after a seasonal increase of $450 million.
Non-Interest Bearing Deposit Decline
Non-interest bearing balances ended the quarter at 19.5% of total deposits, driven by normal corporate customer activity.
Loan Portfolio Adjustments
Strategic runoff of approximately $32 million of indirect auto and $40 million of small ticket equipment finance loans, with an additional $40 million in note sales and $139 million of C&C loans resolved.
Company Guidance
During the Fulton Financial Corporation Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided several key financial metrics and guidance updates for the year. Fulton reported operating earnings of $101.3 million, equating to $0.55 per share, and highlighted a strong efficiency ratio of 56.5%. The company also achieved an operating return on assets (ROA) of 1.29% and an operating return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 15.79%. Fulton repurchased 1,650,000 shares at an average cost of $18.67 per share, leading to an 18% increase in tangible book value per share on a linked quarter annualized basis. Looking ahead, Fulton updated its 2025 guidance, projecting net interest income between $1.025 billion and $1.035 billion, provision expenses ranging from $45 million to $55 million, and fee income between $270 million and $280 million. The company also expects operating expenses between $750 million and $760 million, with an effective tax rate of 19% to 20%.

Fulton Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fulton Financial demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability margins and effective cash management. However, the declining revenue growth rate and low return on equity are areas of concern. The company has managed its leverage well, improving its debt-to-equity ratio over time.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Fulton Financial's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a solid gross profit margin and a stable net profit margin, indicating operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting good profitability despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is relatively low, suggesting limited profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced financial structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows strong free cash flow growth in the TTM period, which is a positive indicator of financial health. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, highlighting effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90B1.80B1.50B1.09B997.16M972.27M
Gross Profit1.25B1.13B1.03B988.70M952.08M781.67M
EBITDA512.73M401.62M381.72M378.95M363.64M231.57M
Net Income361.26M288.74M284.28M286.98M275.50M178.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.00B32.07B27.57B26.93B25.80B25.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.33B3.37B2.93B3.31B4.83B4.91B
Total Debt1.47B1.78B2.49B2.87B1.45B1.93B
Total Liabilities28.58B28.87B24.81B24.35B23.08B23.29B
Stockholders Equity3.41B3.20B2.76B2.58B2.71B2.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow280.97M374.11M330.03M573.54M320.71M137.13M
Operating Cash Flow336.40M416.56M362.98M594.79M338.39M157.37M
Investing Cash Flow-402.99M1.63B-809.22M-1.54B-210.09M-2.50B
Financing Cash Flow-559.90M-1.53B314.02M-15.90M-337.52M3.67B

Fulton Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.19
Price Trends
50DMA
18.19
Positive
100DMA
18.42
Positive
200DMA
17.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
69.92
Neutral
STOCH
76.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FULT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.12, above the 50-day MA of 18.19, and above the 200-day MA of 17.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FULT.

Fulton Financial Risk Analysis

Fulton Financial disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fulton Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fulton Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.83B18.865.51%3.05%11.05%-10.78%
76
Outperform
$3.39B10.4418.43%3.35%2.35%13.72%
76
Outperform
$3.68B15.077.20%5.26%-5.43%4.19%
72
Outperform
$3.43B11.6410.63%2.70%-1.59%9.34%
71
Outperform
$3.65B10.5710.92%3.52%9.60%20.38%
69
Neutral
$3.02B14.3828.59%29.24%21.49%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FULT
Fulton Financial
20.19
1.43
7.62%
CATY
Cathay General Bancorp
50.45
4.25
9.20%
FBP
First Bancorp Puerto Rico
21.48
3.49
19.40%
FIBK
First Interstate Bancsystem
35.76
5.21
17.05%
INDB
Independent Bank
77.40
13.47
21.07%
TBBK
Bancorp
68.87
15.51
29.07%

Fulton Financial Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividends
Fulton Financial Announces Dividend Increase and Buyback
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Fulton Financial Corporation announced an increase in its quarterly cash dividend to nineteen cents per share on its common stock, payable on January 15, 2026. The Board also declared a quarterly dividend on its Fixed Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A, and approved a $150 million share repurchase program commencing January 1, 2026. This strategic move reflects Fulton’s confidence in its financial strength and commitment to shareholder value, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fulton Financial Announces Merger with Blue Foundry
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Fulton Financial Corporation announced a merger agreement with Blue Foundry Bancorp, where Blue Foundry will merge into Fulton, and Blue Foundry Bank will merge into Fulton Bank, N.A. This strategic move, unanimously approved by both companies’ boards, aims to enhance Fulton’s market position and operational capabilities. The agreement outlines the conversion of Blue Foundry’s common stock into Fulton’s stock and cash, with specific conditions for stock options and restricted stock awards. The merger is subject to regulatory approvals and other customary conditions, with a termination fee applicable under certain circumstances.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fulton Financial Announces Merger with Blue Foundry Bancorp
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Fulton Financial Corporation announced a merger agreement to acquire Blue Foundry Bancorp in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $243 million. This strategic move aims to expand Fulton’s presence in northern New Jersey, with the merger expected to be accretive to earnings and neutral to regulatory capital ratios. The merger, approved by both companies’ boards, is anticipated to close in the second quarter of 2026, subject to customary conditions. The merger will enhance Fulton’s banking services and community support, aligning with its growth strategy and benefiting stakeholders by providing greater resources and convenience.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025