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First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC)
NASDAQ:FFBC

First Financial Bancorp (FFBC) AI Stock Analysis

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FFBC

First Financial Bancorp

(NASDAQ:FFBC)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(13.97% Upside)
FFBC scores well primarily on solid financial performance and favorable valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive momentum. The earnings call adds confidence via constructive growth and margin guidance, partly offset by near-term integration costs and modest credit/NIM pressures.
Positive Factors
Diversified fee income
Sizable, diversified fee streams (wealth, FX, leasing, mortgage) drive durable noninterest revenue growth. Record fee income and 16% annual growth reduce reliance on NIM, smoothing earnings through cycle and supporting long‑term profitability as loan/deposit dynamics shift.
Capital and leverage management
Conservative leverage (D/E ~0.29) and capital ratios above internal and regulatory targets give the bank resilience. Strong capital supports organic growth, M&A activity, subordinated debt issuance, and dividend returns without materially elevating solvency risk over the next several quarters.
Consistent profitability and cash generation
Sustained net margins near 19% and high FCF conversion demonstrate an ability to generate cash from operations. This underpins dividend capacity, internal investment and capital rebuild after acquisitions, supporting stable returns and reduced refinancing pressure over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Near‑term integration costs
Acquisition-related integration costs and delayed synergies will keep noninterest expenses elevated into 2026, pressuring efficiency metrics. Persistent higher expense run‑rates can compress earnings and slow capital rebuild from acquisitions until conversions and runouts complete.
NIM compression risk
Margins are susceptible to rate cuts and deposit behavior; modest q/q NIM declines and guidance for further compression indicate structural pressure. If deposit repricing or competition intensifies, sustaining NIM will require ongoing funding cost discipline and may limit net interest income growth.
Asset quality upticks
A recent rise in NPAs and charge‑offs signals emerging credit stress in portions of the loan book. If trends persist or expand post‑acquisition, provisions could rise, eroding earnings and capital accumulation and requiring more conservative underwriting or higher loan loss reserves over coming quarters.

First Financial Bancorp (FFBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Financial Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Financial Bancorp. operates as the bank holding company for First Financial Bank that provides commercial banking and related services to individuals and businesses in Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, and Illinois. The company accepts various deposit products, such as interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing accounts, time deposits, and cash management services for commercial customers. It also provides real estate loans secured by residential property, such as one to four family residential housing units or commercial property comprising owner-occupied and/or investor income producing real estate consisting of apartments, shopping centers, or office buildings; commercial and industrial loans for various purposes, including inventory, receivables, and equipment; consumer loans comprising new and used vehicle loans, second mortgages on residential real estate, and unsecured loans; and home equity lines of credit. In addition, the company offers commercial financing to the insurance industry, registered investment advisors, certified public accountants, indirect auto finance companies, and restaurant franchisees. Further, it provides a range of trust and wealth management services; and lease and equipment financing services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 139 full service banking centers, 29 of which are leased facilities. It operates 62 banking centers in Ohio, three banking centers in Illinois, 62 banking centers in Indiana, and 12 banking centers in Kentucky. First Financial Bancorp. was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Financial Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from fees and services. The company earns interest income by lending to consumers and businesses, with loans including commercial real estate, residential mortgages, and consumer loans. Non-interest income comes from service charges on deposit accounts, wealth management fees, and other financial services. Additionally, FFBC may engage in partnerships with other financial institutions or businesses to enhance service offerings and expand its customer base, contributing to diversified revenue streams.

First Financial Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call conveyed strong operating performance and several record results (earnings, fee income, revenue) driven by organic growth and acquisitions, while acknowledging near-term integration costs, modest margin pressure, seasonal fee variability, and small upticks in NPAs and charge-offs. Management provided constructive guidance for loan growth (6%–8% organic for the year) and expects acquisition-related cost savings to be realized later in 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Earnings and Strong Profitability
Adjusted EPS of $0.80 in Q4; adjusted return on assets of 1.52% and adjusted return on tangible common equity of ~20.3% for the quarter.
Robust Full-Year Financial Performance
Adjusted 2025 net income of $281 million ($2.92 per share); adjusted ROA 1.49% and adjusted ROTCE 19.3% for the full year.
Net Interest Margin Resilience
NIM remained strong at 3.98% (Q4); management offset most of short-term rate decreases through deposit cost management despite a modest q/q NIM decline.
Record Fee and Noninterest Income
Q4 adjusted fee income of $77.3 million (record quarter, +5% linked quarter); full-year adjusted noninterest income up 16% to a record $280 million.
Revenue and Loan/Deposit Growth
Record revenue of nearly $922 million for 2025 (+8% vs 2024). Loan balances increased $1.7 billion in Q4 (including $1.6 billion from Westfield); organic loan growth of $131 million (4% annualized). Total average deposits increased ~7% annualized excluding Westfield; organic deposit growth of $264 million in Q4.
Improved Credit Metrics Year-over-Year
Full-year provision expense declined 21% vs 2024; net charge-offs as a percent of average loans improved by 5 basis points to 25 bps for the year; ACL coverage increased ~6 bps to 1.39% of loans.
Capital and Shareholder Returns
Tangible book value per share increased 11% to $15.74; capital ratios remain above regulatory and internal targets; returned ~40% of earnings to shareholders via common dividend in the period.
Strategic M&A and Market Expansion
Completed Westfield acquisition (adds ~ $1.6B loans) and closed Bank Financial; launched Western Michigan banking office in Grand Rapids; acquisitions strengthen funding and expand presence in major Midwest metros.
Liquidity and Funding Actions
Issued $300 million subordinated debt (10-year, 6.375%) to support capital and liquidity.
Reputation and Community Recognition
Received second consecutive outstanding CRA rating and recognized by Gallup as an exceptional workplace (one of ~70 companies worldwide).
Negative Updates
Modest NIM Compression
Net interest margin decreased 4 basis points q/q to 3.98% and declined year-over-year from 4.05% to 3.98%; guidance assumes potential further modest compression (3.94%–3.99%) with expected rate cuts.
Higher Noninterest Expense from Acquisitions
Adjusted noninterest expenses increased ~6% q/q in Q4; core expenses rose $8.6 million driven primarily by Westfield acquisition and integration costs.
Near-Term Integration Costs and Delayed Cost Savings
Management expects acquisition-related cost savings to materialize later in 2026 (post-conversions), keeping expenses elevated near-term; Q1 guidance includes ~$21 million of incremental expense impact from Westfield and Bank Financial.
Asset Quality — Q4 Pressure and NPAs
NPAs increased slightly to 0.48% of assets in Q4 (driven by three loans); net charge-offs rose 9 bps q/q to 27 bps in Q4 and provision expense was $10.1 million for the quarter.
Capital Impact from Acquisitions
Westfield acquisition negatively impacted tangible book value and the TCE ratio (TCE at 7.79% at period end), requiring continued earnings support to rebuild metrics.
Seasonality and Short-Term Fee Income Headwinds
Management expects Q1 fee income to be below Q4 due to seasonality (FX and leasing seasonality); FX and leasing are expected to moderate in Q1 before ramping later in the year.
Leasing Revenue Moderation
Leasing income growth has slowed from prior double-digit growth to high single digits as the leasing portfolio seasons and churns.
Temporary Securities Portfolio Bloat and Deposit Seasonality
Bank Financial closing will temporarily increase liquidity/cash (securities portfolio may peak higher than historical target ~20% of assets); core deposit balances expected to decline modestly near-term due to seasonal public fund outflows.
Company Guidance
Guidance highlighted modest near‑term loan and deposit dynamics and steady margins and credit metrics: for Q1 (ex‑Bank Financial) management expects payoff pressure to ease and low single‑digit organic loan growth (annualized), with full‑year legacy loan growth targeted at 6%–8%; core deposit balances may decline modestly near‑term due to seasonal public fund outflows. They forecast net interest margin of 3.94%–3.99% next quarter assuming a 25‑bp March cut (with two cuts in their plan driving the year to the low 3.90s; no cuts would keep margin roughly flat), purchase‑account accretion from Westfield about 4 bps in Q4 (combined deal impact roughly 5–6 bps) and minimal PAA from Bank Financial. Credit guidance: Q1 credit costs to approximate Q4 levels (Q4 provision $10.1M; Q4 annualized net charge‑offs 27 bps) and allowance coverage to remain stable as a percent of loans (ACL ~1.39% at 12/31). Fee income is guided to $71M–$73M for Q1 (including $14M–$16M FX and $19M–$21M leasing), noninterest expense $156M–$158M (including ~ $11M Westfield and ~ $10M Bank Financial impacts), with modeled cost savings expected to materialize later in 2026 after the March (Westfield) and June (Bank Financial) conversions and ~90‑day runouts; efficiency should settle in the mid‑50s (roughly 55%–56%, or low‑50s excluding Summit leasing effects).

First Financial Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals: consistent revenue growth and healthy profitability (TTM net margin 19.14%). Leverage is well managed (debt-to-equity 0.29) and cash generation is strong (FCF to net income 0.93), though there are signs of modest margin pressure and a slightly lower equity ratio that warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
First Financial Bancorp has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.40%. The gross profit margin is strong at 65.54%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 19.14%. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.29 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is stable at 9.61%, reflecting consistent profitability. However, the equity ratio has slightly decreased, suggesting a need for cautious asset management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Free cash flow has grown by 5.23% in the TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.93, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in cash flow operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B1.23B1.12B774.65M654.72M714.09M
Gross Profit847.98M787.92M797.09M697.07M641.75M575.08M
EBITDA346.72M306.74M356.39M280.53M280.49M225.65M
Net Income258.10M228.83M255.86M217.61M205.16M155.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.55B18.57B17.53B17.00B16.33B15.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.16B3.36B4.03B4.01B4.64B3.68B
Total Debt816.99M1.10B1.28B1.63B706.03M507.81M
Total Liabilities15.92B16.13B15.26B14.96B14.07B13.69B
Stockholders Equity2.63B2.44B2.27B2.04B2.26B2.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow282.77M241.08M462.83M187.07M372.82M91.90M
Operating Cash Flow289.77M262.16M486.97M200.85M388.16M108.36M
Investing Cash Flow-359.31M-1.00B-701.26M-883.11M-510.03M-1.20B
Financing Cash Flow53.58M699.08M219.85M669.73M110.85M1.13B

First Financial Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.20
Price Trends
50DMA
25.82
Positive
100DMA
25.25
Positive
200DMA
24.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Negative
RSI
70.68
Negative
STOCH
77.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FFBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.39, above the 50-day MA of 25.82, and above the 200-day MA of 24.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.68 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FFBC.

First Financial Bancorp Risk Analysis

First Financial Bancorp disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Financial Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Financial Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.19B9.769.47%3.72%-1.76%32.44%
76
Outperform
$2.84B10.2310.16%3.79%5.15%16.42%
76
Outperform
$2.90B9.9610.72%4.69%38.34%89.73%
73
Outperform
$2.52B11.3810.98%2.38%17.95%
69
Neutral
$3.12B17.156.50%2.03%20.64%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$2.44B11.067.49%3.27%-1.58%6.34%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
28.80
2.00
7.46%
FRME
First Merchants
38.92
-2.26
-5.48%
BANC
Banc of California
20.25
4.45
28.12%
PFS
Provident Financial Services
22.22
4.60
26.11%
TRMK
Trustmark
42.32
5.87
16.10%
WAFD
Washington Federal
32.60
3.70
12.80%

First Financial Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
First Financial Bancorp Completes BankFinancial All-Stock Acquisition
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 1, 2026, First Financial Bancorp completed its all-stock acquisition of Chicago-based BankFinancial Corporation and merged BankFinancial’s banking subsidiary into First Financial Bank, creating a combined institution with approximately $22 billion in assets and significantly expanding First Financial’s retail consumer footprint in the Chicago market. The deal brings 18 BankFinancial financial centers and its regional and national commercial loan, lease and deposit platforms into First Financial’s network, reinforces the company’s broader Midwestern expansion strategy following recent deals in Illinois, Ohio and Michigan, and leaves both BankFinancial and First Financial customers largely unaffected operationally until a planned systems and brand conversion, expected to be completed by June 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFBC) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Financial Bancorp stock, see the FFBC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
First Financial Bancorp Gains Approval for Acquisition
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

First Financial Bancorp. announced on December 15, 2025, that it received regulatory approval from the Federal Reserve and the Ohio Department of Financial Institutions for its acquisition of BankFinancial Corporation, a Chicago-based bank. The merger, initially announced in August 2025, is valued at approximately $142 million and is expected to close on or around January 1, 2026, pending customary closing conditions and shareholder approval. This strategic acquisition is anticipated to enhance First Financial’s market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFBC) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Financial Bancorp stock, see the FFBC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
First Financial Bancorp’s Q3 2025 Investor Presentation Highlights
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

First Financial Bancorp announced its third-quarter 2025 investor presentation, highlighting its strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions, including Westfield Bancorp and BankFinancial. The company emphasized its top quartile profitability, conservative operating philosophy, and effective risk management, positioning itself as a competitive alternative to larger banks in the Midwest region.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFBC) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Financial Bancorp stock, see the FFBC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
First Financial Bancorp Completes $300M Subordinated Notes Sale
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, First Financial Bancorp completed the issuance and sale of $300 million in 6.375% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2035. The offering, managed by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. and Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, resulted in net proceeds of approximately $296.3 million, which the company intends to use for general corporate purposes, including potentially redeeming its 5.25% Subordinated Notes due 2030. This strategic financial move is expected to bolster First Financial’s capital structure and support its ongoing operations and growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFBC) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Financial Bancorp stock, see the FFBC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Financial Bancorp Highlights Q3 2025 Performance
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

First Financial Bancorp presented its fixed income investor presentation for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting its robust financial performance and strategic positioning. The company emphasized its sustainable business model, strong capital position, and prudent risk management, which have contributed to its consistent profitability and growth over the years. The presentation also noted the company’s strategic focus on local banking and diverse fee streams, positioning it as an alternative to larger banks.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFBC) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Financial Bancorp stock, see the FFBC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
First Financial Bancorp Completes Westfield Bancorp Acquisition
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 1, 2025, First Financial Bancorp completed its acquisition of Westfield Bancorp, Inc. and its subsidiary, Westfield Bank, FSB, in a transaction valued at $325 million. This strategic acquisition, which includes a mix of cash and stock, expands First Financial’s footprint in the Midwest, adding to its existing operations in Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, and Illinois. The acquisition is expected to enhance First Financial’s growth and profitability by integrating Westfield Bank’s retail and commercial services into its operations. The merger will not immediately affect Westfield Bank clients, as the conversion process is anticipated to complete by March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFBC) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Financial Bancorp stock, see the FFBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026