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First Merchants Corp. (FRME)
NASDAQ:FRME

First Merchants (FRME) AI Stock Analysis

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First Merchants

(NASDAQ:FRME)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(5.18%Upside)
First Merchants demonstrates solid financial performance with robust earnings and efficient capital management. Valuation metrics are attractive, and the recent dividend announcement enhances shareholder returns. Technical indicators present mixed signals, and while some market challenges exist, the overall outlook remains positive.

First Merchants (FRME) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Merchants Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Merchants Corporation operates as the financial holding company for First Merchants Bank that provides community banking services. It accepts time, savings, and demand deposits; and provides consumer, commercial, agri-business, and real estate mortgage loans, as well as public finance. The company also offers personal and corporate trust; brokerage and private wealth management; and letters of credit, repurchase agreements, and other corporate services. It operates 109 banking locations in Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan counties. The company also offers its services through electronic and mobile delivery channels. First Merchants Corporation was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Muncie, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Merchants Corporation generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and securities, as well as non-interest income from fees and service charges. The company's key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, residential mortgages, and investment securities. Additionally, First Merchants earns non-interest income from various banking fees, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and charges for other banking services. Wealth management and fiduciary services also contribute to its non-interest revenue. The company's earnings are further supported by strategic partnerships and its broad geographic presence, which enable it to attract a diverse customer base and expand its market share.

First Merchants Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in terms of loan growth, earnings, and capital management. While market volatility and deposit declines presented challenges, asset quality remained stable, and efficiency improved. The highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive outlook despite some areas of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan and Earnings Growth
First quarter delivered a 4.8% annualized loan growth and a 23 basis point increase in return on assets. Net income increased by $7.4 million or 15.6% from one year ago, with GAAP earnings per share increasing by 17.5%.
Successful Capital Management
Board approved a $100 million share repurchase program with $10 million already repurchased. Tangible common equity stands at 8.9%, providing optimal capital flexibility.
Commercial Loan Growth
Commercial segment was the primary driver of loan growth, increasing $169 million or a 7% annualized growth rate, with C&I growing by $248 million.
Stable Asset Quality
Asset quality remained stable with classified loan balances declining, and net charge-offs of only $5 million or 15 basis points annualized.
Improved Efficiency
Expenses were well-managed, with a decrease of $3.4 million from the prior quarter and an efficiency ratio of 54.54%.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility Impact
Market volatility has impacted share price, which is beyond the company's control.
Deposit Decline
Total deposits declined by 1.6% on an annualized basis, primarily due to a $208 million decline in the public funds portfolio.
Non-accrual Loan Increase
Non-accrual loans increased by $8.1 million, with a significant $6.8 million C&I loan entering non-accrual status.
Decline in Loan Portfolio Yield
Total loan portfolio yield decreased by 34 basis points to 4.21% due to repricing of the variable rate portfolio.
Company Guidance
During the First Merchants Corporation First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the management provided guidance indicating a strong start to the fiscal year with notable financial metrics. The company reported an annualized loan growth of 4.8% and a 23 basis point increase in return on assets, with total assets amounting to $18.4 billion. Total loans were $13 billion and total deposits $14.5 billion, while assets under advisement stood at $5.8 billion. The first quarter net income increased by 15.6% to $54.9 million, with GAAP earnings per share up by 17.5% to $0.94. Core earnings per share rose by 10.6% year-over-year after adjustments for one-time expenses. The company also initiated a $100 million share repurchase program, repurchasing $10 million in shares. Tangible common equity was reported at 8.9%, providing capital flexibility. The management reiterated its guidance for mid to high single-digit loan growth for 2025, despite market volatility and potential impacts from tariffs. Furthermore, they emphasized strong capital ratios with common equity Tier one at 11.5% and a coverage ratio of 1.6% including fair value marks on acquired loans.

First Merchants Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Merchants demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and a robust balance sheet. While profitability margins have faced some pressure, the absence of debt enhances stability. The company maintains a healthy cash flow position, but continued focus on optimizing profitability and liquidity management will be beneficial.
Income Statement
75
Positive
First Merchants has shown consistent revenue growth over the years with a notable increase from $492 million in 2020 to $948 million in 2024. The gross profit margin has remained stable, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen fluctuations, decreasing slightly in 2024 compared to prior years, which may indicate rising costs or expenses impacting net income.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of First Merchants is robust, with a strong equity position and no total debt reported in 2024, contributing to a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio has remained stable, indicating solid financial health. However, fluctuations in cash and equivalents suggest potential liquidity management challenges.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company's cash flow is generally strong, with a positive free cash flow trend, enabling continued investment and financing activities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased slightly, indicating potential challenges in converting earnings into cash. Investment cash flow has been negative, reflecting ongoing investments in business growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B1.05B999.49M712.95M555.96M558.43M
Gross Profit595.43M591.01M647.50M611.39M520.00M433.38M
EBITDA271.67M258.58M270.94M267.49M251.49M180.98M
Net Income208.80M201.40M223.79M222.09M205.53M148.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.44B18.31B18.41B17.94B15.45B14.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.49B1.77B2.18B2.23B2.99B2.50B
Total Debt1.34B1.16B1.03B1.31B634.25M684.91M
Total Liabilities16.11B16.01B16.16B15.90B13.54B12.19B
Stockholders Equity2.33B2.30B2.25B2.03B1.91B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow269.06M266.21M258.83M284.29M215.34M204.81M
Operating Cash Flow269.06M266.21M258.83M284.29M215.34M204.81M
Investing Cash Flow-495.72M-252.42M-344.43M-462.69M-1.48B-1.55B
Financing Cash Flow212.26M-38.82M75.65M133.84M1.24B1.36B

First Merchants Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.03
Price Trends
50DMA
36.83
Positive
100DMA
38.71
Negative
200DMA
38.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
58.36
Neutral
STOCH
82.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRME, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.81, above the 50-day MA of 36.83, and below the 200-day MA of 38.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FRME.

First Merchants Risk Analysis

First Merchants disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Merchants reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Merchants Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.58B12.4926.52%18.52%21.05%
76
Outperform
$2.30B10.109.58%3.99%8.05%-3.31%
PFPFS
73
Outperform
$2.21B15.236.77%5.68%80.24%-30.60%
71
Outperform
$2.16B10.469.16%3.88%1.42%2.67%
71
Outperform
$2.31B10.947.70%3.74%24.53%0.16%
67
Neutral
$16.51B11.239.71%3.96%11.61%-10.70%
66
Neutral
$2.18B21.314.33%2.89%121.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRME
First Merchants
38.03
6.84
21.93%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
24.55
3.55
16.90%
BANC
Banc of California
14.10
2.06
17.11%
PFS
Provident Financial Services
17.89
4.93
38.04%
WAFD
Washington Federal
29.48
2.84
10.66%
TBBK
Bancorp
57.59
21.10
57.82%

First Merchants Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
First Merchants Announces Senior Notes Redemption Plan
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

First Merchants Corporation announced the redemption of $5,000,000 in principal amount of its 5.00% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Senior Notes, originally issued on November 1, 2013, and due in 2028. This redemption, scheduled for July 30, 2025, will result in no outstanding principal amount remaining for this issuance, potentially impacting the company’s financial obligations and capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (FRME) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Merchants stock, see the FRME Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
First Merchants Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, First Merchants Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where F. Howard Halderman, Kevin D. Johnson, Clark C. Kellogg, and Michael C. Rechin were elected to the Board of Directors for one-year terms. Shareholders also approved a non-binding resolution on executive compensation and appointed Forvis Mazars, LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. These decisions reflect shareholder confidence in the current leadership and financial oversight, potentially impacting the corporation’s governance and financial transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (FRME) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Merchants stock, see the FRME Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
First Merchants Announces Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, First Merchants Corporation announced a cash dividend of $0.36 per share, payable on June 20, 2025, to common shareholders of record as of June 6, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may impact trading activities around the ex-date of June 5, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (FRME) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on First Merchants stock, see the FRME Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025