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Banner Corp. (BANR)
NASDAQ:BANR
US Market

Banner (BANR) AI Stock Analysis

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BANR

Banner

(NASDAQ:BANR)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
▲(4.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is supported by solid underlying financial performance (profitability and improved leverage) and favorable valuation (low P/E with a meaningful dividend). It is held back primarily by weak technicals (downtrend and negative momentum) and a cautious earnings outlook with loan/deposit growth headwinds and rate-cut sensitivity.
Positive Factors
Funding & Deposit Mix
A high share of core and noninterest-bearing deposits creates a durable, low-cost funding base that reduces reliance on volatile wholesale funding. This supports stable net interest margin, underwriting capacity and resilience through credit cycles, aiding sustainable loan growth and liquidity planning.
Capital Position & Returns
Improving tangible equity and demonstrated buybacks/dividends signal strong capital allocation discipline and excess capital capacity. A healthier capital buffer increases regulatory resilience, supports underwriting during stress, and allows continued shareholder returns without materially weakening the balance sheet.
Revenue & Margin Recovery
A marked revenue rebound and elevated margins reflect stronger net interest income and fee generation, indicating improved core earnings power. If sustained, this enhances internal capital generation and cushions periods of slower loan growth, supporting medium-term profitability and strategic reinvestment.
Negative Factors
NIM Sensitivity to Rates
Material floating-rate exposure and a modeled deposit beta mean net interest margin is structurally sensitive to Fed easing. Significant or rapid cuts would reduce interest spread and earnings unless offset by lower deposit costs or increased loan repricing, creating downside risk to medium-term profitability.
CRE Payoffs Limiting Loan Growth
Ongoing CRE paydowns, including affordable housing and stabilized multifamily moves to secondary markets, structurally reduce loan balances and constrain organic balance-sheet expansion. This suppresses interest income growth and requires stronger origination or acquisitions to meet mid-single-digit growth targets.
Cash Flow Volatility
A sharp FCF decline and historically volatile cash conversion weaken predictability of internal funding for growth and capital returns. For a bank, swings can reflect working capital, securities or loan-sale timing; recurring volatility limits planning flexibility and could press liquidity under adverse conditions.

Banner (BANR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banner Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanner Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Banner Bank that provide commercial banking and financial products and services to individuals, businesses, and public sector entities in the United States. It accepts various deposit instruments, including interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing checking accounts, money market deposit accounts, regular savings accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well as treasury management services and retirement savings plans. The company also provides commercial real estate loans, including owner-occupied, investment properties, and multifamily residential real estate loans; construction, land, and land development loans; residential mortgage loans; commercial business loans; agricultural loans; and consumer and other loans, such as home equity lines of credit, automobile, and boat and recreational vehicle loans, as well as loans secured by deposit accounts. In addition, it engages in the mortgage banking operations through the origination and sale of one-to four-family and multi-family residential loans, as well as small business administration loans. Further, the company provides electronic and digital banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 150 branch offices and 18 loan production offices located in Washington, Oregon, California, Idaho, and Utah. Banner Corporation was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Walla Walla, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanner generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income on loans and mortgages, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The company also earns fees from various banking services, including account maintenance, transaction fees, and financial advisory services. Additionally, investment income from securities and other financial instruments contributes to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and financial institutions enhance its market reach and customer base, thereby supporting its overall financial performance.

Banner Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 21, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong year-over-year financial improvement (higher full-year net income and EPS, core earnings growth, improved capital metrics, dividend and buybacks, and multiple external recognitions) and solid credit reserve coverage. Near-term challenges include limited sequential loan growth driven by prepayments and lower line utilization, modest upticks in delinquencies and adversely classified loans, some one-time expense items and sensitivity of net interest margin to potential Fed rate cuts. Management views the bank as well-capitalized and positioned for mid-single-digit loan growth in 2026 if the economy holds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly and Full-Year Profitability
Net income available to common shareholders of $51.2M in Q4 2025 ($1.49 diluted EPS) and full-year net income of $195.4M ($5.64 diluted EPS) versus $168.9M ($4.88 EPS) in 2024, reflecting a meaningful year-over-year improvement in profitability.
Core Earnings and Revenue Growth
Core pretax pre-provision earnings of $255M for full-year 2025 versus $223.2M in 2024 (+14% Y/Y). Full-year 2025 core revenue of $661M versus $615M in 2024 (+8% Y/Y). Q4 2025 core revenue $170M (up from $160M in Q4 2024).
Net Interest Income and Margin Strength
Full-year increase in net interest income of ~8.5% YoY. Q4 tax-equivalent net interest margin of 4.03% versus 3.98% in prior quarter; NII increased $2.5M sequentially driven by a 5 bps NIM increase and average earning assets +$60M.
Capital, Liquidity and Shareholder Returns
Tangible common equity ratio increased to 9.84% from 9.5%; tangible common equity per share up 14% YoY. Repurchased ~250,000 shares in the quarter with ~1.2M shares remaining on authorization and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share.
Strong Deposit Mix and Funding Position
Core deposits represented 89% of total deposits and noninterest-bearing deposits were 33% of total deposits. Loan-to-deposit ratio at 86%, providing capacity to support clients and new lending.
Loan Portfolio Quality and Reserve Coverage
Allowance for credit losses of $160.3M (1.37% of total loans, consistent with prior quarters). Total nonperforming assets $51.3M (0.31% of total assets). Net provision for credit losses in Q4 of $2.4M; full-year net charge-offs ~6 bps of average loans (nominal).
Selective Loan Growth and Granular CRE Originations
Loan production was solid (originations up 9% sequentially and 8% YoY) though payoffs offset growth in the quarter. Portfolio loan balances up 3.2% YoY; investor CRE +5% YoY and owner-occupied CRE +11% YoY with nearly 40% of owner-occupied originations from small business teams.
Market Recognition and Culture
Multiple external validations in 2025: named among America's 100 Best Banks, Forbes recognition, Newsweek trustworthy lists, J.D. Power retail satisfaction leader in the Northwest, Great Place to Work certification, S&P Global top-50 performance ranking and outstanding CRA rating.
Negative Updates
Limited Loan Growth in the Quarter
Despite higher originations, loan balances showed negligible sequential growth in Q4 as originations were offset by affordable housing tax-credit paydowns, certain CRE and shared national credit payoffs, and reduced C&I line utilization.
Deposit Seasonality and Sequential Decline
Total deposits decreased $273M during the quarter (attributed to seasonal activity and clients deploying liquidity), partially pressuring funding levels despite strong core deposit mix.
Sequential EPS Decline and Non-Core Charges
Q4 diluted EPS decreased to $1.49 from $1.54 in the prior quarter due to a fair value decrease on financial instruments, a $1.4M loss on asset disposals (including $1M software write-off) and higher medical and IT expenses.
Modest Credit Deterioration Indicators
Delinquent loans increased to 0.54% of total loans (up 15 bps sequentially). Adversely classified loans rose by $19M to represent 1.65% of total loans—idiosyncratic downgrades noted in certain small and alcoholic beverage-related enterprises.
Noninterest Income and Expense Volatility
Total noninterest income suffered a sequential decline due to the $1.4M disposal loss and a $2M fair value decrease; total noninterest expense rose $2.1M driven by medical claims, higher IT/software costs and legal expense, including a nonrecurring $1M software write-off.
CRE Payoffs as Ongoing Headwind
Management expects commercial real estate payoffs (including stabilized multifamily moving to secondary market and affordable housing tax-credit paydowns) to remain a headwind to loan growth into 2026.
Margin Sensitivity to Potential Rate Cuts
Approximately 30% of the loan book is floating rate (with ~10% at floors); management cautioned multiple Fed rate cuts could compress NIM. They model a 28% deposit beta and note margin outlook is sensitive to Fed timing/intensity.
Company Guidance
Banner's forward guidance was cautious but constructive: management expects mid‑single‑digit loan growth in 2026 (if the economy holds) while modeling a 28% deposit beta, ~3% expense inflation, and a normalized tax rate near 19%. They anchored that outlook to current metrics — Q4 tax‑equivalent NIM 4.03% (December spot deposit cost 1.39%), average new loan yield 6.88% (vs. 7.35% prior), loan‑to‑deposit ratio 86%, core deposits 89% of total, noninterest‑bearing deposits 33%, tangible common equity ratio 9.84%, ~1.2M shares remaining on the buyback authorization after repurchasing ~250k shares, and a $0.50 quarterly dividend — and highlighted credit and liquidity cushions including allowance for credit losses $160.3M (1.37% of loans), delinquent loans 0.54%, NPAs $51.3M (0.31% of assets), core pretax pre‑provision income $255M for FY2025 and core revenue $661M; they noted NIM sensitivity to Fed moves (no cuts → gradual NIM expansion; rapid/multiple cuts → potential compression).

Banner Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 revenue rebound and solid profitability with improved leverage support fundamentals, but uneven earnings versus prior peaks and sharply lower/volatile 2025 free cash flow temper the score.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue growth accelerated sharply in 2025 (annual revenue growth of ~65%), while profitability remains strong with healthy net margins (~24% in 2025) and solid operating profitability. However, earnings have been somewhat choppy over time (net income down in 2024 vs. 2023, and margins below the 2021–2022 highs), suggesting sensitivity to the rate/credit cycle despite the strong 2025 rebound.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully, with debt-to-equity declining to ~0.19 in 2025 from ~0.34 in 2024 and ~0.43 in 2023, while equity has grown over the period. Returns on equity have been consistently around ~10% recently (2024–2025) and were higher earlier (notably 2022), indicating good but not peak-level profitability; as a bank, balance-sheet risk is still tied to asset quality and cycle exposure even with the stronger leverage profile.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation is positive, and free cash flow has generally tracked net income closely (near 1.0 across most years). The key weakness is volatility: free cash flow fell sharply in 2025 (down ~55% year over year) after a stronger 2024, pointing to less consistent cash conversion and potential working-capital or balance-sheet-driven swings common in financial institutions.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue819.49M827.33M741.69M643.14M630.77M
Gross Profit647.71M595.36M605.34M613.38M640.55M
EBITDA252.56M230.19M248.72M262.99M270.51M
Net Income195.38M168.90M183.62M195.38M201.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.35B16.20B15.67B15.83B16.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments225.67M525.14M254.46M3.03B5.77B
Total Debt372.62M606.48M713.80M511.81M592.63M
Total Liabilities14.41B14.43B14.02B14.38B15.11B
Stockholders Equity1.95B1.77B1.65B1.46B1.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow247.95M279.44M242.55M223.33M291.08M
Operating Cash Flow257.46M293.19M257.20M238.05M301.58M
Investing Cash Flow-224.74M-371.17M191.93M-1.44B-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow-111.94M325.38M-437.73M-684.73M1.61B

Banner Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price61.26
Price Trends
50DMA
63.13
Negative
100DMA
62.65
Negative
200DMA
63.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.80
Positive
RSI
45.34
Neutral
STOCH
38.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BANR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.86, below the 50-day MA of 63.13, and below the 200-day MA of 63.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BANR.

Banner Risk Analysis

Banner disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banner reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Banner Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.48B9.579.47%3.72%-1.76%32.44%
72
Outperform
$2.82B8.869.51%4.69%38.34%89.73%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$2.07B10.9710.28%2.97%6.98%15.08%
66
Neutral
$1.90B13.6113.69%1.88%11.74%26.27%
66
Neutral
$2.55B10.4810.98%2.38%17.95%
63
Neutral
$2.80B13.106.50%2.03%20.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BANR
Banner
60.50
-1.50
-2.42%
FRME
First Merchants
38.55
-1.98
-4.89%
BANC
Banc of California
17.87
4.40
32.70%
PFS
Provident Financial Services
21.25
4.76
28.84%
SYBT
Stock Yards Bancorp
64.50
-3.66
-5.36%
TRMK
Trustmark
42.79
8.93
26.36%

Banner Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Banner Expands Board With Governance and Risk Experts
Positive
Mar 2, 2026

On February 25, 2026, Banner Corporation’s Board of Directors appointed seasoned financial services executives Monica B. O’Reilly and Judith A. Steiner to the boards of both Banner Corporation and its wholly owned subsidiary, Banner Bank, with their appointments effective March 1, 2026. The board size was expanded from 12 to 13 members, and both will receive standard non-employee director compensation, including annual cash retainers and restricted stock units, with their committee assignments emphasizing corporate governance, credit and risk oversight.

O’Reilly brings more than three decades of experience advising global financial institutions and Fortune 500 boards on regulatory compliance, enterprise risk, artificial intelligence and cybersecurity, while Steiner contributes over 30 years in financial services with deep expertise in legal, risk and compliance, including prior service as Banner Bank’s chief risk officer. Their addition is expected to significantly strengthen Banner’s board-level capabilities in governance and risk management, supporting the company’s efforts to bolster long-term growth and regulatory resilience for shareholders, clients and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BANR) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banner stock, see the BANR Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Banner Reports Strong Q4 2025 Results and Dividend
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Banner Corporation reported fourth-quarter 2025 net income of $51.2 million, or $1.49 per diluted share, slightly below the prior quarter but above the year-earlier period, driven by higher net interest income of $152.4 million and an improved net interest margin of 4.03% as funding costs declined. For full-year 2025, net income rose to $195.4 million, or $5.64 per diluted share, up from $168.9 million in 2024, reflecting loan growth, stronger asset yields, and disciplined credit provisioning, while maintaining solid asset quality with non-performing assets at 0.31% of total assets and an allowance for credit losses of 1.37% of total loans. The board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.50 per share payable on February 13, 2026, after increasing the dividend in the fourth quarter of 2025 and repurchasing nearly 250,000 shares, underscoring ongoing capital returns to shareholders alongside growth in book value and tangible book value per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (BANR) stock is a Hold with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banner stock, see the BANR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026