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Provident Financial Services (PFS)
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Provident Financial Services (PFS) AI Stock Analysis

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PFS

Provident Financial Services

(NYSE:PFS)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$20.50
â–²(7.95% Upside)
Provident Financial Services has a strong overall stock score driven by solid financial performance and a positive earnings call. The attractive valuation further supports the score, although technical indicators suggest some caution due to bearish trends. The company's robust profitability, cash flow management, and strategic growth initiatives position it well in the regional banking sector.

Provident Financial Services (PFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Provident Financial Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProvident Financial Services (PFS) is a regional bank holding company headquartered in Jersey City, New Jersey. The company primarily operates through its subsidiary, Provident Bank, which offers a comprehensive range of financial products and services, including personal banking, commercial banking, and wealth management services. PFS serves a diverse clientele, including individuals, businesses, and non-profit organizations, primarily in New Jersey and surrounding areas.
How the Company Makes MoneyProvident Financial Services generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and mortgages, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank lends to individuals and businesses, earning interest on these loans over time. Additionally, PFS earns non-interest income through various services such as fees for account maintenance, ATM usage, and wealth management services. The bank also engages in investment activities, including securities trading and investment advisory services, which contribute to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and organizations also enhance its customer base and revenue potential, while prudent risk management practices help maintain profitability.

Provident Financial Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by Provident Financial Services, with record earnings and revenue, substantial deposit and loan growth, and improved credit metrics. However, challenges such as elevated loan prepayments and increased competition in the lending market were noted. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Earnings and Revenue
Provident Financial Services reported net earnings of $72 million or $0.55 per share, consistent with the previous quarter. Revenue reached a record $222 million, driven by record net interest income of $194 million.
Strong Deposit and Loan Growth
Deposits increased by $388 million or an annualized rate of 8%. The commercial lending team closed approximately $742 million in new loans, contributing to a commercial portfolio growth at an annualized rate of 5%.
Improvement in Credit Metrics
Nonperforming assets improved 3 basis points to 0.41%. Net charge-offs were only $5.4 million for the quarter.
Growth in Noninterest Income
Noninterest income increased to $27.4 million, with substantial contributions from Provident Protection Plus and Beacon Trust, which saw revenue growth to $7.3 million.
Negative Updates
Elevated Loan Prepayments
Loan prepayments were higher than expected, with $348 million in payoffs during the quarter, affecting loan growth.
Increased Loan Competition
There is increased competition in the lending market, especially in the CRE sector, affecting pricing and potentially impacting future margins.
Company Guidance
In the Provident Financial Services third-quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company reported continued strong performance with net earnings of approximately $72 million or $0.55 per share, maintaining consistency with the previous quarter. Key financial metrics included an annualized return on average assets of 1.16% and an adjusted return on average tangible equity of 16.01%. Notably, pretax pre-provision revenues hit a record of nearly $109 million, with a pretax pre-provision return on average assets improving to 1.76% from 1.64% in the prior quarter. The company saw a significant increase in deposits, which grew by $388 million or an annualized rate of 8%, driven primarily by core deposits. The commercial loan portfolio expanded at an annualized rate of 5%, with the loan pipeline growing to nearly $2.9 billion. Provident also emphasized its strong credit position, with nonperforming assets improving to 0.41% and net charge-offs only $5.4 million. Noninterest income grew, with significant contributions from Provident Protection Plus and Beacon Trust, and the company continued to invest in its SBA capabilities. The Board approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per share, reflecting the company's robust capital position and strategic investment initiatives.

Provident Financial Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Provident Financial Services shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth, solid margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet reflects a stable capital structure with manageable leverage, positioning the company well in the regional banking sector.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Provident Financial Services demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 6.53% increase in TTM, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 77.72%. The net profit margin improved to 19.32%, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also show robust performance at 26.96% and 32.75%, respectively. The company has consistently improved its financial performance over the years, reflecting effective cost management and revenue expansion.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is at 8.72%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 11.03%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the debt level has increased, the company maintains a strong equity base, supporting its financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant 22.70% growth in free cash flow, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.31, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, demonstrating effective cash management. Overall, the company exhibits healthy cash flow dynamics, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B1.14B695.65M553.97M489.15M435.74M
Gross Profit91.53M607.16M451.12M500.34M475.66M353.47M
EBITDA415.56M204.20M197.97M263.81M249.85M147.59M
Net Income256.25M115.53M128.40M175.65M167.92M96.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.83B24.05B14.21B13.78B13.78B12.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.44B2.97B1.87B1.99B2.77B1.64B
Total Debt2.61B2.42B1.53B1.35B637.06M1.20B
Total Liabilities22.07B21.45B12.52B12.19B12.08B11.30B
Stockholders Equity2.77B2.60B1.69B1.60B1.70B1.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow614.10M425.07M165.91M190.90M143.01M90.48M
Operating Cash Flow612.60M426.38M173.40M200.31M156.81M103.30M
Investing Cash Flow-1.14B507.67M-469.60M-647.56M-716.57M-504.37M
Financing Cash Flow15.38M-908.37M289.95M-78.70M739.86M746.68M

Provident Financial Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.99
Price Trends
50DMA
19.26
Negative
100DMA
18.76
Negative
200DMA
17.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Negative
RSI
48.36
Neutral
STOCH
46.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.63, below the 50-day MA of 19.26, and above the 200-day MA of 17.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PFS.

Provident Financial Services Risk Analysis

Provident Financial Services disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Provident Financial Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Provident Financial Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.39B9.319.51%5.19%38.35%89.73%
73
Outperform
$2.03B10.8710.28%3.18%6.98%15.08%
72
Outperform
$2.33B8.7610.16%4.12%5.15%16.42%
68
Neutral
$2.06B8.929.90%3.94%-1.76%32.44%
68
Neutral
$2.36B11.397.49%3.54%-1.58%6.34%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$2.53B-5.96-12.42%4.73%-55.54%-386.73%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PFS
Provident Financial Services
18.67
-2.12
-10.20%
BANR
Banner
60.92
-12.10
-16.57%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
24.03
-4.56
-15.95%
FRME
First Merchants
36.02
-6.91
-16.10%
SFNC
Simmons 1st Nat'l
17.91
-6.26
-25.90%
WAFD
Washington Federal
30.20
-6.17
-16.96%

Provident Financial Services Corporate Events

Provident Financial Services Reports Record Earnings Amid Market Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

Provident Financial Services Reports Record Earnings Amid Market Challenges

Provident Financial Services Reports Steady Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 31, 2025

Provident Financial Services, Inc. is a community-oriented bank holding company that provides a wide range of financial products and services through its branches in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York. It also offers fiduciary and wealth management services through its subsidiary, Beacon Trust Company, and insurance services via Provident Protection Plus, Inc.

Dividends
Provident Financial Services Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Provident Financial Services, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per common share. This dividend is payable on November 28, 2025, to stockholders of record as of November 14, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFS) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Provident Financial Services stock, see the PFS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Provident Financial Services Reports Record Q3 2025 Revenue
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Provident Financial Services reported record revenue for the second consecutive quarter, totaling $221.8 million for Q3 2025, driven by net interest income and non-interest income. The company saw significant growth in its commercial and industrial loan portfolio and improved asset quality, with non-performing assets decreasing to 0.41% of total assets. The tangible book value per share increased, and the company maintained a stable core funding base, reflecting a strong financial position and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFS) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Provident Financial Services stock, see the PFS Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Provident Financial Services Reports Strong Q3 Earnings
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Provident Financial Services, Inc. reported its third-quarter earnings, highlighting a net income of $71.7 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company achieved record revenues for the second consecutive quarter, driven by growth in earning assets and deposits, and improved operational efficiency. The commercial and industrial loan portfolio saw significant growth, and total deposits increased by $387.7 million. Despite a provision for credit losses, the company maintained strong asset quality, with non-performing assets improving to 0.41% of total assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFS) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Provident Financial Services stock, see the PFS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025