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Washington Federal (WAFD)
NASDAQ:WAFD

Washington Federal (WAFD) AI Stock Analysis

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WAFD

Washington Federal

(NASDAQ:WAFD)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(4.20% Upside)
Washington Federal's stock is supported by strong technical indicators and positive corporate events, such as strategic shifts and regulatory improvements. However, mixed financial performance, particularly in revenue and cash flow growth, tempers the overall score. The stock's reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield further contribute to its appeal.
Positive Factors
Strategic Shift to Commercial Banking
The strategic shift to commercial banking diversifies revenue streams and aligns with market demand, potentially enhancing long-term growth and stability.
Regulatory Improvement
The termination of Consent Orders by the CFPB improves regulatory standing, reducing compliance costs and enhancing stakeholder confidence.
Strong Profitability Margins
High profitability margins indicate efficient operations and strong pricing power, supporting sustainable earnings over the long term.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue Growth
A sharp decline in revenue growth poses a risk to future profitability and may indicate challenges in maintaining market share or product demand.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
Reduced free cash flow growth limits reinvestment capabilities and may impact the company's ability to fund future growth initiatives.
Low Return on Equity
Low return on equity suggests inefficiency in using equity capital to generate profits, potentially impacting investor returns and growth prospects.

Washington Federal (WAFD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Washington Federal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWaFd, Inc. engages in the provision of lending, depository, insurance, and other banking services to consumers. It also offers banking services to mid-sized to large businesses, and owners and developers of commercial real estate. The company was founded on November 15, 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.
How the Company Makes MoneyWashington Federal primarily generates revenue through interest income from loans, which is the largest component of its earnings. The bank issues various types of loans, including residential mortgages, commercial real estate loans, and consumer loans, charging interest on these products. Additionally, WAFD earns money from non-interest income sources such as service charges on deposit accounts, mortgage servicing fees, and investment advisory services. The company also benefits from net interest margin, which is the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. Significant partnerships and factors contributing to its earnings include a strong focus on community banking, a diverse loan portfolio, and a commitment to customer service, which helps attract and retain clients.

Washington Federal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Washington Federal shows a mixed financial performance. Strong profitability margins are overshadowed by a significant decline in revenue growth and free cash flow growth. The balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt level, but improvement in revenue and cash flow growth is needed.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a significant decline in revenue growth rate by 50.7% in the latest year, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 100% and a healthy net profit margin of 31.5%. The EBIT margin is also robust at 40.4%, indicating efficient cost management. Despite these strengths, the sharp revenue decline poses a risk to future profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60, which is a positive sign of financial stability compared to previous years. Return on equity is relatively low at 7.4%, suggesting limited efficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio stands at 11.4%, indicating a stable capital structure, but there is room for improvement in leveraging equity for growth.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 6% in the latest year, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 1.9%, suggesting potential liquidity issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 100%, indicating that the company is generating sufficient cash to cover its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B717.73M1.43B1.10B733.38M652.60M
Gross Profit717.96M717.73M704.33M701.11M658.61M565.60M
EBITDA299.36M299.36M390.16M348.05M364.09M267.05M
Net Income226.07M226.07M200.04M257.43M236.33M183.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.70B26.70B28.06B22.47B20.77B19.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.19B4.19B4.95B2.98B2.74B4.23B
Total Debt1.82B1.82B3.32B3.65B2.13B1.72B
Total Liabilities23.66B23.66B25.06B20.05B18.50B17.52B
Stockholders Equity3.04B3.04B3.00B2.43B2.27B2.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow208.25M208.25M414.55M198.89M256.68M284.98M
Operating Cash Flow236.95M236.95M439.23M213.96M268.46M314.45M
Investing Cash Flow-318.41M-318.41M3.29B-1.38B-2.49B-579.75M
Financing Cash Flow-1.64B-1.64B-2.33B1.46B817.86M653.12M

Washington Federal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.59
Price Trends
50DMA
30.55
Positive
100DMA
30.44
Positive
200DMA
29.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Negative
RSI
67.09
Neutral
STOCH
74.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WAFD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.37, above the 50-day MA of 30.55, and above the 200-day MA of 29.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WAFD.

Washington Federal Risk Analysis

Washington Federal disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Washington Federal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Washington Federal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.62B9.8710.16%3.69%5.15%16.42%
80
Outperform
$2.25B9.749.90%3.67%-1.76%32.44%
80
Outperform
$2.73B10.659.51%4.53%38.34%89.73%
79
Outperform
$2.28B12.2110.28%2.87%6.98%15.08%
68
Neutral
$2.56B12.697.49%3.23%-1.58%6.34%
68
Neutral
$2.45B11.1910.87%2.34%17.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WAFD
Washington Federal
33.59
2.10
6.67%
BANR
Banner
66.23
2.42
3.79%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
26.55
0.27
1.03%
FRME
First Merchants
38.36
-1.06
-2.69%
PFS
Provident Financial Services
20.91
2.81
15.52%
TRMK
Trustmark
40.86
6.06
17.41%

Washington Federal Corporate Events

Washington Federal’s Profitability at Risk: Navigating Interest Rate Fluctuations
Nov 20, 2025

Washington Federal faces a significant business risk due to its exposure to fluctuating interest rates, which can impact its net interest income and overall financial performance. As interest rates rise or fall, the bank’s ability to manage its interest rate spread becomes crucial, potentially affecting its profitability. Additionally, changes in interest rates can influence customer behavior, such as loan demand and deposit levels, further complicating financial stability. This risk necessitates careful monitoring and strategic adjustments to mitigate potential adverse effects on the company’s earnings.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
WaFd Highlights Strategic Shift in Investor Presentation
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

WaFd, Inc. has released a slide presentation intended for institutional investors and industry analysts, highlighting its financial performance and strategic initiatives as of September 30, 2025. The presentation underscores WaFd’s transition towards a commercial banking focus, with commercial loans now constituting a larger portion of its portfolio compared to mortgage and consumer loans. The bank has maintained strong credit quality with low non-performing assets, and its investments in customer service and technology have resulted in high customer satisfaction scores. WaFd continues to emphasize community development, with significant investments in affordable housing and local community initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAFD) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Washington Federal stock, see the WAFD Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Washington Federal Declares Dividend for Preferred Stock
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, WaFd, Inc.’s Board of Directors announced a cash dividend of $12.1875 per share for its 4.875% Fixed Rate Series A Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock. This dividend, amounting to $0.30468750 per depositary share, is scheduled for payment on January 15, 2026, to shareholders recorded by December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAFD) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Washington Federal stock, see the WAFD Stock Forecast page.

WaFd Inc. Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results
Oct 18, 2025

Washington Federal, Inc., operating as WaFd Bank, is a financial institution headquartered in Seattle, Washington, with a focus on providing banking services across nine western states. The company has transitioned from mortgage lending to offering solutions for businesses, aiming to enhance long-term shareholder returns.

Financial Disclosures
Washington Federal to Announce Earnings Results Soon
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On October 3, 2025, WaFd Inc. announced plans to release its earnings results for the quarter and fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, on October 16, 2025. A conference call for investors and analysts is scheduled for October 17, 2025, to discuss these financial results, which may impact stakeholders’ perspectives on the company’s performance and future outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAFD) stock is a Hold with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Washington Federal stock, see the WAFD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Washington Federal Rebrands as WaFd Bank
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Washington Federal Bank officially changed its name to WaFd Bank by filing necessary documents with the Washington Secretary of State. This name change reflects the bank’s updated branding and corporate identity.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAFD) stock is a Hold with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Washington Federal stock, see the WAFD Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Washington Federal’s Consent Orders Terminated by CFPB
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 19, 2025, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau notified Washington Federal Bank that it had terminated the Consent Orders related to the Bank’s Home Mortgage Disclosure Act program, effective September 18, 2025. This termination marks a significant development in the Bank’s regulatory landscape, potentially impacting its compliance operations and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAFD) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Washington Federal stock, see the WAFD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
WaFd, Inc. Highlights Strategic Focus in Investor Meetings
Positive
Aug 22, 2025

WaFd, Inc. has released a slide presentation for meetings with institutional investors and industry analysts, highlighting its strategic focus and operational performance as of June 30, 2025. The presentation emphasizes WaFd’s strong credit quality, low non-performing assets, and commitment to customer service and ESG principles. It also outlines the bank’s evolution towards a commercial bank with a digital focus, and its efforts in community development and diversity. The bank’s strategic objectives include delivering exceptional customer service and expanding its business through credit and treasury solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (WAFD) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Washington Federal stock, see the WAFD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025