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Bancorp Inc (TBBK)
NASDAQ:TBBK
US Market

Bancorp (TBBK) AI Stock Analysis

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TBBK

Bancorp

(NASDAQ:TBBK)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
▼(-0.26% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial quality (strong profitability and cash-flow conversion) and a constructive earnings outlook with sizeable buybacks and EPS guidance. These positives are tempered by very weak technical momentum (price below major moving averages with negative MACD) and the fundamental risk signaled by steep TTM revenue decline and mix-related NIM compression expectations.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong cash conversion (OCF/net income 1.78; FCF/net income 0.98) provides durable internal funding for growth, technology, and buybacks. Reliable cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and supports execution of multi-quarter initiatives and shareholder return programs.
Capital Efficiency (ROE)
High ROE (>27%) indicates efficient use of equity and strong profitability. This persistent capital efficiency supports continued buybacks, enables reinvestment without heavy dilution, and signals management’s ability to extract returns from existing capital over multiple reporting periods.
Fintech Fee & Credit Sponsorship Growth
Rapid expansion of fintech-related fee streams and credit sponsorship (>$1B, triple-digit YoY growth) signals structural diversification away from pure interest income. Recurring fee economics from partners and embedded finance can sustainably raise noninterest revenue share and reduce interest-rate sensitivity.
Negative Factors
TTM Revenue Decline
A steep trailing twelve-month revenue drop (-45.9%) undermines growth sustainability and raises concern that recent profitability gains rely on mix or one-off items. Recovering top-line momentum will be needed to sustain margins and justify continued capital returns over the coming quarters.
Deposit Funding Concentration
Heavy dependence on fintech partners for deposits concentrates funding risk: partner flow volatility or contractual changes can rapidly affect liquidity and funding costs. Over several months this elevates operational and repricing risk versus a more diversified deposit base.
NIM Compression Risk
A structural shift toward fee-heavy fintech mix could compress net interest margin toward ~4%, reducing core interest income. If fee growth or scale efficiencies lag expectations, margin compression would pressure sustainable profitability and make EPS targets reliant on execution and buyback timing.

Bancorp (TBBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Bancorp, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for The Bancorp Bank that provides banking products and services in the United States. The company offers a range of deposit products and services, including checking, savings, money market, and commercial accounts; and prepaid and debit cards. It also provides securities-backed lines of credit and insurance policy cash value-backed lines of credit; institutional banking services; vehicle fleet, other equipment leasing, and commercial fleet leasing services consist of commercial vehicles, including trucks and special purpose vehicles, and equipment; and real estate bridge lending, as well as small business administration, commercial mortgage-backed, and commercial real estate loans. The company offers private label banking; credit and debit card payment processing services for independent service organizations; and internet banking services. The Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.
How the Company Makes MoneyBancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and other financial products. The company earns interest on loans issued to customers, which often includes commercial real estate loans, residential mortgages, and personal loans. Additionally, Bancorp collects fees from various banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. The company may also earn income through investment securities and treasury management services. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and technology providers may enhance Bancorp's service offerings and contribute to its revenue streams, while effective risk management practices help maintain profitability across its lending operations.

Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial positives: record ROE, meaningful GDV and fee growth, rapid expansion of credit sponsorship balances, improving credit metrics, active share repurchases, and bullish EPS guidance. Headwinds cited were mostly execution/timing, mix-related (NIM compression as fee mix rises), a modest legal settlement, temporary effects from a government shutdown, and a manageable subset of stressed real estate loans. On balance, management conveyed confidence in initiatives and provided concrete quantitative progress and guidance.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share and EPS Growth
Diluted EPS of $1.28 in Q4 with year-over-year EPS growth of 11%.
Record Return on Equity
ROE was a record 30.4% in the quarter and 28.9% for the full year.
Strong GDV and Fee Growth
Gross dollar volume (GDV) grew 16% in the quarter versus the prior-year quarter and 17% for the full year; total fee growth for the year was 21%.
Rapid Credit Sponsorship Expansion
Credit sponsorship balances ended the quarter at ~$1.1 billion, up 40% sequentially and up 142% year-over-year; company exceeded its $1 billion target and expects to add at least two new partners.
Loan and Asset Growth
Ending assets increased to $9.4 billion (up 7% YoY). Total loans rose $919 million to $7.26 billion, including $644 million in consumer fintech loans which now constitute 15% of the loan portfolio.
Improving Credit Metrics
Criticized assets declined from $268 million to $194 million (28% quarter-over-quarter). Delinquencies fell from 2.19% to 1.6% quarter-over-quarter. Provision for loans (excluding fintech covered by credit enhancement) was $858k versus $5.8M in Q3; net charge-offs were $629k versus $3.3M in Q3.
Capital Return and Share Repurchases
Purchased $150 million of stock in Q4 (5% of outstanding shares) and $375 million for full year (12% of outstanding shares). 2026 buybacks forecast at $200 million (planned $50M per quarter).
Platform and Product Progress with Forward Guidance
Embedded finance platform on pace for an early-2026 launch; new program implementations (including Cash App) on track to drive GDV and fee revenue in 2026+. Company initiated 2026 EPS guidance of $5.90 and preliminary 2027 guidance of $8.25 (guidance assumes buybacks).
Revenue Mix and Liquidity
When excluding credit enhancement income, quarter revenue grew 3% YoY and noninterest income (ex-credit enhancement) accounted for just over 30% of revenue with ~90% of fees coming from fintech. Average deposits in the quarter were $7.6 billion with an average cost of 177 bps; liquidity described as very strong.
Negative Updates
Modest Underlying Revenue Growth (Excluding Credit Enhancement)
Quarter revenue growth excluding credit enhancement was only 3% year-over-year, indicating limited organic revenue acceleration outside of fee/partner-related items.
Net Interest Margin Pressure and Volatility
Management expects NIM compression toward ~4% as the business mix shifts to fintech and fee income increases; quarter-to-quarter NIM volatility anticipated as deposits flow on/off balance sheet and mix shifts occur.
Operational/Timing Headwinds Impacting Q4 Results
Three cited drivers weighed on Q4: a $2.0 million legal settlement, the unexpected duration of a government shutdown that reduced payments/deposits and GDV, and late-quarter concentration of credit sponsorship growth which reduced average balance income for the quarter.
Concentration and Deposit Mix Risk
High fintech concentration in funding (95% of deposits from fintech) and expected continued use of off-balance-sheet sweeps (~$400M noted) create funding mix concentration and operational reliance on partner flows.
REBL/Real Estate Stress Instances
Approximately 10–12 troubled loans within a portfolio of 150+ loans required refinancings/recapitalizations; criticized REBL loans (referenced ~$102M in questioned category) exist though management reports geographic diversification and ongoing stabilization/exit plans (e.g., Aubrey approaching cash-flow breakeven by mid-year).
Legal and Insurance Recovery Uncertainty
Q4 included a $2M legal settlement related to a 2021 proceeding; management is pursuing insurance recovery but outcome and timing are uncertain and could affect future expense.
Timing Risk for Fintech Initiatives to Drive EPS
Material EPS accretion guidance for 2026–2027 depends on on-time execution of embedded finance launch, credit sponsorship on-ramps, Cash App program implementations, platform efficiency gains and share buyback timing — any delays could materially affect targets.
Company Guidance
Management set 2026 EPS guidance at $5.90 (with a Q4‑2026 target of at least $1.75) and maintained preliminary 2027 EPS guidance of $8.25, explicitly including $200 million of share repurchases in 2026 (forecast at $50M per quarter) as a key driver of EPS accretion; they noted EPS upside also depends on the timing of three fintech initiatives, platform efficiency/productivity gains and AI deployment, and on the company’s stock price for buyback execution. Management pointed to recent repurchase activity ($150M in Q4, 5% of shares; $375M for FY, 12% of shares), record ROE (30.4% Q4; 28.9% FY), credit sponsorship balances of ~$1.1B (up 40% q/q, 142% YoY) and the prospect of doubling that program toward a $2–$3B run rate as supporting this outlook, while noting NIM may compress toward ~4% as fee income rises to ~35% of revenue (ex‑credit enhancement).

Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (high net/EBIT margins; operating cash flow to net income 1.78 and FCF to net income 0.98) support the score, but the sharp TTM revenue growth decline (-45.88%) and rising debt levels are meaningful risks despite a manageable debt-to-equity (0.54) and strong ROE (27.97%).
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a significant decline in revenue growth rate (-45.88%), which is concerning. However, the company maintains strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 51.60% and EBIT margin of 52.38%. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, indicating potential cost pressures or pricing challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54 in the TTM period. The return on equity is strong at 27.97%, indicating effective use of equity. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure, although the increase in total debt warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive trends with a free cash flow growth rate of 9.16% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.78, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also high at 0.98, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue860.88M710.11M611.60M413.98M326.86M295.40M
Gross Profit523.16M495.38M447.82M347.42M312.51M273.13M
EBITDA308.94M296.31M259.85M181.21M147.47M112.04M
Net Income227.83M217.54M192.30M130.21M110.65M80.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.60B8.73B7.71B7.90B6.84B6.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.65M620.77M1.79B1.65B1.56B1.55B
Total Debt223.26M123.70M147.82M122.48M151.60M151.99M
Total Liabilities7.82B7.94B6.90B7.21B6.19B5.70B
Stockholders Equity778.16M789.78M807.28M694.03M652.45M581.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow382.21M222.68M174.03M114.48M82.34M116.95M
Operating Cash Flow382.82M227.65M186.72M119.61M83.89M120.69M
Investing Cash Flow-648.19M-1.51B415.55M-826.73M-305.90M-1.23B
Financing Cash Flow294.29M812.74M-452.37M993.52M478.28M509.02M

Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price64.17
Price Trends
50DMA
67.28
Negative
100DMA
70.19
Negative
200DMA
64.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.65
Positive
RSI
33.60
Neutral
STOCH
26.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBBK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 64.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.62, below the 50-day MA of 67.28, and below the 200-day MA of 64.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TBBK.

Bancorp Risk Analysis

Bancorp disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.00B18.196.25%3.05%11.05%-10.78%
77
Outperform
$3.49B10.2918.97%3.38%2.35%13.72%
75
Outperform
$3.71B9.9310.92%3.52%9.60%20.38%
73
Outperform
$3.65B12.068.95%5.24%-5.43%4.19%
71
Outperform
$3.58B18.225.52%2.47%20.26%-35.00%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$2.61B12.0830.85%29.24%21.49%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBBK
Bancorp
59.44
-1.68
-2.75%
FBP
First Bancorp Puerto Rico
22.12
2.62
13.41%
FIBK
First Interstate Bancsystem
35.47
5.65
18.95%
FULT
Fulton Financial
20.65
1.48
7.71%
INDB
Independent Bank
80.78
16.82
26.30%
RNST
Renasant
37.71
0.48
1.29%

Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Bancorp Posts Strong Q4 2025 Results Amid Headwinds
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, The Bancorp reported fourth-quarter 2025 results showing net income of $56.3 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, up 11% from a year earlier, with a return on assets of 2.53% and return on equity of 30.4%. The quarter was characterized by a strong but slightly compressed net interest margin of 4.30%, robust loan growth to $7.12 billion, and especially rapid expansion in consumer fintech loans, which more than doubled year-on-year to $1.10 billion and helped lift fintech-related fees and total non-interest income to 46.7% of revenue. The bank also reported higher payment activity, with gross dollar volume on prepaid, debit and credit cards rising 16% versus the prior year, while criticized real estate bridge loans fell sharply, suggesting improving credit quality in that portfolio. Management acknowledged that despite record fourth-quarter EPS and ROE, results fell short of internal expectations due to the prolonged government shutdown’s drag on transaction volumes and deposits, delayed contribution from sponsored credit, net interest margin pressure, and an unexpected legal settlement, even as it continued aggressive capital return via $150 million of share repurchases in the quarter, equivalent to about 5% of shares outstanding, underscoring a strategy focused on fintech-driven growth and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBBK) stock is a Hold with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bancorp stock, see the TBBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Bancorp Appoints Dominic Canuso as New CFO
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, The Bancorp, Inc. announced the appointment of Dominic C. Canuso as Chief Financial Officer. With over 25 years of experience in banking and financial services, Canuso will oversee the company’s financial strategy and operations, contributing to The Bancorp’s growth and strategic initiatives. His previous roles include CFO positions at Capital Bank and WSFS Bank. The appointment marks a significant step in The Bancorp’s focus on growth, innovation, and operational excellence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBBK) stock is a Buy with a $73.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bancorp stock, see the TBBK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026