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Banc of California Inc. (BANC)
NYSE:BANC
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Banc of California (BANC) AI Stock Analysis

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BANC

Banc of California

(NYSE:BANC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(5.81% Upside)
Banc of California's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings growth and positive sentiment from the latest earnings call. The technical indicators support a bullish trend, while the valuation remains fair. Financial performance shows moderate health with areas for improvement in revenue consistency and leverage.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Strong EPS growth indicates robust operational performance and effective cost management, enhancing long-term profitability and shareholder value.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Expanding net interest margins suggest improved profitability from core banking operations, supporting sustainable earnings growth.
Improved Deposit Trends
Growth in noninterest-bearing deposits reduces funding costs, enhancing net interest income and supporting financial stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Inconsistency
Inconsistent revenue growth can hinder long-term planning and investment, impacting the company's ability to sustain competitive advantages.
Rising Classified Loan Balances
An increase in classified loans may indicate potential credit risk, affecting asset quality and requiring more stringent risk management.
Moderate Leverage
Moderate leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns, impacting long-term financial health.

Banc of California (BANC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banc of California Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanc of California (BANC) is a financial services company based in the United States, primarily engaged in commercial banking. The bank offers a wide range of financial products and services, including commercial real estate loans, construction loans, residential mortgages, and various deposit account services. It serves a diverse clientele, including small to medium-sized businesses and individual consumers, predominantly in California and neighboring states. Banc of California focuses on providing tailored financial solutions to meet the unique needs of its customers, alongside a commitment to community engagement and economic development.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanc of California generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and fees associated with its banking services. The bank's key revenue streams include net interest income from its portfolio of commercial and residential loans, as well as service fees from deposit accounts and transaction services. Additionally, Banc of California may earn income through investment securities and other financial products offered to customers. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and involvement in community development projects also enhance its earnings potential by fostering stronger client relationships and increasing its loan origination capabilities.

Banc of California Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with strong growth in earnings per share, successful share repurchase activities, and improved deposit trends contributing to the positive outlook. However, there are some concerns with a decline in total loans and an increase in classified loan balances. Despite these lowlights, the overall financial health and performance improvements lead to a positive sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Per Share Growth
Banc of California reported a 23% quarter-over-quarter growth in earnings per share, reaching $0.38, driven by positive operating leverage and net interest margin expansion.
Successful Share Repurchase Program
The company repurchased 2.2 million shares of common stock in Q3, totaling $185 million, which is more than half of the $300 million repurchase authorization.
Improved Core Deposit Trends
Noninterest-bearing deposits increased by 9% and now represent 28% of total deposits, allowing a reduction in broker deposits by 16% from the prior quarter.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Net interest margin expanded to 3.22% driven by higher loan yields and lower deposit costs, with expectations for continued expansion.
Stable Credit Quality
Credit quality remained stable with criticized loans down 4% quarter-over-quarter and special mention loans down 24%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Loans
Total loans declined by 1.6% from the last quarter due to elevated paydowns and proactive payoffs of criticized loans.
Classified Loan Balances Increase
Classified loan balances increased this quarter due to a timing issue related to a $50 million CRE loan, although these loans are performing with no delinquencies greater than 30 days.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Banc of California reported substantial financial growth, showcasing a 23% increase in earnings per share (EPS) from the previous quarter, reaching $0.38. This growth was driven by a 5% rise in net interest income, which climbed to $253 million, and an expansion of the net interest margin to 3.22%. The bank's return on tangible common equity also improved significantly, increasing by 231 basis points to 9.87% since the start of the year. Banc of California executed a strategic share repurchase program, buying back 2.2 million shares in Q3, bringing the total to 13.6 million shares, or over 8% of outstanding shares, at an average price of $13.59. This activity contributed to a climb in the tangible book value per share by 3% to $16.99 and maintained the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio at 10.14%. The bank's noninterest-bearing deposits grew by 9%, comprising 28% of total deposits, which helped reduce broker deposits by 16% and lower the total cost of deposits to 2.08%. Loan production was robust, totaling $2.1 billion, although total loans decreased by 1.6% due to elevated paydowns and strategic payoffs of $170 million in criticized loans. The average yield on new loan production was a healthy 7.08%, contributing to ongoing margin expansion. The bank's allowance for credit losses increased to 1.12% of total loans, reflecting disciplined credit management. Overall, Banc of California's financial results for the quarter highlight its strong capital position, consistent earnings growth, and effective balance sheet management.

Banc of California Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banc of California demonstrates moderate financial health with stable profitability margins and a balanced asset structure. While cash flow generation is strong, past inconsistencies in revenue growth and profitability, along with moderate leverage, suggest areas for improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Banc of California shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 2.16% in the TTM, with a gross profit margin of 56.46% and a net profit margin of 11.58%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 15.73% and 20.50%, respectively. However, the revenue growth has been inconsistent over the years, and the company experienced significant losses in 2023, impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.85, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity is relatively low at 5.99%, suggesting limited profitability from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. However, the fluctuating debt levels and past negative ROE pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow growth is strong at 11.33% in the TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.87B1.50B1.61B1.34B309.48M
Gross Profit1.02B943.09M226.38M1.32B1.44B214.44M
EBITDA369.20M290.06M-2.12B664.97M917.67M32.18M
Net Income208.50M126.89M-1.90B423.61M606.96M12.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.01B33.54B38.53B41.23B9.43B7.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.82B4.75B7.72B7.08B1.54B1.45B
Total Debt2.96B2.33B3.85B2.63B816.12M816.76M
Total Liabilities30.55B30.04B35.14B37.28B8.36B6.98B
Stockholders Equity3.47B3.50B3.39B3.95B1.07B897.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow226.20M64.33M120.55M581.11M454.91M69.77M
Operating Cash Flow233.31M77.37M135.77M701.97M502.96M74.86M
Investing Cash Flow-858.76M1.89B12.61B-3.57B-5.71B-266.92M
Financing Cash Flow469.48M-4.84B-9.61B1.05B6.11B39.40M

Banc of California Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.43
Price Trends
50DMA
17.01
Positive
100DMA
16.25
Positive
200DMA
15.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
64.97
Neutral
STOCH
92.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BANC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.22, above the 50-day MA of 17.01, and above the 200-day MA of 15.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BANC.

Banc of California Risk Analysis

Banc of California disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banc of California reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Banc of California Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.51B9.809.51%4.99%38.34%89.73%
73
Outperform
$2.86B17.935.99%2.34%20.64%
72
Outperform
$2.47B9.2910.16%4.12%5.15%16.42%
71
Outperform
$2.64B16.2510.65%4.22%3.40%23.04%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$2.66B17.946.33%2.29%6.83%23.44%
61
Neutral
$2.49B14.2713.69%3.03%6.29%28.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BANC
Banc of California
18.43
1.66
9.90%
BOH
Bank Of Hawaii
66.40
-10.20
-13.32%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
25.06
-3.41
-11.98%
PRK
Park National
154.89
-29.05
-15.79%
PFS
Provident Financial Services
19.25
-0.81
-4.04%
SBCF
Seacoast Banking Of Florida
31.63
2.44
8.36%

Banc of California Corporate Events

Banc of California’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Oct 25, 2025

Banc of California’s recent earnings call exuded a positive sentiment, driven by notable growth in earnings per share, successful share repurchase activities, and improved deposit trends. Despite some concerns regarding a decline in total loans and an increase in classified loan balances, the overall financial health and performance improvements of the company contributed to an optimistic outlook.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Banc of California Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

Banc of California reported a significant increase in net earnings for the third quarter of 2025, with diluted earnings per share rising to $0.38 from $0.12 in the previous quarter. The company achieved a 5% growth in total revenue and a 17% increase in pre-tax pre-provision income, driven by strong net interest income and expense discipline. The bank also saw a 9% annualized growth in noninterest-bearing deposits and maintained stable credit quality metrics. The results reflect the company’s strategic focus on enhancing profitability and strengthening its balance sheet, positioning it well for continued growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (BANC) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banc of California stock, see the BANC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025