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Banc of California Inc. (BANC)
NYSE:BANC
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Banc of California (BANC) AI Stock Analysis

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BANC

Banc of California

(NYSE:BANC)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(2.11% Upside)
Banc of California's overall stock score reflects a recovery in financial performance and positive earnings call insights. However, valuation concerns and neutral technical indicators temper the outlook. Continued focus on revenue growth and managing expenses will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Improvement
Balance sheet trends highlighted by better loan growth, with balances increasing owing to growth in lender finance and fund finance, as well as residential/consumer loans.
Expense Management
Expenses came in well below management's prior guidance, contributing to positive operating leverage.
Market Potential
Banc of California has an opportunity to grow its franchise significantly with its presence in Los Angeles County, which has $500B of deposits, presenting a substantial market potential.
Negative Factors
Credit Concerns
Credit concerns were noted due to negative risk migration and an increase in classified loans by 35%.
Funding Mix
Funding mix was the largest culprit for NII/NIM missing consensus estimates, due to a shift out of DDA and greater reliance on wholesale funding.
Revenue Performance
Expect shares to be weaker on revenue miss and credit noise.

Banc of California (BANC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banc of California Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanc of California, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Banc of California, National Association that provides banking products and services in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, retirement, and interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing demand accounts, as well as certificate of deposits. It also provides various commercial and consumer loan products, such as commercial and industrial loans; commercial real estate and multifamily loans; construction loans; single family residential mortgage loans; warehouse and indirect/direct leveraged lending; home equity lines of credit; small business administration loans; and other consumer loans. In addition, the company offers automated bill payment, cash and treasury management, foreign exchange, card payment, remote and mobile deposit capture, automated clearing house origination, wire transfer, direct deposit, and internet banking services; and master demand accounts, interest rate swaps, and safe deposit boxes. Further, it invests in collateralized loan obligations, agency securities, municipal bonds, agency residential mortgage-backed securities, and corporate debt securities. As of December 31, 2020, the company operated 29 full-service branches in Southern California. The company was formerly known as First PacTrust Bancorp, Inc. and changed its name to Banc of California, Inc. in July 2013. Banc of California, Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Santa Ana, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanc of California generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and fees associated with its financial services. The bank earns interest income by providing various types of loans, such as commercial real estate loans, construction loans, and consumer loans, which are typically repaid with interest over time. Additionally, Banc of California collects fees from services such as treasury management, merchant services, and investment advisory. The bank may also generate non-interest income through its mortgage origination and servicing operations. Strategic partnerships with real estate developers and other businesses help to enhance its lending activities and expand its client base, contributing further to its earnings.

Banc of California Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic loan growth, contrasted by increased noninterest expenses and a significant provision related to loan sales. The outlook remains optimistic with continued profitability and growth expected.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Second Quarter Performance
Pretax pre-provision income grew 6% quarter-over-quarter. Core earnings drivers such as loan growth, net interest margin expansion, and disciplined expense management remain on track.
Commercial Loan Growth
Achieved a 9% annualized loan growth, with strong production levels driven by broad-based commercial loan production.
Tangible Book Value Growth
Fifth consecutive quarter of increased tangible book value per share, reaching $16.46.
Successful Loan Sales
Engaged in sales of $507 million in commercial real estate loans, contributing to improved credit quality metrics.
Robust Loan Origination
Second quarter loan production, including unfunded commitments, was $2.2 billion, driven by high originations in lender finance and single-family residential portfolios.
Negative Updates
Provision Related to Loan Sales
$20.2 million after-tax provision expense related to the sales process of commercial real estate loans.
Noninterest Income Decline
Noninterest income was down 3% from the prior quarter due to mark-to-market fluctuations.
Increased Noninterest Expenses
Noninterest expense increased $2.2 million from Q1, driven by increases in insurance, assessments, and compensation expenses.
Loan Sale Credit Concerns
Some loans demonstrated characteristics that contributed to credit migration, leading to a strategic decision to sell.
Company Guidance
During Banc of California's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong performance with notable growth in core profitability. Pretax pre-provision income increased by 6% quarter-over-quarter, driven by solid revenue growth that surpassed a slight rise in expenses. The bank achieved an annualized loan growth of 9%, partly due to robust commercial loan production and strategic sales of approximately $507 million in commercial real estate loans, which were anticipated to yield proceeds of 95% net of reserve release. This strategic move improved credit quality metrics, with declines in nonperforming loans, classified loans, and special mention loans by 19, 46, and 115 basis points, respectively, from the previous quarter. The bank's net interest income rose by 3.4% to $240 million, while net interest margin expanded to 3.10%. The second quarter also marked the fifth consecutive quarter of tangible book value per share growth, reaching $16.46. The bank repurchased $150 million of common stock, representing about 6.8% of its shares, and maintained a strong balance sheet with capital and liquidity levels. Looking forward, the bank plans for mid-single-digit growth in average earning assets in the latter half of 2025 and anticipates continued expansion in net interest income and margin.

Banc of California Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banc of California's financials show a recovery with improved profitability margins and cash flow generation. Despite a recent revenue decline, operational efficiency has rebounded, and the balance sheet remains solid with controlled leverage.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Banc of California shows a mixed performance on its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at approximately 52.6%, indicating a strong ability to cover costs, although it has decreased compared to previous years. The net profit margin has improved to 8.3% after a challenging period in 2023, reflecting better operational efficiency. Revenue growth rate between 2024 and the TTM period is negative at -3.7%, indicating a recent decline in revenue. EBIT and EBITDA margins are positive, showcasing operational profitability recovery, yet they remain below historical highs.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Banc of California presents a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74, which indicates a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) for the TTM period is 4.2%, demonstrating modest equity returns compared to historical highs. The equity ratio is 10.4%, suggesting a conservative capital structure. While equity has grown, total assets have slightly decreased, reflecting strategic asset management.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a solid free cash flow growth rate of 166.5% in the TTM period, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.21, indicating that cash generation aligns closely with net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.15, showing adequate cash conversion. Despite recent improvements, historical fluctuations in cash flow stability warrant cautious optimism.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.87B1.50B1.61B1.34B309.48M
Gross Profit948.45M943.09M226.38M1.32B1.44B214.44M
EBITDA316.32M290.06M-2.12B664.97M917.67M32.18M
Net Income149.60M126.89M-1.90B423.61M606.96M12.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.78B33.54B38.53B41.23B9.43B7.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.34B4.75B7.72B7.08B1.54B1.45B
Total Debt2.62B2.33B3.85B2.63B816.12M816.76M
Total Liabilities30.26B30.04B35.14B37.28B8.36B6.98B
Stockholders Equity3.52B3.50B3.39B3.95B1.07B897.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow171.38M64.33M120.55M581.11M454.91M69.77M
Operating Cash Flow180.89M77.37M135.77M701.97M502.96M74.86M
Investing Cash Flow1.40B1.89B12.61B-3.57B-5.71B-266.92M
Financing Cash Flow-2.32B-4.84B-9.61B1.05B6.11B39.40M

Banc of California Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.18
Price Trends
50DMA
14.37
Positive
100DMA
13.96
Positive
200DMA
14.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
59.65
Neutral
STOCH
61.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BANC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.75, above the 50-day MA of 14.37, and above the 200-day MA of 14.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BANC.

Banc of California Risk Analysis

Banc of California disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banc of California reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Banc of California Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.35B9.829.77%3.92%4.62%2.69%
75
Outperform
$2.46B10.628.78%5.10%66.96%67.27%
74
Outperform
$2.40B11.647.59%3.48%8.75%5.16%
72
Outperform
$2.24B10.099.90%3.76%-1.18%23.43%
71
Outperform
$2.80B10.938.98%3.22%-2.80%51.85%
68
Neutral
$17.46B11.6510.44%3.86%10.36%1.15%
64
Neutral
$2.28B22.424.32%2.64%49.10%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BANC
Banc of California
15.18
2.59
20.57%
BKU
BankUnited
37.23
3.39
10.02%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
24.51
1.26
5.42%
FRME
First Merchants
38.86
4.61
13.46%
PFS
Provident Financial Services
18.82
2.46
15.04%
WAFD
Washington Federal
30.49
-1.68
-5.22%

Banc of California Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Banc of California Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

Banc of California reported its second quarter results for 2025, highlighting a 9% annualized loan growth and net earnings of $18.4 million. The company also achieved a 3% increase in total revenue and a 6% rise in pre-tax pre-provision income from the previous quarter. The bank’s strategic repositioning through loan sales improved its credit profile, while maintaining strong capital ratios and increasing book value per share. The results reflect the company’s robust growth trajectory and market share expansion in key verticals, positioning it for continued profitability and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BANC) stock is a Buy with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banc of California stock, see the BANC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2025