tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Trustmark Corp. (TRMK)
NASDAQ:TRMK

Trustmark (TRMK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
73 Followers

Top Page

TRMK

Trustmark

(NASDAQ:TRMK)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$46.00
▲(2.86% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/28/26
TRMK scores well primarily on solid financial performance (revenue growth, profitability, improved leverage, and good cash conversion). The setup is supported by a positive price trend and reasonable momentum, while valuation adds a modest boost via a low P/E and a ~2.33% dividend. Earnings-call guidance was generally constructive, tempered by funding volatility and near-term expense/provision normalization.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability Growth
Sustained double-digit TTM revenue growth and near-20% net margin indicate the core banking and fee businesses generate durable earnings. This mix supports long-term profitability resilience across rate cycles and funds ongoing investments without eroding core returns.
Balance Sheet Strength and Low Leverage
A low and improving debt-to-equity ratio provides financial flexibility to absorb credit stress, fund organic growth or opportunistic M&A, and return capital. Lower leverage reduces funding risk and supports capital ratios through normal business cycles.
Cash Generation and Diversified Fee Businesses
Robust free cash flow growth and high FCF-to-net-income conversion reflect strong internal funding capacity. Combined with rising wealth and mortgage revenues, this cash engine funds reinvestment and shareholder returns without heavy reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Deposit Volatility (Public Funds)
Concentration in volatile public fund deposits exposes funding stability to municipal timing and client flows. Persistent swings in these deposits can increase funding costs or force reliance on pricier alternatives, pressuring margins and liquidity planning over months.
Rising Noninterest Expense
Mid-single-digit annual growth in noninterest expense, driven by investments and compensation, can erode efficiency if revenue growth slows. Persistent expense inflation without commensurate productivity gains will compress long-term operating margins and ROE.
Provisioning Normalization and Credit Sensitivity
Guidance for normalized provisioning at higher baseline bps and recent individually large charge-offs show credit costs may be volatile. Elevated provisions versus trough levels can reduce sustained earnings power and require higher capital absorption if losses persist.

Trustmark (TRMK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trustmark Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrustmark Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Trustmark National Bank that provides banking and other financial solutions to individuals and corporate institutions in the United States. The company operates through three segments: General Banking, Wealth Management, and Insurance. It offers checking, savings, and money market accounts; certificates of deposits and individual retirement accounts; financing for commercial and industrial projects, income-producing commercial real estate, owner-occupied real estate, and construction and land development; and installment and real estate loans, and lines of credit, as well as treasury management services. The company also provides mortgage banking services, including construction financing, production of conventional and government-insured mortgages, and secondary marketing and mortgage servicing. In addition, it provides wealth management and trust services, such as administration of personal trusts and estates; management of investment accounts for individuals, employee benefit plans, and charitable foundations; and corporate trust and institutional custody, securities brokerage, financial and estate planning, retirement plan, and investment management services. Further, the company offers business insurance products and services for medical professionals, construction, manufacturing, hospitality, real estate, and group life and health plans; and life and health insurance, and personal line policies for individual customers. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 167 full-service branches and 13 limited service branches; and 198 automated teller machines and 69 interactive teller machines. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Jackson, Mississippi.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrustmark generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, it earns interest income from loans provided to customers, including commercial and consumer loans, which represent a significant portion of its earnings. Additionally, the bank collects fees from various services, such as account maintenance, transaction fees, and investment services. Trustmark also benefits from non-interest income through wealth management fees, insurance premiums, and fees from investment advisory services. Strategic partnerships with financial technology firms and community organizations enhance its service offerings and client reach, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Trustmark Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized a strong 2025 with record revenue and net income, solid balance sheet growth, improving credit metrics, and continued investment in talent and wealth/mortgage businesses. While there are manageable near-term headwinds — quarter-to-quarter deposit volatility (public funds), modest expense growth, and a one-time NIM impact — guidance for 2026 is constructive (mid-single digit growth across loans, deposits, NII, noninterest income and expense) and capital management is balanced between buybacks, dividends and optional M&A. Highlights materially outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Net Income and EPS
Trustmark reported record 2025 net income of $224.1 million and diluted EPS of $3.70. Q4 net income was $57.9 million with diluted EPS of $0.97, up 3.2% linked-quarter and 5.4% year-over-year.
Strong Year-over-Year Earnings Growth
Net income from adjusted continuing operations increased $37.8 million, or 20.3% in 2025, contributing to a return on average assets of 1.21% and return on average tangible equity of 12.97%.
Revenue and Net Interest Income Milestones
Total revenue was $204 million in Q4 and a record $800 million for the full year. Full-year net interest income totaled $647 million, up 8.4% year-over-year, and Q4 NII was $166 million with a NIM of 3.81% (adjusted NIM 3.83%).
Loan and Deposit Growth (Year-over-Year)
Loans held for investment grew $584 million (4.5% year-over-year) and deposits increased $392 million (2.6% year-over-year), driven by $568 million growth in commercial and personal balances.
Improved Wealth & Mortgage Performance
Wealth Management revenue reached an all-time high and Mortgage Banking showed increased production and significant profitability improvement, aided by improving MSR hedging dynamics and asset value recovery.
Prudent Capital Management and Shareholder Returns
Repurchased $80 million of common stock in 2025 (including $43 million in Q4), representing ~3.5% of outstanding shares at YE 2024; Board increased quarterly dividend 4.2% to $0.25 (FY dividend $1.00). Company returned ~61.8% of 2025 net income to shareholders.
Solid Credit Metrics and Reserve Position
Full-year net charge-offs were ~13 bps of average loans; Q4 net charge-offs were $7.6 million (0.22% of average loans) and the allowance for credit losses was 1.15% of loans held for investment at year-end, reflecting improved credit quality (criticized down $181M; classified down $57M for the year).
Capital Ratios Strengthened
Issued $170 million of 6% fixed-to-floating subordinated debt in Q4 (used to repay $125 million existing sub debt), ending the year with CET1 ratio of 11.72% and total risk-based capital ratio of 14.41%.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Deposit Decline and Public Funds Volatility
Deposits declined $131 million (0.8%) linked-quarter in Q4, driven primarily by a $219 million decrease in public fund deposits, highlighting some short-term funding volatility.
Noninterest Expense Growth
Noninterest expense rose $1.2 million (0.9%) linked-quarter and totaled $512 million for the year, up 5.5% year-over-year, reflecting ongoing investments and annual merit/bonus cadence that could pressure near-term efficiency.
Q4 Net Charge-Offs Impacted by One Large Loan
Q4 net charge-offs included one individually analyzed loan totaling $5.9 million (part of $7.6 million total NCOs in the quarter), resulting in a higher quarterly NCO rate of 0.22% of average loans despite a lower full-year rate.
NIM Slightly Pressured by One-Time Recognition
NIM declined 2 basis points linked-quarter to 3.81% largely due to $1.1 million of accelerated recognition related to sub debt refinancing; adjusted NIM would have remained 3.83% but demonstrates sensitivity to one-time items.
Buyback Authorization vs. Practical Deployment
While a $100 million buyback authorization was announced for 2026, management indicated a realistic buyback range of $60-70 million to maintain CET1 near current levels, limiting upside return of capital under conservative capital targets.
M&A Uncertainty and Market Disruption
Management signaled increased market disruption and competing M&A activity in core markets, which could both create opportunities and lead to local client/personnel disruption; they remain opportunistic but may choose to prioritize organic growth.
Company Guidance
Trustmark’s 2026 guidance calls for loans held for investment and deposits (excluding brokered) to each grow mid-single digits, securities balances to remain stable as cash flows are reinvested, net interest margin to run about 3.80%–3.85% (Q4 NIM was 3.81%, adjusted 3.83%), net interest income to increase mid-single digits, noninterest income and noninterest expense each to rise mid-single digits, and total provision for credit losses to “normalize” (management cited a provisioning range of roughly 14–18 bps of average loans with net charge-offs around 13–15 bps). Additional metrics and capital priorities: Q4 cost of total deposits was 1.72% with Q1 expected near 1.61% (Jan month-to-date ~1.63%), year-end allowance for credit losses was 1.15% of loans held for investment, CET1 was 11.72% (total risk-based 14.41%) with expectations to finish 2026 slightly above 12% absent large buybacks, a $100M 2026 repurchase authorization is in place (management indicated a likely $60–70M buyback range to balance capital), tangible book value per share was $30.28, and the quarterly dividend was raised 4.2% to $0.25 ($1.00 annual).

Trustmark Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid overall: strong TTM revenue growth (+11.96%) and healthy profitability (net margin 19.69%) support the score. Leverage looks well-managed (debt-to-equity 0.25) with steady ROE (10.90%). Cash generation is positive (FCF growth +10.50%; FCF/NI 91.34%), though some cash-flow efficiency metrics are unavailable and margins suggest room to improve operating efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Trustmark shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 11.96%, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is healthy at 62.59%, and the net profit margin is solid at 19.69%. However, the EBIT margin of 24.03% and EBITDA margin of 27.63% suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.25 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity is stable at 10.90%, reflecting consistent profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the balance sheet shows a solid equity base.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 10.50% in the TTM, showing improved cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 91.34%, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, which limits a full assessment of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.13B831.37M916.33M583.32M567.82M649.63M
Gross Profit707.42M414.20M565.80M513.31M568.11M562.79M
EBITDA312.29M72.12M216.79M98.99M221.23M231.11M
Net Income222.57M223.01M165.49M71.89M147.37M160.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.80B18.15B18.72B18.02B17.60B16.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.30B2.26B2.74B2.76B5.51B3.94B
Total Debt851.19M849.80M1.11B1.72B550.97M549.84M
Total Liabilities16.69B16.19B17.06B16.52B15.85B14.81B
Stockholders Equity2.11B1.96B1.66B1.49B1.74B1.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow281.38M88.34M148.23M262.50M317.57M34.52M
Operating Cash Flow285.53M116.93M196.89M296.52M348.77M65.35M
Investing Cash Flow-446.80M284.59M-411.17M-2.28B-1.01B-1.22B
Financing Cash Flow88.66M-809.62M455.04M451.84M970.57M2.75B

Trustmark Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.72
Price Trends
50DMA
41.61
Positive
100DMA
39.95
Positive
200DMA
38.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.97
Negative
RSI
64.52
Neutral
STOCH
63.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRMK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.36, above the 50-day MA of 41.61, and above the 200-day MA of 38.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRMK.

Trustmark Risk Analysis

Trustmark disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trustmark reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trustmark Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$2.67B10.909.47%3.72%-1.76%32.44%
78
Outperform
$3.16B11.359.82%3.79%5.15%16.42%
75
Outperform
$2.52B11.6011.34%-0.37%-20.30%
74
Outperform
$2.53B22.786.39%1.69%-5.72%-3.86%
73
Outperform
$2.67B12.0510.98%2.38%17.95%
69
Neutral
$2.51B11.457.49%3.27%-1.58%6.34%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRMK
Trustmark
44.72
9.57
27.24%
FBNC
First Bancorp
62.23
21.49
52.75%
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
30.36
4.47
17.28%
FRME
First Merchants
42.37
0.86
2.08%
WAFD
Washington Federal
33.20
4.84
17.05%
CUBI
Customers Bancorp
72.96
19.80
37.25%

Trustmark Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Trustmark Announces New Stock Repurchase Program
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

Trustmark Corporation has announced a new stock repurchase program effective January 1, 2026, allowing for the acquisition of up to $100 million of its common shares by December 31, 2026. This program replaces the previous one set to expire on December 31, 2025, and offers flexibility in purchasing shares based on market conditions, with no obligation on the number or value of shares repurchased.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRMK) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trustmark stock, see the TRMK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Trustmark Announces $175M Subordinated Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Trustmark Corporation announced an agreement to issue and sell $175 million of 6.00% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2035. The offering, underwritten by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods and Goldman Sachs, aims to raise approximately $173.1 million after underwriting discounts. The proceeds will be used to repay $125 million of existing notes due 2030 and for general corporate purposes. The issuance is expected to close on November 20, 2025, subject to customary conditions, and will impact Trustmark’s financial structure by refinancing existing debt and potentially improving liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRMK) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trustmark stock, see the TRMK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Trustmark Releases Q4 2025 Investor Presentation
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Trustmark Corporation has released updated presentation materials for use in meetings with investors and analysts during the fourth quarter of 2025. The presentation outlines the company’s financial performance, growth opportunities, and market conditions, while cautioning stakeholders about potential risks and uncertainties that could impact future results. The materials emphasize Trustmark’s strategic initiatives and financial health, although they include unaudited figures and non-GAAP financial measures.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRMK) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trustmark stock, see the TRMK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026