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Banco Macro SA (BMA)
NYSE:BMA

Banco Macro SA (BMA) AI Stock Analysis

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BMA

Banco Macro SA

(NYSE:BMA)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$90.00
â–²(0.07% Upside)
Banco Macro's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, tempered by modest profitability and significant challenges highlighted in the recent earnings call. Technical indicators show positive momentum, but the financial performance and earnings call concerns weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Loan and Deposit Growth
Strong loan and deposit growth indicates robust demand for Banco Macro's services, enhancing its market position and revenue potential.
Capital Adequacy
High capital adequacy ratios provide a buffer against financial instability, ensuring long-term operational resilience and regulatory compliance.
Strategic Share Buyback
The share buyback program reflects confidence in the company's financial health and aims to enhance shareholder value, supporting long-term stock performance.
Negative Factors
Net Income Loss
Significant net income loss indicates financial challenges, potentially affecting Banco Macro's profitability and ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Increase in Loan Loss Provisions
Rising loan loss provisions suggest deteriorating asset quality, which could strain financial resources and impact future earnings.
Deterioration of Asset Quality
High nonperforming loan ratios indicate asset quality issues, posing risks to financial stability and requiring strategic focus on risk management.

Banco Macro SA (BMA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco Macro SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanco Macro SA (BMA) is a leading private bank in Argentina, offering a wide range of financial products and services to individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), and large corporations. The bank operates through various segments, including retail banking, corporate banking, and investment banking. Core products include savings and checking accounts, personal and business loans, credit and debit cards, digital banking services, and foreign trade services. With a strong presence across the country, Banco Macro focuses on providing accessible financial solutions that cater to the diverse needs of its customer base.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanco Macro generates revenue primarily through the interest income from loans and credit facilities extended to customers. The bank earns significant income from net interest margin, which is the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits. Additionally, it generates fees from various banking services, including account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and commissions for investment products. The bank also benefits from foreign exchange operations and trading activities. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other financial institutions and fintech companies enhance its service offerings and expand its customer reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Banco Macro SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 26, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlights significant growth in loans, interest income, and deposits, showcasing a strong capital position. However, these positives are overshadowed by substantial losses, increased loan loss provisions, decreased net interest margins, and deteriorating asset quality.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Loan Growth
In the third quarter of 2025, Banco Macro's total financial reached ARS 10.1 trillion, increasing 3% quarter-on-quarter and increasing 69% year-on-year. Private sector loans increased 67% year-on-year.
Interest Income on Loans
Income from interest on loans and other financing totaled ARS 930.3 billion, 18% higher compared to the previous quarter, and increased 74% year-on-year.
Deposit Growth
Total deposits increased 5% quarter-on-quarter, totaling ARS 11.8 trillion, and increased 11% year-on-year. Private sector deposits increased 6% quarter-on-quarter.
Capital Adequacy
Banco Macro accounted for an excess capital of ARS 3.3 trillion, representing a capital adequacy ratio of 29.9% and a Tier 1 ratio of 29.2%.
Negative Updates
Net Income Loss
Banco Macro's net income for Q3 2025 totaled a loss of ARS 33.1 billion, which was ARS 191.5 billion lower than the previous quarter.
Increase in Loan Loss Provisions
Provision for loan losses totaled ARS 156.8 billion, 45% higher than the second quarter of 2025 and increased 424% year-on-year.
Decrease in Net Interest Margin
The bank's net interest margin, including FX, was 18.7%, lower than the 23.5% in the second quarter of 2025 and the 31.5% in the third quarter of 2024.
Deterioration of Asset Quality
Banco Macro's nonperforming total finance ratio reached 30.2%. Consumer portfolio nonperforming loans increased to 4.3% from 2.81% in the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
During Banco Macro's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the bank reported a net income loss of ARS 33.1 billion, which was ARS 191.5 billion lower than the previous quarter. This decline was attributed to higher loan loss provisions, increased administrative expenses, and reduced income from government and private securities. The bank's net operating income before general and administrative expenses declined 23% from the previous quarter to ARS 779.6 billion, primarily due to decreased income from government securities. The accumulated annualized return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA) were reported at 4.5% and 1.5%, respectively. Despite these setbacks, Banco Macro's net interest income totaled ARS 686.2 billion, reflecting a 7% decrease from the second quarter. The bank also outlined expectations for 2026, forecasting a 35% growth in loans and a 25% increase in deposits in real terms, with an anticipated ROE in the low tens. Additionally, the bank's market share over private sector loans stood at 9% as of September 2025, with a liquidity ratio of 67% for liquid assets to total deposits.

Banco Macro SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banco Macro SA demonstrates strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, profitability margins are modest, and the decline in free cash flow growth poses a potential risk. The company should focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Banco Macro SA shows a strong revenue growth rate of 27.43% in the latest year, indicating robust business expansion. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 5.04%, suggesting potential inefficiencies or high costs. The gross profit margin is healthy at 68.28%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 5.57% and 7.71%, respectively, indicating room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, reflecting conservative leverage. The return on equity is moderate at 8.04%, suggesting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is solid, indicating a stable financial structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -51.29%, which could be a concern for future liquidity. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 86.44%, indicating that a substantial portion of earnings is converted into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unavailable, limiting a full assessment of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.51T6.46T9.69T5.37T1.70T587.93B
Gross Profit3.52T4.41T6.04T3.23T1.11T385.95B
EBITDA620.93B498.16B2.01T448.56B189.17B12.82B
Net Income291.41B325.50B1.27T276.45B138.74B76.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.56T14.49T14.63T6.51T1.95T1.17T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.19T3.21T3.33T1.21T335.69B196.18B
Total Debt1.49T465.41B914.79B239.19B90.36B61.92B
Total Liabilities15.80T10.44T10.19T4.91T1.48T940.34B
Stockholders Equity4.76T4.05T4.44T1.59T466.72B228.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.44T794.07B-142.30B1.54T229.96B341.09B
Operating Cash Flow-2.33T918.59B-85.23B1.61T271.77B351.90B
Investing Cash Flow-120.74B-133.69B177.09B-75.77B-42.03B-10.81B
Financing Cash Flow1.23T-592.03B-2.90T-77.79B-306.88B364.75B

Banco Macro SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.94
Price Trends
50DMA
71.62
Positive
100DMA
65.03
Positive
200DMA
71.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.81
Negative
RSI
65.86
Neutral
STOCH
68.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BMA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.58, above the 50-day MA of 71.62, and above the 200-day MA of 71.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BMA.

Banco Macro SA Risk Analysis

Banco Macro SA disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco Macro SA reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The Argentine economy has experienced significant volatility in recent decades, characterized by periods of low or negative growth, high levels of inflation and currency devaluation. Q4, 2023
2.
The occurrence of any of the above may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, cash flow or financial condition. Q4, 2023

Banco Macro SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$8.56B7.0422.42%1.96%-42.92%-21.46%
70
Outperform
$5.30B7.5412.35%3.59%2.79%2.11%
70
Outperform
$3.12B12.309.62%4.13%-4.45%16.92%
69
Neutral
$3.54B14.4410.17%0.69%-39.50%-49.55%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$5.00B12.0010.91%2.07%-57.78%-67.92%
63
Neutral
$4.74B11.719.69%2.97%-6.62%111.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BMA
Banco Macro SA
89.94
1.59
1.80%
OZK
Bank OZK
48.48
2.74
5.99%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
16.79
-0.42
-2.44%
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
50.18
-10.30
-17.03%
AVAL
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores SA Pfd
4.22
2.14
102.88%
FHB
First Hawaiian
26.06
-0.58
-2.18%

Banco Macro SA Corporate Events

Banco Macro Faces Class Action Lawsuit Over Improper Tax Application
Dec 1, 2025

On November 28, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. was notified of a class action lawsuit filed against it by ‘Usuarios y Consumidores Unidos.’ The lawsuit alleges that Banco Macro has been improperly applying the Tax for an Inclusive and Solidary Argentina (Impuesto PAIS) and withholding amounts for Income Tax and Personal Assets Tax on foreign currency purchases made with credit cards, even when these transactions do not involve a foreign exchange event. The plaintiffs are seeking a court order to stop these practices, demand repayment with interest, and require the bank to clearly inform customers about the tax applications, along with imposing a civil fine.

Banco Macro SA Reports Strong Financial Results for November 2025
Nov 26, 2025

Banco Macro SA reported its financial results for the period ending November 26, 2025, showcasing a total net income of 176,739,280 pesos and a comprehensive income of 186,894,892 pesos. The bank’s shareholders’ equity stood at 4,759,982,328 pesos, reflecting a robust financial position. These results highlight the bank’s strong performance and solidify its standing in the Argentine banking sector, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Banco Macro Reports Decline in 3Q25 Net Income Amid Strong Financing Growth
Nov 26, 2025

Banco Macro S.A. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, ending September 30. The bank experienced a significant decline in net income, totaling Ps.176.7 billion for the first nine months of 2025, which was 35% lower than the same period in 2024. Despite this, the bank’s total financing increased by 69% year-over-year, and total deposits rose by 11% year-over-year, indicating strong growth in these areas. The bank maintained a robust solvency position with an excess capital of Ps.3.3 trillion and a capital adequacy ratio of 29.9%.

Banco Macro Announces Sixth Dividend Payment for 2025
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced the payment of the sixth installment of its cash dividend, amounting to AR $37,446,788,165.99, which is AR $58.5664000649 per share. This decision follows resolutions from the shareholders’ meeting in April 2025 and subsequent authorizations from the Central Bank of Argentina. The dividend will be available to shareholders starting November 27, 2025, with a record date of November 26, 2025. The announcement also mentions a potential supplementary notice if any share buybacks occur before the record date. This dividend distribution reflects Banco Macro’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders, while navigating regulatory requirements and maintaining its financial strategies.

Banco Macro S.A. Announces Dividend Payment Following Share Repurchase
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced a complementary notice regarding the payment of a cash dividend installment, following a recent treasury share repurchase. The dividend, amounting to AR $36,589,874,132.56, will be available to shareholders from October 31, 2025, with a 7% withholding tax applied. The announcement underscores Banco Macro’s ongoing share buyback program and its impact on dividend distribution, reflecting the company’s strategic financial management and commitment to shareholder returns.

Banco Macro S.A. Acquires Own Shares in Strategic Move
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. reported a significant corporate action involving the acquisition of its own shares. The bank purchased 21,107 common Class B shares at an average price of Ps$ 7,426.31 per share, totaling Ps$ 156,747,150. This move is part of the bank’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

Banco Macro S.A. Announces Fifth Dividend Payment for 2025
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced the payment of the fifth installment of its cash dividend, amounting to AR $36,589,874,132.56, or AR $57.2243060958 per share. This decision follows resolutions from earlier shareholder meetings and authorizations from the Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina. The dividend will be available to shareholders starting October 31, 2025, with a 7% withholding tax applicable. The announcement also noted the potential impact of the bank’s ongoing share buyback program on the dividend distribution.

Banco Macro S.A. Acquires Own Shares in Strategic Move
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced the acquisition of 2,000 of its own common, book entry, Class B shares. The shares, each with a par value of 1 Peso, were purchased at an average price of 7,490 Pesos per share, totaling an aggregate amount of 14,980,000 Pesos. This move is part of the bank’s strategic actions under the provisions of Section 64 of Law 26,831 and applicable CNV Rules and Regulations, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

Banco Macro S.A. Announces Stock Repurchase Amid Market Fluctuations
Oct 8, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced a stock repurchase program, setting terms for the acquisition of up to 30 million Class B shares, with a maximum investment of Ps$. 225 billion. This decision, influenced by the current macroeconomic conditions and market fluctuations, aims to bolster the bank’s financial strength and liquidity, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

Banco Macro SA Releases Interim Financial Statements for June 2025
Sep 18, 2025

Banco Macro SA released its condensed interim financial statements for the period ending June 30, 2025. The financial report highlights a decrease in cash and deposits in banks from December 31, 2024, to June 30, 2025, alongside a reduction in debt securities at fair value through profit or loss. These financial changes may impact the bank’s liquidity and investment strategies, affecting stakeholders’ interests.

Banco Macro S.A. Announces Fourth Dividend Payment for 2025
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced the payment of the fourth installment of its cash dividend, amounting to AR $35,845,730,979.60, which represents a significant return of 5,606.0336% of its capital stock. This distribution, authorized by the Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina and the company’s board, will be available to shareholders from September 29, 2025, with a 7% withholding tax applicable under the revised Income Tax Law.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025