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Banco Macro (BMA)
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Banco Macro SA (BMA) AI Stock Analysis

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BMA

Banco Macro SA

(NYSE:BMA)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
Banco Macro's overall score reflects a balance of strong profitability and revenue growth against challenges in cash flow management and rising liabilities. The technical indicators show positive momentum, and the stock presents a fair valuation with an attractive dividend yield. The mixed results from the earnings call highlight the need to improve efficiency and manage loan loss provisions effectively. Despite these challenges, the bank's strong market position and capitalization provide a positive outlook for future growth.

Banco Macro SA (BMA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco Macro SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanco Macro SA (BMA) is a leading financial institution in Argentina, offering a wide range of banking products and services. It operates in the financial services sector, providing personal and commercial banking solutions. Core services include savings and checking accounts, personal and business loans, credit cards, and investment products. Banco Macro is known for its extensive network of branches and ATMs across Argentina, catering to both individual and corporate clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanco Macro SA generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and credit products, including personal, mortgage, and commercial loans. Another significant source of income is fee-based services, such as transaction fees, account maintenance fees, and fees from investment products. The bank also earns from the spread between interest earned on loans and paid on deposits. Banco Macro has established partnerships with various businesses and institutions to enhance its service offerings and reach a broader customer base, contributing to its financial performance.

Banco Macro SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -18.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture for Banco Macro. While the bank demonstrated solid loan growth and maintained a strong capital position, significant challenges were evident in the form of decreased net income, increased loan loss provisions, and lower interest and FX income. The bank's financial health is stable, but there are areas that require attention.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Income Performance
Banco Macro's net income totaled ARS45.7 billion in the first quarter of 2025. Although this is a decrease from the previous quarter, it represents continued profitability despite challenging conditions.
Net Interest Income Growth
Net interest income totaled ARS579.2 billion, which is ARS1 billion higher than the fourth quarter of 2024 and represents a 122% year-on-year increase.
Loan Growth
Private sector loans increased by 22% quarter-on-quarter and 94% year-on-year. The bank's total financing reached ARS7.7 trillion, reflecting robust loan demand.
Efficiency Ratio Improvement
The efficiency ratio improved to 38.2% from 39.4% in the previous quarter, indicating better cost management.
Strong Capitalization
Banco Macro reported an excess capital of ARS3.2 trillion, with a capital adequacy ratio of 34.3% and a Tier 1 ratio of 33.6%.
Negative Updates
Significant Decrease in Net Income Compared to Previous Quarter
Net income was 59% lower than in the fourth quarter of 2024, primarily due to lower net income from financial assets and liabilities at fair value through profit or loss.
Provision for Loan Losses Increase
Provision for loan losses increased by 62% quarter-on-quarter and 124% year-on-year, reflecting higher risk associated with loan growth.
Interest Income Decline
Interest income totaled ARS866.7 billion, which is 3% lower than the previous quarter and 22% lower than the same period last year.
Decreased FX Income
FX income was 95% lower than a year ago, impacted by the depreciation of the Argentine peso against the US dollar.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025 earnings call, Banco Macro provided guidance on several financial metrics. The bank expects real loan growth of 60% and deposit growth of 45% for the year. They anticipate a return on equity (ROE) between 8% to 10%, adjusted based on bond price fluctuations, with a capital adequacy ratio forecasted to be in the range of 28% to 29% by year-end. The bank's net interest margin, including foreign exchange, was reported at 23.2%, lower than previous quarters. Despite a decrease in net income due to lower financial asset income and higher inflation, the bank maintained a strong capital position with a Tier 1 ratio of 33.6%. Banco Macro's non-performing loan ratio was 1.44%, with a coverage ratio of 163.34%. The bank's market share over private sector loans was 9.5%, while its market share over private deposits stood at 7.8%. They also highlighted their strategic focus on organic growth, while remaining open to potential M&A opportunities in the future.

Banco Macro SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banco Macro SA exhibits strong financial performance, particularly in terms of profitability and revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable with a solid equity base, though rising liabilities could pose a risk if not managed properly. Cash flow management appears to be an area for improvement, as recent declines may affect liquidity. Overall, the company is in a strong financial position, but should focus on enhancing cash flow stability and managing liabilities.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Banco Macro SA demonstrates strong revenue growth, with total revenue increasing significantly over the years. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin shows fluctuations, suggesting some volatility in managing expenses or other income sources. Overall, the income statement reflects a robust financial performance with high profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating strong financial stability. The equity ratio is also strong, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, there is a noticeable increase in total liabilities over the years, which could indicate rising obligations. Overall, the balance sheet is solid, but attention to liability management is advisable.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company's cash flow statement reveals fluctuations in operating cash flow, with a notable decline in the latest year. Free cash flow has also decreased recently, indicating potential challenges in maintaining liquidity. Despite the past strong free cash flow, recent trends suggest the need for improved cash flow management to support ongoing operations and investments.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.46T3.15B1.51T1.13T409.07B
Gross Profit4.41T2.83T1.51T1.13T409.07B
EBITDA498.16B772.19B47.23B35.79B12.82B
Net Income325.50B587.32B126.95B138.74B76.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.49T6.72T6.51T1.95T1.17T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.21T1.20T1.21T335.69B196.18B
Total Debt446.45B396.48B239.19B90.36B60.98B
Total Liabilities10.44T4.67T280.10B102.52B72.23B
Stockholders Equity4.05T2.04T1.59T466.72B228.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow794.07B-142.30B1.54T229.96B341.09B
Operating Cash Flow918.59B-85.23B1.61T271.77B351.90B
Investing Cash Flow-133.69B-951.69B-75.77B-42.03B-10.81B
Financing Cash Flow-592.03B-56.91M-77.79B-52.64B-20.05B

Banco Macro SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.84
Price Trends
50DMA
72.65
Positive
100DMA
78.52
Negative
200DMA
84.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
55.58
Neutral
STOCH
50.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BMA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.10, above the 50-day MA of 72.65, and below the 200-day MA of 84.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BMA.

Banco Macro SA Risk Analysis

Banco Macro SA disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco Macro SA reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The Argentine economy has experienced significant volatility in recent decades, characterized by periods of low or negative growth, high levels of inflation and currency devaluation. Q4, 2023
2.
The occurrence of any of the above may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, cash flow or financial condition. Q4, 2023

Banco Macro SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.00B12.429.40%4.38%-2.63%12.05%
75
Outperform
$11.87B13.1215.99%14.57%-5.45%3.43%
74
Outperform
$4.65B1,013.140.11%3.21%-46.30%-79.35%
74
Outperform
$3.40B8.6215.46%3.37%-48.81%0.18%
71
Outperform
$0.005.3128.17%2.25%-35.65%70.23%
68
Neutral
$1.43B6.8016.45%5.72%8.33%13.48%
65
Neutral
£5.09B9.375.51%4.87%24.62%-23.11%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BMA
Banco Macro SA
72.84
27.31
59.98%
BLX
Banco Latinoamericano De Comercio
40.84
13.92
51.71%
CIB
Bancolombia
44.94
18.57
70.42%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
16.40
8.27
101.72%
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
50.95
23.09
82.88%
FHB
First Hawaiian
24.04
2.06
9.37%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2025