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Banco Macro SA (BMA)
NYSE:BMA

Banco Macro SA (BMA) AI Stock Analysis

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Banco Macro SA

(NYSE:BMA)

74Outperform
Banco Macro's overall score reflects a balance of strong profitability and revenue growth against challenges in cash flow management and rising liabilities. The technical indicators show positive momentum, and the stock presents a fair valuation with an attractive dividend yield. The mixed results from the earnings call highlight the need to improve efficiency and manage loan loss provisions effectively. Despite these challenges, the bank's strong market position and capitalization provide a positive outlook for future growth.

Banco Macro SA (BMA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Banco Macro SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanco Macro S.A. provides various banking products and services to retail and corporate customers in Argentina. It offers various retail banking products and services, such as savings and checking accounts, time deposits, credit and debit cards, consumer finance loans, mortgage loans, automobile loans, overdrafts, credit-related services, home and car insurance coverage, tax collection, utility payments, automated teller machines (ATMs), and money transfers. The company also provides personal loans, document discounts, residential mortgages, overdrafts, pledged loans, and credit card loans to retail customers. In addition, it offers corporate banking products and services, including deposits, lending, check cashing advances and factoring, guaranteed loans, credit lines for financing foreign trade, and cash management services; and trust, payroll, and financial agency services, as well as corporate credit cards and other specialty products; and working capital facilities, credit for investment projects, and leasing and foreign trade transactions. Further, the company provides transaction services, such as cash management, collection services, payments to suppliers, payroll services, foreign exchange transactions, and foreign trade services; information services comprising Datanet and Interpymes services to corporate customers; and Internet and mobile banking services. Additionally, it offers short-term and medium-to-long-term corporate lending products. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 466 branches, 1,779 ATMs, 955 self-service terminals, and various service points. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanco Macro SA generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and credit products, including personal, mortgage, and commercial loans. Another significant source of income is fee-based services, such as transaction fees, account maintenance fees, and fees from investment products. The bank also earns from the spread between interest earned on loans and paid on deposits. Banco Macro has established partnerships with various businesses and institutions to enhance its service offerings and reach a broader customer base, contributing to its financial performance.

Banco Macro SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banco Macro SA exhibits strong financial performance, particularly in terms of profitability and revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable with a solid equity base, though rising liabilities could pose a risk if not managed properly. Cash flow management appears to be an area for improvement, as recent declines may affect liquidity. Overall, the company is in a strong financial position, but should focus on enhancing cash flow stability and managing liabilities.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Banco Macro SA demonstrates strong revenue growth, with total revenue increasing significantly over the years. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin shows fluctuations, suggesting some volatility in managing expenses or other income sources. Overall, the income statement reflects a robust financial performance with high profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating strong financial stability. The equity ratio is also strong, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, there is a noticeable increase in total liabilities over the years, which could indicate rising obligations. Overall, the balance sheet is solid, but attention to liability management is advisable.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company's cash flow statement reveals fluctuations in operating cash flow, with a notable decline in the latest year. Free cash flow has also decreased recently, indicating potential challenges in maintaining liquidity. Despite the past strong free cash flow, recent trends suggest the need for improved cash flow management to support ongoing operations and investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.15B1.51T1.13T409.07B139.32B
Gross Profit
2.83T1.51T1.13T409.07B139.32B
EBIT
714.74B184.16B145.94B115.26B45.75B
EBITDA
772.19B47.23B35.79B12.82B49.45B
Net Income Common Stockholders
587.32B126.95B138.74B76.90B40.80B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.20T1.21T335.69B196.18B0.00
Total Assets
6.72T6.51T1.95T1.17T428.41B
Total Debt
396.48B239.19B90.36B60.98B33.73B
Net Debt
-806.62B-539.60B-245.34B-135.19B33.73B
Total Liabilities
4.67T280.10B102.52B72.23B338.60B
Stockholders Equity
2.04T1.59T466.72B228.74B89.81B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-142.30B1.54T229.96B341.09B0.00
Operating Cash Flow
-85.23B1.61T271.77B351.90B0.00
Investing Cash Flow
-951.69B-75.77B-42.03B-10.81B0.00
Financing Cash Flow
-56.91M-77.79B-52.64B-20.05B0.00

Banco Macro SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price85.26
Price Trends
50DMA
83.25
Positive
100DMA
91.51
Negative
200DMA
78.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.46
Negative
RSI
49.19
Neutral
STOCH
15.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BMA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 85.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.88, above the 50-day MA of 83.25, and above the 200-day MA of 78.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BMA.

Banco Macro SA Risk Analysis

Banco Macro SA disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco Macro SA reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Banco Macro SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CICIB
77
Outperform
$10.75B11.8415.62%15.37%-0.15%8.78%
BMBMA
74
Outperform
$5.70B15.409.05%9.15%-46.30%-79.35%
74
Outperform
$4.17B10.4016.83%7.95%-40.21%-16.07%
BLBLX
72
Outperform
$1.34B6.8416.20%5.55%16.62%23.05%
71
Outperform
$9.84B5.2938.13%4.16%-35.65%70.23%
FHFHB
66
Neutral
$2.90B12.499.11%4.55%-0.47%5.97%
63
Neutral
$12.46B9.568.14%17044.64%12.63%-4.25%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BMA
Banco Macro SA
85.26
34.03
66.43%
BLX
Banco Latinoamericano De Comercio
38.63
10.08
35.31%
CIB
Bancolombia
40.50
12.58
45.06%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
19.64
11.43
139.22%
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
58.69
29.10
98.34%
FHB
First Hawaiian
22.95
2.15
10.34%

Banco Macro SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -3.04%|
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented growth in net income and loans, strong market share and capitalization, but was overshadowed by significant declines in annual net and operating income, increased provisions for loan losses, and deteriorated efficiency. The bank is optimistic about future growth, but current financial challenges create a balanced outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Income Increase
Banco Macro's net income totaled Ps. 102.2 billion in Q4 2024, which was 4% or Ps. 3.5 billion higher than in the third quarter of 2024.
Loan Growth
The bank's total financial loans reached Ps. 5.8 trillion, increasing 18% quarter-on-quarter and 45% year-on-year, with commercial loans showing significant growth.
Market Share in Loans
Banco Macro's market share over private sector loans as of December 2024 reached 8.3%.
Strong Capitalization
Banco Macro accounted for an excess capital of Ps. 2.8 trillion, representing a capital adequacy ratio of 32.4% and a Tier 1 ratio of 31.6%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Annual Net Income
Net income for fiscal year 2024 totaled Ps. 325.1 billion, 74% lower than in fiscal year 2023.
Decline in Operating Income
Operating income before expenses in Q4 2024 was Ps. 813.9 billion, 9% lower than in Q3 2024, and decreased 72% year-on-year.
Increased Provision for Loan Losses
Provision for loan losses in Q4 2024 totaled Ps. 37.5 billion, 51% higher than in Q3 2024.
Decline in Net Interest Income
Net interest income in Q4 2024 totaled Ps. 532.6 billion, 13% lower than in Q3 2024.
Decline in FX Income
FX income in Q4 2024 was Ps. 18 billion, 100% lower than a year ago.
Efficiency Ratio Deterioration
The efficiency ratio reached 39.4% in Q4 2024, deteriorating from 36.3% in Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During Banco Macro's 4Q 2024 earnings call, the bank provided detailed guidance on various financial metrics and outlook for 2025. Banco Macro reported a net income of Ps. 102.2 billion for the fourth quarter, reflecting a 4% increase from the previous quarter, while the full-year net income for 2024 was Ps. 325.1 billion, a significant 74% drop from 2023. The bank expects loan growth of 60% in real terms for 2025, driven by increased lending to the private sector, especially in consumer loans. The capital adequacy ratio was maintained at 32.4%, with a Tier 1 ratio of 31.6%. Banco Macro plans to reduce its securities portfolio from 27% to around 20% of total assets by the end of 2025, primarily funding growth through deposits expected to rise by 35% in real terms. The ROE for 2025 is projected to be between 12% and 15%, with potential to approach 20% by the end of 2026, assuming stable economic conditions. The bank's asset quality saw a modest deterioration with a nonperforming loan ratio of 1.28%, and the provision for loan losses increased by 51% quarter-on-quarter. The efficiency ratio was noted at 39.4%, slightly deteriorating from previous quarters. Banco Macro also highlighted its strong liquidity position, with a liquid assets to total deposits ratio of 79% and a market share of 8.3% in private sector loans.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.