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Bancolombia SA (CIB)
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Bancolombia (CIB) AI Stock Analysis

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CIB

Bancolombia

(NYSE:CIB)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$57.00
â–²(15.04% Upside)
Grupo Cibest's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, such as the growth of Nequi and the share repurchase program, are significant strengths. The technical indicators show bullish momentum, although caution is advised due to overbought conditions. The stock's attractive valuation, with a high dividend yield, further supports a positive outlook. However, cash flow challenges and fiscal issues in Colombia present risks that need monitoring.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
El Salvador’s earnings rose 54% YoY supported by strong YoY core revenue growth.
Price Objective
The price objective was raised by 16% to reflect new earnings estimates and a higher sustainable return on average equity.
Negative Factors
Earnings Decline
Panama’s earnings declined 20% YoY due to weaker core revenue generation.
Financial Performance
1Q25 earnings showed weak core revenue generation and higher opex growth.

Bancolombia (CIB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bancolombia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBancolombia S.A. provides banking products and services in Colombia, Panama, Puerto Rico, El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Guatemala. The company operates through nine segments: Banking Colombia, Banking Panama, Banking El Salvador, Banking Guatemala, Trust, Investment Banking, Brokerage, International Banking, and All Other. It offers checking and savings accounts, fixed term deposits, and investment products; trade financing, loans funded by domestic development banks, working capital loans, credit cards, personal and vehicle loans, payroll loans, and overdrafts; financial support to real estate developers and mortgages for individuals and companies; factoring; and financial and operating leasing services. The company also provides hedging instruments, including futures, forwards, options, and swaps; and brokerage, investment advisory, and private banking services, including selling and distributing equities, futures, foreign currencies, fixed income securities, mutual funds, and structured products. In addition, it offers cash management services; foreign currency transaction services; life, auto, commercial, and homeowner's insurance products; and online and computer banking services. Further, the company provides project and acquisition finance, debt and equity capital markets, principal investments, M&A, hedging strategies, restructurings, and structured financing; money market accounts, mutual and pension funds, private equity funds, payment and corporate trust, and custody; internet-based trading platform; inter-bank lending and repurchase agreements; managing escrow accounts, and investment and real estate funds; and transportation, securities brokerage, maintenance and remodeling, and outsourcing services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 1,015 branches; 28,676 banking correspondents; 529 PAMs; 210 kiosks in El Salvador and 187 in Colombia; and 6,094 ATMs. Bancolombia S.A. was incorporated in 1945 and is headquartered in Medellín, Colombia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBancolombia generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank lends money to consumers and businesses, charging interest on these loans, which provides a steady income stream. Additionally, Bancolombia earns fees from various services, including account maintenance, transaction fees, and commissions from investment and insurance products. The company also benefits from wealth management services, where it charges fees for managing investments and providing financial advisory services. Significant partnerships with fintech companies and collaborations in digital banking initiatives enhance its service offerings and customer reach, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Bancolombia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Grupo Cibest reported strong financial results, including robust growth in net income and asset quality improvements. The digital bank Nequi showed impressive growth, contributing significantly to the group's overall performance. However, challenges remain with Colombia's fiscal deficit and weak demand in commercial loans. Despite these issues, the financial outlook remains positive due to strategic measures like the share repurchase program and ongoing efficiency improvements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Grupo Cibest reported a return on equity of 17.5% in Q2 2025, driven by an improved net interest margin of 6.6% and reduced provision expenses. Net income increased by 3% quarter-over-quarter and 24% year-over-year.
Nequi's Remarkable Growth
Nequi, the digital bank, reported loans totaling COP 1.1 trillion, reflecting a substantial 4.7-fold increase over the previous year. Deposits grew over 77%, reaching nearly 6 trillion, with a total income increase of 90%.
Asset Quality Improvement
The cost of risk was maintained at 1.6%, with declining nonperforming loans ratios, highlighting ongoing enhancement of asset quality.
Successful Share Repurchase Program
Grupo Cibest launched a share repurchase program with the goal to buy up to COP 1.3 trillion by June 2026. As of July 31, 5.2% of total shares had been repurchased.
Positive Macroeconomic Indicators
The Colombian economy grew by 2.9% during the first half of 2025, with household consumption and investment recovery contributing to economic momentum.
Negative Updates
Fiscal Challenges in Colombia
Colombia's fiscal deficit is projected to exceed 7% in 2025, leading to recent downgrades by credit rating agencies Moody's and S&P.
Weak Commercial Loan Demand
The commercial loan portfolio remained almost flat over the quarter due to weak demand, with a modest 4.4% growth over the year.
Central Bank's Cautious Stance
Despite inflation falling to 4.8% year-over-year in June, the Central Bank has kept the policy rate unchanged at 9.25%, reflecting ongoing concerns about inflation risks.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Grupo Cibest provided updated guidance reflecting strong financial performance and strategic realignment. The company anticipates loan growth of approximately 5.4%, with consumer and mortgage loans projected to grow by 7% and 7.5%, respectively. The net interest margin is expected to stabilize around 6.3%, influenced by interest rate trends and a strategic shift towards higher-yielding consumer loans. The cost of risk is forecasted to range between 1.6% and 1.8%, highlighting improvements in asset quality. Consequently, the company revised its return on equity (ROE) guidance to roughly 16%, supported by efficient capital allocation and operational enhancements. Additionally, Nequi, the digital bank, is on track to achieve breakeven by early 2026, with significant growth in loans and deposits contributing to operational efficiency. These metrics underscore Grupo Cibest's commitment to sustainable growth and value creation for stakeholders.

Bancolombia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bancolombia exhibits strong revenue and profit growth, reflecting robust performance in the banking sector. While the balance sheet shows prudent leverage management, there is a need for better equity utilization. Cash flow challenges, particularly in 2024, signal a need for enhanced cash management strategies. Overall, the company demonstrates financial stability with areas for operational improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows strong growth in total revenue and net income over the years, with a revenue increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is solid at 100% due to the nature of the banking industry. The net profit margin for 2024 is approximately 28.3%, indicating high profitability. However, the EBIT margin has fluctuated, which suggests varying operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of about 0.44 in 2024, indicating a well-managed leverage position. The equity ratio stands at around 11.7%, showing moderate reliance on equity for asset financing. However, the return on equity of approximately 14.4% suggests room for improved equity utilization.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights negative free cash flow in 2024, which raises concerns about cash management, despite positive operating cash flow in prior years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative for 2024, suggesting issues in converting profits into cash flows. Improvements in cash flow efficiency are needed for better financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.59T22.18T20.88T15.54T17.36T15.72T
Gross Profit22.58T22.18T20.88T19.31T14.92T15.72T
EBITDA9.59T9.77T10.27T10.69T6.84T0.00
Net Income6.34T6.27T6.12T6.78T4.09T275.99B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.20T30.06T36.13T28.77T24.54T0.00
Total Debt25.90T29.91T32.09T41.17T31.46T32.15T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity40.63T43.54T38.09T39.09T32.23T26.55T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.16T-19.94T16.74T3.03T3.91T9.70T
Operating Cash Flow-8.09T-17.89T19.15T6.56T6.10T11.23T
Investing Cash Flow-821.04B-559.20B-159.69B-4.65T-650.49B-7.52T
Financing Cash Flow9.32T9.09T11.59T853.44B-6.81T-4.92T

Bancolombia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.55
Price Trends
50DMA
45.96
Positive
100DMA
43.43
Positive
200DMA
38.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.33
Negative
RSI
63.98
Neutral
STOCH
66.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.83, above the 50-day MA of 45.96, and above the 200-day MA of 38.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CIB.

Bancolombia Risk Analysis

Bancolombia disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bancolombia reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
The Bank is subject to a wide range of cybersecurity incidents. Q4, 2023

Bancolombia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$13.22B14.0516.25%13.21%-8.82%4.87%
74
Outperform
$11.21B9.9924.13%5.61%12.43%56.30%
74
Outperform
$3.81B875.910.11%1.33%-62.73%-99.74%
73
Outperform
$14.41B11.2622.07%7.39%-13.16%-8.10%
72
Outperform
$20.22B11.8918.54%5.52%5.16%27.77%
71
Outperform
$6.69B4.5228.17%2.88%-42.73%22.18%
68
Neutral
$17.84B12.0310.32%3.73%9.70%0.76%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIB
Bancolombia
49.55
21.13
74.35%
BCH
Banco De Chile
28.40
4.44
18.53%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
57.43
5.48
10.55%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
23.71
4.07
20.72%
BAP
Credicorp
252.33
91.77
57.16%
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
39.82
4.90
14.03%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025