Grupo Cibest S.A. (CIB)
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Grupo Cibest (CIB) AI Stock Analysis

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CIB

Grupo Cibest

(NYSE:CIB)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$72.00
â–²(15.14% Upside)
CIB's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and robust technical analysis, indicating positive market sentiment and strategic growth. While financial performance shows stability, cash flow management needs improvement. The attractive valuation further supports the stock's potential, making it appealing for both growth and income investors.
Positive Factors
Loan and Deposit Growth
Strong loan and deposit growth indicates robust demand for Bancolombia's services, enhancing revenue potential and market position in the banking sector.
Strong Capital Position
A strong capital position ensures financial stability and provides a buffer against economic downturns, supporting long-term growth and resilience.
Noninterest Income Growth
Growth in noninterest income diversifies revenue streams, reducing reliance on interest income and enhancing financial stability in varying economic conditions.
Negative Factors
Increased Administrative Expenses
Rising administrative expenses can pressure profit margins, necessitating cost control measures to maintain profitability and operational efficiency.
Natural NIM Compression
NIM compression impacts interest income, potentially reducing profitability. Sustained margin pressure requires strategic adjustments to maintain earnings.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, impacting the ability to fund operations and growth initiatives without external financing.

Grupo Cibest (CIB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Cibest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBancolombia (CIB) is a leading financial institution in Colombia, providing a wide range of banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and corporations. The company operates in several sectors, including retail banking, corporate banking, investment banking, and asset management. Bancolombia offers core products and services such as savings and checking accounts, credit and debit cards, loans, mortgages, investment products, and various insurance solutions, catering to the diverse financial needs of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyBancolombia generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank lends money to consumers and businesses, charging interest on these loans, which provides a steady income stream. Additionally, Bancolombia earns fees from various services, including account maintenance, transaction fees, and commissions from investment and insurance products. The company also benefits from wealth management services, where it charges fees for managing investments and providing financial advisory services. Significant partnerships with fintech companies and collaborations in digital banking initiatives enhance its service offerings and customer reach, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Grupo Cibest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presents a strong financial performance by CIB, highlighted by significant loan and deposit growth, high ROE, and a strong capital position. Despite challenges such as increased administrative expenses and natural NIM compression, the bank's strategic initiatives and favorable macroeconomic conditions contributed to a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan Growth
Loans grew by EGP 119 billion, translating to a growth of 30%, driven by local currency loan bookings of 38% and foreign currency loans growing by 17%.
Deposit Growth and CASA Improvement
Total deposits recorded EGP 1.04 trillion, growing by 8% or EGP 75.3 billion year-to-date. The healthy share of CASA to total deposits grew from 55% last year to 60% this year.
High Return on Equity
ROE recorded 45.9% and upon excluding the one-off provision release, it's 37.7%.
Record Noninterest Income Growth
Fees and commissions income grew by 22% year-over-year.
Strong Capital Position
Maintained a strong capital position with a CAR of 30% and a CET1 ratio of 26% by end of third quarter 2025.
Negative Updates
Increased Administrative Expenses
Administrative expenses increased by 35% for the 9 months '25 versus the same period last year, driven by renewals of expired contracts and finalized IT projects.
Natural NIM Compression
Natural NIM compression due to interest rate cuts, though mitigated by disciplined monetary policy and CASA growth.
Provision Release Not Part of Capital Base
The provision release amounting to EGP 13.1 billion will not be recognized in the bank's capital base or CAR or distributable profits without prior consultation with the CBE.
Company Guidance
During the CIB's 3Q '25 earnings call, management provided guidance based on the bank's recent financial performance and macroeconomic conditions. The bank reported a loan growth of EGP 119 billion, translating to a 30% increase, driven by a 38% increase in local currency loans and a 17% increase in foreign currency loans. Deposits reached EGP 1.04 trillion, up by 8%, with the CASA ratio improving from 55% to 60%. The bank's loan-to-deposit ratio rose to 49.7%, with local currency NIMs at 13%, amidst a declining interest rate environment. Costs were managed efficiently, with a cost-to-income ratio of 14.3%. The recalibrated ECL model led to a one-time provision release of EGP 13.1 billion. CIB's ROE was recorded at 45.9%, with a CET1 ratio of 26%. The bank expects continued strong performance with a focus on disciplined growth, maintaining a solid balance sheet, and leveraging macroeconomic improvements.

Grupo Cibest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bancolombia exhibits strong revenue and profit growth, reflecting robust performance in the banking sector. While the balance sheet shows prudent leverage management, there is a need for better equity utilization. Cash flow challenges, particularly in 2024, signal a need for enhanced cash management strategies. Overall, the company demonstrates financial stability with areas for operational improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows strong growth in total revenue and net income over the years, with a revenue increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is solid at 100% due to the nature of the banking industry. The net profit margin for 2024 is approximately 28.3%, indicating high profitability. However, the EBIT margin has fluctuated, which suggests varying operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of about 0.44 in 2024, indicating a well-managed leverage position. The equity ratio stands at around 11.7%, showing moderate reliance on equity for asset financing. However, the return on equity of approximately 14.4% suggests room for improved equity utilization.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights negative free cash flow in 2024, which raises concerns about cash management, despite positive operating cash flow in prior years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative for 2024, suggesting issues in converting profits into cash flows. Improvements in cash flow efficiency are needed for better financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.51T22.18T20.88T32.69T21.69T21.58T
Gross Profit23.83T22.18T20.88T20.45T14.92T8.19T
EBITDA10.53T9.77T10.27T10.69T6.84T1.05T
Net Income6.69T6.27T6.12T6.78T4.09T275.99B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.46T30.06T36.13T28.77T24.54T23.38T
Total Debt27.40T29.91T32.56T41.17T31.46T34.36T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity41.29T43.54T38.09T39.09T32.23T26.55T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.95T-19.94T16.74T3.03T3.91T9.70T
Operating Cash Flow-945.36B-17.89T19.15T6.56T6.10T11.23T
Investing Cash Flow-1.60T-559.20B-159.69B-4.65T-650.49B-7.52T
Financing Cash Flow3.84T9.09T11.59T853.44B-6.81T-4.92T

Grupo Cibest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.53
Price Trends
50DMA
55.69
Positive
100DMA
51.39
Positive
200DMA
45.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.36
Negative
RSI
70.11
Negative
STOCH
66.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.75, above the 50-day MA of 55.69, and above the 200-day MA of 45.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.11 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CIB.

Grupo Cibest Risk Analysis

Grupo Cibest disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Cibest reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
The Bank is subject to a wide range of cybersecurity incidents. Q4, 2023

Grupo Cibest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$15.59B12.6817.06%10.47%-6.79%16.13%
77
Outperform
$9.15B7.4422.42%1.66%-42.92%-21.46%
73
Outperform
$20.19B11.3818.12%5.56%8.72%27.70%
71
Outperform
$17.69B13.8221.29%5.72%-11.64%-8.75%
70
Outperform
$5.65B13.3110.91%2.24%-57.78%-67.92%
69
Neutral
$13.55B12.1024.13%4.54%12.43%56.30%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIB
Grupo Cibest
62.77
33.77
116.45%
BCH
Banco De Chile
36.88
14.85
67.41%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
78.60
-0.18
-0.23%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
29.20
10.71
57.92%
BAP
Credicorp
251.66
68.34
37.28%
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
50.89
-5.10
-9.11%

Grupo Cibest Corporate Events

Bancolombia Releases Q2 2025 Financial Report
Aug 15, 2025

Bancolombia S.A. released its quarterly report for the second quarter of 2025, fulfilling a legal reporting requirement in Colombia. The report, which covers the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2025, highlights the company’s financial performance and includes details on its current securities and international bonds. The report is prepared in accordance with Colombian law and not international standards, indicating a focus on local regulatory compliance. This announcement may impact stakeholders by providing insights into the company’s financial health and market positioning.

Bancolombia Delists Bonds from NYSE, Moves to Singapore Exchange
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Bancolombia S.A. announced the voluntary delisting of its 4.875% Subordinated Notes due 2027 and 8.625% Subordinated Notes due 2034 from the New York Stock Exchange. This strategic move, authorized by the company’s Board of Directors, aims to list these notes on the Singapore Exchange, with trading expected to commence on August 15, 2025. The decision reflects Bancolombia’s efforts to optimize its financial operations and enhance its market presence in Asia, potentially impacting stakeholders by aligning the company’s securities with a more suitable exchange.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025