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Banco De Chile (BCH)
NYSE:BCH

Banco De Chile (BCH) AI Stock Analysis

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BCH

Banco De Chile

(NYSE:BCH)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(11.03% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/06/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality signals—especially the sharp 2025 revenue decline and volatile cash flow—despite strong profitability. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, while valuation is reasonable with a solid dividend yield and the earnings call guidance is broadly constructive but tempered by soft commercial loan demand and a higher cost-of-risk outlook.
Positive Factors
High profitability and returns leadership
Sustained top‑quartile profitability and explicit ROAC targets (19%–21%) indicate durable franchise economics and pricing power across retail and corporate segments. High returns support internal capital generation, enable dividend capacity and create buffer to invest in growth or absorb shocks over months.
Strong capital base and provisioning coverage
Robust CET1 and elevated coverage provide long‑term loss absorption and strategic flexibility. Strong capital and provisioning reduce the need for emergency capital raises, support credit risk appetite discipline, and underpin confidence in dividend and growth plans for the coming quarters.
Low funding costs and sticky deposit franchise
A large, low‑cost deposit base is a durable structural advantage that supports net interest margin resilience and underwriting capacity. Lower funding costs give the bank room to compete on pricing, maintain margins if rates shift, and fund loan growth without relying heavily on volatile wholesale markets.
Negative Factors
Sharp 2025 revenue decline and cash flow volatility
A marked top‑line drop and swingy operating cash flow weaken confidence in sustainable internal capital generation. Volatility complicates multi‑period planning, may pressure future dividend or capital deployment decisions, and raises reliance on capital markets if adverse trends persist over several quarters.
Weak commercial and wholesale loan demand
Sustained weakness in commercial and wholesale lending undermines a key revenue engine and limits diversification. If private investment and corporate activity remain subdued, loan book expansion and fee income recovery may lag for multiple quarters, constraining durable earnings growth.
Elevated cost‑of‑risk guidance for 2026
An upward shift in expected credit losses signals structurally higher charge levels ahead, which will compress net income and reduce internal capital generation versus prior years. Higher cost of risk also tightens underwriting economics and may constrain return targets if credit trends persist.

Banco De Chile (BCH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco De Chile Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanco de Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services to customers in Chile. It operates through Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Treasury and Money Market segments. The company offers deposit products, such as checking accounts, current accounts, demand deposits and accounts, saving accounts, and time deposits; commercial, mortgage, consumer, working capital, syndicated, and installment loans; and credit cards. It also provides leasing, factoring, and foreign trade services; international and treasury banking services; and financial advisory services. In addition, the company offers liquidity management services, debt instruments, and derivative contracts and leases, as well as financial transaction and currency trading services; and securities brokerage, mutual funds management, wholesale customer, investment banking and management, and insurance brokerage services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 272 branches and 1,761 ATMs. The company serves individuals, small and medium-sized companies, corporate clients, and large companies. Banco de Chile was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanco de Chile generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and advances given to customers, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank also earns money from fees and commissions related to account maintenance, transaction processing, and wealth management services. Additionally, BCH benefits from income generated through its investment portfolio, including returns on securities and other financial instruments. The bank has established various partnerships with corporations and financial service providers to enhance its product offerings and expand its customer base, which contributes to its overall profitability. Furthermore, fluctuations in interest rates and economic conditions in Chile play a crucial role in influencing its earnings.

Banco De Chile Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong franchise metrics — market leadership in profitability, robust capital and provisioning, high efficiency and healthy digital/customer traction — which are offset by continued weakness in commercial/wholesale loan demand, normalization of market‑driven income and some near‑term increases in cost of risk. Management provided constructive guidance (ROAC 19%–21%, efficiency ~39%, cost of risk 1.1%–1.2%) and signaled intent to deploy excess capital to grow, but noted macro and policy timing risks that could delay a fuller lending recovery.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Top Industry Profitability and Returns
Banco de Chile delivered record leadership in 2025 with net income of CLP 1.2 trillion for the year and CLP 266 billion in the quarter, a return on average assets of 2.2% versus the industry 1.3%, and return on average capital guidance of 19%–21% for 2026.
Strong Capital and Provisioning
CET1 ratio of 14.5% and total capital ratio of 18.3% at December 2025, with total provisions of CLP 1.5 trillion and a coverage ratio of 223%, including CLP 661 billion in additional provisions cited as a buffer.
Resilient Core Revenues and Margins
Total operating revenues reached CLP 749 billion in the quarter and CLP 3 trillion for the full year; customer income grew ~4.2%–4.4% year‑on‑year, and the bank maintained the strongest net interest margin and operating margin among peers.
Cost Efficiency and Expense Control
Operating expenses showed contraction: management cited a 3.5% real reduction in operating expenses; Q4 operating expenses were CLP 293 billion with full‑year efficiency (cost-to-income) at 37.4% for 2025 and guidance around 39% for 2026.
Digital & Commercial Momentum
FAN digital accounts grew to 2.4 million (+25% YoY) with balances per account up 32% YoY; consumer originations and consumer loans increased ~7.2% YoY; SME current accounts grew ~12% YoY and non‑government guaranteed SME installment loans rose 9.4% YoY.
Funding Strength and Low Funding Cost Base
Demand deposits represent 26.8% of liabilities and the demand deposit-to-loan ratio is 37% (highest among peers), supporting one of the lowest funding cost structures in the industry.
New Strategic Initiatives
Launched Banchile Pagos (acquiring and payment processing) to deepen fee streams and digital payments; Banchile Pagos customer traction early stage with targeted SME base (~160k) and is expected to contribute to future fee growth.
Asset Quality Metrics and Credit Discipline
Full‑year expected credit losses were CLP 382 billion (down 2.5% YoY); cost of risk improved to 0.97% in 2025; the bank's past‑due loan ratio of 1.7% remains below peers and industry averages.
Negative Updates
Weak Commercial and Wholesale Loan Demand
Total loans grew only 0.8% YoY to CLP 39.2 trillion; commercial loans fell 3% YoY, wholesale loans declined 5.5% YoY and corporate banking loans dropped 8.8% YoY, driven by subdued private investment, prepayments and FX appreciation reducing foreign currency exposures.
Normalization of Non‑Customer Income
Noncustomer income declined versus 4Q24 due to lower contribution from inflation‑indexed net asset positions and reduced ALM/market‑driven revenues as inflation normalized and yield curves flattened, keeping total operating revenues stable rather than growing.
Industry‑Wide Subdued Loan Demand
Industry context shows total loans contracted 2.6% in real terms since Dec 2019 (consumer down ~17%, commercial down ~11% while mortgages up ~19%), indicating a challenging lending environment for the sector and headwinds to faster growth.
Rising Near‑Term Cost of Risk Guidance
Management guided cost of risk of 1.1%–1.2% for 2026 (above 2025’s 0.97%), reflecting mix effects from increased retail lending and a normalization toward longer‑term credit loss levels.
Q4 Expense Mix Pressures
While overall operating expenses fell, administrative expenses rose 5.1% YoY in Q4 (marketing and technology), and full‑year administrative expenses increased ~3.1% YoY, implying some offset to personnel and other expense reductions.
Timing & Political/Policy Uncertainty
Potential macro and regulatory changes (corporate tax reduction, credit card limits, other reforms) carry uncertain timing and impact; management flagged that loan recovery and policy benefits may be delayed and dependent on new government's agenda after March 2026.
Company Guidance
Banco de Chile's guidance centered on a 2026 baseline of Chile GDP ≈2.4%, inflation converging to ~3% and the policy rate normalizing toward a neutral 4.25% (with scope to reach 4.0% if the peso strengthens); industry forecasts cited ~4.5% nominal loan growth, NIM ≈3.5–3.7%, NPLs falling toward 2.2–2.3% and a credit‑loss expense ratio ~1.2–1.3%. Management expects Banco de Chile to outpace the industry (management referenced ~7% nominal loan growth for the bank, with consumer ~6%, mortgage ~5% and commercial ~8%), and gave 2026 targets of return on average capital 19–21%, efficiency around 39% and cost of risk 1.1–1.2%, noting it starts from a strong capital/coverage position (CET1 14.5%, coverage ~223%).

Banco De Chile Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and ROE are strong for a regional bank, but the sharp 2025 revenue contraction and highly volatile cash flow (including steep declines in 2024–2025) reduce confidence in earnings durability. Leverage and a step-down in equity also limit balance-sheet flexibility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability is strong for a regional bank, with net margins generally in the high-20% range (and ~45% in 2025), and EBIT margins consistently healthy. However, the top line is weakening: revenue declined modestly in 2023–2024 and then dropped sharply in 2025 (-36.5%), which raises questions about earnings durability despite still-solid net income.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Returns on equity are consistently attractive (~19%–27%), indicating good underlying profitability. That said, leverage is meaningful with debt-to-equity mostly around ~1.9–2.4, and equity stepped down in 2024–2025 versus prior years, which reduces balance-sheet flexibility if operating conditions tighten.
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
Free cash flow tracks net income well in most years (generally near ~95%–98%), but cash flow generation is highly volatile: operating and free cash flow were deeply negative in 2020, surged in 2021 and 2023, and then fell sharply again in 2024–2025 (including ~-80% free cash flow growth in 2025). This variability weakens confidence in the consistency of internally generated capital.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.03T4.65T5.09T5.31T3.03T
Gross Profit2.64T2.69T2.77T2.71T2.20T
EBITDA1.61T1.68T1.79T1.82T1.41T
Net Income1.19T1.25T1.37T1.45T1.06T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.10T52.06T55.72T55.11T51.43T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.005.14T6.78T7.51T7.10T
Total Debt11.38T12.06T11.67T10.62T9.27T
Total Liabilities48.30T45.55T49.64T49.68T46.61T
Stockholders Equity5.80T6.50T6.08T5.43T4.82T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow441.09B379.42B1.64T50.49B2.94T
Operating Cash Flow458.87B396.64B1.73T128.61B3.01T
Investing Cash Flow-1.83T-58.34B-346.50B-847.82B-2.99T
Financing Cash Flow2.24T-1.56T-1.56T-161.80B1.38T

Banco De Chile Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.23
Price Trends
50DMA
41.21
Positive
100DMA
37.85
Positive
200DMA
33.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Positive
RSI
50.94
Neutral
STOCH
17.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.37, above the 50-day MA of 41.21, and above the 200-day MA of 33.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCH.

Banco De Chile Risk Analysis

Banco De Chile disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco De Chile reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our loan portfolio is subject to risk of prepayment, which could have an adverse effect on our results of operations. Q4, 2022
2.
Changes in tax law could adversely affect our net income and could also result in higher taxes on distributions to our foreign shareholders. Q4, 2022
3.
Enhanced ESG and climate change disclosure may impose additional costs on our bank. Q4, 2022

Banco De Chile Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$27.52B14.1518.88%4.82%8.72%27.70%
72
Outperform
$16.75B15.0624.13%4.29%12.43%56.30%
70
Outperform
$20.11B19.9317.06%10.29%-6.79%16.13%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$21.43B17.1320.74%5.56%-11.64%-8.75%
64
Neutral
$25.28B23.609.34%4.98%1.13%-11.93%
62
Neutral
$19.60B8.853.71%-2.90%16.10%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCH
Banco De Chile
43.23
17.93
70.85%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
7.05
2.66
60.67%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
36.12
15.15
72.25%
CIB
Grupo Cibest
79.56
40.60
104.21%
BAP
Credicorp
350.25
179.02
104.54%
WF
Woori Finance Holdings Co
84.47
48.83
137.01%

Banco De Chile Corporate Events

Banco de Chile Reports Audited 2025 Results and Releases 4Q25 Management Commentary
Feb 3, 2026

On February 3, 2026, Banco de Chile released its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025 and for the year ended December 31, 2025, accompanied by a detailed Management Commentary prepared in line with Chilean Financial Market Commission standards and IFRS Management Commentary guidelines. The bank also disclosed that its consolidated financial statements for 2025 received an unmodified audit opinion from KPMG on January 29, 2026, and that the independent accountants’ review of the related Management Commentary found no significant modifications were needed, reinforcing the reliability and regulatory compliance of its reported historical financial information for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Calls March Shareholders’ Meeting to Approve 84.7% Payout of 2025 Earnings
Jan 29, 2026

Banco de Chile’s board of directors, at an ordinary session held on January 29, 2026, agreed to call an ordinary shareholders’ meeting for March 26, 2026, to vote on a proposal to distribute 84.7% of the bank’s net income from the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, as dividends. The proposal includes retaining CLP 182.34 billion to adjust paid-in capital and reserves for inflation and distributing the remaining earnings as a dividend of CLP 9.99757030464 per share across 101,017,081,114 shares, while shareholders will also be asked to elect nine regular directors and two alternates, reflecting recent bylaw changes and signaling continued emphasis on shareholder returns and governance renewal.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Announces Board Resignation and New Vice-Chairman
Jan 21, 2026

At an extraordinary board meeting held on January 21, 2026, Banco de Chile announced that director and vice-chairman Francisco Pérez Mackenna tendered his resignation, effective January 31, 2026, with the board formally accepting his departure and recognizing his contributions to the bank’s development. The board simultaneously resolved to appoint Óscar Hasbún Martínez as a new director, effective February 1, 2026, until the next ordinary shareholders’ meeting, and to name existing director Jean‑Paul Luksic Fontbona as vice-chairman from the same date, signaling a planned and orderly refresh of the bank’s top governance positions that could influence its strategic oversight but maintains continuity in leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Raises Long-Term Funding With Local Market Bond Placement on January 15, 2026
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, Banco de Chile announced that it had completed the placement of three series of senior, dematerialized bearer bonds in the local Chilean market, reinforcing its funding base through long-term instruments. The bank issued Serie FU bonds totaling UF 500,000 maturing November 1, 2032 at an average rate of 2.78%, Serie HH bonds totaling UF 400,000 maturing December 1, 2036 at 2.87%, and Serie HW bonds totaling UF 50,000 maturing June 1, 2044 at 2.89%, a move that underscores active use of domestic capital markets to secure medium- and long-term financing and may support greater lending capacity and balance sheet stability for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Raises Long-Term Funding With Three-Series Local Bond Placement
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Banco de Chile informed regulators and local stock exchanges that it had completed the placement of three series of senior, dematerialized bearer bonds in the Chilean local market, reinforcing its long-term funding profile. The bank issued Serie FU bonds totaling CLF 500,000 maturing November 1, 2032 at an average placement rate of 2.81%, Serie GG bonds totaling CLF 350,000 maturing May 1, 2035 at 2.89%, and Serie HW bonds totaling CLF 300,000 maturing June 1, 2044 at 2.91%, underscoring continued investor appetite for Banco de Chile’s credit and providing the institution with diversified, fixed-rate funding across multiple maturities.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Sell with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Places Long-Term Serie HW Bonds in Local Market
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Banco de Chile reported that it had completed a placement of senior, dematerialized, bearer bonds in the local Chilean market, classified as Serie HW and registered with the Financial Market Commission. The issuance totaled 100,000 Chilean inflation-indexed units (UF), carries a maturity date of June 1, 2044, and was placed at an average rate of 2.92%, underscoring the bank’s continued use of long-term local debt markets to support its funding structure and balance sheet management.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Places Long-Term Serie HW Bonds in Local Market
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Banco de Chile announced it had completed a placement of senior, dematerialized bearer bonds in the local Chilean market. The issuance involved Serie HW bonds, registered with the Chilean Financial Market Commission, for a total amount of UF 750,000, maturing on June 1, 2044, at an average placement rate of 2.93%. This long-term bond placement strengthens the bank’s local funding base and supports its capacity to finance future lending and investment activities, underscoring its active participation in Chile’s domestic capital markets and providing additional fixed-income instruments for local investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Announces New Subsidiary Director Election Policy Approval
Nov 28, 2025

On November 27, 2025, Banco de Chile announced that it has been informed of the approval of a new policy for the election of directors in its subsidiary companies by LQ Inversiones Financieras S.A. This development is significant as it may influence the governance and strategic direction of Banco de Chile’s subsidiaries, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Approves Bylaw Amendments to Enhance Governance
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Banco de Chile held an Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting where several amendments to the bank’s bylaws were approved. Key changes include reducing the number of regular directors, adjusting quorum requirements for board meetings, and incorporating technological means for shareholder participation. These amendments aim to streamline governance and enhance operational efficiency, potentially impacting the bank’s strategic direction and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Banco de Chile Successfully Places Bonds in Local Market
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Banco de Chile announced the successful placement of senior, dematerialized, and bearer bonds in the local market. This issuance, registered under Serie FU Bonds, amounted to 400,000 Chilean UF with a maturity date of November 1, 2032, and an average placement rate of 2.89%. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen Banco de Chile’s market position and provide additional capital for its operations, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by enhancing the bank’s financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCH) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banco De Chile stock, see the BCH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026