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Credicorp (BAP)
NYSE:BAP

Credicorp (BAP) AI Stock Analysis

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BAP

Credicorp

(NYSE:BAP)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$369.00
â–²(5.35% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
Overall score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals (profitability recovery, improving leverage) and a positive earnings outlook (stable NIM, growth guidance, improving asset quality, strong capital and dividend intent). Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and solid yield. The main offsets are cash-flow volatility and mixed near-term technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Profitability Improvement
Sustained margin expansion and strong operating profitability reflect improved core banking and insurance economics, driving durable return on equity. Higher margins give flexibility to absorb credit cycles, support dividend capacity and reinvestment in strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Diversified Franchise & Digital Scale
A multi‑product model (banking, insurance, pensions, asset management) plus fast‑scaling digital platforms reduces reliance on single revenue streams. Yape and Tenpo expand high‑margin transactional and lending opportunities, while cross‑border deals broaden addressable markets and fee diversification long term.
Strong Capital Position & Shareholder Policy
Elevated CET1 ratios provide a durable buffer against credit shocks and support planned loan growth. Management’s intent to repatriate excess capital for dividends signals capital discipline and strengthens investor confidence while preserving capacity for organic expansion and regulatory compliance.
Negative Factors
Historical Leverage & Earnings Sensitivity
Although leverage has improved materially, the bank’s historically high leverage and still‑meaningful balance sheet gearing can amplify earnings volatility and credit losses in downturns. This structural sensitivity constrains downside resilience and requires ongoing capital management to sustain growth.
Cash‑Flow Volatility and Metric Inconsistencies
Irregular operating and free cash flow across years reduces predictability of internally generated funds for lending and dividends. Inconsistent cash‑coverage reporting weakens transparency, complicating confident capital allocation and making long‑term cash conversion assumptions less reliable.
Country FX & Regulatory/Judicial Risk
Meaningful exposure to Bolivia’s FX/devaluation risk can materially dent consolidated loan growth and translate into credit losses when realized. Coupled with ongoing regulatory/judicial matters elsewhere, this creates structural geopolitical and legal uncertainty that can affect multi‑year earnings visibility.

Credicorp (BAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Credicorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCredicorp Ltd., a financial service holding company, provides various financial, insurance, and health services and products primarily in Peru and internationally. The company's Universal Banking segment offers deposits and current accounts, and various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities. Its Insurance and Pensions segment issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transportation, marine vessels, automobile, life, health, and pensions, as well as provides private pension fund management services. The company's Microfinance segment manages loans, credits, deposits, and current accounts of the small and microenterprises. Its Investment Banking and Wealth Management segment offers its services to corporations, institutional investors, governments, and foundations; engages in structuring and placement of issues in the primary market, as well as the execution and negotiation of operations in the secondary market; and structures securitization processes for corporate customers and manages mutual funds. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Lima, Peru.
How the Company Makes MoneyCredicorp generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its banking and insurance operations. The banking segment earns money through interest income from loans provided to customers, fees for various banking services, and commissions on financial transactions. The insurance division generates revenue from premiums collected on policies sold, as well as investment income derived from the capital reserves held by the insurance companies. Additionally, Credicorp benefits from asset management fees through its investment management services. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and technology companies further enhance its service offerings and customer reach, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Credicorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive outlook: clear loan growth momentum (double-digit at BCP/Mibanco), improving asset quality, stable NIM expectations, growing fee income, strong capital buffer and a shareholder-friendly dividend approach. Manageable idiosyncratic issues were highlighted (Ruta del Lima exposure is small and largely provisioned) and a material external risk in Bolivia (FX/devaluation) is explicitly incorporated into consolidated guidance. Short-term macro supports (pension withdrawals) are positive, with longer-term pension-system concerns noted. Overall, positive operational momentum and capital strength outweigh the identified risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Overall Loan Growth Guidance
Credicorp guidance of ~8.5% loan growth for 2026 for the consolidated group; BCP and Mibanco alone are expected to deliver double-digit loan growth, and at constant exchange rates BCP+Mibanco growth is around 11%.
Digital Ecosystem and Yape Growth
Yape (within BCP) is included in guidance, the loan book is expected to roughly triple over the next couple of years (fast ramp-up), remains a small share of group loans but carries higher margin potential.
Net Interest Margin and Fee Income
NIM expected to remain in the mid- to high-6% range; fee income expected to grow in the low double digits, supporting revenue diversification.
Improving Asset Quality and Cost of Risk
Management reports improving asset quality with cost of risk expected to remain within the target range, supporting risk-adjusted profitability going into 2026.
Capital Position and Dividends
Current CET1 levels are elevated and management plans to distribute excess capital to the holding in March/April via ordinary dividends (aiming to increase ordinary dividend each year); internal CET1 targets cited are ~11% for BCP and ~14.5% for Mibanco.
Short-Term Economic Boost from Pension Withdrawals
PEN25 billion in pension withdrawals nationwide, of which BCP captured a little north of PEN11 billion; management estimates a potential GDP boost of ~0.4% if fully consumed and expects a ~+0.5% impact on deposits in 2026 (credit could see ~-0.4%).
Negative Updates
Bolivia FX and Sovereign/Local Book Headwind
The Bolivia loan book poses a material FX/devaluation risk that is explicitly included in the consolidated 8.5% guidance; a potential devaluation could materially reduce Credicorp's consolidated loan growth when it materializes.
Ruta del Lima Credit Exposure
Exposure to Ruta del Lima is confined to Pacifico and represents less than 1% of the portfolio; the position is provisioned at 80% and not accruing interest. Arbitration could produce a long-term recovery (near-term payment potential of ~5–10% of the bond) but recovery timelines are uncertain.
Long-Term Pension System Concerns
While pension withdrawals provide short-term support to consumption and deposits, management flagged potential negative long-term effects on pensions and the Peruvian economy if withdrawals persist.
Expense Commitments and Disclosure Gaps
Management will continue investing in digital and other initiatives (keeping expense growth elevated), and Yape’s P&L is currently embedded within BCP making standalone profitability and efficiency transparency limited for now (work in progress on disclosures).
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 loan growth for Credicorp at around 8.5% (this is a group-wide number that includes Yape and a Bolivia FX headwind; excluding Bolivia and at constant FX BCP + Mibanco are expected to grow in double digits — roughly 11%), with NIM expected to remain in the mid- to high‑6% range and fee income to grow at low double digits; asset quality is improving and cost of risk is expected to remain within target. They noted pension withdrawals of PEN25 billion (BCP captured a little north of PEN11 billion) could lift GDP by up to ~0.4% if fully consumed, add ~0.5% to deposits/local funding in 2026 while potentially subtracting ~0.4% from credit, and Yape’s loan book is expected to roughly triple over the next couple of years (still a small share of group loans). Capital metrics are healthy (group CET1 ~14%, Mibanco ~17%) with internal targets of ~11% for BCP and ~14.5% for Mibanco and excess capital to be repatriated to the holding for dividends in March; Ruta del Lima exposure is <1% of the portfolio, ~80% provisioned with an expected near‑term recovery of ~5–10% of the bond and possible longer‑term arbitration upside, and cost‑to‑income is expected to fall (upper guidance below this year’s result) while continued investment in digital initiatives will persist.

Credicorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent profitability and revenue growth with improving leverage and solid ROE, offset by notable cash-flow volatility (including weak 2022) and some inconsistencies in provided cash coverage fields that reduce confidence in cash-conversion consistency.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2020 to 2025 (with a particularly strong step-up in 2023 and 2025), and profitability has improved materially versus 2020. Net profit margin expanded to ~22.9% in 2025 (from ~20.4% in 2024 and ~1.9% in 2020), supported by strong operating profitability (2025 operating margin ~31%). The main watch-out is some margin variability across the cycle (notably the 2020 profitability trough), even though recent-year performance is strong.
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully over time, with debt-to-equity declining to ~0.86 in 2025 from ~2.04 in 2020, alongside rising equity and asset growth. Returns on equity are solid and improving (about 18.1% in 2025 vs. ~16.0% in 2024). The key weakness is that leverage remains meaningful for a regional bank (and was high historically), which can amplify earnings volatility in weaker environments.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is generally strong, with positive free cash flow in most years and a sharp rebound in 2025 free cash flow (+~69.9% growth). However, cash flow has been volatile (including negative operating and free cash flow in 2022 and very large swings year-to-year), which reduces confidence in consistency. Also, some provided cash-to-earnings coverage fields appear inconsistent in 2025 (shown as 0.0 despite positive cash flow), limiting interpretability of those specific ratios.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.29B27.00B25.37B20.63B19.22B
Gross Profit23.10B17.33B15.72B14.76B15.36B
EBITDA10.22B8.55B7.52B7.51B6.02B
Net Income6.53B5.50B4.87B4.65B3.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets267.36B256.09B238.84B235.41B243.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0081.72B67.34B64.20B74.42B
Total Debt32.94B37.49B37.55B39.49B47.71B
Total Liabilities228.27B221.11B205.73B205.82B216.61B
Stockholders Equity38.37B34.35B32.46B29.00B26.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.74B13.41B2.93B-2.05B3.33B
Operating Cash Flow8.05B14.52B4.08B-1.15B3.97B
Investing Cash Flow-1.55B527.56M-1.26B-1.09B-3.73B
Financing Cash Flow-1.62B-1.81B-2.26B-1.60B-465.30M

Credicorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price350.25
Price Trends
50DMA
318.90
Positive
100DMA
288.75
Positive
200DMA
260.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.61
Positive
RSI
57.75
Neutral
STOCH
68.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 350.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 352.25, above the 50-day MA of 318.90, and above the 200-day MA of 260.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BAP.

Credicorp Risk Analysis

Credicorp disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Credicorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Credicorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$27.52B14.1518.88%4.82%8.72%27.70%
72
Outperform
$16.75B15.0624.13%4.29%12.43%56.30%
70
Outperform
$20.11B19.9317.06%10.29%-6.79%16.13%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$21.43B17.1320.74%5.56%-11.64%-8.75%
65
Neutral
$5.58B19.697.66%2.37%-55.81%-78.94%
64
Neutral
$25.28B23.609.34%4.98%1.13%-11.93%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAP
Credicorp
350.25
179.02
104.54%
BCH
Banco De Chile
43.23
17.93
70.85%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
92.26
7.53
8.88%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
7.05
2.66
60.67%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
36.12
15.15
72.25%
CIB
Grupo Cibest
79.56
40.60
104.21%

Credicorp Corporate Events

Credicorp Posts Strong 4Q25 Results, Signs Deal to Acquire Helm Bank and Advances Regional Digital Push
Feb 17, 2026

Credicorp reported unaudited financial results for the three- and twelve-month periods ended December 31, 2025, released on February 12, 2026, showing robust performance driven by expanding lending, improving asset quality and growing fee and transactional income. Net income attributable to Credicorp rose 40.9% year-on-year to S/1,587 million in 4Q25, with a return on equity of 16.9%, while risk-adjusted net interest margin hit a record 5.55% and the innovation portfolio contributed 8.1% of risk-adjusted revenues, underscoring the group’s strategic pivot toward digital and diversified income streams.

Loan balances grew 2.9% year-on-year and 3.6% quarter-on-quarter, or 8.5% and 3.1% respectively excluding currency and non-cash effects, led by Banco de Crédito del Perú’s retail and wholesale segments and continued momentum at Mibanco. Deposits increased 5.3% year-on-year and 7.6% quarter-on-quarter, with low-cost deposits reaching 73% of total deposits, supporting a 6.62% net interest margin and lower funding costs.

Asset quality strengthened as the non-performing loan ratio fell 71 basis points year-on-year to 4.5% and provisions declined 13.1%, pushing cost of risk down to 1.8%, while IFRS CET1 ratios remained solid at 13.99% for BCP and 17.30% for Mibanco. Other core income rose 13.7% and insurance underwriting results advanced 2.6% year-on-year despite quarterly normalization, reflecting steady execution of Credicorp’s revenue diversification strategy.

The company’s digital platforms continued to scale, with Yape reaching 15.9 million monthly active users in 4Q25 and generating 7.2% of risk-adjusted revenue, including a rising share from lending. In a key strategic move, Credicorp also signed an agreement to acquire 100% of Colombia’s Helm Bank, reinforcing its cross-border growth ambitions, while subsidiary Tenpo secured a Chilean banking license in January 2026 and surpassed 2.5 million clients, becoming the country’s first neobank.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAP) stock is a Buy with a $412.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credicorp stock, see the BAP Stock Forecast page.

Credicorp Explains Non-Disclosure of Supreme Court Ruling in Ongoing Dispute With Peruvian Market Regulator
Feb 9, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Credicorp reported that it had responded to a request from Peru’s Superintendency of the Securities Market (SMV) for information on an ongoing judicial proceeding over the nullity of an administrative act brought by the company against the regulator. The case stems from a 2021 SMV sanction and fine related to past non-disclosure of political contributions, which Credicorp paid in December 2021 and has already reflected in its 2021 audited financial statements.

Credicorp disclosed that the Permanent Civil Chamber of the Supreme Court upheld on November 26, 2025, a 2023 first-instance ruling rejecting its nullity claim, and that this appellate decision was formally notified to the company on January 29, 2026. The group argued it had not treated that ruling as a material event because it is not yet final: Credicorp retains the right to file a cassation appeal with the Supreme Court’s Constitutional and Social Chamber until February 12, 2026, and is evaluating that option, while maintaining that only a judgment closing all remedies would trigger mandatory market disclosure under current SMV guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAP) stock is a Buy with a $412.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credicorp stock, see the BAP Stock Forecast page.

Credicorp Sets March 31, 2026 Virtual AGM to Approve 2025 Results and Governance Matters
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Credicorp Ltd.’s board of directors set March 31, 2026, as the date for its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, to be held virtually via a web portal, with a fallback date of April 7, 2026 if quorum is not achieved, and established February 13, 2026 as the record date for shareholders entitled to participate and vote. The AGM agenda will cover the presentation of Credicorp’s 2025 annual and sustainability report, audited standalone and consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, the appointment of directors, the determination of board and committee remuneration, and the appointment of external auditors for the 2026 financial year, underscoring the company’s focus on corporate governance, transparency, and oversight of its financial reporting and leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAP) stock is a Buy with a $412.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credicorp stock, see the BAP Stock Forecast page.

Credicorp Secures Operating License for Tenpo Bank Chile
Jan 20, 2026

On January 19, 2026, Credicorp announced that Chile’s Financial Market Commission (CMF) granted operating authorization to its subsidiary Tenpo Bank Chile, following up on information first disclosed in February 2025. The license allows Tenpo Bank Chile to operate exclusively as a banking institution, with a regulatory requirement to begin operations within one year of the authorization date, marking a key step in Credicorp’s regional banking expansion and potentially strengthening its competitive position in Chile’s financial sector and broader Latin American digital banking market.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAP) stock is a Buy with a $364.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credicorp stock, see the BAP Stock Forecast page.

Credicorp to Acquire Florida-Based Helm Bank USA for US$180 Million
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, Credicorp, through its subsidiary Banco de Crédito del Perú, announced it had signed a Stock Purchase Agreement to acquire 100% of Helm Bank USA, a Florida-based community bank supervised by the state’s Office of Financial Regulation and insured by the FDIC, for a purchase price of US$180 million, subject to customary closing adjustments. As of the end of September 2025, Helm Bank held a US$648.2 million loan portfolio, US$1.14 billion in total assets, and US$106.8 million in shareholders’ equity, and the deal—conditional on regulatory approvals in the United States from the OFR and Federal Reserve and in Peru from the SBS—positions Credicorp to strengthen its presence in the U.S. banking market and broaden its cross-border capabilities for clients, though the transaction’s completion timing will depend on satisfaction of these approvals and other standard closing conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAP) stock is a Buy with a $310.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credicorp stock, see the BAP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026