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Credicorp (BAP)
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Credicorp (BAP) AI Stock Analysis

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BAP

Credicorp

(NYSE:BAP)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$310.00
▲(17.58% Upside)
Credicorp's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by optimistic earnings call guidance. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and challenges in revenue growth and cash conversion need addressing.
Positive Factors
Digital Innovation
Credicorp's digital platform, Yape, is a significant growth driver, enhancing customer engagement and contributing to fee income.
Strong ROE Performance
High ROE indicates efficient capital use and strong profitability, supporting long-term financial health and investor confidence.
Stable Credit Rating
A stable credit rating reflects strong liquidity management and financial stability, enhancing Credicorp's credibility and borrowing capacity.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue suggests potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, impacting future growth prospects.
Cash Flow Challenges
Decreased free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, affecting Credicorp's ability to invest in growth and manage debt.
Tax Dispute Impact
The tax dispute with SUNAT could strain cash reserves and distract management, impacting operational focus and financial flexibility.

Credicorp (BAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Credicorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCredicorp Ltd., a financial service holding company, provides various financial, insurance, and health services and products primarily in Peru and internationally. The company's Universal Banking segment offers deposits and current accounts, and various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities. Its Insurance and Pensions segment issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transportation, marine vessels, automobile, life, health, and pensions, as well as provides private pension fund management services. The company's Microfinance segment manages loans, credits, deposits, and current accounts of the small and microenterprises. Its Investment Banking and Wealth Management segment offers its services to corporations, institutional investors, governments, and foundations; engages in structuring and placement of issues in the primary market, as well as the execution and negotiation of operations in the secondary market; and structures securitization processes for corporate customers and manages mutual funds. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Lima, Peru.
How the Company Makes MoneyCredicorp generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and advances provided through its banking operations. The company's main revenue source comes from the interest rate spread between loans and deposits. Additionally, Credicorp earns fees and commissions from various services, including transaction fees, asset management fees, and insurance premiums. The company also benefits from investment income generated from its portfolio of securities. Significant partnerships with local and international financial institutions enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base, contributing to its overall earnings. Furthermore, the growth of digital banking services has opened new avenues for revenue through technology-driven financial products.

Credicorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Credicorp reported strong financial performance with a record ROE and successful digital innovation, despite challenges related to tax disputes and slower loan growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Macroeconomic Environment
Peru's GDP is expected to grow by 3.2% this year, with domestic demand growing around 4.5%. Inflation is below 2%, and real wages are recovering, with formal employment expanding.
Record ROE Performance
Credicorp's Q2 results reflect an ROE of 20.7%, supported by strong operating performance and disciplined risk management.
Innovation and Digital Growth
Yape continues to scale, serving nearly 15 million monthly active users. It is one of the top 5 contributors to fee income in the Peruvian financial system.
Improved Credit Dynamics
Risk-adjusted NIM hit a record 5.4%, aided by improved asset quality and a low-cost funding structure. NPL ratio stood at 5%, with a cost of risk of 1.6%.
Negative Updates
SUNAT Tax Dispute
SUNAT required Credicorp to pay approximately PEN 1.6 billion in alleged unpaid income tax and associated interest, impacting cash flow at the Credicorp level.
Loan Growth Challenges
Loans measured in quarter-end balances dropped 4.1%, impacted by the revaluation of Bolivia's balance sheet and a depreciation in BCP's dollar portfolio.
High Efficiency Ratio
The efficiency ratio stood at 44.9%, slightly above the expected range due to continued investments in digital initiatives and higher operating expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Credicorp Limited Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the fiscal year 2025. Key metrics highlighted included an expected Return on Equity (ROE) of approximately 19% for the year, with a longer-term outlook of around 19.5%. The ROE for the second quarter was reported at 20.7%, supported by strong operating performance and disciplined risk management. Credicorp's risk-adjusted Net Interest Margin (NIM) reached a record 5.4%, aided by improved asset quality and a low-cost funding structure. Asset quality showed improvement, with the Non-Performing Loan (NPL) ratio standing at 5%. The efficiency ratio was within the expected range at 44.2%, and the company noted that investments in digital and innovation initiatives, such as the Yape platform, contributed 6.2% of risk-adjusted revenues. Additionally, the company maintained its guidance for a loan book growth of around 6.5% year-over-year in end-of-period balances, supporting a robust outlook for economic activity in Peru, with GDP expected to grow by 3.2% and domestic demand by 4.5%.

Credicorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Credicorp exhibits strong profitability with a robust EBIT margin and effective equity utilization. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash conversion are evident, with a decline in revenue and cash flow fluctuations. The balance sheet remains stable with manageable leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Credicorp shows strong profitability with a robust EBIT margin of 50.34% and a net profit margin of 30.24% for 2024. However, revenue has declined by 6.83% compared to 2023, indicating potential concerns in revenue generation. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue trends, peaking in 2023, but generally growing over the longer term since 2020.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 and an equity ratio of 13.41%, reflecting moderate leverage and stable equity levels. Return on equity is strong at 16.02% for 2024, demonstrating effective utilization of equity. The balance sheet indicates resilience against potential financial instability, although equity levels show limited growth.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow from the previous year, with a negative growth rate of 68.39%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22, which highlights potential challenges in converting earnings to cash. Despite a positive free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.17, the cash flow from operations shows variability, suggesting potential liquidity management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.83B27.00B25.37B20.63B19.22B18.22B
Gross Profit19.25B17.33B15.72B14.76B15.36B9.07B
EBITDA9.73B8.55B7.52B7.51B6.02B901.09M
Net Income6.25B5.50B4.87B4.65B3.58B346.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets249.03B256.09B238.84B235.41B243.44B237.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.32B81.72B67.34B64.20B74.42B80.11B
Total Debt34.53B37.49B37.55B39.49B47.71B50.97B
Total Liabilities213.96B221.11B205.73B205.82B216.61B211.96B
Stockholders Equity34.46B34.35B32.46B29.00B26.29B24.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.33B13.41B2.93B-2.05B3.33B12.05B
Operating Cash Flow2.54B14.52B4.08B-1.15B3.97B12.69B
Investing Cash Flow618.84M527.56M-1.26B-1.09B-3.73B-1.87B
Financing Cash Flow-3.96B-1.81B-2.26B-1.60B-465.30M-2.09B

Credicorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price263.66
Price Trends
50DMA
251.46
Positive
100DMA
231.68
Positive
200DMA
204.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.17
Positive
RSI
53.17
Neutral
STOCH
27.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 263.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 264.04, above the 50-day MA of 251.46, and above the 200-day MA of 204.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BAP.

Credicorp Risk Analysis

Credicorp disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Credicorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Credicorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
13.79B14.8414.39%12.49%-8.82%4.87%
76
Outperform
12.41B11.1616.23%5.07%12.43%56.30%
73
Outperform
$21.16B12.5518.54%5.30%5.16%27.77%
73
Outperform
15.37B12.0619.19%6.98%-13.16%-8.10%
70
Outperform
20.19B19.975.76%-3.77%-10.59%
63
Neutral
3.26B7.918.04%2.39%-57.78%-67.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAP
Credicorp
263.66
88.37
50.41%
BCH
Banco De Chile
30.00
5.72
23.56%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
45.34
-19.77
-30.36%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
5.49
0.42
8.28%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
26.23
6.04
29.92%
CIB
Bancolombia
52.44
24.30
86.35%

Credicorp Corporate Events

Credicorp Clarifies Dividend Policy Amid Tax Dispute
Aug 20, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Credicorp Ltd. addressed misleading information published in a Peruvian newspaper, clarifying that while no extraordinary cash dividends will be distributed for the remainder of the year due to a payment to the tax authority Sunat, regular dividend policies remain unchanged. The payment of S/1.577 billion relates to a tax dispute, which Credicorp plans to challenge, and while it impacts cash flow, it does not affect the company’s operational results. The company maintains a positive outlook on its business performance, with growth in retail banking and expectations for its digital platform, Yape, to become a significant business line.

Credicorp Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Record ROE and Strategic Gains
Aug 18, 2025

Credicorp Ltd. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a 36.1% year-on-year increase in net income, driven by gains in its investment portfolio and robust performance in core businesses. The company achieved a record-high return on equity of 20.7% and a risk-adjusted net interest margin of 5.44%. Credicorp’s strategy to decouple its revenue streams is progressing, with 6.2% of risk-adjusted revenues coming from its innovation portfolio, aiming for a 10% target by 2026. The company also announced the cancellation of approximately 1.6 billion soles in tax resolutions, which will be recorded as an asset.

Credicorp’s Grupo Credito Sees Tax Assessment Canceled
Aug 14, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Credicorp Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, Grupo Credito S.A., has had a significant tax assessment and fine totaling S/1,577,174,872.00 canceled by the Peruvian Tax Authority. Despite this cancellation, Grupo Credito intends to pursue legal action to challenge the resolutions, indicating a proactive approach in defending its financial interests.

Credicorp Announces Major Leadership Changes Effective January 2026
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, Credicorp Ltd. announced significant organizational changes across its subsidiaries, effective January 1, 2026. Key executive shifts include Eduardo Montero Dasso becoming CEO of Pacífico Compañía de Seguros y Reaseguros, Galantino Gallo Quiroz taking over as CEO of Credicorp Capital Ltd. and its related entities, and Sergio Vélez Montes stepping in as CEO of Prima AFP. These changes reflect a strategic realignment within the company, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and market positioning.

Fitch Affirms Credicorp’s ‘BBB’ Rating with Stable Outlook
Jul 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed Credicorp Ltd.’s Long Term Foreign Currency rating at ‘BBB’ with a stable outlook, reflecting the company’s strong liquidity management and low double leverage. This affirmation underscores Credicorp’s consistent performance and robust corporate strategy, supported by substantial dividend flows from its subsidiaries, particularly BCP. The rating update, disclosed in compliance with Peruvian law, highlights Credicorp’s solid industry positioning and the potential implications for its stakeholders, as the ratings are closely tied to the performance of its main subsidiary.

Credicorp’s Grupo Credito Faces Tax Dispute with SUNAT
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Credicorp’s subsidiary, Grupo Credito S.A., was notified of tax and fine resolutions by the Peruvian Tax Administration (SUNAT) related to transactions from 2018 and 2019. These resolutions claim that Grupo Credito failed to withhold income tax on share purchase transactions involving Banco de Credito del Peru’s shares. Grupo Credito plans to contest these resolutions, arguing they lack legal foundation and are abusive.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2025