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Credicorp (BAP)
NYSE:BAP
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Credicorp (BAP) AI Stock Analysis

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BAP

Credicorp

(NYSE:BAP)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$310.00
â–²(17.80% Upside)
Credicorp's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its stock score. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further supports the score, despite technical indicators suggesting potential short-term weakness. Political uncertainties and cash flow challenges are risks to monitor.
Positive Factors
Digital Ecosystem Expansion
The expansion of digital platforms like Yape is crucial for long-term growth, enhancing revenue streams and customer engagement in a tech-driven market.
Strong Financial Performance
A high ROE indicates efficient use of equity, supporting sustainable profitability and competitive positioning in the financial sector.
Loan Growth and Revenue Diversification
Diversified revenue streams and loan growth enhance financial stability and reduce dependency on single income sources, supporting long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Political Uncertainty in Peru
Political instability can impact economic policies and business operations, posing risks to Credicorp's growth and strategic initiatives in Peru.
Impact of Pension Fund Withdrawals
Frequent pension fund withdrawals can lead to reduced loan demand, affecting revenue growth and financial performance in the long term.
Challenges in Bolivia
Ongoing economic challenges in Bolivia may hinder Credicorp's regional expansion efforts and profitability, impacting long-term strategic goals.

Credicorp (BAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Credicorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCredicorp Ltd., a financial service holding company, provides various financial, insurance, and health services and products primarily in Peru and internationally. The company's Universal Banking segment offers deposits and current accounts, and various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities. Its Insurance and Pensions segment issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transportation, marine vessels, automobile, life, health, and pensions, as well as provides private pension fund management services. The company's Microfinance segment manages loans, credits, deposits, and current accounts of the small and microenterprises. Its Investment Banking and Wealth Management segment offers its services to corporations, institutional investors, governments, and foundations; engages in structuring and placement of issues in the primary market, as well as the execution and negotiation of operations in the secondary market; and structures securitization processes for corporate customers and manages mutual funds. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Lima, Peru.
How the Company Makes MoneyCredicorp generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its banking and insurance operations. The banking segment earns money through interest income from loans provided to customers, fees for various banking services, and commissions on financial transactions. The insurance division generates revenue from premiums collected on policies sold, as well as investment income derived from the capital reserves held by the insurance companies. Additionally, Credicorp benefits from asset management fees through its investment management services. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and technology companies further enhance its service offerings and customer reach, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Credicorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Credicorp's third quarter results reflect strong financial performance, improved asset quality, and a positive macroeconomic outlook. The company is successfully expanding its digital ecosystem and diversifying revenue streams. However, political uncertainty in Peru and challenges in Bolivia present risks. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Credicorp reported a robust third quarter with an ROE of 19.6%, driven by strong performance across core businesses and strategic priorities. The company also achieved a risk-adjusted NIM of 5.5%.
Digital Ecosystem Expansion
Credicorp's digital platforms, including Yape, Tenpo, and Warda, are playing a significant role in revenue generation. Yape contributed 6.6% of risk-adjusted revenue, and the company aims to expand its user base to 18 million by 2028.
Improved Asset Quality
Asset quality has improved with NPLs contracting and a cost of risk at 1.7%. The NPL ratio stood at 4.8%, and the company expects further enhancements.
Positive Macroeconomic Outlook
Macroeconomic indicators in Peru and other regions show a positive outlook, with GDP growth projected between 3% to 3.5% and inflation within the Central Bank's target range.
Loan Growth and Revenue Diversification
FX-neutral loan growth accelerated to 7% year-over-year, with healthy origination pipelines in Retail Banking and Microfinance. Other core income grew 11.9%, indicating revenue diversification.
Negative Updates
Political Uncertainty in Peru
Recent political developments, including the impeachment of President Dina Boluarte, have introduced uncertainty, although the country's economic resilience remains strong.
Impact of Pension Fund Withdrawals
The eighth pension fund withdrawal in Peru is expected to impact loan growth negatively by 0.5% due to increased prepayments, although it might improve asset quality.
Challenges in Bolivia
Economic adjustment challenges persist in Bolivia, despite a political shift that raises hopes for reform-oriented economic policies.
Company Guidance
During Credicorp Ltd.'s third-quarter 2025 conference call, key guidance metrics were highlighted, emphasizing the company's strategic focus on sustainable growth and impact. Credicorp reaffirmed its medium-term targets, including achieving a Return on Equity (ROE) of 19.5% and an efficiency ratio of around 42% over the next 3 to 4 years. The company's strategic pillars are designed to accelerate scalability and monetization of its digital ecosystem, drive business synergies, and execute with discipline to ensure profitability and long-term value creation. For the third quarter, Credicorp achieved a robust ROE of 19.6%, driven by strong performance in Universal Banking, Insurance & Pensions, and Microfinance. The company reported FX-neutral loan growth of 7% year-over-year, with improvements in asset quality and credit activity supporting a risk-adjusted Net Interest Margin (NIM) of 5.5%. Credicorp also maintained a strong capital position, with demand and savings accounts comprising 39.5% of deposits, and an efficiency ratio of 46.4%. Looking forward, the company expects GDP growth in Peru to remain resilient at 3% to 3.5%, with inflation forecasted at 1.8% for 2025 and 2% for 2026. This positive macroeconomic environment is expected to support ongoing credit growth and private consumption.

Credicorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Credicorp demonstrates strong profitability with a high EBIT margin and effective equity utilization. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash flow conversion, along with a decline in free cash flow, suggest a need for improved cash management strategies.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Credicorp shows strong profitability with a robust EBIT margin of 50.34% and a net profit margin of 30.24% for 2024. However, revenue has declined by 6.83% compared to 2023, indicating potential concerns in revenue generation. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue trends, peaking in 2023, but generally growing over the longer term since 2020.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 and an equity ratio of 13.41%, reflecting moderate leverage and stable equity levels. Return on equity is strong at 16.02% for 2024, demonstrating effective utilization of equity. The balance sheet indicates resilience against potential financial instability, although equity levels show limited growth.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow from the previous year, with a negative growth rate of 68.39%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22, which highlights potential challenges in converting earnings to cash. Despite a positive free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.17, the cash flow from operations shows variability, suggesting potential liquidity management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.25B27.00B25.37B20.63B19.22B18.22B
Gross Profit18.78B17.33B15.72B14.76B15.36B9.07B
EBITDA10.37B8.55B7.52B7.51B6.02B901.09M
Net Income6.47B5.50B4.87B4.65B3.58B346.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets255.30B256.09B238.84B235.41B243.44B237.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.11B81.72B67.34B64.20B74.42B80.11B
Total Debt33.63B37.49B37.55B39.49B47.71B50.97B
Total Liabilities218.04B221.11B205.73B205.82B216.61B211.96B
Stockholders Equity36.56B34.35B32.46B29.00B26.29B24.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.55B13.41B2.93B-2.05B3.33B12.05B
Operating Cash Flow4.86B14.52B4.08B-1.15B3.97B12.69B
Investing Cash Flow367.43M527.56M-1.26B-1.09B-3.73B-1.87B
Financing Cash Flow-3.75B-1.81B-2.26B-1.60B-465.30M-2.09B

Credicorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price263.16
Price Trends
50DMA
258.06
Positive
100DMA
253.90
Positive
200DMA
223.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
58.77
Neutral
STOCH
86.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 263.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 255.68, above the 50-day MA of 258.06, and above the 200-day MA of 223.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BAP.

Credicorp Risk Analysis

Credicorp disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Credicorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Credicorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$20.78B11.7218.12%5.29%8.72%27.70%
71
Outperform
$19.12B14.9921.29%5.51%-11.64%-8.75%
71
Outperform
$16.30B16.3917.06%10.22%-6.79%16.13%
69
Neutral
$13.55B12.1024.13%4.34%12.43%56.30%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$24.49B23.349.34%4.71%1.13%-11.93%
65
Neutral
$5.00B12.0010.91%2.16%-57.78%-67.92%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAP
Credicorp
263.16
82.66
45.80%
BCH
Banco De Chile
38.17
16.27
74.29%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
88.10
7.29
9.02%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
6.47
2.46
61.35%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
30.75
12.50
68.49%
CIB
Grupo Cibest
64.05
35.62
125.29%

Credicorp Corporate Events

Credicorp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Record NIM
Nov 17, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Credicorp Ltd. released its financial and operating results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a strong performance across its core businesses. The company reported a 14.1% year-over-year increase in net income, driven by growth in universal banking and insurance, as well as a sustained recovery in microfinance. The risk-adjusted net interest margin reached a record high of 5.53%, reflecting improved risk management. Credicorp’s innovation portfolio contributed significantly to its revenues, advancing its decoupling strategy. The company also noted improvements in loan portfolio quality and a decline in provisions, indicating a positive economic recovery.

Credicorp Unveils Strategic Vision at Investor Day 2025
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Credicorp Ltd. hosted its Investor Day event in New York, presenting a strategic vision for future growth. The event highlighted Credicorp’s commitment to leveraging technology, data, and AI as key drivers for scaling operations and enhancing value. The discussions underscored the company’s focus on sustainable growth and its playbook for navigating future opportunities and challenges, positioning itself as a leader in the financial sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 17, 2025