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Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL)
NASDAQ:GGAL

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL) AI Stock Analysis

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GGAL

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA

(NASDAQ:GGAL)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$58.00
â–²(2.98% Upside)
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA's overall stock score is driven by strong valuation metrics and positive technical indicators, suggesting potential upside. However, financial performance is mixed with strong revenue growth offset by cash flow challenges. The recent earnings call highlighted significant restructuring expenses and economic volatility, which weigh on the score. The company's projected recovery in 2026 offers a positive outlook, but current risks remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust business expansion and effective market penetration, supporting long-term financial health.
Market Position
A strong market position in loans and deposits enhances competitive advantage, ensuring sustained customer base and revenue streams.
Management Change
New leadership can drive strategic initiatives and operational improvements, potentially enhancing the company's market position.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth raises concerns about liquidity and financial flexibility, potentially affecting long-term stability.
Nonperforming Loans
Rising nonperforming loans indicate asset quality issues, which can lead to increased provisioning and impact profitability.
Restructuring Costs
High restructuring costs can strain financial resources and delay profitability improvements, affecting short to medium-term performance.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Financiero Galicia S.A., a financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to individuals and companies in Argentina. The company operates through Banks, NaranjaX, Insurance, and Other Businesses segments. The company's products and services cover savings, current, and checking accounts; personal loans; express and mortgage loans; pledge and credit card loans; credit and debit cards; and online banking services. It also offers financing products and services; consumer finance services; electronic check; global custody services; Fima funds; financial and stock market services to individuals, companies, and financial institutions; foreign trade services; and capital market and investment banking products that include debt securities, short-term securities, bills, and financial trusts. In addition, the company provides robbery, personal accident, life collective, home, life, integral pyme, pet, surety, various risks, and technical insurance products. Further, it offers private banking services to high net worth individuals; and operates digital investment platform. As of December 31, 2021, it had 312 full service banking branches; and 1,991 ATMs and self-service terminals. Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. was founded in 1905 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrupo Financiero Galicia generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and financial products offered to its customers. The bank earns interest from personal and corporate loans, credit card receivables, and mortgages, which constitute a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, service fees from account maintenance, transaction fees, and commissions on the sale of investment products contribute to its earnings. The company also engages in investment banking activities, which include underwriting and advisory services, adding another layer to its revenue generation. Partnerships with various financial institutions and businesses enhance its product offerings and customer base, thus creating synergies that further support its earnings potential.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted economic growth and improvements in inflation and private sector deposits. However, it was overshadowed by significant net losses, devaluation, interest rate volatility, and increased nonperforming loans, primarily due to restructuring expenses and challenges in asset quality.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Economic Growth in Argentina
The Argentine economy recorded a 5% year-over-year increase during September 2025, with a year-to-date economic expansion of 5.2%.
Primary Surplus Achievement
The primary surplus reached 0.5% of GDP in the third quarter, with an overall surplus of 0.1% of GDP, driven by revenues increasing by 32.8% year-over-year.
Improvement in Inflation Rates
Headline inflation was 2.1% in September and 2.3% in October, marking the lowest level since July 2018, with a 31.3% increase over the last 12 months.
Increase in Private Sector Deposits
Private sector deposits in pesos increased by 5.6% during the quarter and 53% over the last 12 months, while dollar-denominated deposits rose by 7.2% during the quarter and 38.9% over the last 12 months.
Projected Improvement in ROE
The company expects an improvement in ROE, aiming for 11% to 12% in 2026 and a target of above 15% in the longer term.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in Third Quarter
Net loss for the quarter amounted to ARS 87.7 billion, primarily due to losses from Banco Galicia and Naranja X, with additional extraordinary restructuring expenses.
Devaluation and Interest Rate Volatility
The exchange rate averaged ARS 1,400 per dollar in September 2025, resulting in a 15.6% devaluation compared to June 2025. Peso-denominated interest rates saw sharp swings, with the average rate on private sector time deposits increasing by 16.5 percentage points.
Decline in Net Operating and Interest Income
Net operating income decreased by 23%, and net interest income decreased by 10% compared to the second quarter.
Increase in Nonperforming Loans
The ratio of nonperforming loans to total financing increased to 5.8%, up 140 basis points from the second quarter.
Restructuring and Extraordinary Expenses
The quarter included significant extraordinary restructuring expenses due to the merger with HSBC, totaling ARS 105.3 billion net of income tax.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia reported a net loss of ARS 87.7 billion, largely due to extraordinary restructuring expenses of ARS 105.3 billion associated with the merger with HSBC, which significantly impacted the financial results. Banco Galicia alone accounted for ARS 101.1 billion of these extraordinary expenses. The company's return on average assets was negative 0.8%, and the return on average shareholders' equity was negative 4.7% for the quarter. Despite these challenges, the firm maintained a robust liquidity position, with deposits reaching ARS 22.9 trillion, an 8% increase from the previous quarter, and a market share of 16.4% in private sector deposits. The bank's total regulatory capital ratio stood at 22.1%, while the Tier 1 ratio was 21.8%. Looking ahead, the company anticipates a recovery in 2026, projecting a return on equity (ROE) in the range of 11% to 12%, driven by improved margins and asset quality. The bank also expects to see a peak in nonperforming loans by March 2026, with subsequent improvement as new, higher-quality lending portfolios gain traction.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA shows strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, contributing to a solid income statement performance. The balance sheet reflects prudent leverage management and strong return on equity, though some metrics are missing for a full assessment. Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in cash generation, which could impact future financial flexibility. Overall, the company is on a growth trajectory but needs to address cash flow issues to sustain long-term stability.
Income Statement
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA demonstrates strong revenue growth in the TTM period with a 155.1% increase, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 73.8%, showcasing efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly decreased to 14.96% from 15.29% in the previous year, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain stable, reflecting consistent operational performance.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.32 in the TTM period, indicating a prudent approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 19.87%, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a comprehensive assessment of financial stability.
Cash Flow
The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -159.82% in the TTM period, raising concerns about cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating potential issues in converting earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.06, suggesting that free cash flow still covers net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.34T10.63T13.89T8.52T2.86T865.71B
Gross Profit5.71T6.66T6.88T4.33T1.63T497.46B
EBITDA1.35T2.40T1.37T633.50B376.09B160.48B
Net Income915.98B1.62T734.24B329.38B188.62B74.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.00T32.52T10.22T10.49T3.27T1.59T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.69T3.76T2.00T627.91B462.49B307.79B
Total Debt2.72T2.16T465.73B491.26B160.31B85.89B
Total Liabilities34.90T26.45T8.20T8.59T2.68T1.32T
Stockholders Equity7.09T6.06T2.02T1.90T593.09B275.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.62T-2.92T1.59T1.74T-302.46B519.33B
Operating Cash Flow3.88T-2.70T6.22T1.79T-281.92B540.28B
Investing Cash Flow827.76B939.32B-178.26B-137.68B-17.57B-19.94B
Financing Cash Flow-1.84T413.52B-500.34B83.96B51.13B-103.22B

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price56.32
Price Trends
50DMA
52.78
Positive
100DMA
43.42
Positive
200DMA
48.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.32
Negative
RSI
61.51
Neutral
STOCH
47.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GGAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 56.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.85, above the 50-day MA of 52.78, and above the 200-day MA of 48.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GGAL.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Risk Analysis

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Financiero Galicia SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The management of Banco Galicia's business (the main subsidiary of Grupo Galicia) could be affected by its shareholder composition. Q4, 2022
2.
Possible negative effects on the results of Banco Galicia (the main subsidiary of Grupo Galicia) due to an increase in the default rate may occur, with a corresponding negative impact on the results of Grupo Financiero Galicia. Q4, 2022
3.
Restriction on the distribution of results by financial institutions. Q4, 2022

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.11B62.182.35%1.54%-50.96%-89.23%
71
Outperform
$9.15B10.2817.93%1.82%-36.51%-39.66%
69
Neutral
$15.32B13.5924.13%4.29%12.43%56.30%
69
Neutral
$3.80B16.4010.17%0.80%-39.57%-49.55%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$6.07B22.047.66%2.37%-55.81%-78.94%
60
Neutral
$4.87B11.449.69%3.03%-6.62%111.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
56.32
-14.06
-19.98%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
95.31
-14.71
-13.37%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
32.21
14.71
84.06%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
18.61
-4.52
-19.54%
AVAL
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores SA Pfd
4.14
2.03
96.12%
SUPV
Grupo Supervielle SA
12.05
-6.88
-36.34%

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Corporate Events

Grupo Financiero Galicia Subsidiary Pays Seventh FY 2024 Dividend Installment
Dec 30, 2025

On December 30, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia announced that its main subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., made available the seventh installment of a cash dividend linked to results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. The payment totals ARS 38.37 billion, is distributed in proportion to each shareholder’s stake, and was authorized by the Argentine Central Bank, underscoring the bank’s continued profitability and regulatory approval to return capital. The distribution is subject to a 7% Argentine income tax withholding, which is relevant for investors’ net proceeds, and the installment follows a predefined dividend payment schedule, signaling ongoing execution of the bank’s capital distribution policy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Faces Class Action Lawsuit Over Tax Practices
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its main subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has been notified of a class action lawsuit. The lawsuit challenges the bank’s application of the ‘Inclusive and Supportive Argentina’ tax and related withholdings. The bank is currently analyzing the lawsuit’s implications, but anticipates that an unfavorable outcome would not significantly affect its shareholders’ equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces December 2025 Cash Dividend
Dec 2, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced the issuance of a cash dividend amounting to Ps. 37,446,115,300.47, which will be available to shareholders registered by December 5, 2025, starting from December 11, 2025. This decision, authorized during the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting on April 29, 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and could positively impact its market positioning and shareholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces December 2025 Dividend Payment
Dec 2, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced the payment of cash dividends to its shareholders, as decided in the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The dividends, amounting to Ps. 37,446,115,300.47, will be distributed to shareholders registered by December 5, 2025, with payments commencing on December 11, 2025. The distribution is subject to applicable taxes, including a 7% withholding tax under Argentine law. This move reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Sixth Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Nov 28, 2025

On November 28, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has made the sixth installment of cash dividends for the fiscal year 2024, amounting to ARS 37,446,788,165.99. This distribution, authorized by the Argentine Central Bank, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to its shareholders and is subject to a 7% withholding tax as per Argentine tax laws.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Reports Significant Q3 2025 Loss Amid Integration Costs
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, reporting a significant net loss of Ps.87,710 million. This loss was primarily driven by high integration expenses related to the acquisition of HSBC’s businesses in Argentina and increased funding costs due to regulatory changes. The company’s return on equity (ROE) for the quarter was negative at 4.7%, reflecting a challenging economic environment and operational adjustments. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong market presence with a 15.7% share in loans and a 17.8% share in deposits to the private sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Dividend Payment for November 2025
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its board of directors approved a cash dividend payment to shareholders, following a decision made at the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The payment, amounting to Ps. 36,589,216,664.57 or Ps. 22.7792259740615 per share, will be distributed to shareholders registered by November 7, 2025, with the payment date set for November 12, 2025. The dividend distribution will be subject to applicable taxes and will be processed through Caja de Valores S.A. for local shareholders and the Bank of New York Mellon for ADR holders. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact its financial positioning in the Argentine market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces November 2025 Cash Dividend
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend distribution amounting to Ps. 36,589,216,664.57, to be made available to shareholders registered by November 7, 2025, with payments starting on November 12, 2025. This decision follows the authorizations granted during the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting held on April 29, 2025, and is expected to impact the company’s financial operations positively, reinforcing its commitment to delivering shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Fifth Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has initiated the fifth payment of dividends for the fiscal year 2024. The dividend payment, amounting to ARS 36,589,874,132.56, is distributed in accordance with the Argentine Central Bank’s authorization and follows the established payment schedule. This distribution is subject to a 7% withholding tax as per Argentine Income Tax Law, and it reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Hold with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Appoints New CEO for Banco de Galicia
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that the Argentine Central Bank approved the appointment of Mr. Diego H. Rivas as the new CEO of its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A. This leadership change, effective following the Central Bank’s resolution dated October 9, 2025, is expected to influence the bank’s strategic direction and operational focus, potentially impacting stakeholders and the bank’s position in the Argentine financial market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces October 2025 Cash Dividend Payment
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend payment to its shareholders, as decided in the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The payment, amounting to Ps. 35,845,086,882.80, will be distributed to shareholders registered by October 7, 2025, with the payment date set for October 13, 2025. This dividend distribution is subject to applicable taxes, including a 7% withholding tax, and will be processed through Caja de Valores S.A. for local shareholders and through the Bank of New York Mellon for ADR holders. The announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may have implications for its financial positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces October 2025 Cash Dividend
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a significant financial decision to distribute a cash dividend amounting to Ps. 35,845,086,882.80 to shareholders registered by October 7, 2025. This move, authorized during the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting on April 29, 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its investors and could positively impact its market position by enhancing shareholder satisfaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Fourth Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has made available the fourth installment of cash dividends for the fiscal year 2024, amounting to ARS 35,845,730,979.60. This distribution, authorized by the Argentine Central Bank, is subject to a 7% withholding tax and reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GGAL) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Financiero Galicia SA stock, see the GGAL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025