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Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL)
NASDAQ:GGAL
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Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL) AI Stock Analysis

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GGAL

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA

(NASDAQ:GGAL)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$56.00
â–²(9.63% Upside)
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA's overall score reflects strong financial performance and valuation, offset by challenges in cash flow management and significant restructuring expenses impacting recent earnings. Technical indicators show positive momentum, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Successful Merger
The merger with Galicia Más enhances market position and scale, providing a stronger competitive edge and potential for increased revenue streams.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Significant growth in loans and deposits indicates robust demand for financial products, supporting long-term revenue generation and market expansion.
New CEO Appointment
Leadership change can bring fresh strategic insights and drive operational improvements, potentially enhancing the company's competitive position.
Negative Factors
Net Income Decline
A sharp decline in net income reflects challenges in profitability, which could impact financial health and investor confidence over the medium term.
Increase in Nonperforming Loans
Rising nonperforming loans indicate credit quality issues, potentially leading to higher provisioning costs and impacting future profitability.
Margin Compression
Margin compression due to interest rate volatility can strain profitability, affecting the company's ability to maintain stable earnings.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Financiero Galicia S.A., a financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to individuals and companies in Argentina. The company operates through Banks, NaranjaX, Insurance, and Other Businesses segments. The company's products and services cover savings, current, and checking accounts; personal loans; express and mortgage loans; pledge and credit card loans; credit and debit cards; and online banking services. It also offers financing products and services; consumer finance services; electronic check; global custody services; Fima funds; financial and stock market services to individuals, companies, and financial institutions; foreign trade services; and capital market and investment banking products that include debt securities, short-term securities, bills, and financial trusts. In addition, the company provides robbery, personal accident, life collective, home, life, integral pyme, pet, surety, various risks, and technical insurance products. Further, it offers private banking services to high net worth individuals; and operates digital investment platform. As of December 31, 2021, it had 312 full service banking branches; and 1,991 ATMs and self-service terminals. Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. was founded in 1905 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrupo Financiero Galicia generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and financial products offered to its customers. The bank earns interest from personal and corporate loans, credit card receivables, and mortgages, which constitute a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, service fees from account maintenance, transaction fees, and commissions on the sale of investment products contribute to its earnings. The company also engages in investment banking activities, which include underwriting and advisory services, adding another layer to its revenue generation. Partnerships with various financial institutions and businesses enhance its product offerings and customer base, thus creating synergies that further support its earnings potential.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted economic growth and improvements in inflation and private sector deposits. However, it was overshadowed by significant net losses, devaluation, interest rate volatility, and increased nonperforming loans, primarily due to restructuring expenses and challenges in asset quality.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Economic Growth in Argentina
The Argentine economy recorded a 5% year-over-year increase during September 2025, with a year-to-date economic expansion of 5.2%.
Primary Surplus Achievement
The primary surplus reached 0.5% of GDP in the third quarter, with an overall surplus of 0.1% of GDP, driven by revenues increasing by 32.8% year-over-year.
Improvement in Inflation Rates
Headline inflation was 2.1% in September and 2.3% in October, marking the lowest level since July 2018, with a 31.3% increase over the last 12 months.
Increase in Private Sector Deposits
Private sector deposits in pesos increased by 5.6% during the quarter and 53% over the last 12 months, while dollar-denominated deposits rose by 7.2% during the quarter and 38.9% over the last 12 months.
Projected Improvement in ROE
The company expects an improvement in ROE, aiming for 11% to 12% in 2026 and a target of above 15% in the longer term.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in Third Quarter
Net loss for the quarter amounted to ARS 87.7 billion, primarily due to losses from Banco Galicia and Naranja X, with additional extraordinary restructuring expenses.
Devaluation and Interest Rate Volatility
The exchange rate averaged ARS 1,400 per dollar in September 2025, resulting in a 15.6% devaluation compared to June 2025. Peso-denominated interest rates saw sharp swings, with the average rate on private sector time deposits increasing by 16.5 percentage points.
Decline in Net Operating and Interest Income
Net operating income decreased by 23%, and net interest income decreased by 10% compared to the second quarter.
Increase in Nonperforming Loans
The ratio of nonperforming loans to total financing increased to 5.8%, up 140 basis points from the second quarter.
Restructuring and Extraordinary Expenses
The quarter included significant extraordinary restructuring expenses due to the merger with HSBC, totaling ARS 105.3 billion net of income tax.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia reported a net loss of ARS 87.7 billion, largely due to extraordinary restructuring expenses of ARS 105.3 billion associated with the merger with HSBC, which significantly impacted the financial results. Banco Galicia alone accounted for ARS 101.1 billion of these extraordinary expenses. The company's return on average assets was negative 0.8%, and the return on average shareholders' equity was negative 4.7% for the quarter. Despite these challenges, the firm maintained a robust liquidity position, with deposits reaching ARS 22.9 trillion, an 8% increase from the previous quarter, and a market share of 16.4% in private sector deposits. The bank's total regulatory capital ratio stood at 22.1%, while the Tier 1 ratio was 21.8%. Looking ahead, the company anticipates a recovery in 2026, projecting a return on equity (ROE) in the range of 11% to 12%, driven by improved margins and asset quality. The bank also expects to see a peak in nonperforming loans by March 2026, with subsequent improvement as new, higher-quality lending portfolios gain traction.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA shows strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet. However, challenges in cash flow management could impact financial flexibility, necessitating improvements in cash flow efficiency and liability management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA has demonstrated robust revenue growth with significant increases in total revenue over the years. The gross profit margin remains consistently high, indicating strong core operations. The net profit margin also shows healthy profitability. However, the absence of EBITDA figures limits a comprehensive analysis of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting balanced leverage. The return on equity is strong, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The equity ratio is stable, showing a solid financial foundation. However, the significant increase in total liabilities suggests potential risks that require monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Despite a negative free cash flow in the latest period, the company has shown growth in operating cash flow over previous years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in converting profits into cash, signaling a need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.20T10.63T13.89T8.52T2.86T865.71B
Gross Profit5.59T6.66T6.88T4.33T1.63T497.46B
EBITDA1.76T2.40T1.37T633.50B376.09B160.48B
Net Income1.17T1.62T734.24B329.38B188.62B74.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.70T32.52T10.22T10.49T3.27T1.59T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.07T3.76T2.00T627.91B462.49B307.79B
Total Debt2.22T2.16T465.73B491.26B160.31B85.89B
Total Liabilities30.77T26.45T8.20T8.59T2.68T1.32T
Stockholders Equity6.93T6.06T2.02T1.90T593.09B275.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.05T-2.92T1.59T1.74T-302.46B519.33B
Operating Cash Flow-5.80T-2.70T6.22T1.79T-281.92B540.28B
Investing Cash Flow816.10B939.32B-178.26B-137.68B-17.57B-19.94B
Financing Cash Flow8.61T413.52B-500.34B83.96B51.13B-103.22B

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price51.08
Price Trends
50DMA
41.21
Positive
100DMA
42.66
Positive
200DMA
49.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.52
Positive
RSI
56.13
Neutral
STOCH
39.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GGAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 51.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.56, above the 50-day MA of 41.21, and above the 200-day MA of 49.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GGAL.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Risk Analysis

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Financiero Galicia SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The management of Banco Galicia's business (the main subsidiary of Grupo Galicia) could be affected by its shareholder composition. Q4, 2022
2.
Possible negative effects on the results of Banco Galicia (the main subsidiary of Grupo Galicia) due to an increase in the default rate may occur, with a corresponding negative impact on the results of Grupo Financiero Galicia. Q4, 2022
3.
Restriction on the distribution of results by financial institutions. Q4, 2022

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.20B17.192.46%1.71%-50.19%-89.23%
70
Outperform
$8.67B7.2022.42%1.83%-42.92%-21.46%
70
Outperform
$5.00B12.0010.91%2.17%-57.78%-67.92%
69
Neutral
$13.55B12.1024.13%4.44%12.43%56.30%
69
Neutral
$3.41B14.0310.17%0.72%-39.50%-49.55%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$4.80B11.499.69%3.00%-6.62%111.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
51.08
-4.33
-7.81%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
82.21
-0.52
-0.63%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
29.93
11.73
64.45%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
15.92
-0.49
-2.99%
AVAL
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores SA Pfd
4.16
2.12
103.92%
SUPV
Grupo Supervielle SA
10.96
-0.83
-7.04%

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Corporate Events

Grupo Financiero Galicia Reports Significant Q3 2025 Loss Amid Integration Costs
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, reporting a significant net loss of Ps.87,710 million. This loss was primarily driven by high integration expenses related to the acquisition of HSBC’s businesses in Argentina and increased funding costs due to regulatory changes. The company’s return on equity (ROE) for the quarter was negative at 4.7%, reflecting a challenging economic environment and operational adjustments. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong market presence with a 15.7% share in loans and a 17.8% share in deposits to the private sector.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Dividend Payment for November 2025
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its board of directors approved a cash dividend payment to shareholders, following a decision made at the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The payment, amounting to Ps. 36,589,216,664.57 or Ps. 22.7792259740615 per share, will be distributed to shareholders registered by November 7, 2025, with the payment date set for November 12, 2025. The dividend distribution will be subject to applicable taxes and will be processed through Caja de Valores S.A. for local shareholders and the Bank of New York Mellon for ADR holders. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact its financial positioning in the Argentine market.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces November 2025 Cash Dividend
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend distribution amounting to Ps. 36,589,216,664.57, to be made available to shareholders registered by November 7, 2025, with payments starting on November 12, 2025. This decision follows the authorizations granted during the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting held on April 29, 2025, and is expected to impact the company’s financial operations positively, reinforcing its commitment to delivering shareholder value.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Fifth Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has initiated the fifth payment of dividends for the fiscal year 2024. The dividend payment, amounting to ARS 36,589,874,132.56, is distributed in accordance with the Argentine Central Bank’s authorization and follows the established payment schedule. This distribution is subject to a 7% withholding tax as per Argentine Income Tax Law, and it reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Appoints New CEO for Banco de Galicia
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that the Argentine Central Bank approved the appointment of Mr. Diego H. Rivas as the new CEO of its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A. This leadership change, effective following the Central Bank’s resolution dated October 9, 2025, is expected to influence the bank’s strategic direction and operational focus, potentially impacting stakeholders and the bank’s position in the Argentine financial market.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces October 2025 Cash Dividend Payment
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend payment to its shareholders, as decided in the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The payment, amounting to Ps. 35,845,086,882.80, will be distributed to shareholders registered by October 7, 2025, with the payment date set for October 13, 2025. This dividend distribution is subject to applicable taxes, including a 7% withholding tax, and will be processed through Caja de Valores S.A. for local shareholders and through the Bank of New York Mellon for ADR holders. The announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may have implications for its financial positioning and stakeholder relations.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces October 2025 Cash Dividend
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a significant financial decision to distribute a cash dividend amounting to Ps. 35,845,086,882.80 to shareholders registered by October 7, 2025. This move, authorized during the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting on April 29, 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its investors and could positively impact its market position by enhancing shareholder satisfaction.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Fourth Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has made available the fourth installment of cash dividends for the fiscal year 2024, amounting to ARS 35,845,730,979.60. This distribution, authorized by the Argentine Central Bank, is subject to a 7% withholding tax and reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces September 2025 Cash Dividend Payment
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend payment to its shareholders, following a decision made at the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The dividend, amounting to Ps. 35,185,087,298.29 or Ps. 21.9050618610535 per share, will be distributed to shareholders registered by September 5, 2025, with payments commencing on September 10, 2025. This distribution is subject to deductions for Personal Asset Tax and a 7% withholding tax under Argentine law, and will be processed through Caja de Valores S.A. for local shareholders and the Bank of New York Mellon for ADR holders.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces September 2025 Cash Dividend
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend distribution of Ps. 35,185,087,298.29 to shareholders registered by September 5, 2025, with payments commencing on September 10, 2025. This decision, authorized by the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting in April 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance investor confidence in its financial stability.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Third Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has commenced the third installment of cash dividend payments for the fiscal year 2024, amounting to ARS 35,185,719,535.63. This distribution, authorized by the Argentine Central Bank, reflects the company’s commitment to its shareholders and is subject to a 7% withholding tax as per Argentine tax regulations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025