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Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL)
NASDAQ:GGAL
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Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL) AI Stock Analysis

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GGAL

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA

(NASDAQ:GGAL)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
â–²(17.98% Upside)
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the earnings call revealed significant challenges, including a sharp decline in net income and increased nonperforming loans.
Positive Factors
Successful Merger
The merger with Galicia Más strengthens GGAL's market position, enhancing its competitive edge and expanding its customer base, which is crucial for long-term growth.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Significant growth in loans and deposits indicates robust demand for GGAL's financial services, supporting revenue expansion and market penetration over the long term.
Net Fee Income Increase
Rising net fee income diversifies GGAL's revenue streams, reducing reliance on interest income and enhancing profitability through sustained service demand.
Negative Factors
Significant Net Income Decline
A sharp decline in net income reflects operational challenges and economic pressures, potentially impacting GGAL's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Increase in Nonperforming Loans
Rising nonperforming loans indicate credit quality issues, which could strain GGAL's financial health and require increased provisions, affecting future profitability.
Margin Compression
Margin compression due to interest rate volatility can erode profitability, challenging GGAL's ability to maintain stable earnings in a fluctuating economic environment.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA (GGAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Financiero Galicia S.A., a financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to individuals and companies in Argentina. The company operates through Banks, NaranjaX, Insurance, and Other Businesses segments. The company's products and services cover savings, current, and checking accounts; personal loans; express and mortgage loans; pledge and credit card loans; credit and debit cards; and online banking services. It also offers financing products and services; consumer finance services; electronic check; global custody services; Fima funds; financial and stock market services to individuals, companies, and financial institutions; foreign trade services; and capital market and investment banking products that include debt securities, short-term securities, bills, and financial trusts. In addition, the company provides robbery, personal accident, life collective, home, life, integral pyme, pet, surety, various risks, and technical insurance products. Further, it offers private banking services to high net worth individuals; and operates digital investment platform. As of December 31, 2021, it had 312 full service banking branches; and 1,991 ATMs and self-service terminals. Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. was founded in 1905 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrupo Financiero Galicia generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and financial products offered to its customers. The bank earns interest from personal and corporate loans, credit card receivables, and mortgages, which constitute a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, service fees from account maintenance, transaction fees, and commissions on the sale of investment products contribute to its earnings. The company also engages in investment banking activities, which include underwriting and advisory services, adding another layer to its revenue generation. Partnerships with various financial institutions and businesses enhance its product offerings and customer base, thus creating synergies that further support its earnings potential.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with substantial growth in loans and deposits, as well as a successful merger, but faced significant challenges with a sharp decline in net income, increased nonperforming loans, and margin compression due to interest rate volatility.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Economic Activity Growth
The Argentina economy recorded a 6.4% year-over-year increase during June, reaching an expansion of 6.2% during the first half of 2025.
Successful Merger with Galicia Más
Grupo Financiero Galicia successfully completed the merger with Galicia Más, formerly HSBC in Argentina, leading to a market share growth of around 2.5% in both loans and deposits.
Growth in Loans and Deposits
The bank's financing to the private sector increased 123% in the last 12 months, with peso financing rising 106% and dollar-denominated financing growing 181%. Deposits reached ARS 19.9 trillion, a 72% increase from the previous year.
Net Fee Income Increase
Net fee income increased by 30% from June 2024, driven by a 51% increase in income from credit card fees and a 28% rise in fees on deposits.
Negative Updates
Significant Net Income Decline
Net income amounted to ARS 173 billion, 70% lower than the previous year. This was due to a 67% lower operating result and a 36% decrease in net interest income.
Increase in Nonperforming Loans
The ratio of nonperforming loans to total financing ended the quarter at 4.4%, recording a 240 basis points deterioration compared to the previous year, particularly in personal loans and credit card financing.
Operating Income and Loan Loss Provisions
Net operating income decreased by 40%, with loan loss provisions increasing by 192% due to growth in the financing portfolio and increased delinquency.
Margin Compression and Interest Rate Volatility
Significant short-term interest rate increases led to margin compression expected in Q3, with funding repricing faster than assets. This is expected to stabilize after elections.
Company Guidance
During Grupo Financiero Galicia's second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted. Argentina's economy showed a robust 6.4% year-over-year growth in June, contributing to a 6.2% expansion in the first half of 2025. The country's primary surplus in the second quarter was 0.4% of GDP, with overall surplus at 0.2% of GDP due to primary revenues rising 37.7% year-over-year and primary spending increasing by 42.1%. Inflation was a focal point, with the National Consumer Price Index increasing 6% in the second quarter and 17.3% year-to-date by July. The exchange rate averaged ARS 1,181 per dollar in June, reflecting a 23.5% year-over-year devaluation. Grupo Galicia's net income for the quarter was ARS 173 billion, marking a 70% decrease from the previous year, with a 1.9% annualized return on average assets and a 9.5% return on average shareholders' equity. The bank's Tier 1 capital ratio stood at 23.2%, down from the previous year, while the loan portfolio saw significant growth, with peso-denominated loans increasing 19% quarterly and 181.7% annually. Additionally, the merger with Galicia Más boosted the bank's market share by 2.5% in both loans and deposits.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a solid balance sheet. However, challenges in cash flow management and increased liabilities pose risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA has demonstrated robust revenue growth with significant increases in total revenue over the years. The gross profit margin remains consistently high, indicating strong core operations. The net profit margin also shows healthy profitability. However, the absence of EBITDA figures limits a comprehensive analysis of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting balanced leverage. The return on equity is strong, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The equity ratio is stable, showing a solid financial foundation. However, the significant increase in total liabilities suggests potential risks that require monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Despite a negative free cash flow in the latest period, the company has shown growth in operating cash flow over previous years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in converting profits into cash, signaling a need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.52T10.63T3.35T5.01T562.82B279.83B
Gross Profit5.91T6.66T3.35T4.33T1.63T511.15B
EBITDA1.44T2.40T1.37T0.000.000.00
Net Income1.14T1.62T337.17B151.26B188.62B74.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.70T32.52T10.22T10.49T3.27T1.59T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.07T3.76T2.00T627.91B462.49B307.79B
Total Debt2.22T2.16T465.73B491.26B160.31B85.89B
Total Liabilities30.77T26.45T8.20T8.59T2.68T1.32T
Stockholders Equity6.93T6.06T2.02T1.90T593.09B275.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.05T-2.92T1.59T1.74T-302.46B519.33B
Operating Cash Flow-5.80T-2.70T6.22T1.79T-281.92B540.28B
Investing Cash Flow816.10B939.32B-178.26B-137.68B-17.57B-19.94B
Financing Cash Flow8.61T413.52B-500.34B83.96B51.13B-103.22B

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.21
Price Trends
50DMA
37.13
Negative
100DMA
44.51
Negative
200DMA
52.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.00
Negative
RSI
49.89
Neutral
STOCH
81.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GGAL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.90, below the 50-day MA of 37.13, and below the 200-day MA of 52.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GGAL.

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Risk Analysis

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Financiero Galicia SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The management of Banco Galicia's business (the main subsidiary of Grupo Galicia) could be affected by its shareholder composition. Q4, 2022
2.
Possible negative effects on the results of Banco Galicia (the main subsidiary of Grupo Galicia) due to an increase in the default rate may occur, with a corresponding negative impact on the results of Grupo Financiero Galicia. Q4, 2022
3.
Restriction on the distribution of results by financial institutions. Q4, 2022

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$638.87M8.898.59%2.87%-55.30%-64.02%
70
Outperform
$5.81B4.6722.42%2.20%-42.92%-21.46%
68
Neutral
$12.50B11.2524.13%4.97%12.43%56.30%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$3.62B8.5310.91%2.22%-57.78%-67.92%
64
Neutral
$2.15B6.0313.26%0.60%-47.41%-18.95%
63
Neutral
$4.16B10.779.57%3.35%-6.63%241.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
32.21
-15.85
-32.98%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
50.86
-18.03
-26.17%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
26.73
7.14
36.45%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
9.41
-1.87
-16.58%
AVAL
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores SA Pfd
3.71
1.74
88.32%
SUPV
Grupo Supervielle SA
5.98
-1.56
-20.69%

Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Corporate Events

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces October 2025 Cash Dividend Payment
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend payment to its shareholders, as decided in the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The payment, amounting to Ps. 35,845,086,882.80, will be distributed to shareholders registered by October 7, 2025, with the payment date set for October 13, 2025. This dividend distribution is subject to applicable taxes, including a 7% withholding tax, and will be processed through Caja de Valores S.A. for local shareholders and through the Bank of New York Mellon for ADR holders. The announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may have implications for its financial positioning and stakeholder relations.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces October 2025 Cash Dividend
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a significant financial decision to distribute a cash dividend amounting to Ps. 35,845,086,882.80 to shareholders registered by October 7, 2025. This move, authorized during the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting on April 29, 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its investors and could positively impact its market position by enhancing shareholder satisfaction.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Fourth Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has made available the fourth installment of cash dividends for the fiscal year 2024, amounting to ARS 35,845,730,979.60. This distribution, authorized by the Argentine Central Bank, is subject to a 7% withholding tax and reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces September 2025 Cash Dividend Payment
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend payment to its shareholders, following a decision made at the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The dividend, amounting to Ps. 35,185,087,298.29 or Ps. 21.9050618610535 per share, will be distributed to shareholders registered by September 5, 2025, with payments commencing on September 10, 2025. This distribution is subject to deductions for Personal Asset Tax and a 7% withholding tax under Argentine law, and will be processed through Caja de Valores S.A. for local shareholders and the Bank of New York Mellon for ADR holders.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces September 2025 Cash Dividend
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend distribution of Ps. 35,185,087,298.29 to shareholders registered by September 5, 2025, with payments commencing on September 10, 2025. This decision, authorized by the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting in April 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance investor confidence in its financial stability.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Third Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has commenced the third installment of cash dividend payments for the fiscal year 2024, amounting to ARS 35,185,719,535.63. This distribution, authorized by the Argentine Central Bank, reflects the company’s commitment to its shareholders and is subject to a 7% withholding tax as per Argentine tax regulations.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Q2 2025 Financial Results Amid Corporate Reorganization
Aug 26, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, ending June 30. The company underwent a significant corporate reorganization following the acquisition of HSBC Argentina’s businesses, aiming to optimize resources and consolidate its product portfolio. The reorganization resulted in the unification of its banking and mutual fund management businesses, enhancing its financial ecosystem and customer value proposition. Despite these strategic moves, the company reported a 70% decrease in net income compared to the second quarter of 2024, reflecting challenges in the current economic environment.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Leadership Change at Banco Galicia
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced the appointment of Mr. Diego Hernán Rivas as the new CEO of its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., effective September 1, 2025, pending approval from the Argentine Central Bank. The current CEO, Mr. Fabián Enrique Kon, will continue to serve as CEO of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A., focusing on the group’s overall strategy, indicating a strategic leadership transition aimed at strengthening the company’s market position.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces August 2025 Dividend Payment
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a cash dividend payment to its shareholders, following a decision made at the shareholders’ meeting on April 29, 2025. The payment, amounting to approximately Ps. 34.5 billion or Ps. 21.496 per share, is scheduled for August 12, 2025, with a record date of August 7, 2025. This distribution is subject to applicable taxes, including a 7% withholding tax, and will be processed through Caja de Valores S.A. for local shareholders and the Bank of New York Mellon for ADR holders. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders, potentially enhancing its market position and investor confidence.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Major Cash Dividend
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced a significant financial move with the issuance of a cash dividend totaling Ps. 34,528,465,086.77. This decision, approved during the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting on April 29, 2025, is set to benefit shareholders registered by August 7, 2025, with payments commencing on August 12, 2025. This dividend issuance underscores the company’s strong financial position and commitment to delivering shareholder value, potentially enhancing its market reputation and stakeholder confidence.

Grupo Financiero Galicia Announces Second Dividend Payment for FY 2024
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Banco de Galicia y Buenos Aires S.A., has made available the second installment of cash dividends for the fiscal year 2024. The payment, totaling ARS 34,529,085,525.33, is distributed according to shareholders’ holdings and authorized by the Argentine Central Bank. This distribution is subject to a 7% withholding tax as per Argentine Income Tax Law.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 10, 2025