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Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI)
NYSE:MLI
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Mueller Industries (MLI) AI Stock Analysis

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MLI

Mueller Industries

(NYSE:MLI)

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Outperform 85 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:85Outperform
Price Target:
$165.00
▲(49.48% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high profitability, near-zero leverage, and robust free cash flow). Technicals add support via a clear uptrend, though momentum indicators are nearing stretched levels. Valuation is reasonable on P/E, while the dividend yield remains modest; corporate events are incremental positives via dividend growth and added funding flexibility.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high net margin and elevated ROE indicate durable operating efficiency and strong returns on capital. That profitability supports reinvestment, resilient earnings through cycles, and funds capital returns, underpinning long-term shareholder value even if growth moderates.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Recent declines in gross and operating margins signal deterioration in pricing power or higher input costs. Persistent margin compression would reduce cash flow and ROE, limiting reinvestment and dividend room, and could structurally weaken competitive positioning if not reversed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high net margin and elevated ROE indicate durable operating efficiency and strong returns on capital. That profitability supports reinvestment, resilient earnings through cycles, and funds capital returns, underpinning long-term shareholder value even if growth moderates.
Read all positive factors

Mueller Industries (MLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mueller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mueller Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, South Korea, the Middle East, China, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Piping Systems, In...
How the Company Makes Money
Mueller Industries makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling metal- and polymer-based products used in building systems and industrial applications, earning revenue when products are sold to wholesalers, distributors, OEMs, contractors, a...

Mueller Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality fundamentals supported by strong profitability and returns (TTM net margin ~19%, ROE ~29%), an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (near-zero leverage), and robust free cash flow (~$652M; ~92% of net income). Offsetting factors include some recent margin pressure and a modest year-over-year decline in TTM free cash flow (~5%), indicating mild near-term cooling.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
94
Very Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.37B4.18B3.77B3.42B3.98B3.77B
Gross Profit1.21B1.14B1.04B986.83M1.12B830.36M
EBITDA1.19B1.09B874.00M886.41M920.57M694.24M
Net Income846.78M765.19M604.88M602.90M658.32M468.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.94B3.02B3.29B2.76B2.24B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.40B1.39B1.06B1.27B678.88M87.92M
Total Debt14.92M46.46M33.76M35.56M23.85M24.99M
Total Liabilities581.53M497.12M486.50M400.58M428.44M471.97M
Stockholders Equity3.33B2.49B2.77B2.34B1.79B1.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow652.18M686.64M565.71M618.74M686.30M279.87M
Operating Cash Flow721.63M755.44M645.91M672.77M723.94M311.70M
Investing Cash Flow37.47M-24.91M-606.93M135.08M-242.00M29.07M
Financing Cash Flow-222.18M-394.62M-160.48M-104.51M-102.66M-376.72M

Mueller Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price110.38
Price Trends
50DMA
124.61
Positive
100DMA
123.28
Positive
200DMA
112.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.25
Positive
RSI
51.48
Neutral
STOCH
31.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 110.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.10, below the 50-day MA of 124.61, and below the 200-day MA of 112.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MLI.

Mueller Industries Risk Analysis

Mueller Industries disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mueller Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mueller Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$14.75B12.3728.67%0.85%11.54%38.42%
78
Outperform
$4.12B63.7424.53%0.67%4.58%556.92%
75
Outperform
$21.57B35.2924.41%0.24%3.72%34.03%
70
Outperform
$22.15B38.9524.23%2.93%5.01%
70
Outperform
$2.72B15.1411.58%1.27%14.99%86.18%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$5.59B31.469.70%0.33%6.63%-24.56%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLI
Mueller Industries
133.39
58.37
77.82%
ATI
ATI
162.29
86.65
114.56%
AZZ
AZZ
137.90
49.54
56.06%
CRS
Carpenter Technology
434.12
204.58
89.13%
WOR
Worthington Industries
55.14
-1.70
-2.99%
ESAB
ESAB Corporation
91.83
-30.95
-25.21%

Mueller Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Mueller Industries Declares Quarterly Dividend, Affirms Governance
Positive
May 11, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 7, 2026, Mueller Industries’ shareholders elected eight directors to serve until the next annual meeting, with varying levels of support across the slate. Investors also approved the appointm...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Mueller Industries Secures New $100 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Mar 30, 2026
On March 27, 2026, Mueller Industries, Inc. entered into a new unsecured $100 million revolving credit facility with Bank of America, replacing its prior 2021 agreement and extending maturity to March 27, 2031. The facility, which can be used for ...
Dividends
Mueller Industries Announces 40% Increase in Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 19, 2026, Mueller Industries, Inc. announced that its board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.35 per share on its common stock, marking the sixth consecutive year of a double-digit dividend increase. The dividend, repres...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 12, 2026