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Mueller Industries
(NYSE:MLI)
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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$63.00
▼(-42.92% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/07/26
MLI’s score is supported primarily by strong financial performance—especially its near-zero leverage, strong returns, and solid free-cash-flow generation—along with reasonable valuation. These positives are meaningfully offset by weak technicals, with the stock trading below key moving averages and bearish momentum signals despite oversold readings. Corporate actions (stock split and dividend) add a modest positive tilt but are secondary to fundamentals and current price trend.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and an expanded equity base provide durable financial flexibility: supports capital returns, funds capex or deals without reliance on markets, lowers refinancing and liquidity risk in downturns, and underpins long-term solvency and strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Recent margin compression
Compression in gross and operating margins suggests pricing or cost pressures that can persist and erode profitability and ROE over months. Sustained margin deterioration would reduce FCF, limit payouts and reinvestment, and weaken the company’s historical return profile.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and an expanded equity base provide durable financial flexibility: supports capital returns, funds capex or deals without reliance on markets, lowers refinancing and liquidity risk in downturns, and underpins long-term solvency and strategic optionality.
Read all positive factors
Mueller Industries (MLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.49B
Dividend Yield0.85%
Average Volume (3M)1.38M
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.6
Beta (1Y)1.01
Revenue Growth11.54%
EPS Growth38.42%
CountryUS
Employees5,168
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryManufacturing - Metal Fabrication
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.88
Shares Outstanding221,141,220
10 Day Avg. Volume1,620,306
30 Day Avg. Volume1,382,496
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.59
Price to Book (P/B)5.17
Price to Sales (P/S)3.08
P/FCF Ratio18.77
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.12
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.19
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit11.48
Enterprise Value/Ebitda11.65
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)4.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.77B
Mueller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mueller Industries, Inc., established in 1917 and based in Collierville, Tennessee, is a global manufacturer and distributor of various products crafted from copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic. The company operates internationally, with a presen...
How the Company Makes Money
Mueller Industries makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling metal- and plastic-based components (and related finished/semi-finished products) used in plumbing, HVAC/R, refrigeration, and industrial applications. Its revenue model is larg...
Mueller Industries Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
94
Very Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.37B | 4.18B | 3.77B | 3.42B | 3.98B | 3.77B |
| Gross Profit | 1.21B | 1.14B | 1.04B | 986.83M | 1.12B | 830.36M |
| EBITDA | 1.20B | 1.09B | 874.00M | 886.41M | 920.57M | 694.24M |
| Net Income | 846.78M | 765.19M | 604.88M | 602.90M | 658.32M | 468.52M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.94B | 3.02B | 3.29B | 2.76B | 2.24B | 1.73B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.40B | 1.39B | 1.06B | 1.27B | 678.88M | 87.92M |
| Total Debt | 22.82M | 46.46M | 33.76M | 35.56M | 23.85M | 24.99M |
| Total Liabilities | 581.53M | 497.12M | 486.50M | 400.58M | 428.44M | 471.97M |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.33B | 2.49B | 2.77B | 2.34B | 1.79B | 1.22B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 652.18M | 686.64M | 565.71M | 618.74M | 686.30M | 279.87M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 721.63M | 755.44M | 645.91M | 672.77M | 723.94M | 311.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 37.47M | -24.91M | -606.93M | 135.08M | -242.00M | 29.07M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -222.18M | -394.62M | -160.48M | -104.51M | -102.66M | -376.72M |
Mueller Industries Technical Analysis
Negative
110.38
Price Trends
66.53
Negative
62.28
Negative
58.90
Negative
Market Momentum
-2.17
Positive
26.93
Positive
5.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 110.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.45, above the 50-day MA of 66.53, and above the 200-day MA of 58.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.93 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MLI.
Mueller Industries Risk Analysis
Mueller Industries disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mueller Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Mueller Industries Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | $4.50B | 14.42 | 24.53% | 0.67% | 4.58% | 556.92% | |
74 Outperform | $25.67B | 61.95 | 24.23% | ― | 2.93% | 5.01% | |
74 Outperform | $29.67B | 64.63 | 24.41% | 0.24% | 3.72% | 34.03% | |
73 Outperform | $12.49B | 14.63 | 28.67% | 0.85% | 11.54% | 38.42% | |
69 Neutral | $2.69B | 17.21 | 11.58% | 1.27% | 19.72% | 63.76% | |
65 Neutral | $5.65B | 28.56 | 9.70% | 0.33% | 6.63% | -24.56% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
* Industrials Sector Average
MLI
Mueller Industries
55.67
14.48
35.17%
ATI
ATI
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95.43
108.65%
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590.35
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114.89%
WOR
Worthington Industries
53.09
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ESAB
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94.02
-31.94
-25.36%
Mueller Industries Corporate Events
Regulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Mueller Industries Completes Two-for-One Stock Split
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
On June 1, 2026, Mueller Industries, Inc. announced a two-for-one forward stock split of its issued common stock, to be implemented via an amendment to its Restated Certificate of Incorporation in Delaware. On June 29, 2026, the company filed this...
Regulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Mueller Industries Announces Two-for-One Forward Stock Split
Positive
Jun 2, 2026
On June 1, 2026, Mueller Industries, Inc. announced that its board had approved a two-for-one forward stock split of its common shares, to be implemented via an amendment to its Restated Certificate of Incorporation and a proportionate increase in...
Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Mueller Industries Declares Quarterly Dividend, Affirms Governance
Positive
May 11, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 7, 2026, Mueller Industries’ shareholders elected eight directors to serve until the next annual meeting, with varying levels of support across the slate. Investors also approved the appointm...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.