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Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI)
NYSE:MLI

Mueller Industries (MLI) AI Stock Analysis

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MLI

Mueller Industries

(NYSE:MLI)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$121.00
▲(9.62% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/31/26
Score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, very low leverage, and robust free cash flow) and supportive corporate actions (dividend increase and expanded liquidity). Offsetting these strengths, technical indicators point to weak near-term momentum with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Elevated net and EBIT margins reflect durable operational scale, improved pricing and product mix across Mueller’s metal and polymer product lines. Structural profitability supports reinvestment, sustained dividend increases and buffers earnings during modest market slowdowns, enhancing long-term cash generation.
Negative Factors
Cyclical End-Market Exposure
Mueller’s revenue is tied to construction, HVAC and industrial cycles, producing material top-line swings. Such cyclicality complicates capacity planning and creates periods of margin and cash-flow pressure, raising the risk that downturns will force slower investment or temporary cuts to discretionary returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Elevated net and EBIT margins reflect durable operational scale, improved pricing and product mix across Mueller’s metal and polymer product lines. Structural profitability supports reinvestment, sustained dividend increases and buffers earnings during modest market slowdowns, enhancing long-term cash generation.
Read all positive factors

Mueller Industries (MLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mueller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mueller Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, South Korea, the Middle East, China, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Piping Systems, In...
How the Company Makes Money
Mueller Industries makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling metal- and polymer-based products used in building systems and industrial applications, earning revenue when products are sold to wholesalers, distributors, OEMs, contractors, a...

Mueller Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality financial profile with structurally stronger profitability (net margin ~16% in 2024; EBIT margin ~21.8%), exceptionally low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.01–0.02), and consistently positive free cash flow ($565.7M in 2024; $686.6M in 2025). Main risk is cyclicality-driven revenue and cash flow variability.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
95
Very Positive
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.18B3.77B3.42B3.98B3.77B
Gross Profit1.14B1.04B986.83M1.12B830.36M
EBITDA1.09B874.00M886.41M920.57M694.24M
Net Income765.19M604.88M602.90M658.32M468.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.02B3.29B2.76B2.24B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.39B1.06B1.27B678.88M87.92M
Total Debt46.46M33.76M35.56M23.85M24.99M
Total Liabilities497.12M486.50M400.58M428.44M471.97M
Stockholders Equity2.49B2.77B2.34B1.79B1.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow686.64M565.71M618.74M686.30M279.87M
Operating Cash Flow755.44M645.91M672.77M723.94M311.70M
Investing Cash Flow-24.91M-606.93M135.08M-242.00M29.07M
Financing Cash Flow-394.62M-160.48M-104.51M-102.66M-376.72M

Mueller Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price110.38
Price Trends
50DMA
116.59
Positive
100DMA
116.60
Positive
200DMA
105.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
65.35
Neutral
STOCH
90.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 110.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.38, below the 50-day MA of 116.59, and above the 200-day MA of 105.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLI.

Mueller Industries Risk Analysis

Mueller Industries disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mueller Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mueller Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.10B19.1026.34%0.67%1.55%701.41%
78
Outperform
$21.68B37.4522.99%0.24%2.40%81.54%
74
Outperform
$13.40B16.8427.46%0.85%15.71%29.60%
70
Outperform
$2.72B15.1411.58%1.27%7.43%148.83%
69
Neutral
$22.21B39.9822.69%7.75%6.84%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$6.17B45.1810.98%0.33%1.19%-7.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLI
Mueller Industries
121.16
47.86
65.30%
ATI
ATI
162.21
115.48
247.12%
AZZ
AZZ
137.19
56.01
69.00%
CRS
Carpenter Technology
435.30
265.01
155.62%
WOR
Worthington Industries
55.20
8.32
17.74%
ESAB
ESAB Corporation
101.65
-13.26
-11.54%

Mueller Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Mueller Industries Secures New $100 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Mar 30, 2026
On March 27, 2026, Mueller Industries, Inc. entered into a new unsecured $100 million revolving credit facility with Bank of America, replacing its prior 2021 agreement and extending maturity to March 27, 2031. The facility, which can be used for ...
Dividends
Mueller Industries Announces 40% Increase in Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 19, 2026, Mueller Industries, Inc. announced that its board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.35 per share on its common stock, marking the sixth consecutive year of a double-digit dividend increase. The dividend, repres...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 31, 2026