Mueller Industries (MLI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $14.86B
• Dividend Yield: 0.85%
• Average Volume (3M): 714.30K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.04
• Revenue Growth: 15.71%
• EPS Growth: 29.60%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,168
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication
• EPS (TTM): 1.88
• Shares Outstanding: 111,013,630
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 656,904
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 714,302
• PEG Ratio: 39.82
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.21
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.36
• P/FCF Ratio: 15.74
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.92
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.31
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 11.49
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.77
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 7.7
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $4.53B

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: $151.00 ▲(36.80% Upside)

Mueller Industries' strong financial performance and positive corporate events are the primary drivers of its stock score. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The valuation is reasonable, with a moderate P/E ratio and a low dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Strong balance sheet

Extremely low leverage and a high equity ratio provide financial flexibility to fund capex, acquisitions, and dividends while withstanding downturns. High ROE signals efficient capital use, supporting durable shareholder returns and strategic optionality over the medium term.

Robust profitability

Consistently high gross and operating margins indicate structural cost efficiency and pricing power in core products. Durable margin profile supports reinvestment and cash generation capacity, making earnings less vulnerable to modest top-line volatility over the next several quarters.

Broad distribution & product mix

A wide product portfolio and entrenched distribution channels create recurring revenue and customer stickiness. Relationships with wholesalers, contractors and major retailers support repeat business and market share stability across residential, commercial and industrial end markets.

Negative Factors

Cyclical end-market exposure

Heavy exposure to construction, HVAC and industrial cycles means demand and order timing are tied to macro activity. In a slowing economy these segments can see rapid pullbacks, pressuring volumes and utilization and creating downside risk to revenue and margins for multiple quarters.

Commodity input price risk

Dependence on copper, brass and aluminum exposes margins to raw material price volatility. Sharp metal cost increases can compress profitability unless passed through quickly or hedged; sustained input swings create earnings unpredictability over the medium term.

Recent revenue slowdown

TTM revenue growth near 2% signals a notable deceleration versus longer-term trends, suggesting demand weakness or market share pressure. If this persists, it could limit margin expansion, cash flow growth and the company's ability to fund strategic investments without higher leverage.

Mueller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mueller Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, South Korea, the Middle East, China, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate. The Piping Systems segment offers copper tubes, fittings, line sets, and pipe nipples; PEX plumbing and radiant systems; and plumbing-related fittings and plastic injection tooling. It also resells steel pipes, brass and plastic plumbing valves, malleable iron fittings and faucets, and plumbing specialties; and supplies water tubes. This segment sells its products to wholesalers in the plumbing and refrigeration markets, distributors to the manufactured housing and recreational vehicle industries, building material retailers, and air-conditioning original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The Industrial Metals segment manufactures brass, bronze, and copper alloy rods; plumbing brass, valves, and fittings; cold-form aluminum and copper products; machining of aluminum, steel, brass, and cast iron impacts and castings; brass and aluminum forgings; brass, aluminum, and stainless-steel valves; fluid control solutions; and gas train assembles to OEMs in the industrial, construction, HVAC, plumbing, and refrigeration markets. The Climate segment offers valves, protection devices, and brass fittings for various OEMs in the commercial HVAC and refrigeration markets; high-pressure components and accessories for the air-conditioning and refrigeration markets; coaxial heat exchangers and twisted tubes for the HVAC, geothermal, refrigeration, swimming pool heat pump, marine, ice machine, commercial boiler, and heat reclamation markets; insulated HVAC flexible duct systems; and brazed manifolds, headers, and distributor assemblies. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Collierville, Tennessee.

How the Company Makes Money

Mueller Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse product range to wholesalers, contractors, and retailers in the plumbing and HVAC industries. The company benefits from a strong distribution network and a reputation for quality, which helps it secure long-term contracts and repeat business. Key revenue streams include direct sales of plumbing and HVAC products, custom manufacturing services, and partnerships with major home improvement retailers. Additionally, Mueller Industries capitalizes on market demand fluctuations and economic cycles in the construction and industrial sectors to optimize pricing and expand its market share.

Mueller Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mueller Industries demonstrates strong profitability with robust margins and consistent revenue growth. The balance sheet is solid with minimal leverage, and cash flows are healthy, supporting operations and investments.

Income Statement

Mueller Industries demonstrates strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 28.78% and a net profit margin of 18.10%. The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with a recent TTM growth rate of 1.97%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 24.02% and 25.81%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. The company has successfully improved its margins over the years, reflecting effective cost management and pricing strategies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Mueller Industries is solid, with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94%, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is impressive at 26.23%, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 83.05%, highlighting a strong capital structure with significant equity backing the assets.

Cash Flow

Mueller Industries has shown a healthy cash flow position, with a free cash flow growth rate of 14.58% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.50, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.90 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow, supporting the company's ability to fund operations and investments.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.14B	3.77B	3.42B	3.98B	3.77B	2.40B
Gross Profit	1.19B	1.04B	986.83M	1.12B	830.36M	431.88M
EBITDA	1.07B	874.00M	886.41M	920.57M	694.24M	273.28M
Net Income	749.13M	604.88M	602.90M	658.32M	468.52M	139.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.70B	3.29B	2.76B	2.24B	1.73B	1.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.32B	1.06B	1.27B	678.88M	87.92M	119.08M
Total Debt	28.94M	33.76M	35.56M	23.85M	24.99M	355.74M
Total Liabilities	600.74M	486.50M	400.58M	428.44M	471.97M	727.51M
Stockholders Equity	3.07B	2.77B	2.34B	1.79B	1.22B	776.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	676.46M	565.71M	618.74M	686.30M	279.87M	201.19M
Operating Cash Flow	754.35M	645.91M	672.77M	723.94M	311.70M	245.07M
Investing Cash Flow	-68.47M	-606.93M	135.08M	-242.00M	29.07M	-125.62M
Financing Cash Flow	-389.32M	-160.48M	-104.51M	-102.66M	-376.72M	-92.26M

Mueller Industries Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 110.38
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 110.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 124.71, below the 50-day MA of 116.47, and above the 200-day MA of 94.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLI.

Mueller Industries Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AZZ	80 Outperform	$3.68B	11.62	27.38%	0.67%	1.55%	701.41%
MLI	78 Outperform	$14.86B	19.83	26.06%	0.85%	15.71%	29.60%
ATI	78 Outperform	$16.76B	39.78	25.43%	―	7.75%	6.84%
CRS	75 Outperform	$17.36B	41.07	23.16%	0.24%	2.40%	81.54%
WOR	70 Outperform	$2.64B	24.97	11.31%	1.27%	7.43%	148.83%
ESAB	69 Neutral	$7.31B	30.49	13.86%	0.33%	1.19%	-7.78%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%

Mueller Industries Corporate Events

Mueller Industries Declares Quarterly Dividend Announcement

On November 7, 2025, Mueller Industries, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of 25 cents per share on its common stock. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on December 19, 2025, to shareholders of record as of December 5, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may have implications for its financial performance and attractiveness to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLI) stock is a Buy with a $119.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mueller Industries stock, see the MLI Stock Forecast page.