Builders Firstsource (BLDR)
NYSE:BLDR
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Builders Firstsource (BLDR) AI Stock Analysis

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BLDR

Builders Firstsource

(NYSE:BLDR)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$118.00
▲(10.88% Upside)
Builders Firstsource's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial and market environment. The most significant factors are the mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the company has a strong balance sheet and reasonable valuation, declining revenues and profitability, along with negative market momentum, weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow
Strong free cash flow allows Builders FirstSource to reinvest in growth opportunities, enhance shareholder value through buybacks, and maintain financial flexibility.
Digital and Technology Advancements
Significant growth in digital orders and quotes indicates successful technology adoption, enhancing operational efficiency and customer engagement.
Strong Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio suggests financial stability and the ability to withstand economic downturns, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and Profitability
Negative revenue growth and declining margins indicate challenges in maintaining sales momentum, potentially impacting future profitability.
Commodity Deflation Impact
Commodity deflation pressures, especially in OSB, can lead to reduced pricing power and margin compression, affecting long-term financial performance.
Housing Market Challenges
A decline in single-family housing starts suggests reduced demand for building materials, potentially impacting Builders FirstSource's revenue growth.

Builders Firstsource (BLDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Builders Firstsource Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBuilders FirstSource, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers in the United States. It offers lumber and lumber sheet goods comprising dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board products that are used in on-site house framing; manufactured products, such as wood floor and roof trusses, steel roof trusses, wall panels, stairs, and engineered wood products; and windows, and interior and exterior door units, as well as interior and exterior trims and custom products under the Synboard brand name. The company also offers gypsum, roofing, and insulation products, including wallboards, ceilings, joint treatments, and finishes; and siding, metal, and concrete products, such as vinyl, composite, and wood siding products, as well as exterior trims, other exteriors, metal studs, and cement products. In addition, it provides other building products and services, such as cabinets and hardware, as well as turn-key framing, shell construction, design assistance, and professional installation services. The company was formerly known as BSL Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Builders FirstSource, Inc. in October 1999. Builders FirstSource, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBuilders FirstSource generates revenue primarily through the sale of building materials and components to contractors, builders, and construction companies. The company has several key revenue streams, including the sale of lumber, panels, and other structural components, as well as millwork products such as doors and windows. Additionally, the company benefits from offering value-added services such as delivery and installation, which enhance customer relationships and contribute to repeat business. Strategic partnerships with large builders and ongoing investments in logistics and supply chain efficiency further bolster its profitability. The company's ability to leverage economies of scale and reduce costs through vertical integration also plays a significant role in its revenue generation.

Builders Firstsource Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strategic investments in digital tools and successful acquisitions, alongside strong free cash flow and operational excellence. However, these positives were overshadowed by declines in net sales and profit margins, along with ongoing challenges in the housing market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Deployment
Generated $548 million in operating cash flow and $465 million in free cash flow for the third quarter, with a trailing 12-month free cash flow yield of approximately 8%. Deployed over $100 million toward return-enhancing opportunities.
Digital Tools and Technology Adoption
Since launching in early 2024, digital tools have processed over $2.5 billion of orders and over $5 billion of quotes, representing increases in excess of 200% year-to-date, supporting operational agility and growth.
Successful M&A Strategy
Acquired St. George Truss Company and Builders Door & Trim, expanding value-added product offerings and strengthening market position in the Las Vegas area.
Operational Excellence and Productivity Savings
Generated $11 million in productivity savings in Q3, primarily through targeted supply chain initiatives.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales and Gross Profit
Net sales decreased 6.9% to $3.9 billion, and gross profit decreased by 13.5% due to lower organic sales, commodity deflation, and declines in single-family and multifamily markets.
Pressure on Margins
Gross margin was down 240 basis points to 30.4%, and adjusted EBITDA margin dropped by 380 basis points to 11%, primarily due to lower gross profit margins and reduced operating leverage.
Challenges in Housing Market
Single-family construction remains soft due to affordability concerns and elevated new home inventories, while multifamily activity is expected to remain muted through year-end.
Company Guidance
During the Builders FirstSource Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a detailed financial and strategic outlook amid a challenging housing market. Builders FirstSource reported a 6.9% decrease in net sales to $3.9 billion, primarily driven by a 12% decline in single-family and a 20% decline in multifamily sales, alongside commodity deflation. Despite these pressures, the company maintained a gross margin of 30.4%, attributing their resilience to operational discipline and strategic investments. Adjusted EBITDA was $434 million with an 11% margin, showcasing their ability to sustain profitability. The company highlighted $11 million in productivity savings and a $100 million capital deployment toward return-enhancing opportunities, including acquisitions and value-added solutions investments. Looking forward, Builders FirstSource forecasts 2025 net sales between $15.1 billion and $15.4 billion, with adjusted EBITDA ranging from $1.625 billion to $1.675 billion, supported by expected stabilization in the housing market and continued strategic focus on operational excellence, digital adoption, and M&A activities.

Builders Firstsource Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Builders Firstsource shows a mixed financial performance. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and stable equity, but the income statement reflects declining revenue and profitability. Cash flow generation is positive but under pressure, indicating challenges in maintaining financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Builders Firstsource's income statement shows a decline in revenue and profitability over the TTM period. The gross profit margin is healthy at 30.97%, but the net profit margin has decreased to 3.79%. Revenue growth has been negative, indicating challenges in maintaining sales momentum. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also contracted, reflecting tighter operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 in the TTM period, significantly improved from previous years. Return on equity is solid at 13.84%, although it has decreased from prior periods. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth, down by 14.17% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.76, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating potential pressures on cash reserves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.65B16.40B17.10B22.73B19.89B8.56B
Gross Profit4.85B5.38B6.01B7.74B5.85B2.22B
EBITDA1.61B1.60B2.73B4.27B2.93B660.42M
Net Income593.92M1.08B1.54B2.75B1.73B313.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.43B10.58B10.50B10.60B10.71B4.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments296.16M153.62M66.16M80.44M42.60M423.81M
Total Debt652.41M4.33B3.71B3.49B3.40B1.91B
Total Liabilities7.11B6.29B5.77B5.63B5.91B3.02B
Stockholders Equity4.32B4.30B4.73B4.96B4.80B1.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.02B1.49B1.83B3.26B1.52B147.99M
Operating Cash Flow1.39B1.87B2.31B3.60B1.74B260.07M
Investing Cash Flow-1.34B-710.72M-668.29M-957.48M-1.34B-136.22M
Financing Cash Flow-88.69M-1.07B-1.65B-2.60B-780.11M285.87M

Builders Firstsource Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price106.42
Price Trends
50DMA
124.47
Negative
100DMA
127.90
Negative
200DMA
127.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.08
Positive
RSI
31.89
Neutral
STOCH
5.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 106.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.17, below the 50-day MA of 124.47, and below the 200-day MA of 127.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLDR.

Builders Firstsource Risk Analysis

Builders Firstsource disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Builders Firstsource reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Builders Firstsource Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$6.96B20.4317.82%0.65%4.26%8.52%
74
Outperform
$11.46B25.1427.09%0.50%2.48%-6.92%
73
Outperform
$8.19B27.2038.03%0.67%15.10%23.35%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$11.84B20.3413.56%-6.44%-48.84%
53
Neutral
$13.08B16.142.00%-3.62%3.41%
51
Neutral
$8.50B-3.27%2.68%3.47%-148.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
106.42
-73.46
-40.84%
AWI
Armstrong World
188.51
35.99
23.60%
MAS
Masco
62.52
-15.28
-19.64%
OC
Owens Corning
103.08
-88.97
-46.33%
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co
167.94
-14.78
-8.09%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
150.85
18.54
14.01%

Builders Firstsource Corporate Events

Builders FirstSource Reports Decline in Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 31, 2025

Builders FirstSource, Inc., headquartered in Irving, Texas, is a leading provider of building materials and integrated homebuilding solutions for professional builders in new residential construction and repair and remodeling sectors across the United States.

Builders FirstSource Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 1, 2025

Builders FirstSource, headquartered in Irving, Texas, is the largest U.S. supplier of building products, prefabricated components, and value-added services for new residential construction and repair and remodeling. The company operates in 43 states with approximately 585 locations, offering an integrated homebuilding solution.

Builders FirstSource Earnings Call: Balancing Optimism and Caution
Aug 1, 2025

Builders FirstSource’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, balancing optimism with caution. The company showcased its strong operational focus, digital integration advancements, and strategic acquisitions. However, these positives were countered by declining sales, reduced guidance, and challenges in key market segments, particularly due to commodity deflation and a softer housing market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025