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Builders Firstsource (BLDR)
NYSE:BLDR
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Builders Firstsource (BLDR) AI Stock Analysis

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BLDR

Builders Firstsource

(NYSE:BLDR)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$141.00
▲(10.91%Upside)
Builders FirstSource benefits from strong financial health and strategic corporate actions, but faces challenges with revenue declines and market pressures. The stock is fairly valued, with mixed technical indicators.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company achieved ~$17M in productivity savings during the quarter through supply chain, fleet, and truss manufacturing initiatives with a full year target of $70-90M.
Market Position
Builders FirstSource is much more than just a building products distributor, with higher, stickier margins and reduced sensitivity to commodity prices than the Company had ~6+ years ago.
Technological Advantage
The company uses its technological edge for future outsized growth.
Negative Factors
Guidance Reduction
The company is reducing its 2025 guidance, implying that gross margins will likely face modest incremental pressure.
Housing Market Challenges
Weaker-than-expected new single-family housing demand is leading to more price competition and margin pressure.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Macro uncertainty takes its toll, as what was previously shaping up to be a flattish year for new construction appears to be deteriorating.

Builders Firstsource (BLDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Builders Firstsource Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBuilders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is a leading supplier and manufacturer of building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional contractors, sub-contractors, and consumers in the residential and commercial construction sectors. The company operates a network of distribution centers and manufacturing facilities across the United States, providing a diverse range of products including lumber, engineered wood, windows, doors, and other building products. Builders FirstSource is committed to delivering high-quality materials and services to its customers, supporting the construction of homes and commercial projects from foundation to finish.
How the Company Makes MoneyBuilders FirstSource generates revenue through the sale of building materials and manufactured components to construction professionals and retail customers. The company's key revenue streams include the distribution of lumber and lumber sheet goods, value-added manufactured products such as roof and floor trusses, wall panels, and engineered wood, as well as millwork, windows, and doors. Builders FirstSource also offers construction-related services, including design and installation. The company's revenue is significantly influenced by the demand for new residential construction and remodeling activities. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and a robust supply chain network enhance its ability to serve a wide customer base efficiently. Additionally, Builders FirstSource benefits from economies of scale, leveraging its extensive distribution network to optimize operations and pricing strategies.

Builders Firstsource Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted BFS's strong operational focus, digital integration progress, and strategic acquisitions. However, it was tempered by declining sales, reduced guidance, and challenges in key market segments, particularly affected by commodity deflation and a softer housing market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Digital Tools and Technology Integration
Since their launch in early 2024, BFS digital tools have seen over $2 billion in orders and $4 billion in quotes, marking increases of over 400% and nearly 300% year-to-date, respectively. These tools aim to enhance customer experience and operational agility.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
Achieved $5 million in productivity savings in Q2 2025 through targeted supply chain initiatives. Maintained an on-time and in-full delivery rate of 92% despite consolidating 8 facilities year-to-date.
Strategic M&A Activity
Acquired Truckee-Tahoe Lumber, extending presence in Northern California and Nevada markets. This acquisition adds to a total of 35 acquisitions since 2021.
Significant Share Repurchases
Repurchased 3.3 million shares at an average price of $118.27 per share for $391 million, with $500 million remaining on the current share repurchase authorization.
Stable and Improved Gross Margins
Gross margin improved sequentially by 20 basis points to 30.7% in Q2 2025, supported by better-than-expected performance in the multi-family and R&R segments.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales and Adjusted EBITDA
Net sales decreased by 5% to $4.2 billion, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by 24% to $506 million due to lower gross profit and reduced operating leverage.
Pressure on Single-Family and Multi-Family Segments
Single-Family sales declined 9%, while Multi-Family sales dropped 23% due to lower starts activity and value per start.
Commodity Deflation Impact
Continued commodity deflation, particularly in OSB prices, which exerted downward pricing pressure, negatively impacting financial performance.
Reduced Fiscal Year Guidance
Revised 2025 net sales guidance to $14.8 billion to $15.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $1.5 billion to $1.7 billion, reflecting lower assumptions for Single-Family starts and commodity prices.
Company Guidance
During the Builders FirstSource second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the remainder of the year, projecting net sales between $14.8 billion and $15.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $1.5 billion to $1.7 billion. The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be between 10.1% and 10.9%, with gross margins anticipated to be below long-term normalized levels, ranging from 29% to 30.5%. The company forecasts free cash flow of $800 million to $1 billion for the full year. Additionally, in the third quarter, Builders FirstSource expects net sales to be between $3.65 billion and $3.95 billion, with adjusted EBITDA estimated between $375 million and $425 million, amid a weaker-than-normal building season. These projections reflect ongoing challenges in the housing market, including affordability concerns, rising home inventories, and a competitive pricing environment.

Builders Firstsource Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Builders FirstSource shows solid profitability with strong margins, robust cash generation, and a healthy balance sheet. However, recent declines in revenue and net income present challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 32.1% and a net profit margin of 5.7% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, both revenue and net income have declined compared to the previous year, indicating some challenges in maintaining top-line growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, at 8.7% and 11.3%, respectively.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, which indicates low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 38.2%, demonstrating a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity is modest at 20.9%, which suggests room for improvement in generating higher returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement is robust, with a significant operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.84, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 1.42. Although free cash flow has decreased slightly in the TTM period, the company maintains solid cash flow metrics overall.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.94B16.40B17.10B22.73B19.89B8.56B
Gross Profit5.03B5.38B6.01B7.74B5.85B2.22B
EBITDA1.65B1.60B2.73B4.27B2.93B660.42M
Net Income756.32M1.08B1.54B2.75B1.73B313.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.46B10.58B10.50B10.60B10.71B4.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.02M153.62M66.16M80.44M42.60M423.81M
Total Debt644.53M4.33B3.71B3.49B3.40B1.91B
Total Liabilities7.29B6.29B5.77B5.63B5.91B3.02B
Stockholders Equity4.18B4.30B4.73B4.96B4.80B1.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.19B1.49B1.83B3.26B1.52B147.99M
Operating Cash Flow1.58B1.87B2.31B3.60B1.74B260.07M
Investing Cash Flow-1.45B-710.72M-668.29M-957.48M-1.34B-136.22M
Financing Cash Flow-110.77M-1.07B-1.65B-2.60B-780.11M285.87M

Builders Firstsource Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price127.13
Price Trends
50DMA
119.87
Positive
100DMA
120.54
Positive
200DMA
142.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.79
Positive
RSI
50.40
Neutral
STOCH
47.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 127.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 129.63, above the 50-day MA of 119.87, and below the 200-day MA of 142.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLDR.

Builders Firstsource Risk Analysis

Builders Firstsource disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Builders Firstsource reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Builders Firstsource Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$6.29B15.8924.41%1.19%8.09%55.08%
72
Outperform
$14.74B16.1917.83%-6.39%-42.36%
71
Outperform
$12.27B51.7911.93%1.91%16.16%-77.11%
69
Neutral
$8.91B19.9331.26%0.58%1.04%-10.78%
67
Neutral
€2.79B24.097.73%2.99%-0.69%-32.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
127.13
-25.02
-16.44%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
90.41
-3.24
-3.46%
OC
Owens Corning
139.43
-27.40
-16.42%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
114.75
-45.93
-28.58%

Builders Firstsource Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Builders FirstSource Approves Board Declassification and Amendments
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Builders FirstSource, Inc. held its annual meeting where stockholders approved amendments to the company’s charter to declassify the Board of Directors and limit the liability of certain officers, aligning with Delaware law. These changes, effective upon filing, reflect a strategic shift in the company’s governance structure, potentially influencing its operational transparency and accountability. Additionally, the meeting saw the approval of the declassification of the Board, while a proposal to remove limits on the Board’s size was not passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLDR) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Builders Firstsource stock, see the BLDR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Builders FirstSource Secures New $2.2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Builders FirstSource, Inc. replaced its existing $1,800 million revolving credit facility with a new $2,200 million facility, extending the maturity date to May 20, 2030. This strategic move, facilitated by Bank of America, aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and potentially improve its market positioning by securing more favorable borrowing terms and conditions, which could have significant implications for its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLDR) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Builders Firstsource stock, see the BLDR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Builders FirstSource Completes $750M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Builders FirstSource completed a $750 million offering of 6.750% senior notes due 2035, which was a $250 million increase from the previously announced size. The proceeds from this offering were used to repay outstanding indebtedness under the company’s senior secured ABL facility, enhancing its financial positioning by addressing its debt obligations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Builders FirstSource Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Builders FirstSource announced its intention to offer $500 million in senior unsecured notes due 2035, subject to market conditions. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay outstanding indebtedness under the company’s ABL Facility. Additionally, Builders FirstSource plans to amend its senior secured ABL facility to increase commitments and extend the maturity date, although these plans are not contingent on the completion of the notes offering. This strategic financial maneuver aims to strengthen the company’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025