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Builders Firstsource (BLDR)
NYSE:BLDR
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Builders Firstsource (BLDR) AI Stock Analysis

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BLDR

Builders Firstsource

(NYSE:BLDR)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$135.00
▲(11.34% Upside)
The overall stock score of 58.8 reflects a mixed outlook for Builders Firstsource. Financial performance shows solid profitability but declining revenue and efficiency concerns. Technical indicators suggest caution with bearish momentum. Valuation is moderate, and the earnings call highlights both strategic advancements and market challenges. The absence of notable corporate events keeps the focus on existing financial and market dynamics.
Positive Factors
Digital and Technology Advancements
Significant growth in digital orders and quotes indicates strong adoption of technology solutions, enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency, which is crucial for long-term competitive advantage.
M&A Expansion
Strategic acquisitions expand market presence and diversify revenue streams, strengthening the company's competitive position and growth potential in key regions.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Robust free cash flow generation provides financial flexibility for strategic investments and shareholder returns, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue
A significant decline in revenue indicates potential challenges in demand and market conditions, impacting the company's ability to sustain growth and profitability.
Commodity Deflation Impact
Commodity deflation pressures can erode pricing power and margins, posing a risk to profitability and financial performance in the medium term.
Decreased Gross Profit and EBITDA
Declining gross profit and EBITDA margins suggest challenges in cost management and operational efficiency, potentially affecting long-term profitability.

Builders Firstsource (BLDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Builders Firstsource Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBuilders FirstSource, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers in the United States. It offers lumber and lumber sheet goods comprising dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board products that are used in on-site house framing; manufactured products, such as wood floor and roof trusses, steel roof trusses, wall panels, stairs, and engineered wood products; and windows, and interior and exterior door units, as well as interior and exterior trims and custom products under the Synboard brand name. The company also offers gypsum, roofing, and insulation products, including wallboards, ceilings, joint treatments, and finishes; and siding, metal, and concrete products, such as vinyl, composite, and wood siding products, as well as exterior trims, other exteriors, metal studs, and cement products. In addition, it provides other building products and services, such as cabinets and hardware, as well as turn-key framing, shell construction, design assistance, and professional installation services. The company was formerly known as BSL Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Builders FirstSource, Inc. in October 1999. Builders FirstSource, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBuilders FirstSource generates revenue primarily through the sale of building materials and components to contractors, builders, and construction companies. The company has several key revenue streams, including the sale of lumber, panels, and other structural components, as well as millwork products such as doors and windows. Additionally, the company benefits from offering value-added services such as delivery and installation, which enhance customer relationships and contribute to repeat business. Strategic partnerships with large builders and ongoing investments in logistics and supply chain efficiency further bolster its profitability. The company's ability to leverage economies of scale and reduce costs through vertical integration also plays a significant role in its revenue generation.

Builders Firstsource Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong free cash flow, significant digital advancements, and strategic M&A activities. However, these positives were offset by challenges in the housing market leading to lower sales, decreased gross profit and EBITDA, and significant commodity deflation pressures, particularly in OSB. The sentiment is mixed with notable achievements overshadowed by ongoing market challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Allocation
Generated $255 million in free cash flow in Q2. Deployed over $500 million towards return-enhancing opportunities and repurchased 3.3 million shares at an average price of $118.27 per share for $391 million.
Digital and Technology Advancements
Announced Gayatri Narayan as President of Technology and Digital Solutions. Digital tools saw more than $2 billion of orders and $4 billion of quotes, metrics up over 400% and nearly 300% year-to-date, respectively, compared to 2024.
M&A Expansion
Acquired Truckee-Tahoe Lumber with prior year sales of roughly $120 million, expanding presence in Northern California and Nevada. Successfully executed 35 acquisitions since the BMC merger in 2021.
Negative Updates
Lower Sales Due to Housing Market Challenges
Net sales decreased 5% to $4.2 billion, driven by lower organic sales and commodity deflation. Single-Family starts expected to decrease through year-end.
Decline in Gross Profit and EBITDA
Gross profit decreased 11% to $1.3 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $506 million, down 24%. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 12%, down 300 basis points from the prior year.
Commodity Deflation Impact
Continued commodity deflation, particularly in OSB, creating downward pricing pressure. OSB pricing remains a challenge due to capacity additions.
Company Guidance
In the Builders FirstSource Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance for the fiscal year. They revised their net sales forecast to range between $14.8 billion and $15.6 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be between $1.5 billion and $1.7 billion. The adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to be in the range of 10.1% to 10.9%. The company anticipates free cash flow of $800 million to $1 billion. For the third quarter, net sales are expected to be between $3.65 billion and $3.95 billion, with adjusted EBITDA ranging from $375 million to $425 million. They highlighted that the Single-Family starts are expected to decrease by 10% to 12% for the year, and they foresee a multi-family sales headwind of $400 million to $500 million. Despite these challenges, Builders FirstSource emphasized their focus on operational excellence, capital allocation, and leveraging technology to improve customer service and drive long-term growth.

Builders Firstsource Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Builders Firstsource shows a mixed financial performance. The company maintains solid profitability margins despite a declining revenue trend. Improvements in leverage are positive, but reduced returns on equity highlight areas for efficiency improvement. Cash flow remains robust despite declining growth, underlining the company's ability to generate cash.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. While there is a declining trend in Total Revenue from $22.7B in 2022 to $15.9B in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), the company maintains a solid Gross Profit Margin at approximately 31.6% for TTM, indicating good cost control. The Net Profit Margin for TTM is 4.7%, which is healthy but has decreased from 6.6% in 2022. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA are also robust at 7.7% and 10.4% respectively in TTM, though they are lower than previous years, demonstrating a potential challenge in sustaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals some concerns with leverage and equity. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio has improved to 0.15 in TTM from 0.73 in 2022, indicating reduced reliance on debt. However, Return on Equity (ROE) has decreased to 18.1% in TTM from 55.4% in 2022, signaling reduced efficiency in generating returns from equity. The Equity Ratio remains stable at around 36.4% in TTM, showing a balanced asset structure but highlighting potential risks if equity efficiency doesn't improve.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates stability but with declining growth rates. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands strong at 2.09 in TTM, suggesting effective cash generation relative to net earnings. However, Free Cash Flow has decreased, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.57 in TTM, down from previous years, underscoring challenges in maintaining free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.94B16.40B17.10B22.73B19.89B8.56B
Gross Profit5.03B5.38B6.01B7.74B5.85B2.22B
EBITDA1.80B1.60B2.73B4.27B2.93B660.42M
Net Income756.32M1.08B1.54B2.75B1.73B313.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.46B10.58B10.50B10.60B10.71B4.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.02M153.62M66.16M80.44M42.60M423.81M
Total Debt5.31B4.33B3.71B3.49B3.40B1.91B
Total Liabilities7.29B6.29B5.77B5.63B5.91B3.02B
Stockholders Equity4.18B4.30B4.73B4.96B4.80B1.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.19B1.49B1.83B3.26B1.52B147.99M
Operating Cash Flow1.58B1.87B2.31B3.60B1.74B260.07M
Investing Cash Flow-1.45B-710.72M-668.29M-957.48M-1.34B-136.22M
Financing Cash Flow-110.77M-1.07B-1.65B-2.60B-780.11M285.87M

Builders Firstsource Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price121.25
Price Trends
50DMA
134.01
Negative
100DMA
125.76
Negative
200DMA
132.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.01
Positive
RSI
38.09
Neutral
STOCH
17.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 121.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 132.22, below the 50-day MA of 134.01, and below the 200-day MA of 132.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLDR.

Builders Firstsource Risk Analysis

Builders Firstsource disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Builders Firstsource reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Builders Firstsource Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.38B28.6835.33%0.63%15.59%23.46%
75
Outperform
$10.73B24.9121.03%0.49%0.24%-12.68%
69
Neutral
$11.80B37.196.45%1.89%13.08%-67.65%
68
Neutral
$6.97B21.3417.12%0.67%2.95%0.76%
64
Neutral
$14.66B18.60-947.06%1.73%-2.73%-8.31%
59
Neutral
$13.22B18.1617.83%-6.39%-42.36%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
121.25
-73.97
-37.89%
AWI
Armstrong World
196.01
63.57
48.00%
MAS
Masco
70.39
-11.45
-13.99%
OC
Owens Corning
141.46
-28.15
-16.60%
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co
167.46
-22.88
-12.02%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
138.70
-16.53
-10.65%

Builders Firstsource Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Builders FirstSource Approves Board Declassification and Amendments
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Builders FirstSource, Inc. held its annual meeting where stockholders approved amendments to the company’s charter to declassify the Board of Directors and limit the liability of certain officers, aligning with Delaware law. These changes, effective upon filing, reflect a strategic shift in the company’s governance structure, potentially influencing its operational transparency and accountability. Additionally, the meeting saw the approval of the declassification of the Board, while a proposal to remove limits on the Board’s size was not passed.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLDR) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Builders Firstsource stock, see the BLDR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Builders FirstSource Secures New $2.2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Builders FirstSource, Inc. replaced its existing $1,800 million revolving credit facility with a new $2,200 million facility, extending the maturity date to May 20, 2030. This strategic move, facilitated by Bank of America, aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and potentially improve its market positioning by securing more favorable borrowing terms and conditions, which could have significant implications for its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLDR) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Builders Firstsource stock, see the BLDR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2025