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Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc (SSD)
NYSE:SSD
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Simpson Manufacturing Co (SSD) AI Stock Analysis

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SSD

Simpson Manufacturing Co

(NYSE:SSD)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$199.00
â–²(12.89% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (scale growth and ~20% operating profitability) and a constructive but not decisive earnings outlook (pricing/cost actions and buybacks offset by tariff-driven margin pressure and softer housing starts). The rating is held back by a relatively high P/E with a low dividend yield and only moderate technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Multi‑year revenue growth & scale
Sustained top‑line expansion nearly doubled revenue over five years, demonstrating durable market penetration in construction channels. Scale supports fixed‑cost leverage, broad distribution, and product availability that help preserve margins and competitive position through cyclical demand swings.
Negative Factors
Tariff and input‑cost headwinds
Persistent tariffs and commodity/labor inflation are structural cost risks that erode gross margins despite pricing attempts. When pricing pass‑through is limited by competitive or specification constraints, sustained input inflation can compress profitability and reduce free cash flow over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi‑year revenue growth & scale
Sustained top‑line expansion nearly doubled revenue over five years, demonstrating durable market penetration in construction channels. Scale supports fixed‑cost leverage, broad distribution, and product availability that help preserve margins and competitive position through cyclical demand swings.
Read all positive factors

Simpson Manufacturing Co (SSD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Simpson Manufacturing Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells wood and concrete construction products. The company offers wood construction products, including connectors, truss plates, fastening systems, f...
How the Company Makes Money
Simpson Manufacturing makes money primarily by selling building and construction products—most notably engineered structural connectors and fasteners—into the construction supply chain. Revenue is generated from product shipments to distributors, ...

Simpson Manufacturing Co Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Geography
Operating Income by Geography
Shows how profitable Simpson is in different regions, revealing where margins are strongest or weakest and helping investors spot geographic advantages, cost pressures, or markets that drive overall earnings.
Chart InsightsNorth America remains the profit engine but recent gains look cyclical and vulnerable—management flagged weaker U.S. housing starts and tariff-driven input costs that could erode this momentum. Europe is the clearest growth story: operating income has climbed consistently and reflects the stronger sales and local‑currency gains management cited, offering real margin diversification. APAC stays immaterial and volatile. Watch that year‑to‑date margin improvement leaned on a one‑time facility sale and cost actions; sustainable upside depends on delivering the $30M run‑rate savings and steadier North American volumes.
Data provided by:The Fly

Simpson Manufacturing Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 27, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights solid top-line growth, strong adjusted EBITDA and EPS improvement driven by pricing, cost discipline and targeted growth in higher-margin segments (component manufacturing and OEM). The company also strengthened liquidity, reduced inventory and returned capital to shareholders. Offsetting these positives are notable gross margin pressure (tariffs, higher input and labor costs and Gallatin start-up costs), Europe volume weakness and a softer housing-start outlook for 2026. Management's tone is constructive but cautious, emphasizing execution, pricing realization (~$130M annualized) and cost actions to mitigate headwinds while acknowledging near-term market uncertainty.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth
Net sales of $588.0M, up 9.1% year-over-year; North America net sales $461.9M, up 9.8%; Europe net sales $121.0M, up 6.3% (FX-driven). 2025 pricing contributed ~6% and foreign exchange ~3%, partially offset by ~1% volume decline.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Compression
Consolidated gross margin declined 130 basis points to 45.2% YoY, driven by higher material, factory & tooling and labor costs, tariff impacts and product mix, including ~100 bps headwind from Gallatin facility start-up costs.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Revenue Growth
Net sales of $588.0M, up 9.1% year-over-year; North America net sales $461.9M, up 9.8%; Europe net sales $121.0M, up 6.3% (FX-driven). 2025 pricing contributed ~6% and foreign exchange ~3%, partially offset by ~1% volume decline.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Simpson’s full‑year 2026 guidance calls for a consolidated operating margin of 19.5%–20.5% (aligned with its ambition to hold operating income at or above 20%), assumes U.S. housing starts will be down in the low single digits and Europe will be flat-to-modest growth, and reflects a higher realization of 2025 price actions now expected to contribute roughly $130 million of annualized net sales (about $70 million incremental in 2026); management also expects $3M–$5M of footprint‑optimization costs in Europe, a $10M–$12M benefit from a vacant‑land sale in H2, an effective tax rate of 25%–26%, capital expenditures of $75M–$85M, ongoing tariff‑ and depreciation‑related gross margin pressure, and remains committed to returning at least 35% of free cash flow to shareholders (supported by a Board‑authorized $150M repurchase program for 2026).

Simpson Manufacturing Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and industry-leading profitability (2025 EBIT margin ~20%) support a high score, but it is tempered by post-2023 margin compression, higher debt versus earlier years, and uneven free-cash-flow conversion/volatility (FCF consistently below net income).
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.38B2.33B2.23B2.21B2.12B1.57B
Gross Profit1.08B1.07B1.03B1.04B941.17M754.71M
EBITDA567.08M550.95M520.74M558.69M532.95M411.44M
Net Income355.42M345.08M322.22M353.99M334.00M266.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.04B3.07B2.74B2.70B2.50B1.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments341.00M384.14M239.37M429.82M300.74M301.15M
Total Debt92.95M487.58M480.66M551.57M635.47M45.86M
Total Liabilities595.71M1.04B923.03M1.02B1.09B300.13M
Stockholders Equity2.45B2.03B1.81B1.68B1.41B1.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow338.23M295.63M157.80M338.20M337.46M101.70M
Operating Cash Flow449.11M456.67M338.16M427.02M399.82M151.29M
Investing Cash Flow-86.25M-136.35M-259.26M-103.25M-870.24M-58.80M
Financing Cash Flow-141.15M-183.98M-261.46M-199.03M465.53M-71.62M

Simpson Manufacturing Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price176.27
Price Trends
50DMA
183.55
Negative
100DMA
178.01
Negative
200DMA
176.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.44
Negative
RSI
50.97
Neutral
STOCH
53.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 176.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 171.94, below the 50-day MA of 183.55, and below the 200-day MA of 176.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SSD.

Simpson Manufacturing Co Risk Analysis

Simpson Manufacturing Co disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Simpson Manufacturing Co reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Simpson Manufacturing Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$11.47B30.0625.82%0.47%1.60%0.43%
74
Outperform
$7.19B26.4034.81%0.66%9.71%13.17%
69
Neutral
$7.91B20.0516.86%0.69%4.51%8.60%
69
Neutral
$9.87B-17.89-11.39%2.43%-7.95%-187.64%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$7.66B57.7812.63%0.53%20.11%-36.22%
52
Neutral
$4.78B20.8412.70%1.91%-3.17%-34.48%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co
192.05
38.47
25.05%
AAON
Aaon
93.59
-4.88
-4.95%
AWI
Armstrong World
168.46
19.46
13.06%
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovations
39.91
-13.34
-25.04%
OC
Owens Corning
122.73
-18.23
-12.93%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
147.31
32.80
28.65%

Simpson Manufacturing Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Simpson Manufacturing Posts Strong Q1 2026 Results, Reaffirms Outlook
Positive
Apr 27, 2026
On April 27, 2026, Simpson Manufacturing reported first-quarter 2026 results showing net sales up 9.1% year over year to $588.0 million, income from operations up 12.0% to $114.6 million, and diluted EPS rising 15.1% to $2.13, alongside a $50.0 mi...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Simpson Manufacturing Posts Solid 2025 Results, Raises Shareholder Returns
Positive
Feb 9, 2026
On February 9, 2026, Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. reported that fourth-quarter 2025 net sales rose 4.2% year over year to $539.3 million, with net income per diluted share of $1.35 and a declared quarterly dividend of $0.29 per share. For full-...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2026