tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN)
NYSE:FBIN

Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
464 Followers

Top Page

FBIN

Fortune Brands Innovations

(NYSE:FBIN)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
▼(-4.27% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/17/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening fundamentals (flat-to-down revenue, stepped-down earnings, and a debt-heavy capital structure) and a bearish technical setup (trading below major moving averages with weak RSI). These are partially offset by ongoing positive free cash flow, management’s cost actions and liquidity, and a valuation that appears roughly neutral with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow & liquidity
Consistent positive free cash flow and ample undrawn revolver (~$1.1B liquidity) provide durable internal funding for capex, share buybacks, and debt reduction. Strong cash conversion underpins strategic flexibility and resilience through housing-cycle volatility over the next several quarters.
Digital & security momentum
Rapid growth in digital/security brands and new subscription/insurance models signal a structural shift toward higher-growth, higher-margin, and recurring revenue streams. This diversification reduces sole reliance on cyclical housing markets and can sustainably improve consolidated margin mix over the medium term.
Brand strength and share gains
Consistent outperformance versus end markets and brand-level wins (House of Rohl, Larson) indicate durable channel execution and pricing power. Strong retail and builder relationships support steady demand and enable targeted product premiumization, cushioning revenue during slower housing activity.
Negative Factors
Revenue stagnation and earnings decline
Multi-year flat-to-down revenue and stepped-down earnings vs prior peaks reflect weakening demand and limit operating leverage. With top-line growth constrained, sustained margin expansion and earnings recovery depend heavily on cost actions and market inflection, raising execution risk over the medium term.
Elevated leverage / debt-heavy capital structure
A debt-heavy capital structure and net leverage above target reduce financial flexibility for opportunistic investment or extended downturns. Higher leverage increases refinancing and interest-rate risk, constraining the firm's ability to fund growth or absorb prolonged housing-market softness without further deleveraging actions.
Segment-specific demand weakness (Outdoors & China)
Persistent Outdoors softness and double-digit China declines are structural headwinds that depress overall growth and margins. Loss of key retail business and builder distress reduce predictability of revenue streams, making sustained recovery dependent on market improvements or costly restructuring to restore prior profit levels.

Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fortune Brands Innovations Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides water, outdoor, and security products, including water management, connected products, outdoor living, material conversion, sustainability, safety, and wellness. The company's portfolio of brands comprising Moen, House of Rohl, Aqualisa, Therma-Tru, Larson, Fiberon, Master Lock, and SentrySafe. Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortune Brands Innovations generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of its home and building products. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to consumers, distributors, and retail partners. Significant revenue is derived from the cabinetry segment, which includes kitchen and bathroom cabinets, followed by plumbing products and door hardware. FBIN also benefits from partnerships with major home improvement retailers, enhancing its market reach and distribution capabilities. Additionally, the company invests in innovation and product development to create demand for its offerings, contributing to its overall earnings growth.

Fortune Brands Innovations Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Channel
Revenue by Channel
Shows how sales are distributed across different channels, indicating the effectiveness of sales strategies and potential areas for expansion or risk.
Chart InsightsFortune Brands Innovations faces declining revenue across most channels, notably in Home Center Retailers and International markets. The earnings call highlights challenges such as tariff impacts and macroeconomic uncertainties affecting consumer demand. Despite these pressures, the company is focusing on digital transformation and brand innovation, aiming for significant growth in its digital business. The Water segment shows resilience with improved margins, but the Security segment struggles with a 7% sales decline. Strategic initiatives are crucial as the company navigates a flat to slightly declining revenue outlook for 2025.
Data provided by:The Fly

Fortune Brands Innovations Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: clear operational progress in digital/security, brand-level wins, tariff mitigation, and strong cash generation were offset by continued top-line headwinds, margin compression (particularly in Outdoors), China weakness, and near-term market uncertainty. Management has identified cost savings and structural initiatives (including $60M realized CI savings and $35M of incremental annualized OI savings targeted by year-end) and provided conservative 2026 guidance that assumes no market inflection. Overall, positives around execution and balance-sheet strength were balanced by meaningful near-term profitability and demand challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Market Outperformance and Share Gains
Excluding China, the company outperformed the market by ~130 basis points for the full year and ~300 basis points in Q4; point-of-sale growth outpaced the market across segments; net builder gains were 67 for the year (16 in Q4).
Digital & Security Momentum
Flo grew in excess of 50% for the year and launched a subscription model with new insurance partnerships; Yale delivered double-digit growth and the new Yale Smart Lock with Matter saw >50% sequential growth in Q4; Security Q4 sales +6%, operating income +52%, and operating margin improved +410 bps to 13.4%.
Tariff Mitigation and Pricing Actions
Management leveraged global supply chain and pricing (RGM) to fully mitigate the dollar impact of tariffs in 2025 and implemented much of the tariff-related pricing early in 2025, preserving pricing integrity and customer relationships.
Cost Savings and Restructuring Actions
Headquarters workforce reduced ~10% in 2025; captured $60.0M in continuous improvement savings in 2025; identified initiatives estimated to deliver $35.0M of annualized operating income savings by year-end (not included in 2026 guide); announced broader cost program for 2027–2028.
Strong Cash Generation and Capital Deployment
Full-year free cash flow was $367.0M (cash conversion >120%); full-year CapEx $112.0M; repurchased $248.0M of shares in 2025; liquidity of ~$1.1B (including >$860M of undrawn revolver) and successful extension of $1.25B revolver.
Brand-Level Wins and Channel Recoveries
House of Rohl luxury portfolio delivered low double-digit net sales growth; Moen ecommerce improved (Black Friday/Cyber Monday sales up double digits); Larson gained share following an in-aisle reset.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Revenue and EPS Declines
Total company sales for 2025 were $4,500.0M, down 3% year-over-year (excluding China down 1%); full-year adjusted EPS $3.61, down 12%; Q4 sales $1,100.0M down 2% and adjusted EPS $0.86 down 12%.
Operating Income and Margin Compression
Consolidated operating income was $699.0M, down 10% with operating margin 15.7% (down 120 bps); Q4 operating income $158.0M, down 13%, and Q4 margin decreased 170 bps to 14.7%.
Outdoors Segment Pressure
Outdoors sales for Q4 were $295.0M (down 3%); operating income fell 24% to $42.0M with operating margin compressing 400 bps to 14.2%; Fiberon faced softness and lost business with a key retailer, and Therma‑Tru experienced weak wholesale rebuilds.
China Market Weakness
China sales continued to decline double digits in 2025 and were the largest driver of year-over-year declines; China comprised <5% of revenue in 2025 (down from ~10% in 2021) but materially impacted results due to subsidy pauses and large builder distress.
Tariffs and Commodity Inflation Headwinds
Management expects tariff and commodity inflation to pressure margins in 2026 (company cited roughly $40.0M of commodity cost pressure and estimated mitigated tariff impacts of about $151.0M in 2026), with tariff costs and under-absorption rolling into the P&L in early 2026.
Near-Term Demand Uncertainty and Conservative Guidance
2026 guidance assumes no near-term demand inflection: net sales roughly flat to +2%, operating margin 14.5%–15.5% (implying ~70 bps compression at midpoint vs 2025), EPS $3.35–$3.65, and free cash flow $400M–$450M; guidance includes >$80M incremental SG&A versus 2025.
Leverage Slightly Above Target
Net debt ended ~ $2.3B with net leverage ~2.6x EBITDA (above the target below 2.5x), although management reiterated plans to reduce leverage and emphasized ample liquidity.
Company Guidance
The company guided to 2026 net sales roughly flat to +2% with assumptions of global markets down low-single-digits (U.S. down low-single-digits, U.S. single‑family new construction down mid‑single‑digits, China down low‑double‑digits), and an operating income margin of ~14.5%–15.5% (EPS $3.35–$3.65). Management expects free cash flow of ~$400M–$450M, capital expenditures of ~$110M–$140M, and cash restructuring costs of ~$25M; it also assumes tariffs remain at current rates and notes a mitigated tariff impact of roughly $151M in 2026 (up ~ $100M y/y). The guide excludes any incremental share repurchases beyond dilution, excludes the announced annualized run‑rate operating income savings of $35M (targeted by year‑end but not baked into the guide), and reflects over $80M of incremental SG&A (including normalized incentive, systems, and brand spend) as well as a planned reclassification of >$100M from SG&A to COGS that will not change reported margins; balance sheet metrics include ~ $2.3B net debt (~2.6x net debt/EBITDA) and ~$1.1B liquidity (including ~$860M undrawn).

Fortune Brands Innovations Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Margins and free cash flow remain respectable and consistently positive, but the multi-year trajectory is weakening: revenue is flat-to-down, net income has fallen materially from prior peaks, and cash flow has become more volatile. Leverage is meaningful (debt running above equity), reducing flexibility if end markets stay soft.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has been essentially flat-to-down over the last several years (down slightly in 2022–2024 and down again in 2025), signaling limited growth momentum. Profitability remains decent for the period shown, with gross margin in the low-to-mid 40% range and strong operating profitability in 2023–2024, but earnings have clearly stepped down from 2021–2022 highs (net income fell from ~$772M in 2021 to ~$299M in 2025). Overall, the income statement shows solid underlying margins but a weakening earnings trajectory and limited top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Leverage is meaningful, with debt running above equity in recent years (debt-to-equity around ~1.17–1.33 from 2022–2024), which reduces financial flexibility versus a more conservatively financed peer set. Equity has also declined versus 2021 levels while debt remains elevated, and returns on equity have moderated from very strong levels in 2022 to lower levels in 2023–2024. The balance sheet is not distressed, but the capital structure is debt-heavy and less supportive if operating performance softens.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is generally positive, with free cash flow consistently positive across the years provided, including ~$475M in 2024 and ~$367M in 2025. However, cash flow has been volatile: operating cash flow spiked in 2023 and then dropped materially in 2024–2025, and free cash flow growth turned sharply negative in 2025. Free cash flow covered a meaningful portion of earnings in 2023–2024 (roughly ~70–76%), but the recent downtrend in both earnings and cash generation is a key watch item.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.46B4.61B4.63B4.72B4.80B
Gross Profit2.00B2.07B1.91B1.93B1.96B
EBITDA850.40M919.60M803.20M977.90M999.80M
Net Income298.80M471.90M404.50M686.70M772.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.52B6.56B6.57B6.12B7.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments264.00M381.10M366.40M642.50M425.60M
Total Debt2.54B2.83B2.81B2.77B2.82B
Total Liabilities4.13B4.14B4.27B4.04B4.87B
Stockholders Equity2.39B2.42B2.29B2.08B3.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow366.80M474.50M799.30M320.20M474.50M
Operating Cash Flow478.60M667.80M1.06B566.30M688.70M
Investing Cash Flow-104.90M-302.90M-1.04B-455.50M-207.10M
Financing Cash Flow-503.30M-363.40M-271.30M72.50M-428.60M

Fortune Brands Innovations Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price54.32
Price Trends
50DMA
55.05
Negative
100DMA
52.31
Positive
200DMA
53.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
45.45
Neutral
STOCH
26.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBIN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 54.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.00, below the 50-day MA of 55.05, and above the 200-day MA of 53.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FBIN.

Fortune Brands Innovations Risk Analysis

Fortune Brands Innovations disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fortune Brands Innovations reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fortune Brands Innovations Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.48B28.1638.03%0.66%15.10%23.35%
71
Outperform
$8.43B24.6818.00%0.69%4.26%8.52%
67
Neutral
$4.49B22.5120.50%0.10%-15.99%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$8.35B84.9112.08%0.53%8.77%-47.50%
61
Neutral
$1.56B718.2413.29%-9.21%-97.43%
51
Neutral
$6.47B21.8412.43%1.91%-3.78%-24.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovations
54.32
-9.21
-14.50%
AAON
Aaon
102.30
2.69
2.70%
AWI
Armstrong World
198.92
54.29
37.54%
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
52.79
-12.70
-19.39%
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co
200.02
33.24
19.93%
TREX
Trex Company
41.73
-19.94
-32.33%

Fortune Brands Innovations Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Fortune Brands Innovations Announces CEO Transition Amid Challenges
Negative
Feb 12, 2026

On February 12, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations unveiled a leadership transition following a difficult 2025, appointing director Amit Banati as chief executive officer effective May 13, 2026, succeeding Nicholas Fink, who will resign as CEO and director on April 1, 2026. Board chair Susan S. Kilsby will serve as interim executive chair and principal executive officer between Fink’s departure and Banati’s start, while Banati’s compensation package, including substantial long-term incentives and make-whole awards, underscores the company’s bet on his consumer-sector and financial expertise to guide its strategic and profitability agenda.

Also on February 12, 2026, the company reported that fourth-quarter 2025 sales fell 2.4% to $1.08 billion and full-year 2025 revenue declined 3.2% to $4.46 billion, with GAAP EPS dropping 25% in the quarter and 34% for the year amid margin pressure. Management highlighted outperformance versus end markets, strong cash generation and extended credit capacity, but issued cautious 2026 guidance for flat to modest sales growth and only modest margin improvement, reflecting continued weakness in global and U.S. housing-related demand, particularly in China, and signaling a focus on cost structure optimization and long-term margin enhancement for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBIN) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortune Brands Innovations stock, see the FBIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Fortune Brands Innovations Extends $1.25 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 16, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. executed an extension of its existing five-year senior unsecured revolving credit facility, maintaining the facility size at $1.25 billion and pushing its maturity out to January 16, 2031. The renewed agreement, with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. as administrative agent and Bank of America, N.A. as syndication agent, bolsters the company’s financial flexibility and liquidity, supporting its ongoing operations and strategic initiatives in the home, security and digital products markets without altering the core size of its available credit. The company publicly disclosed the extension in a press release dated January 20, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (FBIN) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortune Brands Innovations stock, see the FBIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 17, 2026