Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.71B
• Dividend Yield: 1.36%
• Average Volume (3M): 887.47K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 26.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.06
• Revenue Growth: -3.26%
• EPS Growth: -46.80%
• Country: US
• Employees: 4,300
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
• EPS (TTM): 0.36
• Shares Outstanding: 69,643,460
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 859,954
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 887,473
• PEG Ratio: 0.13
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.40
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.50
• P/FCF Ratio: 17.42
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.10
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.23
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.43
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 14.24
• 1Y Price Target: $106.57
• Price Target Upside: 29.87% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6
• EPS Forecast (FY): 2.69
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $2.74B

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: $84.00 ▲(2.36% Upside)

Louisiana-Pacific's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic growth in the Siding segment, offset by weak technical indicators and challenges in the OSB market. The company's valuation is moderate, and while the earnings call provided some positive guidance, market conditions remain challenging.

Positive Factors

Siding Segment Growth

The growth in the Siding segment, driven by pricing and product mix, indicates strong demand and competitive positioning, supporting long-term revenue stability.

Operational Efficiency

Improved equipment effectiveness in OSB operations suggests enhanced operational efficiency, which can lead to cost savings and better profit margins over time.

Financial Stability

A strong equity position and low leverage indicate financial stability, providing the company with flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.

Negative Factors

OSB Market Challenges

Persistent low OSB prices due to weak demand can pressure margins and profitability, posing a challenge to the company's revenue and earnings stability.

Revenue Volatility

A decline in total sales highlights revenue volatility, which can impact financial predictability and investor confidence, especially if trends persist.

South American Market Struggles

Economic struggles in South America may hinder growth and profitability in this region, affecting the company's overall international expansion efforts.

Louisiana-Pacific Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets building products primarily for use in new home construction, repair and remodeling, and outdoor structure markets. It operates through four segments: Siding; Oriented Strand Board (OSB); Engineered Wood Products (EWP); and South America. The Siding segment offers LP SmartSide trim and siding products, LP SmartSide ExpertFinish trim and siding products, LP BuilderSeries lap siding products, and LP Outdoor Building Solutions; and engineered wood siding, trim, soffit, and fascia products. The OSB segment manufactures and distributes OSB structural panel products comprising LP TechShield radiant barriers, LP WeatherLogic air and water barriers, LP Legacy premium sub-flooring products, LP FlameBlock fire-rated sheathing products, and LP TopNotch sub-flooring products. The EWP segment provides laminated veneer lumber and other related products; and LP SolidStart I-joists, which are primarily used in residential and commercial floorings, roofing systems, and other structural applications. The South America segment manufactures and distributes OSB structural panel and siding products. This segment also distributes and sells related products for the region's transition to wood frame construction. It also offers timber and timberlands and other products and services. The company sells its products primarily to retailers, wholesalers, and homebuilding and industrial businesses in North America and South America, Asia, Australia, and Europe. Louisiana-Pacific Corporation was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

How the Company Makes Money

Louisiana-Pacific generates revenue primarily through the sale of its engineered wood products and building materials. The company operates on a business-to-business model, supplying products to distributors, retailers, and construction companies. Key revenue streams include sales from oriented strand board (OSB), siding products like LP SmartSide, and other engineered wood solutions. Additionally, LPX benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and builders, enhancing its market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include demand fluctuations in the housing market, pricing strategies, and operational efficiencies achieved through advances in manufacturing technologies.

Louisiana-Pacific Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Louisiana-Pacific exhibits strong financial health with consistent improvements in profitability and efficient cash management. The balance sheet underscores financial stability with low leverage, while cash flow remains robust. However, revenue volatility and potential industry risks warrant attention.

Income Statement

Louisiana-Pacific demonstrated strong growth in revenue and profitability over the years. The gross profit margin consistently improved, reaching approximately 28.3% in 2024, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin also saw substantial improvement, rising to 14.3% in 2024. However, revenue fluctuations, particularly a dip in 2023, highlight volatility in the construction industry.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an improving debt-to-equity ratio, which was 0.22 in 2024. This indicates conservative financial management and reduced leverage risk. The equity ratio increased to 65.1% in 2024, reflecting a stable financial foundation. However, the high reliance on equity could limit leverage opportunities.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals robust operating cash flows, with a significant increase in free cash flow to $422 million in 2024, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 1.44 in 2024, showcasing efficient cash conversion. However, free cash flow growth rates show volatility, necessitating careful monitoring.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.82B	2.94B	2.58B	3.85B	3.92B	2.40B
Gross Profit	666.00M	831.00M	593.00M	1.50B	1.96B	833.00M
EBITDA	441.00M	659.00M	381.00M	1.36B	1.86B	753.00M
Net Income	216.00M	420.00M	178.00M	1.09B	1.38B	499.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.65B	2.57B	2.44B	2.35B	2.19B	2.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	316.00M	340.00M	222.00M	369.00M	358.00M	535.00M
Total Debt	378.00M	380.00M	378.00M	395.00M	397.00M	389.00M
Total Liabilities	910.00M	898.00M	880.00M	916.00M	955.00M	842.00M
Stockholders Equity	1.74B	1.67B	1.56B	1.43B	1.24B	1.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	143.00M	422.00M	16.00M	730.00M	1.23B	582.00M
Operating Cash Flow	421.00M	605.00M	316.00M	1.14B	1.48B	659.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-276.00M	-183.00M	-376.00M	-146.00M	-247.00M	-49.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-165.00M	-292.00M	-77.00M	-982.00M	-1.39B	-272.00M

Louisiana-Pacific Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 82.06
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 82.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.38, below the 50-day MA of 84.74, and below the 200-day MA of 89.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LPX.

Louisiana-Pacific Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
UFPI	69 Neutral	$5.39B	17.26	9.78%	1.51%	-3.90%	-25.97%
SLVM	69 Neutral	$1.89B	10.97	18.81%	3.76%	-8.92%	-32.30%
LPX	65 Neutral	$5.71B	26.45	12.75%	1.36%	-3.26%	-46.80%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
SUZ	62 Neutral	$11.15B	9.44	14.56%	3.72%	6.65%	47.88%
CLW	48 Neutral	$286.12M	―	-10.47%	―	-21.76%	-1214.73%
MERC	45 Neutral	$117.89M	―	-39.37%	12.78%	-5.85%	9.13%

Louisiana-Pacific Corporate Events

Louisiana-Pacific Corp Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Results

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LP), a prominent player in the building products industry, specializes in manufacturing high-performance engineered wood products for construction and remodeling markets globally. The company, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, operates over 20 manufacturing facilities across the U.S., Canada, Chile, and Brazil.

Louisiana-Pacific Corp’s Mixed Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges

The recent earnings call for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LP) painted a mixed picture, reflecting both growth and challenges. While the company demonstrated strong performance in its Siding segment and operational excellence in its OSB division, it faced significant declines in sales and EBITDA, largely due to a weak OSB market. Despite these challenges, the company received recognition and improved its guidance, although concerns about softer market expectations and struggles in South America remain.

Louisiana-Pacific CEO Announces Retirement, Successor Named

On October 30, 2025, W. Bradley Southern, the CEO of Louisiana-Pacific Corporation, announced his retirement effective February 19, 2026. The Board has appointed Jason Ringblom, the current President, to succeed him as CEO on the same date. This transition will also see the elimination of the President’s office, and no compensation details for Mr. Ringblom’s new role have been determined yet.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPX) stock is a Hold with a $98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Louisiana-Pacific stock, see the LPX Stock Forecast page.

Louisiana-Pacific Announces Quarterly Dividend Payment

On October 30, 2025, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.28 per share, payable on November 21, 2025, to stockholders of record as of November 14, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and may enhance its market position by demonstrating financial stability and rewarding investor loyalty.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPX) stock is a Hold with a $98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Louisiana-Pacific stock, see the LPX Stock Forecast page.

Louisiana-Pacific Corp’s Earnings Call: Mixed Outlook with Siding Strength

Louisiana-Pacific Corp’s recent earnings call painted a picture of mixed sentiment, with notable achievements in the Siding segment and strong operational efficiency, but also significant challenges in the OSB segment due to falling prices and negative EBITDA forecasts. The company remains resilient with a solid liquidity position, despite broader market and economic headwinds.

Louisiana-Pacific Corp Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LP Building Solutions) is a prominent manufacturer of engineered wood products, serving the construction industry with a diverse range of high-performance building solutions. Headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, LP operates over 20 manufacturing facilities across the U.S., Canada, Chile, and Brazil.