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Suzano Papel e Celulose SA (SUZ)
NYSE:SUZ
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Suzano Papel e Celulose SA
(NYSE:SUZ)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(9.03% Upside)
Positive Factors
Cost Leadership
Suzano continues to strengthen its position as a global cost leader in pulp production by addressing structural challenges through innovative strategies.
Financial Performance
Suzano reported 3Q24 EBITDA at R$6.5bn, 6% above consensus, driven by stronger pulp shipments and higher paper shipments.
Valuation
Suzano is trading at an attractive valuation compared to its historical EV/EBITDA, offering a potential investment opportunity.
Negative Factors
Supply and Demand
The company’s outlook for S&D indicates that supply should outpace demand by 2028 – likely triggering pulp price pressure to balance out markets.
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA (SUZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.01B
Dividend Yield3.46%
Average Volume (3M)1.74M
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.6
Beta (1Y)0.40
Revenue Growth11.48%
EPS Growth1773.12%
CountryUS
Employees35,000
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength66
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.74
Shares Outstanding1,264,117,700
10 Day Avg. Volume1,139,171
30 Day Avg. Volume1,737,525
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.14
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.68
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.60
Enterprise Value/Ebitda1.18
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$17.00Price Target Upside76.53% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionSuzano S.A. produces and sells eucalyptus pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates through Pulp and Paper segments. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps; and lignin and its byproducts. It also engages in the research, development, and production of biofuel; operation of port terminals; power generation and distribution business; commercialization of equipment and parts; biotechnology research and development; and commercialization of paper and computer materials. In addition, the company is involved in the business office, production packaging, and financial fundraising activities; research, development, production, commercialization, and distribution of wood-based textile fibers, yarns, and filaments produced from cellulose and microfibrillated cellulose; and research and development of wood raw materials for the textile industry. Suzano S.A. was formerly known as Suzano Papel e Celulose S.A. and changed its name to Suzano S.A. in April 2019. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Salvador, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneySuzano generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pulp and paper products. The company benefits from multiple revenue streams, including the production and export of hardwood pulp, which is a key input for various paper products. Additionally, Suzano sells a range of paper products, including coated and uncoated paper, and packaging solutions to various industries, such as publishing, packaging, and consumer goods. The company has formed strategic partnerships with clients in different sectors, enhancing its market reach and stability. Factors contributing to Suzano's earnings include global demand for sustainable paper products, the effective management of its forestry operations, and its commitment to innovation in product development.
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements in sales volume growth and cost management, but faced challenges in pulp price uncertainties and increased leverage. The company's strategic focus on deleveraging and competitive pricing was countered by global trade tensions affecting demand and pricing stability.Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales Volume Growth
Suzano saw sales volume growth in their Brazilian operations on a year-over-year basis, with improvements in packaging operations and results, and a 62% increase in Suzano packaging sales volumes quarter-over-quarter.
EBITDA Improvement in Packaging
Suzano's packaging EBITDA improved by 67% quarter-over-quarter, with expectations of achieving positive EBITDA in the second half of the year.
Price Evolutions
Successful implementation of price announcements in main product lines with a favorable FX contributing to higher net prices for exports compared to Q1 2024.
Debt Management
Suzano maintained a competitive cost of capital at 5%, improved average maturity from 73 to 76 months, and executed liability management operations that raised $1.2 billion at a favorable rate.
Negative Updates
Pulp Price Uncertainty
Uncertainty due to global trade tensions affecting pulp prices, particularly in China where customers paused negotiations due to tariff-related uncertainties.
High Inventories and Cash Costs
Inventory rebuild in Q1 impacted logistics, while cash production costs saw a temporary increase of 6% compared to Q4 2024 due to maintenance downtimes and higher input costs.
Challenges in Paperboard Demand
8% decline in U.S. box board demand and a 1% decline in the U.S. market on a year-over-year basis.
Leverage Concerns
Net debt increased slightly to $12.9 billion, with leverage ticking up to 3 times net debt to EBITDA due to small increases in net debt and a decline in EBITDA.
Company Guidance
During Suzano's first quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. The management emphasized its strategic focus on maintaining competitiveness amid global uncertainties, with plans to reduce cash costs, SG&A expenses, and CapEx per ton throughout 2025. Suzano reported a BRL 4.3 billion EBITDA, reflecting a 49% margin, despite lower volumes and invoicing prices. A conservative approach to financial strength was reiterated, with a leverage target remaining at the lower range of the company's financial policy. The call also highlighted Suzano's intent to generate free cash flow under any pulp price scenario and to achieve positive EBITDA for its packaging operations by the second half of the year. Additionally, the potential for new investments was discussed, with the company indicating a preference for opportunities offering higher returns due to increased global risk, while maintaining a commitment to deleveraging and shareholder value.Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Suzano exhibits strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation, but faces challenges with profitability and high leverage. The substantial net loss in 2024 affects the overall financial health, despite revenue growth and operational margins. The balance sheet reflects high debt levels, which could pose risks if not managed properly. The company demonstrates resilience with strong cash flow but needs to address profitability and leverage for long-term stability.Income Statement
The company shows volatility in net income, with a significant net loss in 2024 compared to a high net income in 2023. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 is strong at 19.21%, but this is overshadowed by a negative net profit margin due to the net loss. The gross profit margin is stable, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, indicating operational efficiency despite the net loss.60
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses financial risk. Stockholders' equity has decreased, and the equity ratio is relatively low, highlighting potential instability. However, the company maintains substantial cash reserves, which provide some liquidity cushion.50
Neutral
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow is strong and shows growth, but free cash flow has improved notably from negative in 2023 to positive in 2024. The company effectively converts operating cash flow into free cash flow, though the free cash flow to net income ratio is impacted by the net loss.65
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 37.94B | 47.40B | 39.76B | 49.83B | 40.97B | 30.46B |
| Gross Profit | 16.08B | 20.00B | 14.68B | 25.01B | 20.35B | 11.49B |
| EBITDA | 21.75B | 23.46B | 29.40B | 30.63B | 24.62B | 12.23B |
| Net Income | -7.29B | -7.07B | 14.08B | 23.38B | 8.63B | -10.71B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 155.24B | 165.94B | 143.59B | 133.20B | 118.98B | 101.80B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 16.43B | 21.99B | 21.17B | 17.05B | 21.10B | 9.05B |
| Total Debt | 97.89B | 108.41B | 83.42B | 80.76B | 85.52B | 78.09B |
| Total Liabilities | 116.71B | 133.52B | 98.78B | 100.03B | 103.80B | 94.46B |
| Stockholders Equity | 38.40B | 32.28B | 44.69B | 33.06B | 15.08B | 7.23B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 6.62B | 4.07B | -241.59M | 6.80B | 11.39B | 8.23B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 21.97B | 20.60B | 17.32B | 21.64B | 17.64B | 13.12B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -11.15B | -20.51B | -26.04B | -17.02B | -10.36B | -736.42M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.39B | -83.77M | 7.80B | -8.11B | -1.57B | -9.79B |
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Technical Analysis
Neutral
9.63
Price Trends
9.48
Positive
9.34
Positive
9.65
Negative
Market Momentum
0.03
Positive
49.53
Neutral
19.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.79, above the 50-day MA of 9.48, and below the 200-day MA of 9.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SUZ.
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Risk Analysis
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Suzano Papel e Celulose SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $6.74B | 21.95 | 17.53% | 1.14% | -1.44% | -31.12% | |
72 Outperform | $6.20B | 17.24 | 10.71% | 1.33% | -5.09% | -26.13% | |
65 Neutral | $12.01B | 8.57 | 18.34% | 3.46% | 11.48% | 1773.12% | |
65 Neutral | $1.80B | 8.46 | 24.37% | 3.97% | -4.03% | -5.27% | |
62 Neutral | $10.28B | 6.21 | 0.76% | 2.84% | 3.10% | -36.03% | |
61 Neutral | $658.80M | 4.60 | -69.18% | 3.32% | -0.62% | -39.91% | |
59 Neutral | $353.00M | 33.74 | -4.36% | ― | -26.71% | -329.19% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
SUZ
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA
9.63
0.15
1.58%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
22.01
-8.55
-27.98%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
99.02
7.86
8.62%
MATV
Mativ Holdings
12.43
-4.69
-27.39%
UFPI
UFP Industries
103.79
-7.81
-7.00%
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
45.38
-27.13
-37.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.