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Suzano Papel E Celulose (SUZ)
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Suzano Papel e Celulose SA (SUZ) AI Stock Analysis

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SUZ

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA

(NYSE:SUZ)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(6.86% Upside)
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA's overall stock score reflects strong profitability and operational efficiency, balanced by challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. The valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and solid dividend yield. The earnings call provided positive insights into operational improvements, although market conditions and leverage remain concerns. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, which slightly dampens the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Ongoing cost reduction efforts enhance operational efficiency, allowing Suzano to maintain competitiveness and profitability despite market challenges.
Market Expansion
Achieving record sales volumes indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term revenue growth and market share expansion.
Financial Health
Increased cash reserves enhance financial stability and liquidity, providing Suzano with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt obligations.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses a risk to financial stability, potentially limiting Suzano's ability to invest in growth and navigate economic downturns.
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term profitability and market position.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Decreasing free cash flow growth may limit Suzano's ability to fund new investments and service debt, affecting future financial flexibility.

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA (SUZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSuzano Papel e Celulose SA (SUZ) is a leading Brazilian company in the pulp and paper sector, recognized as one of the largest producers of hardwood pulp globally. The company operates primarily in the forestry, pulp, and paper industries, focusing on sustainable practices and environmental responsibility. Suzano's core products include a variety of paper grades, such as printing and writing paper, as well as packaging products made from renewable resources. The company also emphasizes innovation in its processes and product offerings, aiming to meet the diverse needs of its global customer base.
How the Company Makes MoneySuzano generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pulp and paper products. The company benefits from multiple revenue streams, including the production and export of hardwood pulp, which is a key input for various paper products. Additionally, Suzano sells a range of paper products, including coated and uncoated paper, and packaging solutions to various industries, such as publishing, packaging, and consumer goods. The company has formed strategic partnerships with clients in different sectors, enhancing its market reach and stability. Factors contributing to Suzano's earnings include global demand for sustainable paper products, the effective management of its forestry operations, and its commitment to innovation in product development.

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Suzano's operational improvements and strategic focus on cost reduction, achieving positive EBITDA in key areas. However, challenges in market conditions, pricing pressures, and increased leverage present ongoing concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Pine Bluff Positive EBITDA
Pine Bluff achieved its first positive EBITDA result for the quarter, indicating a successful turnaround and ongoing positive trend.
Reduction in Cash Costs
Suzano continued to reduce its cash costs, maintaining a focus on efficiency and productivity to manage operational disbursements.
Record Sales Volumes in Paper and Packaging
The Paper and Packaging business unit achieved the highest quarterly volume in history, despite challenging market conditions.
Improved Cash Costs Performance
Cash costs decreased by 4% compared to the previous quarter, driven by lower wood costs and operational efficiencies.
Suzano Packaging's First Positive EBITDA
Suzano Packaging achieved its first positive quarterly EBITDA, marking a significant improvement in operations.
Negative Updates
Pulp Price Decline
Pulp prices in China fell below $500, triggering market turbulence, although subsequent increases were announced but not yet realized.
Currency and Pricing Pressures
The company faced lower prices in export markets and unfavorable exchange rates, impacting EBITDA negatively.
Challenging Market Conditions
Continued negative effects of economic headwinds and trade war uncertainties affected demand in Europe and other markets.
Debt and Leverage
Leverage increased to 3.3x due to declining EBITDA, although net debt remained stable.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Suzano reported several key metrics indicating positive trends and strategic focuses. The company achieved its first positive EBITDA for the Pine Bluff business, marking a significant turnaround. Suzano emphasized its ongoing efforts to reduce cash costs, which it plans to maintain over the next two years to enhance efficiency and productivity. The company highlighted a focus on deleveraging, even amidst low price cycles, and maintaining operational disbursement reductions as a top priority. In the Paper and Packaging segment, Suzano achieved strong sales volumes, recording the highest quarterly volume in its history, despite challenging market conditions. The EBITDA for this segment reached BRL 542 million, representing an 11% increase quarter-over-quarter. Suzano's leverage in dollar terms was at 3.3x, with a stable net debt and an average cost of debt at 5%. The company reiterated its 2025 CapEx guidance of BRL 13.3 billion, indicating a significant investment focus while maintaining a cautious approach to market conditions.

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA shows strong profitability and operational efficiency with healthy profit margins and return on equity. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and high leverage, which could impact financial stability. Cash flow generation is solid, but the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 23.5%, suggesting challenges in maintaining sales momentum. However, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 37.7% and a net profit margin of 15.3%, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 16.4% and 36.6%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. Despite these strengths, the negative revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.28, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in volatile market conditions. However, the return on equity (ROE) is solid at 20.2%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 27.4%, indicating a moderate level of equity financing. Overall, while profitability is strong, the high leverage is a potential risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 9.75% in the TTM period, which could impact future investments and debt servicing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.60, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, showing a reasonable conversion of earnings into cash. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, cash generation remains robust.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.18B47.40B39.76B49.83B40.97B30.46B
Gross Profit17.63B20.00B14.68B25.01B20.35B11.49B
EBITDA30.51B23.46B29.40B40.18B19.67B-7.13B
Net Income6.56B-7.07B14.08B23.38B8.63B-10.72B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets164.42B165.94B143.59B133.20B118.98B19.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.57B21.99B21.17B17.05B21.10B1.74B
Total Debt99.81B108.41B83.42B80.76B85.52B14.85B
Total Liabilities119.16B133.52B98.78B100.03B103.80B18.19B
Stockholders Equity45.12B32.28B44.69B33.06B15.08B1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.41B4.07B-241.59M6.80B11.39B8.23B
Operating Cash Flow19.00B20.60B17.32B21.64B17.64B13.12B
Investing Cash Flow-10.59B-20.51B-26.04B-17.02B-10.36B-736.42M
Financing Cash Flow2.03B-83.77M7.80B-8.11B-1.57B-9.79B

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.89
Price Trends
50DMA
9.08
Negative
100DMA
9.30
Negative
200DMA
9.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
46.99
Neutral
STOCH
35.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.99, below the 50-day MA of 9.08, and below the 200-day MA of 9.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SUZ.

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Risk Analysis

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Suzano Papel e Celulose SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$5.42B17.369.78%1.51%-3.90%-25.97%
69
Neutral
$1.89B10.9718.81%3.80%-8.92%-32.30%
65
Neutral
$5.71B26.4512.75%1.37%-3.26%-46.80%
62
Neutral
$11.15B9.4414.56%3.69%6.65%47.88%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$682.97M-68.33%3.20%0.39%-505.56%
48
Neutral
$291.74M-10.47%-21.76%-1214.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUZ
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA
8.88
-1.09
-10.93%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
17.84
-9.32
-34.32%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
82.06
-33.84
-29.20%
MATV
Mativ Holdings
12.30
-0.38
-3.00%
UFPI
UFP Industries
92.46
-40.61
-30.52%
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
47.81
-42.37
-46.98%

Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Corporate Events

Suzano S.A. Reports Q3 2025 Results with Cost Reductions and Market Expansion
Nov 7, 2025

In its third-quarter 2025 report, Suzano S.A. highlighted a decrease in cash production costs and an increase in sales volumes across all markets, including a positive performance from its US operations. The company reported a slight increase in leverage due to lower last twelve months EBITDA, but extended its average debt term without additional costs. Suzano continues to focus on deleveraging and enhancing competitiveness, with future plans including the start of a new tissue mill in Aracruz and ongoing improvements in its US packaging operations.

Suzano S.A. Reports Strong Financial Performance for Nine-Month Period Ending September 2025
Nov 6, 2025

Suzano S.A. has released its unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial information for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025. The report highlights a substantial increase in cash and cash equivalents, rising from R$9,018,818 at the end of 2024 to R$15,838,866 by September 2025, indicating strong financial health and liquidity. This financial performance underscores Suzano’s robust position in the industry, potentially benefiting stakeholders by enhancing the company’s operational capabilities and market competitiveness.

Suzano S.A. Reports Strong Sales Growth Despite Market Challenges in Q3 2025
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Suzano S.A. announced its consolidated results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a significant increase in both pulp and paper sales compared to the same period last year. Despite a challenging market environment with declining average net prices for pulp, the company achieved a 20% increase in pulp sales and a 21% increase in paper sales. However, the adjusted EBITDA for both segments showed a decline compared to the previous year, reflecting the impact of lower prices and increased operational costs. Suzano’s operational efficiency led to a reduction in cash costs, and the company maintained a strong free cash flow yield and return on invested capital, indicating resilience in its financial performance.

Suzano S.A. Announces Early Redemption of Debentures to Optimize Capital Structure
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Suzano S.A. announced its decision to execute a full optional early redemption of its 8th issuance of simple, non-convertible, unsecured debentures, originally set to mature on September 15, 2028. This strategic move, scheduled for September 26, 2025, involves the payment of R$750,000,000.00 plus applicable remuneration and premium, and aligns with Suzano’s active liability management strategy aimed at optimizing its capital structure and reducing debt costs. The company emphasizes its commitment to transparency with its shareholders and investors.

Suzano Clarifies Sales Growth Amidst Market Dynamics
Sep 18, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Suzano S.A. clarified a statement made by its CEO regarding the company’s sales volume growth, which was driven by the new Ribas do Rio Pardo plant. The plant, the largest single pulp production line globally, contributed to an 8% increase in sales volume between 2023 and 2024. However, the company emphasized that this growth should not be seen as a projection for 2025, as market conditions such as supply, demand, and pricing remain unpredictable. Suzano’s management stated that the information about the plant’s impact was already disclosed in a previous Material Fact and does not constitute new material information.

Suzano S.A. Announces Full Redemption of 5.500% Senior Notes Due 2027
Sep 16, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Suzano International Finance B.V., a subsidiary of Suzano S.A., announced the full redemption of its 5.500% Senior Notes due 2027, with the redemption date set for September 22, 2025. The redemption will involve the payment of the greater of 100% of the principal amount or the present value of remaining scheduled payments, plus accrued interest. This strategic financial move is expected to impact Suzano’s financial obligations and potentially enhance its market positioning by reducing debt liabilities.

Suzano S.A. Enters Indenture Agreement to Issue Debt Securities
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Suzano S.A. and Suzano Netherlands B.V. entered into a Base Indenture with The Bank of New York Mellon as the trustee. This agreement, which includes the issuance of debt securities, is part of Suzano’s strategic financial management to enhance its capital structure and support its growth initiatives. The move is expected to bolster Suzano’s position in the industry by providing additional financial flexibility.

Suzano Announces Final Results of Cash Tender Offers for 2026 and 2027 Notes
Sep 9, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Suzano S.A., through its subsidiaries Suzano International Finance B.V. and Suzano Austria GmbH, announced the expiration and final results of their cash tender offers for outstanding notes due in 2026 and 2027. The tender offers, which expired on the same day, saw a significant portion of the notes being validly tendered, with payments expected to be made by September 11, 2025. This move is part of Suzano’s financial strategy to manage its debt portfolio, potentially impacting its market positioning and financial stability.

Suzano S.A. Announces Pricing of Cash Tender Offers for Notes
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Suzano S.A. announced the pricing of cash tender offers for outstanding notes issued by its subsidiaries, Suzano International Finance and Suzano Austria. The tender offers are contingent upon the successful pricing and receipt of proceeds from a new debt securities offering by Suzano Netherlands B.V. The settlement for the tendered notes is scheduled for September 11, 2025. This move is part of Suzano’s strategic financial management to optimize its debt profile, potentially impacting its financial stability and investor relations.

Suzano S.A. Announces Debt Securities Issuance Under New Underwriting Agreement
Sep 5, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Suzano S.A. announced a new underwriting agreement through its subsidiary, Suzano Netherlands B.V., to issue and sell debt securities. These securities are guaranteed by Suzano S.A., indicating a strategic move to strengthen its financial position and potentially expand its operations. This development is expected to impact Suzano’s market positioning positively, providing additional capital for growth and enhancing investor confidence.

Suzano S.A. Announces $1 Billion Bond Offering for Liability Management
Sep 4, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Suzano S.A. announced the pricing of a bond offering by its subsidiary, Suzano Netherlands B.V., amounting to one billion US Dollars with a yield of 5.667% per annum. The proceeds from this issuance will be used to repurchase existing senior notes maturing in 2026 and 2027, as part of the company’s liability management strategy. This move is expected to enhance Suzano’s financial flexibility and reinforce its commitment to transparency with investors.

Suzano S.A. Initiates Cash Tender Offers for 2026 and 2027 Notes
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Suzano S.A. announced that its subsidiaries, Suzano International Finance B.V. and Suzano Austria GmbH, have initiated cash tender offers for their outstanding notes due in 2026 and 2027. This strategic move aims to manage their debt profile effectively, contingent upon the successful issuance of new debt securities by Suzano Netherlands B.V. The tender offers are not dependent on a minimum principal amount of notes being tendered but are subject to certain conditions, including the completion of a debt financing transaction. The outcome of these offers could significantly impact Suzano’s financial operations and its positioning in the market.

Suzano S.A. Approves $1 Billion Debt Issuance
Sep 2, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Suzano S.A.’s Board of Directors approved a significant financial maneuver involving its subsidiary, Suzano Netherlands B.V. The board authorized the issuance of debt securities worth up to $1 billion for the international market, with the company’s executive board given discretion over the terms of the issuance. This move, supported by a corporate guarantee from Suzano, aims to strengthen the company’s financial positioning and enhance its market operations through strategic debt management.

Suzano S.A. Approves $1 Billion Debt Issuance Strategy
Sep 2, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Suzano S.A.’s Board of Directors approved a significant financial maneuver involving the issuance of debt securities worth up to $1 billion through Suzano Netherlands B.V. This decision includes tender offers and make-whole redemptions for bonds maturing in 2026 and 2027, issued by its subsidiaries Suzano Austria GmbH and Suzano International Finance B.V. The move aims to optimize the company’s financial structure and is expected to impact its market positioning positively.

Suzano S.A. Reports Strong Financial Recovery for First Half of 2025
Sep 2, 2025

Suzano S.A. reported its financial results for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025, showing a notable recovery from the previous year’s losses. The company achieved a net income of 2,081.7 million USD, a significant turnaround from a loss of 3,545.5 million USD in the same period in 2024. This improvement is attributed to increased net sales and favorable financial results from derivative instruments and exchange variations, positioning Suzano favorably in the market.

Suzano S.A. Approves Panda Bonds Issuance to Strengthen Market Position in China
Aug 22, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Suzano S.A.’s Board of Directors approved the issuance of Panda Bonds by its subsidiary, Suzano International Finance B.V., in the interbank bond market of China. The bonds, amounting to up to RMB 1.5 billion, are part of a larger RMB 20 billion debt instrument program. The issuance aims to strengthen Suzano’s financial position and expand its market presence in China, with the company also planning to engage in derivative transactions to hedge against potential financial risks.

Suzano S.A. Approves BRL 2 Billion CPR-Fs Issuance for Forest Conservation
Aug 19, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Suzano S.A.’s Board of Directors approved the issuance of financial liquidation rural product notes (CPR-Fs) valued at BRL 2 billion for public distribution. This strategic move aims to raise funds for the development and conservation of forests, enhancing Suzano’s commitment to sustainability. The issuance will be conducted under a firm-commitment placement regime, with the CPR-Fs being distributed and traded through B3, Brazil’s stock exchange. This initiative underscores Suzano’s efforts to strengthen its market position and sustainability credentials.

Suzano S.A. Announces R$2 Billion Issuance for Forest Conservation
Aug 19, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Suzano S.A.’s Board of Directors approved the issuance of 2,000,000 financial liquidation rural product notes (CPR-Fs) valued at R$2 billion. This issuance is aimed at funding the development and conservation of forests, aligning with Suzano’s sustainability goals. The offering will be publicly distributed, subject to market conditions and regulatory compliance, and reflects Suzano’s strategic focus on maintaining financial discipline and transparency.

Suzano Approves Major Wood Swap Agreement with Eldorado
Aug 18, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Suzano’s Board of Directors approved a significant Standing Wood Swap Agreement with Eldorado Brasil Celulose SA. This agreement involves the exchange of 18 million cubic meters of forest assets, with Suzano responsible for restoration and regrowth, alongside a premium payment of over R$ 1.3 billion. This transaction supersedes a previous agreement from April 2025 and is expected to enhance Suzano’s operational capabilities and strategic positioning in the industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025