Suzano Papel e Celulose SA (SUZ)
NYSE:SUZ
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Suzano Papel e Celulose SA
(NYSE:SUZ)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
â–²(1.24% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is driven by strong valuation (very low P/E and a moderate dividend yield) and decent underlying profitability/cash generation, offset by elevated leverage and volatility in financial results. Technicals are weak (below major moving averages with negative MACD and low RSI), which reduces the overall score.
Positive Factors
Vertically integrated forestry model
Suzano’s continued funding of forestry (CPR-Fs and rural notes) underpins its vertically integrated eucalyptus supply. Long-dated, inflation-linked financing that supports plantation expansion and conservation secures raw-material access, helps control input costs and supports sustained margin resilience across cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Suzano’s high leverage materially limits financial flexibility. Elevated debt ratios raise refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, constrain the company’s ability to opportunistically invest or absorb prolonged price or volume shocks, and increase downside risk during cyclical downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Vertically integrated forestry model
Suzano’s continued funding of forestry (CPR-Fs and rural notes) underpins its vertically integrated eucalyptus supply. Long-dated, inflation-linked financing that supports plantation expansion and conservation secures raw-material access, helps control input costs and supports sustained margin resilience across cycles.
Read all positive factors
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA (SUZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$10.24B
Dividend Yield1.96%
Average Volume (3M)4.26M
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.6
Beta (1Y)0.38
Revenue Growth3.06%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees35,000
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)9.21
Shares Outstanding1,264,117,700
10 Day Avg. Volume4,016,807
30 Day Avg. Volume4,259,756
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.02
Price to Book (P/B)1.44
Price to Sales (P/S)1.29
P/FCF Ratio11.38
Enterprise Value/Market Cap13.39
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.76
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit8.87
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.91
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$11.00Price Target Upside23.73% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.41
Revenue Forecast (FY)$11.04B
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Suzano S.A. is a prominent global producer and seller of eucalyptus pulp and paper products, with operations extending internationally from its base in Brazil. Its core business is structured around distinct Pulp and Paper segments. The company's ...
How the Company Makes Money
Suzano makes money primarily by producing and selling eucalyptus kraft pulp (market pulp) to third-party manufacturers, such as producers of tissue, printing and writing papers, packaging papers/boards, and other cellulose-based products. Revenue ...
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was broadly constructive: operational execution (record pulp shipments, strong free cash flow, lower cash costs, successful turnaround at Pine Bluff, and improved pulp market dynamics) and financial discipline (deleveraging, hedges, dividends and buybacks, CapEx control) are clear positives. Notable near-term challenges remain — weak export paper prices, maintenance-related volume and cost impacts, low inventories, regional oversupply in some packaging grades, and short-term market volatility — but management presented concrete mitigation plans and confidence in competitiveness. Overall, the positives (resilient cash generation, cost reductions, portfolio actions and improving pulp fundamentals) materially outweigh the lowlights.Positive Updates
Record Pulp Shipments and Volumes
Suzano reported record pulp shipment volumes in Q4 2025, with record sales volumes that exceeded production output, driving strong invoicing despite year-end inventory drawdown.
Negative Updates
Paper Prices Weakness and Export Market Pressure
International paper markets remained weak with declining prices and oversupply; export paper prices pressured Brazilian paper unit EBITDA despite higher volumes and Brazilian operations impacted by FX headwinds.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Pulp Shipments and Volumes
Suzano reported record pulp shipment volumes in Q4 2025, with record sales volumes that exceeded production output, driving strong invoicing despite year-end inventory drawdown.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Suzano guided to a broadly stable cost and disciplined-deleveraging path for 2026: management expects average pulp cash production cost roughly in line with 4Q25 (BRL 778/t; 2025 average BRL 817/t, ~5% lower), and reiterated a multiyear TOD reduction program after TOD reached BRL 2,060/t in 2025; planned maintenance concentrated in Q1–Q2 2026 will cut output by almost 300,000 t versus Q2 2025, requiring Q1 inventory build‑up and leaving 0 allocation to spot in some markets. The company flagged improving paper & packaging prices via phased increases (Suzano Packaging prices stable q/q and +21% YoY) and no planned downtimes in Q1 to help cash costs, while pulp invoiced Q4 prices were $538/t (backward‑looking) but recent order intake is at higher set points; pulp EBITDA was BRL 4.8 billion in Q4 (+8% q/q). Financial guidance emphasized strong cash generation and deleveraging: $400 million FCF in 4Q25, year‑end net debt $12.6 billion and leverage 3.2x with an ambition to reach ~$11 billion net debt, 2025 CapEx delivered in line with guidance and 2026 CapEx guidance trimmed ~20% YoY, a $6.2 billion FX hedge portfolio (collars BRL 5.83–6.73/USD) with potential positive cash adjustments of BRL 2.7 billion at BRL 5.50 or >BRL 4 billion at BRL 5.20, BRL 1.4 billion dividends paid (>2% yield), completion of a 15 million‑share buyback and a new program to acquire up to 40 million shares over 18 months, and the K‑C JV on track to close mid‑2026.Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 49.73B | 49.13B | 47.40B | 39.76B | 49.83B | 40.97B |
| Gross Profit | 15.47B | 15.28B | 20.00B | 14.68B | 25.01B | 20.35B |
| EBITDA | 35.05B | 37.63B | 23.46B | 29.40B | 40.18B | 19.67B |
| Net Income | 11.38B | 13.14B | -7.07B | 14.08B | 23.38B | 8.63B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 165.83B | 167.85B | 165.94B | 143.59B | 133.20B | 118.98B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 22.35B | 25.10B | 21.99B | 21.17B | 17.05B | 21.10B |
| Total Debt | 97.50B | 106.22B | 108.41B | 83.42B | 80.76B | 85.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 117.64B | 123.92B | 133.52B | 98.78B | 100.03B | 103.80B |
| Stockholders Equity | 48.04B | 43.79B | 32.28B | 44.69B | 33.06B | 15.08B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.19B | 5.56B | 4.07B | -241.59M | 6.80B | 11.39B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 16.70B | 17.80B | 20.60B | 17.32B | 21.64B | 17.64B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -16.36B | -9.65B | -20.51B | -26.04B | -17.02B | -10.36B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.61B | -1.78B | -83.77M | 7.80B | -8.11B | -1.57B |
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Technical Analysis
Neutral
8.89
Price Trends
8.74
Negative
9.50
Negative
9.29
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.15
Negative
52.43
Neutral
81.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.22, above the 50-day MA of 8.74, and below the 200-day MA of 9.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SUZ.
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Risk Analysis
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Suzano Papel e Celulose SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $4.78B | 18.09 | 8.44% | 1.53% | -6.40% | -24.83% | |
64 Neutral | $10.24B | 4.63 | 25.27% | 1.96% | 3.06% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
58 Neutral | $5.24B | 65.93 | 4.72% | 1.37% | -12.99% | -79.48% | |
52 Neutral | $1.65B | 16.09 | 10.51% | 3.51% | -10.95% | -63.39% | |
50 Neutral | $285.09M | -11.13 | -3.08% | ― | -11.89% | 79.35% | |
49 Neutral | $448.10M | 5.83 | 17.12% | 3.26% | 0.82% | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
SUZ
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA
8.45
-1.21
-12.52%
CLW
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17.38
-10.57
-37.82%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
77.23
-10.04
-11.50%
MATV
Mativ Holdings
8.12
1.76
27.61%
UFPI
UFP Industries
84.65
-10.74
-11.26%
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
41.02
-8.49
-17.14%
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA Corporate Events
Suzano Secures Antitrust Approvals for Global Tissue JV with Kimberly-Clark
May 28, 2026
On May 28, 2026, Suzano S.A. reported that all required approvals from competition authorities had been secured for its planned acquisition of a 51% stake in a new Netherlands-based company to be formed with Kimberly-Clark. This marks a key regula...
Suzano Sets New Leverage Targets and Updates 2026 Pulp Cost Outlook
May 11, 2026
On May 11, 2026, Suzano announced new financial guidance, setting a net debt target of US$11 billion and a leverage ratio below 2.5 times Adjusted EBITDA, to be achieved over fiscal years 2027 and 2028. These metrics, calculated using management&#...
Suzano Refreshes Board Committees and Renews Executive Leadership Mandates
May 7, 2026
On April 29, 2026, Suzano’s board of directors met in São Paulo and via videoconference to refresh the company’s governance structure, appointing members to its statutory audit committee and several non-statutory advisory bodies. ...
Suzano Posts Solid 1Q26 Results Amid FX Headwinds and Confirms JV Timeline
Apr 30, 2026
Suzano S.A. reported first-quarter 2026 results on April 30, 2026, highlighting solid operational performance in both pulp and paper despite foreign-exchange headwinds. Pulp production was fully sold, sales volumes rose year-on-year, and higher in...
Suzano Files Q1 2026 Unaudited Results on Form 6-K With U.S. SEC
Apr 29, 2026
On April 2026, Suzano S.A. furnished a Form 6-K to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, providing unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial information for the three-month period ended March 31, 2026. The filing details its income...
Suzano Posts Solid 1Q26 Operations but Stronger Real Compresses EBITDA
Apr 29, 2026
On April 29, 2026, Suzano reported its consolidated results for the first quarter of 2026, highlighting solid operating performance in a firmer pulp market marked by stronger paper demand and higher export pulp prices. Pulp sales rose 7% year on y...
Suzano S.A. Updates Bylaws and Governance Framework in New Form 6-K Filing
Apr 24, 2026
On April 24, 2026, Suzano S.A. filed a Form 6-K in the United States disclosing an updated version of its corporate bylaws. The revised bylaws reaffirm the company’s adherence to B3’s Novo Mercado rules, define its broad corporate purp...
Suzano Shareholders Approve 2025 Results, Dividends and Bylaw Changes at April 23, 2026 Meetings
Apr 24, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Suzano S.A. held its annual and extraordinary general shareholders’ meetings entirely online, with more than 81% of voting capital represented, to approve 2025 accounts and key governance matters. Shareholders endorsed the...
Suzano Approves Additional Dividends from 2025 Earnings at April 23 Shareholder Meeting
Apr 24, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Suzano S.A. announced that shareholders at its Annual and Extraordinary General Meeting approved the distribution of additional dividends totaling R$5.63 million, equivalent to R$0.00455231 per share, out of net accumulated earn...
Suzano Raises R$2.68 Billion in Long-Term IPCA-Linked CPR-Fs and Debentures
Apr 2, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Suzano settled a R$2.5 billion fundraising via its second issuance of rural product notes (CPR-Fs), split into two IPCA-linked series with ten- and twelve-year maturities and fixed annual interest rates of 7.0464% and 6.8338%, re...
Suzano Board Calls April Shareholder Meeting and Approves Corporate Purpose Expansion
Mar 23, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Suzano’s board met via videoconference in São Paulo to approve the management proposal and convene an Annual and Extraordinary General Meeting for April 23, 2026, to address 2025 accounts, financial statements, profit...
Suzano Approves R$179 Million Debenture Issuance to Reimburse Priority Project Costs
Mar 11, 2026
On March 10, 2026, Suzano S.A. announced that its board of directors, at a meeting held on March 5, 2026, approved the company’s 12th issuance of 179,000 simple, unsecured, non-convertible debentures, each with a unit value of R$1,000, total...
Suzano Board Clears BRL 179 Million IPCA-Linked Debenture Issue to Fund Projects
Mar 11, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Suzano’s board of directors met via videoconference with all members present to deliberate a new capital markets operation. The meeting was chaired by David Feffer and included senior executives such as CFO and Investor Rel...
Suzano Approves R$2.5 Billion Rural Notes Issuance to Fund Forestry and Conservation
Mar 10, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Suzano’s board approved a second issuance of 2.5 million book-entry rural product notes for financial settlement, in up to two series, totaling R$2.5 billion and aimed exclusively at professional investors under Brazilian C...
Suzano Board Approves BRL 2.5 Billion Second CPR-F Issuance for Forestry Investments
Mar 10, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Suzano’s board met via videoconference with all directors present to approve the company’s second issuance of book-entry rural product notes with financial settlement (CPR-Fs), in up to two series, totaling BRL 2.5 bi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.