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Sylvamo Corp (SLVM)
NYSE:SLVM

Sylvamo Corp (SLVM) AI Stock Analysis

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Sylvamo Corp

(NYSE:SLVM)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$54.00
▲(7.61%Upside)
Sylvamo Corp's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong valuation metrics and financial stability, offset by negative technical indicators and operational challenges highlighted in the earnings call. The leadership transition is viewed positively, suggesting potential for strategic continuity and growth.

Sylvamo Corp (SLVM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sylvamo Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSylvamo Corporation is a global paper company that specializes in the production and distribution of uncoated freesheet paper. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, Sylvamo operates in the paper and forest products industry, offering a range of paper products used for communication, education, and commercial printing purposes. The company is dedicated to sustainable practices and maintains a strong presence in North America, Latin America, and Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneySylvamo makes money primarily through the manufacturing and sale of uncoated freesheet paper, which is used for various applications such as printing, writing, and digital imaging. Key revenue streams include sales to commercial printers, paper distributors, office supply companies, and retailers. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and customers, as well as its focus on operational efficiency and sustainability, which helps to maintain competitive pricing and quality. Additionally, Sylvamo's global reach allows it to capitalize on market opportunities across different regions, contributing to its overall earnings.

Sylvamo Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While Sylvamo demonstrated strong leadership transitions and returned cash to shareholders, the company faced significant operational and market challenges, particularly in North America and Europe. The highlights and lowlights were fairly balanced, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Leadership Transition
Jean-Michel Ribiéras announced his retirement, and John Sims will become the next CEO of Sylvamo. Don Devlin has been named the new CFO, effective May 1, 2025.
Cash Returns to Shareholders
Sylvamo returned nearly $40 million in cash to shareholders, distributing $18 million via dividends and repurchasing $20 million in shares.
Adjusted EBITDA Achieved
The company achieved adjusted EBITDA of $90 million, within the expected range of $85 million to $105 million, with an 11% margin.
Future Cash Flow Expectations
Sylvamo anticipates significantly better adjusted EBITDA performance in the second half of the year due to lower maintenance costs and improved operations.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges in North America
North America faced operational issues impacting the company by roughly $5 million to $10 million, partly due to issues at the Ticonderoga and Eastover mills.
European Business Underperformance
Sylvamo's European business underperformed due to escalating wood costs and challenging industry conditions, leading to a significant decrease in profitability.
Increased Wood Costs in Europe
The Nymolla mill experienced a $41 million increase in wood costs in 2024 due to supply constraints caused by geopolitical issues, impacting overall European performance.
Weak Demand and Supply Chain Issues
First quarter demand was weak, with apparent demand in North America down 1% and operational challenges leading to reduced sales volume.
Company Guidance
During Sylvamo's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance expecting second-quarter adjusted EBITDA between $75 million and $95 million. Key financial metrics for the first quarter included an adjusted EBITDA of $90 million with an 11% margin. The company highlighted $30 million in planned maintenance outages costs and a weakened demand quarter in Latin America. Sylvamo also returned nearly $40 million to shareholders through $18 million in dividends and $20 million in share repurchases. For the second quarter, the company anticipates price and mix improvements to contribute $5 million to $10 million favorably, with operations and other costs projected to be favorable by $10 million to $15 million. Input and transportation costs are expected to improve by $5 million to $10 million. The company is navigating operational challenges and expects to execute the heaviest outage quarter of the year, with planned maintenance outages projected to increase by $36 million.

Sylvamo Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sylvamo Corp presents a solid financial profile with commendable profitability margins and cash flow ratios. Despite a slight revenue decline and significant debt levels, the stable profitability and robust cash generation capabilities underscore financial strength. Focus on revenue growth and debt reduction could enhance further stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Sylvamo Corp shows a stable income statement with decent profitability margins. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM is 24.66%, and the Net Profit Margin is 7.75%. EBIT Margin stands at 11.30% and EBITDA Margin at 15.70%, indicating healthy core business operations. However, the TTM revenue of $3.689 billion reflects a slight decline compared to the previous year's $3.773 billion, showing a negative revenue growth rate of -2.23%.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage and equity stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.90, suggesting manageable debt levels. Return on Equity (TTM) is 31.50%, indicating strong profitability relative to equity. The Equity Ratio is 34.53%, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing. However, total debt remains significant at $817 million, implying potential financial risk.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
Sylvamo Corp's cash flow statement suggests robust cash generation capabilities. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.63, and Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.44, both indicating efficient cash conversion. Although Free Cash Flow decreased from the previous year, the company maintained solid operational cash flow at $465 million. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is -11.95%, reflecting a contraction that requires monitoring.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.69B3.77B3.72B3.63B3.50B3.01B
Gross Profit
910.00M940.00M912.00M1.01B1.19B908.00M
EBIT
417.00M444.00M403.00M536.00M458.00M194.00M
EBITDA
579.00M617.00M576.00M645.00M468.00M352.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
286.00M302.00M253.00M336.00M331.00M170.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
154.00M205.00M220.00M360.00M180.00M95.00M
Total Assets
2.63B2.60B2.87B2.71B2.60B2.91B
Total Debt
817.00M804.00M959.00M1.03B1.40B26.00M
Net Debt
817.00M599.00M959.00M672.00M1.22B-69.00M
Total Liabilities
1.72B1.76B1.97B2.03B2.42B799.00M
Stockholders Equity
908.00M847.00M901.00M678.00M182.00M2.11B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
413.00M469.00M294.00M289.00M473.00M284.00M
Operating Cash Flow
465.00M469.00M504.00M438.00M549.00M359.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-209.00M-221.00M-377.00M180.00M127.00M-79.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-306.00M-310.00M-219.00M-470.00M-589.00M-350.00M

Sylvamo Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price50.18
Price Trends
50DMA
56.32
Negative
100DMA
62.94
Negative
200DMA
73.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.75
Positive
RSI
32.27
Neutral
STOCH
4.27
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLVM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.99, below the 50-day MA of 56.32, and below the 200-day MA of 73.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLVM.

Sylvamo Corp Risk Analysis

Sylvamo Corp disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sylvamo Corp reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sylvamo Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.04B7.3531.83%3.59%0.11%46.54%
HCHCC
64
Neutral
$2.47B23.355.20%0.68%-21.04%-75.78%
CLCLW
60
Neutral
$434.84M33.74-8.15%-15.03%-233.06%
51
Neutral
$1.99B-1.26-21.11%5.30%2.92%-30.46%
SISID
49
Neutral
$1.96B-16.28%12.34%-9.84%-14783.33%
49
Neutral
$835.91M-41.03%2.53%-2.75%-339.59%
48
Neutral
$229.37M-17.96%8.75%-1.37%60.42%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
50.14
-15.22
-23.29%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
26.39
-23.14
-46.72%
MERC
Mercer International
3.45
-4.81
-58.23%
SID
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
1.43
-0.79
-35.59%
RDUS
Schnitzer Steel Industries
29.52
15.54
111.16%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
43.18
-17.95
-29.36%

Sylvamo Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sylvamo Corp Updates By-Laws and Elects Directors
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Sylvamo Corporation’s Board of Directors approved the second amended and restated By-Laws, which include revisions to procedures for stockholder proposals and director nominations, updates to majority voting provisions, and other administrative changes. At the annual stockholders’ meeting on the same day, the election of ten directors was confirmed, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent auditor, and executive compensation was approved on a non-binding advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLVM) stock is a Hold with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sylvamo Corp stock, see the SLVM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Sylvamo Announces CEO Transition Plans
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Sylvamo announced the retirement of CEO Jean-Michel Ribiéras, effective December 31, 2025, with John Sims set to succeed him as CEO starting January 1, 2026. Sims, who has been with Sylvamo since its inception, will transition from his current role as CFO to COO on May 1, 2025, before taking over as CEO. Don Devlin will replace Sims as CFO, bringing extensive experience from his tenure at International Paper. This leadership transition is expected to maintain Sylvamo’s strong market position and continue its growth trajectory.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.