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Sylvamo Corp (SLVM)
NYSE:SLVM

Sylvamo Corp (SLVM) AI Stock Analysis

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SLVM

Sylvamo Corp

(NYSE:SLVM)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(2.37% Upside)
Sylvamo Corp's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial performance, technical indicators, and valuation. The primary strengths include operational efficiency and a low P/E ratio, while challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation weigh on the score. Positive technical momentum and a solid dividend yield provide additional support, but market conditions in Europe and Latin America present ongoing risks.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Sylvamo's focus on operational improvements and cost reduction enhances its competitive position, supporting long-term margin sustainability and profitability.
Market Expansion
Expanding customer base and partnerships in Latin America boosts Sylvamo's market presence and potential revenue growth, strengthening its competitive edge.
Shareholder Returns
Significant cash returns to shareholders via dividends and buybacks reflect strong cash generation and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth and cash flow generation pose risks to Sylvamo's financial health and ability to invest in future growth opportunities.
European Market Challenges
Persistent market challenges in Europe, including pricing pressure, could negatively impact Sylvamo's profitability and revenue in this key region.
Latin American Demand Decline
Decreased demand in Latin America due to economic issues may lead to pricing pressure and reduced revenue, affecting Sylvamo's regional performance.

Sylvamo Corp (SLVM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sylvamo Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSylvamo Corp is a leading global producer of uncoated freesheet paper and related products, operating primarily in the paper manufacturing sector. The company focuses on delivering high-quality paper products for various applications, including printing, writing, and specialty uses. Sylvamo serves a diverse range of markets, including commercial printing, publishing, and packaging, leveraging its advanced manufacturing capabilities and commitment to sustainable practices.
How the Company Makes MoneySylvamo Corp generates revenue primarily through the sale of uncoated freesheet paper products to various industries, including commercial printing and publishing. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales to customers and distribution through partnerships with wholesalers and retailers. Key revenue streams include bulk orders from large printing companies and specialty paper products tailored for specific applications. Additionally, Sylvamo benefits from cost management strategies and operational efficiencies, which enhance its profitability. The company also focuses on sustainable practices, which can appeal to environmentally conscious customers and potentially lead to increased market share.

Sylvamo Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive operational improvements, increased shareholder returns, and strategic initiatives, yet faced challenges with European market conditions, demand decline in Latin America, and the potential impact from the end of the Riverdale supply agreement.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Sales Volume and Operational Performance
Uncoated freesheet sales volume increased by 7% quarter-over-quarter, with improved operational performance.
Significant Shareholder Returns
Returned $60 million in cash to shareholders through $18 million in dividends and $42 million in share repurchases. A new $150 million share repurchase authorization was approved.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Achieved adjusted EBITDA of $151 million with a margin of 18%, in line with expectations.
Strategic Initiatives and Operational Improvements
Focused on operational excellence across regions, improving margins, reducing costs, and enhancing competitive position.
Secured New Customers and Partnerships
Established new strategic customers in Brazil and expanded partnerships in Latin America, increasing market presence.
Negative Updates
Challenging Market Conditions in Europe
Europe faces challenging conditions with continuous pressure on pulp and uncoated freesheet prices, although some recovery signs are emerging.
Demand Decline in Latin America
Latin American demand is down 5%, particularly affected by economic challenges in Argentina and Mexico, leading to pricing pressure.
Potential Impact of Riverdale Supply Agreement Ending
Ending the Riverdale supply agreement might impact 2026 EBITDA by $30 million and requires building 60,000 tons of inventory.
Uncertainty from U.S. Tariffs
Uncertainty from U.S. tariffs affecting North American market dynamics, though expected to stabilize.
Company Guidance
During Sylvamo's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided specific guidance on its financial performance and future outlook. The adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was reported at $151 million, within the expected range of $145 million to $165 million, with a margin of 18%. The company also generated $33 million in free cash flow and achieved adjusted operating earnings of $1.44 per share. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, Sylvamo projects adjusted EBITDA between $115 million and $130 million. They anticipate a $20 million to $25 million unfavorable impact on price and mix, primarily due to European paper prices, and expect a favorable volume impact of $15 million to $20 million, driven by Latin America and North America. Additionally, planned maintenance outages are expected to be unfavorable by $18 million. The company is also addressing supply challenges from its Riverdale mill and plans to manage inventory to mitigate impacts until Eastover's increased capacity comes online in late 2026.

Sylvamo Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sylvamo Corp faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation, impacting its financial performance. Despite maintaining operational efficiency and leverage improvements, declining profitability and cash flow are areas of concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Sylvamo Corp's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth rate, with a negative growth of -3.35% in the TTM period. Gross profit margin and net profit margin have also decreased compared to previous years, indicating pressure on profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency. The decline in revenue and margins is a concern, but the company has managed to sustain profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Sylvamo Corp reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management, but remains relatively high at 0.85 in the TTM period. Return on equity has decreased, reflecting reduced profitability on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Overall, the balance sheet shows improvement in leverage but highlights the need for enhanced profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Sylvamo Corp's cash flow statement indicates challenges in cash generation. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -21.49% in the TTM period, highlighting a decline in cash available for reinvestment. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting that operating cash flow is not fully covering net income. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash conversion. The cash flow position requires attention to improve cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.43B3.77B3.72B3.63B2.83B2.38B
Gross Profit727.00M940.00M912.00M1.01B685.00M456.00M
EBITDA459.00M617.00M572.00M645.00M485.00M234.00M
Net Income180.00M302.00M253.00M118.00M331.00M170.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.70B2.60B2.87B2.71B2.60B2.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments94.00M205.00M220.00M360.00M159.00M95.00M
Total Debt880.00M804.00M959.00M1.03B1.40B72.00M
Total Liabilities1.73B1.76B1.97B2.03B2.42B799.00M
Stockholders Equity977.00M847.00M901.00M678.00M182.00M2.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow106.00M248.00M294.00M289.00M480.00M284.00M
Operating Cash Flow338.00M469.00M504.00M438.00M549.00M359.00M
Investing Cash Flow-232.00M-221.00M-377.00M180.00M127.00M-79.00M
Financing Cash Flow-324.00M-310.00M-219.00M-470.00M-589.00M-350.00M

Sylvamo Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.82
Price Trends
50DMA
44.58
Positive
100DMA
44.44
Positive
200DMA
50.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.50
Negative
RSI
66.57
Neutral
STOCH
80.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLVM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.38, above the 50-day MA of 44.58, and below the 200-day MA of 50.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SLVM.

Sylvamo Corp Risk Analysis

Sylvamo Corp disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sylvamo Corp reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sylvamo Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.98B11.5218.81%3.59%-8.92%-32.30%
68
Neutral
$6.07B28.1012.75%1.29%-3.26%-46.80%
68
Neutral
$5.39B17.269.78%1.52%-3.90%-25.97%
62
Neutral
$11.43B9.6314.56%3.66%6.65%47.88%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
47
Neutral
$139.32M-39.37%10.71%-5.85%9.13%
46
Neutral
$290.29M-10.47%-21.76%-1214.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
50.14
-35.19
-41.24%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
17.90
-7.70
-30.08%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
86.67
-25.61
-22.81%
MERC
Mercer International
1.96
-4.26
-68.49%
UFPI
UFP Industries
92.31
-30.59
-24.89%
SUZ
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA
9.02
-1.04
-10.34%

Sylvamo Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Sylvamo Corp Adopts Shareowner Rights Plan
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Sylvamo Corp‘s board of directors adopted a limited-duration shareowner rights plan to protect the long-term value for all shareowners following the termination of a cooperation agreement with Atlas Holdings. This plan, effective immediately, aims to prevent any person or group from gaining control of the company without fair compensation to shareowners, triggered if a person or group acquires 15% or more of the company’s common stock. The rights plan, similar to one adopted in 2022, will expire on November 9, 2026, but allows the board to consider an earlier termination if necessary.

Executive/Board Changes
Sylvamo Corp Board Members Resign Amid Cooperation End
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Sylvamo Corporation saw the resignation of two of its board members, Karl Meyers and Mark Wilde, as part of the termination of the ‘Cooperation Period’ under the Cooperation Agreement with Atlas FRM LLC. The Atlas Group also waived its rights to recommend replacements for these directors, leading to the end of the Cooperation Period on November 13, 2025.

Business Operations and Strategy
Sylvamo Corp Signs New Agreement with International Paper
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Sylvamo North America, LLC entered into a Letter Agreement with International Paper Company and amended a Brazil Payment Agreement involving International Paper Investments and Sylvamo Papers Holding. These agreements, signed by Sylvamo Corporation’s Senior Vice President and Chief Administrative and Legal Officer, Matthew Barron, signify ongoing strategic collaborations and financial arrangements between Sylvamo and International Paper, potentially impacting their operational and financial dynamics.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025