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UFP Industries (UFPI)
NASDAQ:UFPI
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Universal Forest (UFPI) AI Stock Analysis

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UFPI

Universal Forest

(NASDAQ:UFPI)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(11.43% Upside)
UFP Industries scores well due to its strong financial health and strategic initiatives aimed at long-term growth. However, current challenges in sales and profitability, along with neutral technical indicators, moderate the overall score. The company's valuation is fair, providing a balanced investment opportunity.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
The Deckorators brand is expected to continue to gain share in the composite decking industry benefiting investments in marketing, increased capacity and product launches.
Sales Growth
Deckorators building momentum with a ~20% sales increase during the quarter as the Surestone technology continues to attract customers.
Strategic Investments
Deckorators improves its launch pad, with plans to double its market share in the next few years, supported by $200M in capacity additions and a new Northeast plant expected to be fully operational by early FY26.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pricing
Increased pricing competition weighed on margins for the Site Built business already facing soft demand.
Macroeconomic Challenges
UFPI has been negatively impacted by overall macro uncertainty and weak housing fundamentals with limited demand visibility across its three primary operating segments.
Pricing Pressures
UFPI’s construction and packaging operating segments continue to see pricing headwinds due to ongoing wood commodity deflation and supply/demand imbalances in key product categories.

Universal Forest (UFPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Forest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUFP Industries, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets wood and wood-alternative products in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. It operates through Retail, Industrial, and Construction segments. The Retail segment offers preserved and unpreserved dimensional lumber; and outdoor living products, including wood and wood composite decking and related accessories, decorative lawn, garden, craft, and hobby products. This segment serves national home center retailers, and retail-oriented regional and contractor-oriented lumberyards under the ProWood, ProWood FR, Deckorators, UFP-Edge, Outdoor Essentials, Dimensions, and Handprint trademarks. The Industrial segment provides pallets, specialty crates, wooden boxes, and other containers and products that are used for packaging, shipping, and material handling applications, as well as various other protective packaging applications. The construction segment offers roof trusses, cut and shaped lumbers, plywood, oriented strand boards, and dimensional lumbers; and engineered wood components, including roof and floor trusses, wall panels, I-joists, and lumber packages, as well as distributes siding, electrical, and plumbing products to factory-built housing and recreational vehicle customers. This segment also engages in the manufacture of components; design, manufacture, and supply of wood forms and related products to set or form concrete for structures, such as parking garages, stadiums, and bridges, as well as provides farming services for builders. It also offers interior fixtures, millwork, and casework for retail, commercial, and other structures; and structural wood packaging, other packing materials, and original equipment manufacturer components for various industries. The company was formerly known as Universal Forest Products, Inc. and changed its name to UFP Industries, Inc. in April 2020. UFP Industries, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyUFP Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wood and wood-related products across its various business segments. The company has multiple revenue streams, including direct sales to manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers, as well as contracts for large-scale construction projects. Key revenue drivers include the demand for treated lumber and engineered wood products, which are essential for construction and DIY projects. Additionally, UFP Industries benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors, enabling it to maintain a competitive edge in pricing and product availability. The company's focus on sustainability also attracts environmentally conscious customers, further enhancing its market position and revenue potential.

Universal Forest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced view with significant strides in innovation, cost reduction, and potential M&A activities, juxtaposed against challenges in sales declines, particularly in site-built and packaging segments. The company maintains a strong balance sheet and has a strategic long-term outlook, despite current market pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Innovative Product Launches
Introduction of new products like SureStone in the Deckorators brand, with sales increasing by 45% year over year. New product sales totaled $129 million or 7% of total sales.
Cost Reduction Progress
On track with the $60 million cost-out program, expecting to realize full savings by exiting 2026. Recent initiatives include the divestiture of a small industrial components business and selling certain real estate assets for potential one-time gains of $15 million.
Strong M&A Pipeline
Active pursuit of strategic M&A opportunities, with an emphasis on innovation, automation, and expanding value-added product offerings. The board also approved a new $300 million share repurchase authorization through July 2026.
Stable Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
Operating cash flow was $113 million, and the company maintains a strong balance sheet with $842 million in cash and a total liquidity of $2.1 billion.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales
Net sales for the quarter were $1.8 billion, down 3.5% from $1.9 billion last year due to a 3% decline in units and a 1% decline in pricing.
Challenges in Site-Built Business
Site-built business units faced a 7% unit decline in volumes, leading to a year-over-year gross profit drop of $28 million due to weak demand and competitive pricing pressures.
Packaging and Retail Segment Struggles
Packaging sales declined 2%, and retail sales also declined by 3% due to decreased volumes and increased material costs.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA fell by 15% to $174 million, with margins decreasing to 9.5% from 10.7% a year ago, due to pricing and cost pressures alongside lower volumes.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, UFP Industries reported several key metrics reflecting a challenging market environment. The company recorded net sales of $1.8 billion, a decrease of 3.5% from the previous year, attributed to a 3% decline in units and a 1% decline in pricing. Adjusted EBITDA fell by 15% to $174 million, with a margin decrease from 10.7% to 9.5%. Earnings per share stood at $1.70 for the quarter. The company is actively pursuing a $60 million cost-out program, expected to be realized by 2026, and plans to invest $1 billion in growth capital over the next five years. Notably, sales of new products reached $129 million, representing 7% of total sales, with a target to increase this to 10% over time. The company also announced plans to close certain facilities, aiming to improve operating profit by $16 million by 2026. Despite current pressures, UFP remains committed to achieving long-term targets, including 7% to 10% unit growth and 12.5% EBITDA margins.

Universal Forest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UFP Industries maintains strong financial health with a robust balance sheet and efficient cash flow management. Despite stable profitability, the company faces revenue contraction and declining free cash flow. Continued focus on operational efficiency and revenue growth is essential to mitigate these challenges.
Income Statement
72
Positive
UFP Industries demonstrates stable profitability with a Gross Profit Margin of 17.1% TTM and a Net Profit Margin of 5.3% TTM. However, there has been a noticeable decline in revenue, with a Revenue Growth Rate of -1.7% TTM compared to the previous year. The EBIT margin of 6.4% TTM and EBITDA margin of 9.5% TTM highlight decent operational efficiency but indicate room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.07 TTM, indicating minimal leverage. A strong Equity Ratio of 77.3% TTM showcases a solid capital structure. Return on Equity is healthy at 11.0% TTM, reflecting efficient use of shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
UFP Industries exhibits solid cash flow management with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.49 TTM, denoting strong cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.75 TTM, suggesting effective capital expenditure management. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is negative, at -36.4% compared to the previous year, indicating challenges in maintaining free cash flow levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.54B6.65B7.22B9.63B8.64B5.15B
Gross Profit1.12B1.23B1.42B1.79B1.41B800.30M
EBITDA618.55M701.03M815.97M1.06B835.69M418.51M
Net Income347.33M414.56M514.31M692.65M535.64M246.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.10B4.15B4.02B3.67B3.25B2.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments875.01M1.20B1.15B595.41M323.16M460.81M
Total Debt375.35M356.92M384.30M389.09M437.07M389.76M
Total Liabilities923.67M900.95M967.58M1.07B1.23B921.74M
Stockholders Equity3.17B3.22B3.00B2.56B1.98B1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow261.19M410.30M779.51M657.44M361.31M247.29M
Operating Cash Flow516.63M642.57M959.89M831.57M512.48M336.48M
Investing Cash Flow-301.29M-270.75M-240.16M-353.94M-611.19M-154.72M
Financing Cash Flow-412.99M-307.12M-162.86M-210.21M-45.01M85.22M

Universal Forest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price101.41
Price Trends
50DMA
101.01
Positive
100DMA
101.68
Negative
200DMA
109.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
50.03
Neutral
STOCH
70.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UFPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 101.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 101.36, above the 50-day MA of 101.01, and below the 200-day MA of 109.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UFPI.

Universal Forest Risk Analysis

Universal Forest disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal Forest reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Forest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$9.69B16.3325.19%1.12%20.35%20.44%
74
Outperform
$3.23B12.7311.77%6.63%-5.26%-40.75%
72
Outperform
$6.23B18.0510.71%1.28%-5.09%-26.13%
70
Neutral
$6.33B10.824.89%8.37%-16.83%
64
Neutral
$12.42B186.150.86%0.36%-14.79%-88.78%
63
Neutral
$7.62B9.3314.52%4.97%1.60%-3.97%
61
Neutral
$10.09B5.981.14%3.01%3.01%-45.09%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UFPI
Universal Forest
101.41
-16.00
-13.63%
EMN
Eastman Chemical
65.56
-28.72
-30.46%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
15.43
4.89
46.39%
TX
Ternium SA
32.45
0.96
3.05%
X
United States Steel
54.84
13.21
31.73%
BCC
Boise Cascade
85.99
-35.42
-29.17%

Universal Forest Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
UFP Industries Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

UFP Industries presented its second quarter 2025 Investor Relations Presentation, highlighting its financial performance and strategic goals. The company reported a $6.5 billion net sales for Q2 2025 and emphasized its focus on driving above-market growth, compounding margins, and maintaining a best-in-class return on invested capital. UFP Industries aims to enhance its market position through product and process innovation, capacity consolidation, and strategic acquisitions, while leveraging its scale advantage in the softwood lumber market.

The most recent analyst rating on (UFPI) stock is a Hold with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UFP Industries stock, see the UFPI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025