Ufp Industries, Inc. (UFPI)
NASDAQ:UFPI
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UFP Industries
(NASDAQ:UFPI)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$91.00
▼(-4.97% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/05/26
UFPI scores as a mid-range opportunity: financial strength is the main positive (low leverage and solid cash flow), but the overall score is held back by weakening operating trends (shrinking revenue and lower margins) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation looks somewhat demanding versus the current slowdown, while earnings-call commentary provides moderate support through liquidity, cost actions, and longer-term growth initiatives.
Positive Factors
Low leverage and strong balance sheet
UFP’s extremely low leverage and sizable equity position provide durable financial flexibility: ability to fund organic expansion, acquisitions, buybacks and dividends while withstanding cyclical demand shocks. This reduces refinancing risk and supports multi-quarter investments in higher-margin initiatives.
Negative Factors
Shrinking revenue and margin compression
A multi-period downshift in top-line and net margin reduces structural earnings power and returns on invested capital. Persistent weaker revenue and narrower margins limit reinvestment capacity, make hit rates on M&A/capex more critical, and lengthen the path to prior profitability levels.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage and strong balance sheet
UFP’s extremely low leverage and sizable equity position provide durable financial flexibility: ability to fund organic expansion, acquisitions, buybacks and dividends while withstanding cyclical demand shocks. This reduces refinancing risk and supports multi-quarter investments in higher-margin initiatives.
Read all positive factors
UFP Industries (UFPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$4.60B
Dividend Yield1.53%
Average Volume (3M)494.24K
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.3
Beta (1Y)0.78
Revenue Growth-6.40%
EPS Growth-24.83%
CountryUS
Employees15,000
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)4.57
Shares Outstanding56,480,230
10 Day Avg. Volume489,260
30 Day Avg. Volume494,243
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.71
Price to Book (P/B)1.77
Price to Sales (P/S)0.87
P/FCF Ratio19.80
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.89
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.66
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.00
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.83
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$105.00Price Target Upside9.65% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)4.68
Revenue Forecast (FY)$6.24B
UFP Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
UFP Industries, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets wood and wood-alternative products in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. It operates through Retail, Industrial, and Construction segments. The Retail segm...
How the Company Makes Money
UFP Industries primarily makes money by manufacturing and distributing value-added wood and wood-adjacent products and selling them to customers across three main segments. (1) UFP Retail Solutions generates revenue by supplying home-center and re...
UFP Industries Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced view: significant near-term operating challenges—declining revenue, compressed margins, segment-level weakness (notably Site Built and Retail), and higher input/medical/transportation costs—were offset by strong liquidity (~$2.0B), disciplined capital allocation, active M&A (MoistureShield and Berry Pallets) that materially expand Deckorators capacity and technology, targeted cost-out initiatives ($60M program with $25M remaining), and promising Deckorators product momentum (Surestone +27%). Management reiterated long-term targets and a cautious but constructive path to growth. Given the mix of meaningful strategic positives and notable near-term operational pressures, the tone is measured and prudent.Positive Updates
Strong Liquidity and Capital Flexibility
Approximately $2.0 billion total liquidity (including $714 million surplus cash) with no borrowings under credit facilities; $300 million share repurchase authorization through July 2026, 30 million shares repurchased YTD at an average price under $90; Board approved quarterly dividend of $0.36 per share (up 3% YoY); company converted ~80% of adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow last year.
Negative Updates
Revenue and Volume Declines
Net sales for Q1 were $1.46–$1.5 billion, down ~8% YoY; units declined ~7% and pricing declined ~1%, reflecting softer demand (notably in residential construction) and adverse seasonal/weather impacts.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Liquidity and Capital Flexibility
Approximately $2.0 billion total liquidity (including $714 million surplus cash) with no borrowings under credit facilities; $300 million share repurchase authorization through July 2026, 30 million shares repurchased YTD at an average price under $90; Board approved quarterly dividend of $0.36 per share (up 3% YoY); company converted ~80% of adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow last year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said the current market environment is expected to persist through 2026 and demand is trending toward the lower end of prior guidance (which assumed flat to slightly down unit volumes), with pricing actions and customer freight surcharges expected to largely offset energy and transportation pressure (a roughly $3M headwind in March that increased in April) by Q2 and be largely neutral by the back half of the year; they reiterated long‑term targets of a 12.5% EBITDA margin, 7–10% unit sales growth (some from M&A/new products), and ROIC in excess of 15% (trailing‑12‑month ROIC ~11% today), and committed to deliver the remaining $25M of a $60M cost‑out program by year‑end (with potential incremental savings), while targeting $25M of cost savings from capacity consolidations, core SG&A of ~ $570M, bonus expense of 17–18% of pre‑bonus operating profit, sales incentives ~3% of gross profit, $21M vesting expense, an effective tax rate of 25–26% and depreciation/amortization/other noncash of ~ $200M; on capital allocation they cited ~ $2B total liquidity (surplus cash $714M), planned CapEx of $250–275M (about $50M lower due to the MoistureShield acquisition), a $300M share‑repurchase authorization through July 2026 (YTD repurchases of 30M shares at an average under $90), a quarterly dividend of $0.36/share (+3% YoY), expectation to convert strong adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow (80% conversion last year), a $100M incremental Deckorators sales target for 2026, doubling wood/plastic composite capacity to ~$200M and expanding Surestone capacity to ~$350M by planned add‑ons/greenfield, and a disciplined M&A focus to pursue higher‑margin, scalable fits.UFP Industries Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.19B | 6.32B | 6.65B | 7.22B | 9.63B | 8.64B |
| Gross Profit | 1.03B | 1.06B | 1.23B | 1.42B | 1.79B | 1.41B |
| EBITDA | 524.99M | 564.21M | 701.03M | 815.97M | 1.06B | 838.28M |
| Net Income | 263.98M | 294.79M | 414.56M | 514.31M | 692.65M | 535.64M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.03B | 4.02B | 4.15B | 4.02B | 3.67B | 3.25B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 768.51M | 959.45M | 1.20B | 1.15B | 595.41M | 323.16M |
| Total Debt | 234.34M | 229.76M | 356.92M | 384.30M | 389.09M | 437.07M |
| Total Liabilities | 930.64M | 934.19M | 900.95M | 967.58M | 1.07B | 1.23B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.10B | 3.08B | 3.22B | 3.00B | 2.56B | 1.98B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 298.15M | 276.36M | 410.30M | 779.51M | 657.44M | 361.31M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 548.52M | 545.74M | 642.57M | 959.89M | 831.57M | 512.48M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -249.46M | -273.24M | -270.75M | -240.16M | -353.94M | -611.19M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -480.64M | -530.14M | -307.12M | -162.86M | -210.21M | -45.01M |
UFP Industries Technical Analysis
Negative
95.76
Price Trends
88.52
Negative
95.82
Negative
94.75
Negative
Market Momentum
-2.50
Negative
39.88
Neutral
59.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UFPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 95.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.95, above the 50-day MA of 88.52, and above the 200-day MA of 94.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UFPI.
UFP Industries Risk Analysis
UFP Industries disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UFP Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
UFP Industries Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | $4.60B | 17.31 | 8.44% | 1.53% | -6.40% | -24.83% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
56 Neutral | $5.32B | 65.20 | 4.72% | 1.37% | -12.99% | -79.48% | |
52 Neutral | $1.57B | 15.40 | 10.51% | 3.51% | -10.95% | -63.39% | |
49 Neutral | $505.98M | 6.37 | 17.12% | 3.26% | 0.82% | ― | |
45 Neutral | $260.26M | -10.44 | -3.08% | ― | -11.89% | 79.35% | |
41 Neutral | $65.27M | -0.12 | -242.96% | 10.77% | -7.34% | -479.98% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
UFPI
UFP Industries
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MATV
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UFP Industries Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
UFP Industries Expands PalletOne Footprint With John Rock Acquisition
Positive
May 4, 2026
On May 4, 2026, UFP Industries announced it would acquire the operating assets of John Rock, Inc., a Pennsylvania- and Virginia-based new pallet manufacturer and subsidiary of Kamps Pallets, for approximately $48 million. The deal includes three f...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
UFP Industries Updates Strategy and Long-Term Growth Targets
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
In an updated investor presentation covering results through March 28, 2026, UFP Industries detailed its performance and strategy, highlighting trailing twelve‑month net sales of $6.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $532.8 million, driven by ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
UFP Industries Expands Packaging Network With Berry Pallets Acquisition
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
On April 28, 2026, UFP Industries announced a $20 million deal to acquire the operating assets and real estate of Berry Pallets, a pallet manufacturer in Waseca, Minnesota, with closing expected around May 18, 2026. The transaction adds about $23 ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
UFP Industries Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay
Positive
Apr 23, 2026
At UFP Industries’ annual meeting of shareholders held on April 22, 2026, investors elected director Mary Tuuk Kuras to a term expiring at the 2028 annual meeting, and Ronald K. Grubbs Jr., Benjamin J. McLean, and Michael G. Wooldridge to te...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
UFP Industries Boosts Deckorators Capacity With MoistureShield Deal
Positive
Apr 6, 2026
On April 6, 2026, UFP Industries announced the acquisition of Oldcastle APG’s MoistureShield decking operating assets, a move that substantially increases Deckorators’ wood-plastic composite decking capacity. The transaction includes m...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
UFP Industries Highlights 2025 Results and Growth Strategy
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
UFP Industries has released its current fourth-quarter 2025 investor relations presentation, detailing results through December 27, 2025, and emphasizing its position as North America’s largest converter and buyer of softwood lumber serving ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.