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UFP Industries (UFPI)
NASDAQ:UFPI

UFP Industries (UFPI) AI Stock Analysis

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UFPI

UFP Industries

(NASDAQ:UFPI)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$98.00
▲(7.07% Upside)
UFP Industries' overall stock score reflects a balance of financial stability and strategic initiatives against current market challenges. The company's strong balance sheet and strategic focus on growth through innovation and acquisitions are positive, but declining revenue and profit margins, along with bearish technical indicators, weigh on the score. The valuation is fair, and the earnings call provided a cautiously optimistic outlook, contributing positively to the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Position
A robust cash position and strong operating cash flow provide financial flexibility, enabling the company to pursue strategic objectives and return capital to shareholders.
Successful M&A and Share Repurchase
Strategic acquisitions and share repurchases reflect effective capital allocation, enhancing growth potential and shareholder value over the long term.
Expansion and Innovation
Product innovation and market expansion efforts aim to double market share, supporting long-term growth and competitive positioning in the retail segment.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth indicates challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term profitability and market share.
Profit Margin Pressure
Decreasing profit margins suggest cost management challenges, potentially affecting the company's ability to sustain profitability over time.
Challenges in Site Built Business
Volume and pricing pressures in the Site Built business could hinder revenue and margin recovery, impacting overall business performance.

UFP Industries (UFPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UFP Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUFP Industries, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets wood and wood-alternative products in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. It operates through Retail, Industrial, and Construction segments. The Retail segment offers preserved and unpreserved dimensional lumber; and outdoor living products, including wood and wood composite decking and related accessories, decorative lawn, garden, craft, and hobby products. This segment serves national home center retailers, and retail-oriented regional and contractor-oriented lumberyards under the ProWood, ProWood FR, Deckorators, UFP-Edge, Outdoor Essentials, Dimensions, and Handprint trademarks. The Industrial segment provides pallets, specialty crates, wooden boxes, and other containers and products that are used for packaging, shipping, and material handling applications, as well as various other protective packaging applications. The construction segment offers roof trusses, cut and shaped lumbers, plywood, oriented strand boards, and dimensional lumbers; and engineered wood components, including roof and floor trusses, wall panels, I-joists, and lumber packages, as well as distributes siding, electrical, and plumbing products to factory-built housing and recreational vehicle customers. This segment also engages in the manufacture of components; design, manufacture, and supply of wood forms and related products to set or form concrete for structures, such as parking garages, stadiums, and bridges, as well as provides farming services for builders. It also offers interior fixtures, millwork, and casework for retail, commercial, and other structures; and structural wood packaging, other packing materials, and original equipment manufacturer components for various industries. The company was formerly known as Universal Forest Products, Inc. and changed its name to UFP Industries, Inc. in April 2020. UFP Industries, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyUFP Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its broad range of building materials and products. The company has multiple key revenue streams, including wholesale distribution to large retailers, direct sales to contractors and builders, and e-commerce sales through its retail solutions segment. Additionally, UFPI benefits from partnerships with major home improvement retailers and distributors, which contribute significantly to its sales volume. The company's diversified product offerings and expansive customer base allow it to capitalize on both residential and commercial construction trends, thereby enhancing its earnings potential.

UFP Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While the company demonstrated resilience with steady sales, strategic acquisitions, and expansion initiatives, it faced notable challenges in profitability and specific segments like Site Built and Retail. The financial strength and proactive measures indicate potential for future growth, but current market conditions pose significant hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Net Sales Despite Market Challenges
Net sales remained steady at $1.56 billion with only a 4% decline in units and 1% decline in price, showing resilience in a challenging market environment.
Successful M&A and Share Repurchase Activities
Completed three bolt-on acquisitions and repurchased nearly 6% of total outstanding shares, reflecting strategic use of capital to enhance growth and shareholder value.
Expansion and Innovation in Retail Segment
Introduction of new products like ProWood's TrueFrame and Surestone with expansion efforts in Selma and Buffalo, aiming to double market share over the next 5 years.
Strong Financial Position
Operating cash flow of $399 million and over $1 billion in cash position, allowing flexibility to pursue strategic objectives and return capital to shareholders.
Growth in Factory Built and Concrete Forming Businesses
Significant volume growth in Factory Built, commercial, and concrete forming markets, despite challenges in Site Built business.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted EBITDA and Gross Profit
Adjusted EBITDA declined by 15% to $140 million, with a fall in adjusted EBITDA margin to 9% from 10% a year ago. Gross profit decreased primarily due to lower volume and pricing in Site Built business.
Challenges in Site Built Business
Site Built unit faced significant volume and pricing pressure, contributing to a 15% decline in adjusted EBITDA and a major portion of the gross profit decline.
Soft Demand and Competitive Pricing Pressure
Ongoing cyclically soft demand and competitive pricing pressures across markets, particularly affecting residential construction activity.
Decline in Retail Segment Sales
Retail sales dropped by 7% due to softer repair and remodel demand and strategic exits from lower-margin product lines.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call for UFP Industries Inc., the company provided guidance and insights into their current performance and strategic initiatives. Net sales were reported at $1.56 billion, reflecting a 5% decline from the previous year due to a 4% drop in units and a 1% fall in price. Despite these challenges, new product sales accounted for 7.2% of total sales, showing promising growth areas. The company is targeting a 12.5% EBITDA margin and 7% to 10% unit sales growth, with an emphasis on mergers and acquisitions and new products. They aim for a return on invested capital (ROIC) exceeding 15%, well above their cost of capital. UFP Industries is actively pursuing a $1 billion capital expenditure program, with $200 million allocated to automation to enhance efficiency. Additionally, three bolt-on acquisitions were completed to strengthen market position and expand capabilities. The company also repurchased $350 million worth of shares, approximately 6% of their market cap, amidst market volatility. Looking ahead, UFP Industries remains cautiously optimistic for 2026, focusing on cost reductions, capacity optimization, and strategic investments to drive above-market growth and margin expansion.

UFP Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UFP Industries faces challenges with declining revenue and profit margins, impacting its income statement performance. Despite this, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage and a solid equity position. Cash flow generation shows some improvement, but there are concerns about the sustainability of free cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the company demonstrates financial stability but needs to address revenue and margin pressures.
Income Statement
65
Positive
UFP Industries shows a decline in revenue growth with a negative rate of -1.37% TTM, indicating challenges in maintaining sales momentum. The gross profit margin stands at 16.79% TTM, which is a decrease from previous years, suggesting pressure on cost management. Net profit margin is at 5.00% TTM, reflecting a decrease in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.073 TTM, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is at 10.08% TTM, showing a decline but still reasonable. The equity ratio is robust, suggesting a stable financial position with a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is positive at 3.12% TTM, showing improvement. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is below 0.5, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.45B6.65B7.22B9.63B8.64B5.15B
Gross Profit1.08B1.23B1.42B1.79B1.41B800.30M
EBITDA592.02M701.03M815.97M1.06B838.28M422.97M
Net Income320.04M414.56M514.31M692.65M535.64M246.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.14B4.15B4.02B3.67B3.25B2.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.05B1.20B1.15B595.41M323.16M460.81M
Total Debt369.26M356.92M384.30M389.09M437.07M389.76M
Total Liabilities927.28M900.95M967.58M1.07B1.23B921.74M
Stockholders Equity3.18B3.22B3.00B2.56B1.98B1.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow269.35M410.30M779.51M657.44M361.31M247.29M
Operating Cash Flow541.63M642.57M959.89M831.57M512.48M336.48M
Investing Cash Flow-310.47M-270.75M-240.16M-353.94M-611.19M-154.72M
Financing Cash Flow-413.48M-307.12M-162.86M-210.21M-45.01M85.22M

UFP Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.53
Price Trends
50DMA
91.29
Positive
100DMA
94.51
Negative
200DMA
98.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Negative
RSI
53.04
Neutral
STOCH
78.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UFPI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.01, above the 50-day MA of 91.29, and below the 200-day MA of 98.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UFPI.

UFP Industries Risk Analysis

UFP Industries disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UFP Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UFP Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.96B11.4218.81%3.51%-8.92%-32.30%
68
Neutral
$5.43B17.409.78%1.51%-3.90%-25.97%
68
Neutral
$5.63B26.0712.75%1.36%-3.26%-46.80%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$682.97M-68.33%3.19%0.39%-505.56%
48
Neutral
$139.32M-0.79-39.37%10.82%-5.85%9.13%
46
Neutral
$297.51M-1.80-10.47%-21.76%-1214.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UFPI
UFP Industries
91.53
-20.84
-18.55%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
17.93
-14.03
-43.90%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
81.99
-21.50
-20.77%
MERC
Mercer International
2.09
-4.28
-67.19%
MATV
Mativ Holdings
12.27
1.65
15.54%
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
48.87
-30.32
-38.29%

UFP Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
UFP Industries Highlights Q3 2025 Growth Strategy
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

UFP Industries presented its third quarter 2025 Investor Relations Presentation, highlighting its strategic focus on innovation and market expansion to drive growth. The company aims to achieve above-market growth and improve margins through product and process innovation, strategic acquisitions, and enhanced operational efficiencies. UFP Industries’ long-term financial goals include maintaining a conservative capital structure and achieving a 12.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, reflecting its commitment to sustainable competitive advantages and shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025