Ufp Industries, Inc. (UFPI)
NASDAQ:UFPI
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UFP Industries
(NASDAQ:UFPI)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$98.00
▲(1.96% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/06/26
UFPI scores well on financial durability (low leverage and solid cash generation), which helps offset the ongoing earnings/revenue normalization. The score is held back by weak technical momentum and a valuation that appears only moderate given near-term guidance for soft organic volumes.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet and low leverage
UFP's low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.11–0.15) and declining total debt (~$230M) give the company durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing risk, supports investment in capacity and M&A, and cushions the business through housing cycles without forcing distress sales.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue and earnings decline
A multi-year downshift in sales and earnings signals a structural cyclical trough or secular pressure in end markets. Lower base volumes and profits impair reinvestment capacity and mean management must rely on cost-outs and M&A to restore prior profitability levels, extending recovery time.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet and low leverage
UFP's low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.11–0.15) and declining total debt (~$230M) give the company durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing risk, supports investment in capacity and M&A, and cushions the business through housing cycles without forcing distress sales.
Read all positive factors
UFP Industries (UFPI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.28B
Dividend Yield1.53%
Average Volume (3M)376.12K
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.6
Beta (1Y)0.84
Revenue Growth-3.90%
EPS Growth-25.97%
CountryUS
Employees15,000
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.65
Shares Outstanding56,799,896
10 Day Avg. Volume336,039
30 Day Avg. Volume376,120
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.71
Price to Book (P/B)1.77
Price to Sales (P/S)0.87
P/FCF Ratio19.80
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.87
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.73
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.33
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.13
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$106.67Price Target Upside10.98% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)5.33
Revenue Forecast (FY)$6.32B
UFP Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
UFP Industries, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets wood and wood-alternative products in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. It operates through Retail, Industrial, and Construction segments. The Retail segm...
How the Company Makes Money
UFP Industries primarily makes money by manufacturing and distributing value-added wood and wood-adjacent products and selling them to customers across three main segments. (1) UFP Retail Solutions generates revenue by supplying home-center and re...
UFP Industries Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced picture: significant near-term revenue and gross profit headwinds driven by housing and some legacy businesses contrasted with strong cash generation, aggressive capital returns, clear progress on cost reductions, material growth and capacity plans in higher‑margin Deckorators products, and an active M&A pipeline. Management is cautiously optimistic for 2026 but acknowledges lingering pressure (especially in Site‑Built) and several nonrecurring accounting impacts that obscure underlying operational improvements.Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Returns
Free cash flow of $451M for 2025 (down 5% YoY) enabled $443M of share repurchases (~7% of shares outstanding) and $82M in dividends; Board approved quarterly dividend of $0.36 (3% YoY increase) and maintained $2.2B total liquidity (including $914M surplus cash).
Negative Updates
Consolidated Revenue and Volume Declines
Net sales for the December quarter were ~$1.3B, down 9% YoY from $1.46B; management also reported a 7% decline in unit volumes and a 2% decline in price for the quarter.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Returns
Free cash flow of $451M for 2025 (down 5% YoY) enabled $443M of share repurchases (~7% of shares outstanding) and $82M in dividends; Board approved quarterly dividend of $0.36 (3% YoY increase) and maintained $2.2B total liquidity (including $914M surplus cash).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that full‑year 2026 organic volumes should be flat to down low single digits while continuing to pursue long‑term targets of a 12.5% EBITDA margin, 7%–10% unit sales growth (including M&A/new products) and return on invested capital in excess of 15%; near‑term financial assumptions include core SG&A of about $570 million (up ~$20 million), current‑period bonus expense of ~17%–18% of pre‑bonus operating profit, $21 million of vesting expense for share‑based awards and sales incentives of ~3% of gross profit. Management reiterated a $60 million cost‑out program (having already achieved ~$35 million of targeted SG&A reductions and $7 million from capacity consolidations in 2025, with an additional ~$25 million consolidation expected in 2026), plans to maintain a $30 million Deckorators marketing spend, expects Deckorators to add ~$100 million of sales in 2026 (backed by Selma and Buffalo capacity totaling ~$250 million when fully online), forecasts 2026 CapEx of ~$300–325 million, and will remain opportunistic on buybacks while preserving $2.2 billion of total liquidity (including $914 million of surplus cash) after generating $451 million of free cash flow in 2025 and repurchasing $443 million of stock (≈7% of shares) last year; dividends were raised to $0.36 per quarter (a ~3% YoY increase).UFP Industries Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 6.32B | 6.65B | 7.22B | 9.63B | 8.64B |
| Gross Profit | 1.06B | 1.23B | 1.42B | 1.79B | 1.41B |
| EBITDA | 564.21M | 701.03M | 815.97M | 1.06B | 838.28M |
| Net Income | 294.79M | 414.56M | 514.31M | 692.65M | 535.64M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 4.02B | 4.15B | 4.02B | 3.67B | 3.25B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 959.45M | 1.20B | 1.15B | 595.41M | 323.16M |
| Total Debt | 229.76M | 356.92M | 384.30M | 389.09M | 437.07M |
| Total Liabilities | 934.19M | 900.95M | 967.58M | 1.07B | 1.23B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.08B | 3.22B | 3.00B | 2.56B | 1.98B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 276.36M | 410.30M | 779.51M | 657.44M | 361.31M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 545.74M | 642.57M | 959.89M | 831.57M | 512.48M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -273.24M | -270.75M | -240.16M | -353.94M | -611.19M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -530.14M | -307.12M | -162.86M | -210.21M | -45.01M |
UFP Industries Technical Analysis
Neutral
96.12
Price Trends
99.17
Negative
97.32
Negative
97.08
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.31
Negative
56.88
Neutral
90.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UFPI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 96.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.59, below the 50-day MA of 99.17, and below the 200-day MA of 97.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for UFPI.
UFP Industries Risk Analysis
UFP Industries disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UFP Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
UFP Industries Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | $5.28B | 18.57 | 9.23% | 1.53% | -3.90% | -25.97% | |
64 Neutral | $5.16B | 38.72 | 8.46% | 1.37% | -3.26% | -46.80% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
56 Neutral | $1.67B | 14.64 | 13.86% | 3.51% | -8.92% | -32.30% | |
49 Neutral | $505.59M | -1.97 | -77.52% | 3.26% | 0.39% | -505.56% | |
44 Neutral | $239.29M | -13.93 | -2.50% | ― | -21.76% | -1214.73% | |
44 Neutral | $73.01M | -0.27 | -151.86% | 10.77% | -5.85% | 9.13% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
UFPI
UFP Industries
93.02
-9.04
-8.86%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
14.92
-9.48
-38.85%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
73.81
-8.93
-10.80%
MERC
Mercer International
1.09
-3.96
-78.42%
MATV
Mativ Holdings
9.23
4.81
108.87%
SLVM
Sylvamo Corp
42.31
-14.89
-26.03%
UFP Industries Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
UFP Industries Boosts Deckorators Capacity With MoistureShield Deal
Positive
Apr 6, 2026
On April 6, 2026, UFP Industries announced the acquisition of Oldcastle APG’s MoistureShield decking operating assets, a move that substantially increases Deckorators’ wood-plastic composite decking capacity. The transaction includes m...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
UFP Industries Highlights 2025 Results and Growth Strategy
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
UFP Industries has released its current fourth-quarter 2025 investor relations presentation, detailing results through December 27, 2025, and emphasizing its position as North America’s largest converter and buyer of softwood lumber serving ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.