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Janus International Group, Inc. (JBI)
:JBI
US Market

Janus International Group (JBI) AI Stock Analysis

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JB

Janus International Group

(NYSE:JBI)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(6.38%Upside)
Janus International Group demonstrates strong financial management and strategic initiatives to navigate economic challenges. Weaknesses in revenue and valuation are partly offset by effective cost management and share repurchase efforts, resulting in a balanced investment outlook.
Positive Factors
Future Project Releases
JBI anticipates project deferrals could be released in the second half of 2025 as the macroeconomic environment stabilizes.
Market Conditions
As the macro backdrop stabilizes and lower rates stimulate activity, JBI anticipates the project deferrals could be released as early as 2H25.
Negative Factors
Guidance Reduction
Management has reduced its guidance in consecutive quarters, indicating lowered expectations.
Price Reductions
The company is cutting prices due to falling steel prices and new market entrants.
Project Delays
JBI is experiencing project delays and its non-institutional customers are under pressure.

Janus International Group (JBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Janus International Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJanus International Group, Inc. manufacturers, supplies, and provides turn-key self-storage, and commercial and industrial building solutions in North America and internationally. It offers roll up and swing doors, hallway systems, relocatable storage units, and facility and door automation technologies. The company also provides Noke smart entry system. Janus International Group, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Temple, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyJanus International Group generates revenue through the sale of its comprehensive range of products and solutions tailored for the self-storage and commercial building markets. The company's key revenue streams include the manufacturing and distribution of self-storage doors and related components, facility automation systems, and relocatable storage units. Additionally, Janus International Group benefits from strategic partnerships with construction firms and real estate developers, which facilitate large-scale projects and recurring sales. The company's focus on innovation and customization allows it to meet specific client needs, further driving its revenue growth.

Janus International Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company that is facing significant revenue and profitability challenges due to macroeconomic factors and market softness. However, the company is actively managing these challenges through cost reduction plans, strong cash flow management, and strategic capital allocation, including share repurchases and debt prepayment. While there are positive signs in backlog growth and international segment performance, the overall environment remains challenging.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Reduction Plan on Track
The company is progressing well with its restructuring initiatives, with a structural cost reduction plan expected to deliver approximately $10 million to $12 million in annual pretax cost savings by the end of 2025.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
The company generated cash from operating activities of $48.3 million and free cash flow of $41.9 million in the quarter, with a free cash flow conversion of adjusted net income of 170% on a trailing twelve-month basis.
Share Repurchase and Debt Prepayment
Repurchased 600,000 shares for $5.1 million and made a voluntary prepayment of $40 million on the first lien term loan, which will lower overall interest expense by an estimated $2.2 million for the year.
International Segment Growth
The international segment saw total revenues increase by $500,000 or 44.2% compared to the prior year, driven by increased volumes due to normalizing local market conditions.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
First quarter revenue of $210.5 million was down 17.3% compared to the first quarter of 2024, with declines in self-storage (23.1%), new construction (25.5%), and R3 (19.3%).
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Decrease
Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $38.4 million, down 42.1% compared to the first quarter of 2024, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.2%, a decrease of approximately 790 basis points from the prior year.
Challenges in Commercial and Other Segments
The commercial and other segments saw a 1% decline in the first quarter, driven by market softness for rolling sheet doors.
Potential Tariff Impacts
Estimated potential expense impact related to tariffs for 2025 is in the low single-digit millions, with ongoing annual impacts expected to be in the range of $10 million to $12 million beyond 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Janus International Group's first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reaffirming its full-year projections for revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Revenue is expected to be in the range of $800 million to $890 million, with an adjusted EBITDA between $175 million and $195 million, reflecting an adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.1% at the midpoint. The company anticipates improvement in results during the latter half of 2025, as customer focus shifts towards R3 initiatives, involving the optimization and upgrade of existing properties over new construction. Janus also expects to achieve $10 million to $12 million in annual pretax cost savings by the end of 2025 through restructuring initiatives. Despite a challenging economic environment, the company remains confident in its long-term growth prospects, supported by strong cash flow and a solid balance sheet, which allowed for a $40 million voluntary prepayment on its first lien term loan and $5.1 million in share repurchases during the quarter.

Janus International Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Janus International Group shows strong financial health with efficient profitability and cash flow management. Despite a revenue decline, the company maintains healthy profit margins and cash flow ratios. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage and a solid equity position.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The income statement shows strong profitability with a notable gross profit margin of 39.14% and net profit margin of 5.49% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue has decreased from the previous year by 4.57%, but margins remain healthy. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, indicating efficient operations despite revenue drop.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 in TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 41.42%, suggesting a balanced asset financing structure. Return on Equity (ROE) is reasonably strong at 9.59%, demonstrating effective use of equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals robust cash generation with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.01 for TTM, highlighting strong cash conversion. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is at 3.44, underscoring efficient cash flow management. Free cash flow growth of 13.34% indicates positive cash flow trajectory.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
919.80M963.80M1.07B1.02B750.15M548.97M
Gross Profit
360.00M397.80M449.70M364.93M251.36M203.82M
EBIT
116.70M146.60M245.70M187.48M92.40M94.52M
EBITDA
167.60M193.90M286.00M230.26M121.20M125.38M
Net Income Common Stockholders
50.50M70.40M135.70M107.70M43.80M56.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
140.80M149.30M171.70M78.37M13.19M45.26M
Total Assets
1.27B1.30B1.35B1.27B1.12B873.48M
Total Debt
557.60M597.40M667.30M708.20M718.15M624.13M
Net Debt
416.80M448.10M495.60M629.82M704.96M578.87M
Total Liabilities
745.00M782.50M830.40M895.33M853.72M732.61M
Stockholders Equity
526.80M518.80M519.60M375.29M268.29M140.87M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
151.80M133.90M196.00M79.66M54.96M94.51M
Operating Cash Flow
173.70M154.00M215.00M88.47M74.83M100.85M
Investing Cash Flow
-74.90M-73.10M-19.90M-8.69M-189.89M-10.77M
Financing Cash Flow
-136.50M-103.00M-102.40M-14.65M82.80M-64.13M

Janus International Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.99
Price Trends
50DMA
7.54
Positive
100DMA
7.79
Positive
200DMA
8.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Positive
RSI
47.82
Neutral
STOCH
41.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.30, above the 50-day MA of 7.54, and below the 200-day MA of 8.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JBI.

Janus International Group Risk Analysis

Janus International Group disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Janus International Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Janus International Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
THTHR
75
Outperform
$894.06M17.2011.03%0.48%-5.52%
JBJBI
69
Neutral
$1.14B23.219.51%-13.95%-63.37%
68
Neutral
$831.64M9.9217.74%2.70%-3.95%-14.56%
66
Neutral
$1.05B-3.76%-0.61%-248.58%
66
Neutral
$4.50B12.265.40%3.65%4.17%-12.02%
54
Neutral
$990.05M-17.12%1.11%1.54%-466.46%
50
Neutral
$779.01M2.24-42.67%-26.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBI
Janus International Group
8.11
-4.89
-37.62%
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
54.24
-0.09
-0.17%
APOG
Apogee
38.49
-22.40
-36.79%
THR
Thermon Group Holdings
27.38
-1.80
-6.17%
PRSU
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality
27.57
-7.07
-20.41%
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source
4.72
0.33
7.52%

Janus International Group Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Janus International Expands Share Repurchase Program
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Janus International Group announced that its Board of Directors approved an additional $75 million to its share repurchase program, increasing the total authorization to $91.3 million. This move reflects the company’s confidence in its business model and cash generation capabilities, aiming to enhance long-term shareholder value through strategic capital allocation. The repurchases will be funded using cash on hand and expected future free cash flow, with the company retaining flexibility in the timing and method of repurchases.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBI) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Janus International Group stock, see the JBI Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Janus International Reports Q1 2025 Revenue Decline
Negative
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Janus International Group reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a decline in revenue and net income compared to the previous year. The company achieved $210.5 million in total revenue, a 17.3% decrease from the first quarter of 2024, and a net income of $10.8 million, a 64.8% decrease from the previous year. Despite these declines, Janus reaffirmed its full-year 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, emphasizing its strategic focus on expanding market share and delivering long-term shareholder value. The company repurchased 0.6 million shares of common stock for $5.1 million and remains confident in its ability to navigate macroeconomic challenges.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.