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Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC)
NYSE:BXC

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) AI Stock Analysis

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BXC

Bluelinx Holdings

(NYSE:BXC)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(11.21% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid overall financials supported by strong free cash flow growth, plus a reasonably constructive earnings outlook with strong liquidity and specialty-product momentum. Offsetting these positives are weakened profitability and higher leverage, a technically stretched setup (overbought signals), and a demanding valuation (P/E ~46) with no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Sustained, large free cash flow improvement materially increases BlueLinx’s strategic optionality in a cyclical industry. Strong FCF supports capex, targeted M&A (Disdero), share buybacks and working capital needs, providing durable financial flexibility across cycles.
Specialty-product mix and M&A
A concentrated specialty-product portfolio, plus the Disdero acquisition, shifts revenue toward higher-value, less commoditized categories. This structural mix and targeted M&A can sustain margins, expand geographic reach, and reduce exposure to commodity lumber volatility over the medium term.
Strong liquidity position
Large available liquidity provides a durable buffer in a capital-intensive, cyclical construction market. It underpins capex, acquisition funding, and working capital during downturns, and enables disciplined capital allocation without forcing distressed asset sales or debt refinancing.
Negative Factors
Compressed profitability margins
Margins have materially compressed versus prior periods, indicating less pricing power and thinner buffers for cost shocks. Persistently low net margins limit reinvestment and shareholder returns, and make earnings more sensitive to input cost or volume fluctuations over the medium term.
Rising leverage and weak ROE
Increased leverage combined with a sharply lower ROE raises financial risk in a cyclical sector. Higher debt amplifies downside in housing slowdowns, constrains capital allocation, and reduces ability to invest organically without further borrowing or dilutive financing.
Structural and cost headwinds
Declines in structural product revenue, price deflation in engineered wood products, and tariff/duty impacts are structural headwinds. These factors can persistently depress mix-adjusted margins and complicate forecasting, limiting sustainable margin recovery absent product or pricing shifts.

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bluelinx Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlueLinx Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes residential and commercial building products in the United States. The company distributes specialty products comprising engineered wood, industrial products, cedar, moulding, siding, metal, and insulation products; and structural products include lumber, plywood, oriented strand boards, rebars and remesh, spruce, and other wood products primarily that are used for structural support in construction projects. It also provides various value-added services and solutions to customers and suppliers. The company serves dealers, specialty distributors, national home centers, and manufactured housing customers through a network of distribution centers. BlueLinx Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Marietta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBluelinx generates revenue primarily through the wholesale distribution of building materials. The company's key revenue streams include sales of lumber, plywood, engineered wood products, and other related construction materials. Additionally, Bluelinx earns income from value-added services such as logistics, inventory management, and supply chain solutions, which enhance its offering to customers. The company benefits from significant partnerships with major manufacturers and suppliers in the building materials industry, allowing it to maintain a competitive edge in pricing and product availability. Economic cycles in the construction sector, housing market trends, and infrastructure development significantly influence Bluelinx's earnings, as demand for building products correlates with construction activity.

Bluelinx Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Bluelinx Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strategic growth through acquisitions, strong liquidity, and volume growth in key product categories, countered by challenges in structural product revenues, duty-related cost impacts, and macroeconomic challenges. The positive developments were somewhat balanced by these challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales Growth and Strategic Acquisitions
Net sales increased to $749 million, with strategic acquisitions like Disdero Lumber Company contributing to growth in specialty products and geographic expansion.
Strong Liquidity Position
The company maintained a strong liquidity position with approximately $680 million available, supporting strategic initiatives and shareholder returns.
Volume Growth in Key Product Categories
Engineered wood products and outdoor living product volumes grew by low double digits and low single digits respectively, defying market trends.
Digital Transformation and AI Advancements
Progress in digital transformation with Phase 1 completing this year and advancements in AI for improved efficiency and productivity.
Specialty Products Price Stabilization
Market-driven price deflation for specialty products stabilized with pricing flat in Q3 compared to a high-single-digit drop the previous year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Structural Product Revenue
Structural product revenues decreased slightly year-over-year due to price declines in panels and modest volume declines.
Duty-Related Adjustments Impact
Duty-related adjustments increased the cost of products sold by $2.2 million, affecting gross margins.
Macroeconomic Challenges
High mortgage rates, tariffs, and economic uncertainty posed challenges and impacted profitable sales growth.
Decrease in Gross Margin
Gross margin decreased to 14.4% from 16.8% in the prior period, affected by price deflation and duty-related adjustments.
Company Guidance
During the BlueLinx Holdings Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its guidance, highlighting several key metrics. BlueLinx reported net sales of $749 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $22.4 million, resulting in a 3.0% adjusted EBITDA margin. Adjusted net income stood at $3.7 million or $0.45 per share. Specialty products accounted for approximately 70% of net sales and over 80% of gross profit for the quarter. Specialty product net sales increased slightly year-over-year, supported by strong volumes in engineered wood products (EWP) and outdoor living products, although price deflation in EWP partially offset these gains. Gross margins for specialty products were reported at 16.6%, but would have been 17% when excluding a duty-related adjustment. The acquisition of Disdero Lumber Company, a specialty products distributor, was also emphasized as a strategic move to expand geographic reach and product offerings. BlueLinx maintained a strong financial position with $680 million in liquidity, continuing to support its growth strategies and capital allocation initiatives, including a $96 million acquisition of Disdero and a share repurchase authorization of $58.7 million. Despite challenging market conditions, such as high mortgage rates and economic uncertainties, BlueLinx remains optimistic about the long-term demand driven by a 4 million home shortfall in the U.S. and the aging housing stock, positioning itself for future success.

Bluelinx Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bluelinx Holdings exhibits a stable financial profile with strengths in its balance sheet and moderate performance in its income statement. However, cash flow generation poses a challenge, suggesting a need for strategic improvements in cash management and revenue growth. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a solid equity base and manages its leverage effectively, indicating resilience in the construction industry.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bluelinx Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 15.94%, reflecting efficient cost management, though it has decreased from previous periods. The net profit margin is 0.96%, indicating a decrease from the prior year, primarily due to reduced revenue. Revenue growth is negative when comparing the TTM period to the previous year, highlighting a challenge in maintaining top-line growth. However, the company maintains reasonable EBIT and EBITDA margins at 2.10% and 3.16%, respectively, which are healthy for the industry.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07, showing a well-managed leverage situation. The equity ratio is 39.21%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity (ROE) for the TTM is 4.57%, which is modest and has decreased from prior periods. Overall, Bluelinx Holdings maintains a strong asset base and a moderate level of financial risk.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows some concerns with a decline in free cash flow growth, which is negative compared to the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, reflecting challenges in converting net income into operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.21, indicating limited free cash flow generation relative to net income. Bluelinx Holdings may need to focus on improving cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.95B2.95B3.14B4.45B4.28B3.10B
Gross Profit442.61M489.14M527.02M832.98M778.43M477.73M
EBITDA78.18M128.54M137.68M464.65M467.57M171.40M
Net Income14.04M53.12M48.54M296.18M296.13M80.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.58B1.58B1.54B1.49B1.32B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments429.36M505.62M521.74M298.94M85.20M82.00K
Total Debt668.89M636.20M617.97M612.94M615.66M646.60M
Total Liabilities958.95M931.28M903.32M900.01M954.21M989.04M
Stockholders Equity623.02M646.44M634.29M590.03M363.25M59.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.76M45.07M278.76M364.41M130.61M51.33M
Operating Cash Flow16.69M85.18M306.29M400.30M145.02M55.02M
Investing Cash Flow-39.08M-39.21M-26.86M-98.69M-4.09M9.16M
Financing Cash Flow-74.53M-62.09M-56.62M-87.87M-55.81M-75.74M

Bluelinx Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price76.43
Price Trends
50DMA
62.45
Positive
100DMA
68.88
Positive
200DMA
71.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.57
Negative
RSI
75.98
Negative
STOCH
93.19
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BXC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.96, above the 50-day MA of 62.45, and above the 200-day MA of 71.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.98 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BXC.

Bluelinx Holdings Risk Analysis

Bluelinx Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bluelinx Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bluelinx Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$601.13M46.172.20%-0.19%-50.51%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$13.98B24.5413.56%-6.44%-48.84%
62
Neutral
$956.51M21.108.64%-10.84%-53.49%
60
Neutral
$1.65B787.3013.29%-9.21%-97.43%
54
Neutral
$824.43M-3.38-28.88%2.12%43.81%-584.11%
40
Underperform
$231.51M-0.42-155.46%-15.28%-350.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
78.99
-27.73
-25.98%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
128.96
-35.16
-21.42%
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
58.26
-4.25
-6.80%
NX
Quanex
18.57
-5.17
-21.78%
JELD
JELD-WEN
3.18
-6.32
-66.53%
JBI
Janus International Group
7.09
-0.51
-6.71%

Bluelinx Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
BlueLinx Holdings Announces CCO Transition Plan
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, BlueLinx Holdings announced the retirement of Michael Wilson, the Chief Commercial Officer, effective January 4, 2026. Wilson will transition to a Senior Advisor role until August 1, 2026, to ensure a smooth transition of duties. Leo Oei, currently Vice President of National Accounts, will succeed Wilson as Chief Commercial Officer. This transition is part of BlueLinx’s strategy to continue its growth and strengthen its market position, leveraging Oei’s extensive experience in commercial leadership roles.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Hold with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
BlueLinx Holdings Acquires Disdero Lumber for Expansion
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On October 31, 2025, BlueLinx Corporation, a subsidiary of BlueLinx Holdings Inc., acquired Disdero Lumber Co., LLC, a distributor of premium specialty building materials, for approximately $96 million. This acquisition, announced on November 3, 2025, aligns with BlueLinx’s strategy to expand its specialty products offering and geographic reach. The acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive to earnings and will leverage BlueLinx’s existing distribution network to enhance growth opportunities. Disdero’s products, primarily used in high-end construction, will now be available to a broader customer base, supporting BlueLinx’s strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Hold with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026