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Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC)
NYSE:BXC
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Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) AI Stock Analysis

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BXC

Bluelinx Holdings

(NYSE:BXC)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
▼(-10.78% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is primarily held down by weakened financial performance (margin compression, thin operating profitability, and a TTM net loss) and a bearish technical setup (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call adds some offset via strong liquidity/low leverage and EBITDA improvement, but cautious guidance and near-term cash flow pressure limit upside; valuation also provides little support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
High-margin specialty product mix
A heavy tilt to specialty products (70% of sales, ~80% of gross profit) provides a more stable, higher-margin revenue base than commodity lumber. Over 2–6 months this mix supports gross-profit resilience, cushions commodity swings, and underpins margin recovery if specialty demand holds.
Negative Factors
Compressed margins and near‑breakeven profitability
Thin operating margins and a TTM net loss leave little buffer for cost or demand shocks. In a cyclical construction market, limited profitability reduces reinvestment capacity and increases vulnerability if volumes or pricing deteriorate over the next several months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High-margin specialty product mix
A heavy tilt to specialty products (70% of sales, ~80% of gross profit) provides a more stable, higher-margin revenue base than commodity lumber. Over 2–6 months this mix supports gross-profit resilience, cushions commodity swings, and underpins margin recovery if specialty demand holds.
Read all positive factors

Bluelinx Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Absolute dollar contribution from each segment after subtracting the cost of goods sold, indicating which parts of the business actually generate earnings. Tracking segment gross profit highlights where growth is meaningful for the company’s overall results and how swings in commodity prices or volumes are impacting reported profitability.
Chart InsightsStructural gross profit has materially compressed from prior-cycle peaks and is now a small, volatile contributor—a direct reflection of lumber/panel price deflation that keeps total margins under pressure. Specialty gross profit has become the company’s primary earnings engine, stabilized by the Distero deal and channel wins (multifamily, national accounts), but it hasn’t returned to earlier highs. With management guiding modest specialty margins, boosted SG&A, and weak structural volumes, near-term profitability hinges on sustaining specialty mix and pricing rather than a structural recovery.
Data provided by:The Fly

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bluelinx Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BlueLinx Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes residential and commercial building products in the United States. The company distributes specialty products comprising engineered wood, industrial products, cedar, moulding, sid...
How the Company Makes Money
BlueLinx primarily makes money by purchasing building products from manufacturers and other suppliers and reselling them to customers at a markup, generating revenue from the sale and delivery of those products. Its core revenue streams are tied t...

Bluelinx Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously positive view: the company delivered revenue growth, a ~20% increase in adjusted EBITDA, stronger structural margins, meaningful contribution from the Distero acquisition, and robust liquidity and low leverage. However, seasonally negative operating cash flow, a GAAP net loss, margin pressure in specialty categories, competitive pricing dynamics, and a muted outlook for the remainder of 2026 temper near-term expectations. Overall, execution and balance-sheet strength are positives, while macro softness and pricing pressures are key risks.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Net sales of $731 million, up ~3% year-over-year, driven primarily by Distero specialty sales and higher volumes in specialty product categories.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Reported GAAP net loss of $1.5 million, or $0.18 per share, primarily due to higher net interest expense and higher depreciation and amortization.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Net sales of $731 million, up ~3% year-over-year, driven primarily by Distero specialty sales and higher volumes in specialty product categories.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance highlights: for Q2 BlueLinx expects Specialty gross margin of 17.5%–18.5% (with daily sales volumes rising seasonally versus Q1 but still below 2025) and Structural gross margin of 9.5%–10.5% (daily volumes also seasonally higher but slightly below 2025); management does not expect Q1’s adjusted EBITDA of $23.5 million (3.2% margin) to recur through the balance of 2026 and expects full‑year free cash flow to be roughly in line with, or a bit below, last year after Q1 operating cash flow of negative $57 million and free cash flow of negative $60 million. Financial flexibility and capital allocation guidance: available liquidity of about $659 million (cash $319M + $340M revolver), total debt $377M, net debt $58M, net leverage 0.7x trailing‑four‑quarter adjusted EBITDA, no material maturities until 2029, Q1 CapEx $2.6M with maintenance/tech/fleet focus, continued disciplined M&A but opportunistic share repurchases ($3M repurchased in Q1, $5M YTD through Apr. 21) with roughly $54–56M remaining under authorization, and a long‑term net leverage target of ≤2.0x.

Bluelinx Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are mixed-to-weak. Despite sharp TTM revenue growth, margins have compressed materially (gross margin ~15% and EBIT margin ~1.2%), resulting in a small TTM net loss. Leverage is workable but meaningful for a cyclical business (~1.08 debt-to-equity), and while TTM free cash flow is still positive, it fell sharply (~41%) with weak cash conversion signals.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.98B2.95B2.95B3.14B4.45B4.28B
Gross Profit447.15M451.63M489.14M527.02M832.98M778.43M
EBITDA82.60M72.39M128.54M137.68M464.65M467.57M
Net Income-4.04M219.00K53.12M48.54M296.18M296.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.60B1.55B1.58B1.54B1.49B1.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments319.09M385.84M505.62M521.74M298.94M85.20M
Total Debt667.24M673.98M636.20M617.97M612.94M615.66M
Total Liabilities982.54M931.96M931.28M903.32M900.01M954.21M
Stockholders Equity615.55M617.32M646.44M634.29M590.03M363.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.42M32.85M45.07M278.76M364.41M130.61M
Operating Cash Flow36.47M59.78M85.18M306.29M400.30M145.02M
Investing Cash Flow-117.81M-119.49M-39.21M-26.86M-98.69M-4.09M
Financing Cash Flow-48.59M-60.08M-62.09M-56.62M-87.87M-55.81M

Bluelinx Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price58.28
Price Trends
50DMA
52.57
Negative
100DMA
61.11
Negative
200DMA
65.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.58
Positive
RSI
45.52
Neutral
STOCH
22.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BXC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 58.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.80, above the 50-day MA of 52.57, and below the 200-day MA of 65.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BXC.

Bluelinx Holdings Risk Analysis

Bluelinx Holdings disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bluelinx Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bluelinx Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$7.94B-47.696.92%-8.33%-66.48%
53
Neutral
$699.69M850.947.72%-2.54%-11.47%
52
Neutral
$789.14M-52.26-30.23%2.12%28.35%-939.66%
47
Neutral
$384.45M-69.74-0.65%1.38%-111.51%
46
Neutral
$1.05B-4.400.94%-4.66%-201.96%
46
Neutral
$137.84M-0.32-291.24%-12.11%-43.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
48.85
-17.02
-25.84%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
74.15
-34.18
-31.55%
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
37.18
-21.90
-37.07%
NX
Quanex
17.71
0.66
3.85%
JELD
JELD-WEN
1.74
-1.62
-48.21%
JBI
Janus International Group
5.20
-2.86
-35.48%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026