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Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC)
NYSE:BXC
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Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) AI Stock Analysis

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BXC

Bluelinx Holdings

(NYSE:BXC)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$84.00
▲(8.25% Upside)
Bluelinx Holdings' overall score reflects a stable financial position with strategic growth initiatives, but it faces challenges in cash flow generation and valuation. The company's efforts in digital transformation and market expansion are positive, yet macroeconomic factors such as price deflation and a soft housing market weigh on its outlook.
Positive Factors
Market Share
Gaining share in an uncertain market as the company pushed harder to win share with both multi-family and national accounts, which paid off as volumes came in relatively strong.
New Business Opportunities
The company has found new opportunities for direct business which have further supported volume and been EBITDA accretive.
Negative Factors
Commodity Pricing
Anticipated challenges related to deflationary commodity wood product pricing and weak market demand are expected to create competitive pressures.
Financial Forecast
The company's 2025 EBITDA forecast is now well below consensus figures, indicating limited upside for the stock.
Specialty Products Performance
Specialty products remain under pressure as sales for the segment were down due to continued price deflation and market-specific volume pressures.

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bluelinx Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlueLinx Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes residential and commercial building products in the United States. The company distributes specialty products comprising engineered wood, industrial products, cedar, moulding, siding, metal, and insulation products; and structural products include lumber, plywood, oriented strand boards, rebars and remesh, spruce, and other wood products primarily that are used for structural support in construction projects. It also provides various value-added services and solutions to customers and suppliers. The company serves dealers, specialty distributors, national home centers, and manufactured housing customers through a network of distribution centers. BlueLinx Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Marietta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBluelinx generates revenue primarily through the wholesale distribution of building materials and products. The company's revenue model is based on the sale of a diverse range of construction-related products, including engineered wood, lumber, and insulation. Key revenue streams include direct sales to contractors and builders, as well as sales to retail partners. Additionally, Bluelinx may benefit from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, allowing it to offer a comprehensive selection of products while optimizing supply chain efficiencies. The company’s earnings are further supported by market demand in the construction industry, which can be influenced by factors such as housing starts, renovation trends, and overall economic conditions.

Bluelinx Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strategic focus on growth through share repurchases, multifamily market expansion, and digital transformation. However, challenges such as price deflation, a soft housing market, and panel price declines tempered the positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Share Repurchase and Authorization
BlueLinx repurchased $20 million of shares in Q2 and received board approval for a new $50 million share repurchase authorization, indicating confidence in long-term growth.
Multifamily Market Growth
Multifamily business grew over 30% year-over-year, driven by strategic investments and demand creation efforts, strengthening the company's value proposition.
Digital Transformation Progress
Phase 1 of digital transformation is on track for completion this year, with successful implementation of Oracle transportation management and pilot e-commerce transactions.
Specialty Products Gross Margin
Specialty products gross margin was 18.5%, above expected range, despite price deflation in some categories.
Negative Updates
Price Deflation Impact
Market-driven price deflation continues to reduce profitability, particularly in specialty product categories, impacting top line and cost of goods sold.
Housing Market Conditions
The housing market remains soft, affected by affordability issues, high mortgage rates, and economic uncertainty, impacting the building materials sector.
Panel Price Decline
Panel prices decreased by 19% year-over-year, negatively affecting structural product volumes and margins.
Company Guidance
In the BlueLinx Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating strong execution of its product and channel strategies, despite challenging market conditions. They reported net sales of $780 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $26.8 million, with a 3.4% adjusted EBITDA margin. Specialty products accounted for 70% of net sales and over 80% of gross profit, with gross margins for these products at 18.5%. The company repurchased $20 million of shares in Q2 and announced a new $50 million share repurchase authorization, bringing total availability to $61.5 million. The multifamily segment saw a significant growth of over 30% year-over-year, contributing to share gains. However, market-driven price deflation, tariffs, and macroeconomic uncertainty continue to impact profitability. BlueLinx remains focused on digital transformation and exploring M&A and greenfield opportunities to drive future growth.

Bluelinx Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bluelinx Holdings shows a mixed financial performance with declining revenues and profitability but strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet. The cash flow score of 77 reflects robust liquidity and cash generation, while the income statement score of 65 indicates operational challenges.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement for Bluelinx Holdings shows moderate performance. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at approximately 15.75%, indicating a solid ability to cover cost of goods sold, though there is room for improvement. The net profit margin is 1.31%, suggesting slimmer profitability, which has decreased notably from the previous year. Revenue has declined by about 6.32% from the last annual report, reflecting potential market challenges. The EBIT margin is 2.37%, and the EBITDA margin is 3.95%, both indicating a decline in operational efficiency and profitability compared to prior periods.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Bluelinx Holdings maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04, which represents a balanced leverage profile for the construction industry. The return on equity (ROE) is 6.04%, which is relatively moderate, reflecting the company's ability to generate returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 38.94%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets, suggesting financial stability and less reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
The cash flow statement reflects robust performance with a free cash flow growth rate of 51.0% year-over-year, signaling improved liquidity and cash generation from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.14, indicating strong cash flow relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.77, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. These metrics highlight the company's solid cash management capabilities, supporting future investment and debt servicing needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.95B2.95B3.14B4.45B4.28B3.10B
Gross Profit469.83M489.14M527.02M832.98M778.43M477.73M
EBITDA93.18M128.54M137.68M464.07M453.91M171.40M
Net Income28.40M53.12M48.54M296.18M296.13M80.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.58B1.58B1.54B1.49B1.32B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments386.76M505.62M521.74M298.94M85.20M82.00K
Total Debt665.51M636.20M617.97M612.94M615.66M646.60M
Total Liabilities962.72M931.28M903.32M900.01M954.21M989.04M
Stockholders Equity621.31M646.44M634.29M590.03M363.25M59.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.98M45.07M278.76M364.41M130.61M51.33M
Operating Cash Flow19.84M85.18M306.29M400.30M145.02M55.02M
Investing Cash Flow-40.52M-39.21M-26.86M-98.69M-4.09M9.16M
Financing Cash Flow-83.95M-62.09M-56.62M-87.87M-55.81M-75.74M

Bluelinx Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price77.60
Price Trends
50DMA
75.31
Positive
100DMA
73.15
Positive
200DMA
89.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Negative
RSI
54.16
Neutral
STOCH
87.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BXC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.08, above the 50-day MA of 75.31, and below the 200-day MA of 89.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BXC.

Bluelinx Holdings Risk Analysis

Bluelinx Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bluelinx Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bluelinx Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$7.82B52.6710.62%5.93%3.50%
75
Outperform
$1.45B33.757.93%-14.06%-65.38%
73
Outperform
$920.68M77.89-3.29%-0.11%-213.56%
68
Neutral
$4.17B37.948.02%0.22%-57.02%
63
Neutral
$612.45M22.964.46%-2.32%-21.44%
61
Neutral
C$7.20B-5.69-4.20%2.32%13.54%-29.62%
52
Neutral
$502.17M-56.74%-15.16%-1232.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
77.60
-17.40
-18.32%
GMS
GMS
109.68
17.77
19.33%
JELD
JELD-WEN
5.88
-8.20
-58.24%
JBI
Janus International Group
10.42
-0.19
-1.79%
AZEK
AZEK Company
54.35
13.31
32.43%
SWIM
Latham Group
7.90
1.66
26.60%

Bluelinx Holdings Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BlueLinx Holdings Announces $50 Million Stock Buyback
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, BlueLinx Holdings Inc. announced a new $50 million stock repurchase program, highlighting its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The company reported second quarter 2025 financial results with net sales of $780 million and a net income of $4.3 million, despite challenging market conditions. BlueLinx’s strategic focus on specialty and structural products contributed to sales growth, although gross profit saw a slight decline. The company remains well-positioned for future growth with strong liquidity and a low leverage ratio.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Bluelinx Holdings Revises 2025 Incentive Program Metrics
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 6, 2025, BlueLinx Holdings Inc. announced a revision to the performance measure for its 2025 long-term incentive program’s performance-based restricted stock unit awards. The new measure will focus on the company’s total shareholder return relative to a comparison group over a three-year period, replacing the previous metrics of cumulative Adjusted EBITDA and average return on working capital. This change aims to align the company’s incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the vesting of awards, which could reach up to 200% of the target if maximum performance is achieved.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Buy with a $137.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
BlueLinx Holdings Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 15, 2025, BlueLinx Holdings Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where eight directors were elected, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending January 3, 2026, and an advisory resolution on executive compensation was approved. The meeting saw participation from 7,256,822 shares, establishing a quorum, and all proposals were successfully passed, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Buy with a $137.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025