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Bluelinx (BXC)
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Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) AI Stock Analysis

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BXC

Bluelinx Holdings

(NYSE:BXC)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$83.00
▲(8.62% Upside)
Bluelinx Holdings' overall stock score is driven by a stable financial position and positive strategic developments highlighted in the earnings call. However, challenges in cash flow generation, valuation concerns, and mixed technical signals weigh on the score. The company's strong liquidity and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation, but external market pressures and valuation concerns limit the upside potential.
Positive Factors
Multifamily Segment Expansion
The significant growth in the multifamily segment indicates successful strategic investments and demand creation, positioning Bluelinx to capitalize on long-term trends in housing and urban development.
Digital Transformation Progress
Advancements in digital transformation, including AI demand forecasting and e-commerce, enhance operational efficiency and customer engagement, providing a competitive edge in the distribution market.
Strong Liquidity Position
A robust liquidity position ensures financial flexibility, enabling Bluelinx to invest in growth opportunities, manage debt, and return capital to shareholders, which is crucial for long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Price Deflation Impact
Ongoing price deflation in specialty products erodes profit margins, challenging Bluelinx's ability to maintain profitability and necessitating strategic pricing adjustments.
Challenging Housing Market Conditions
Soft housing market conditions, exacerbated by high mortgage rates, pose a risk to demand for building materials, potentially affecting Bluelinx's revenue growth in the near to medium term.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses, driven by higher sales and logistics costs, may pressure operating margins, highlighting the need for cost control measures to sustain profitability.

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bluelinx Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlueLinx Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes residential and commercial building products in the United States. The company distributes specialty products comprising engineered wood, industrial products, cedar, moulding, siding, metal, and insulation products; and structural products include lumber, plywood, oriented strand boards, rebars and remesh, spruce, and other wood products primarily that are used for structural support in construction projects. It also provides various value-added services and solutions to customers and suppliers. The company serves dealers, specialty distributors, national home centers, and manufactured housing customers through a network of distribution centers. BlueLinx Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Marietta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBluelinx generates revenue primarily through the wholesale distribution of building materials and products. The company's revenue model is based on the sale of a diverse range of construction-related products, including engineered wood, lumber, and insulation. Key revenue streams include direct sales to contractors and builders, as well as sales to retail partners. Additionally, Bluelinx may benefit from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, allowing it to offer a comprehensive selection of products while optimizing supply chain efficiencies. The company’s earnings are further supported by market demand in the construction industry, which can be influenced by factors such as housing starts, renovation trends, and overall economic conditions.

Bluelinx Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments in strategic segments such as multifamily and digital transformation, alongside challenges with price deflation and a soft housing market. The company's strong liquidity and commitment to shareholder returns are positive, but these are balanced by external market pressures and increased expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Volume Growth in Challenging Environment
Both specialty and structural products businesses delivered solid volume growth despite the challenging macro environment. Specialty products gross margins were solid, and structural products gross margins were positively impacted by higher lumber prices.
Multifamily Segment Expansion
The company experienced a 30% year-over-year growth in the multifamily segment, driven by strategic investments and demand creation efforts.
Share Repurchase Program
The company repurchased $20 million of shares in Q2 and authorized a new $50 million share repurchase, demonstrating commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Digital Transformation Progress
Phase 1 of the digital transformation is on track to be completed this year, with successful pilots in AI demand forecasting and e-commerce processing.
Strong Liquidity Position
The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $387 million cash on hand and $343 million undrawn revolver capacity, totaling approximately $730 million available liquidity.
Negative Updates
Price Deflation Impact
Price deflation continues to negatively impact profitability, especially in specialty product categories, muting benefits of net sales and volume increases.
Panel Pricing Pressure
Panel prices are down 19% year-over-year, negatively impacting volumes and margins in the structural products segment.
Challenging Housing Market Conditions
The housing market remains soft with high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty affecting the building materials and distribution sector.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased by $5.8 million from last year’s second quarter, due to higher sales, logistics expenses, and digital transformation initiatives.
Lower Specialty Gross Margins
Specialty product gross margins declined by 80 basis points year-over-year due to price deflation, with a current range of 17% to 18% in Q3.
Company Guidance
During the BlueLinx Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting solid performance metrics despite challenging market conditions. BlueLinx reported net sales of $780 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $26.8 million, representing a 3.4% EBITDA margin. The company’s specialty products accounted for approximately 70% of net sales and over 80% of gross profit, with gross margins for these products coming in at 18.5%. Structural product revenues increased by over 3%, influenced by a rise in lumber prices, which went up 18%, although panel prices fell by 19%. The multifamily business segment experienced significant growth, with sales increasing more than 30% year-over-year. BlueLinx also returned capital to shareholders by repurchasing $20 million of shares during the quarter and announced a new $50 million share repurchase authorization. The company’s liquidity remains strong, with $387 million in cash on hand and an undrawn revolver capacity of $343 million, resulting in total available liquidity of approximately $730 million. Despite macroeconomic challenges such as high mortgage rates and inflation, BlueLinx remains optimistic about long-term growth, supported by strategic initiatives in multifamily and digital transformation.

Bluelinx Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bluelinx Holdings shows a mixed financial performance with declining revenues and profitability but strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet. The cash flow score of 77 reflects robust liquidity and cash generation, while the income statement score of 65 indicates operational challenges.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement for Bluelinx Holdings shows moderate performance. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at approximately 15.75%, indicating a solid ability to cover cost of goods sold, though there is room for improvement. The net profit margin is 1.31%, suggesting slimmer profitability, which has decreased notably from the previous year. Revenue has declined by about 6.32% from the last annual report, reflecting potential market challenges. The EBIT margin is 2.37%, and the EBITDA margin is 3.95%, both indicating a decline in operational efficiency and profitability compared to prior periods.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Bluelinx Holdings maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04, which represents a balanced leverage profile for the construction industry. The return on equity (ROE) is 6.04%, which is relatively moderate, reflecting the company's ability to generate returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 38.94%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets, suggesting financial stability and less reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
The cash flow statement reflects robust performance with a free cash flow growth rate of 51.0% year-over-year, signaling improved liquidity and cash generation from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.14, indicating strong cash flow relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.77, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. These metrics highlight the company's solid cash management capabilities, supporting future investment and debt servicing needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.95B2.95B3.14B4.45B4.28B3.10B
Gross Profit469.83M489.14M527.02M832.98M778.43M477.73M
EBITDA93.18M128.54M137.68M464.07M453.91M171.40M
Net Income28.40M53.12M48.54M296.18M296.13M80.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.58B1.58B1.54B1.49B1.32B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments386.76M505.62M521.74M298.94M85.20M82.00K
Total Debt665.51M636.20M617.97M612.94M615.66M646.60M
Total Liabilities962.72M931.28M903.32M900.01M954.21M989.04M
Stockholders Equity621.31M646.44M634.29M590.03M363.25M59.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.98M45.07M278.76M364.41M130.61M51.33M
Operating Cash Flow19.84M85.18M306.29M400.30M145.02M55.02M
Investing Cash Flow-40.52M-39.21M-26.86M-98.69M-4.09M9.16M
Financing Cash Flow-83.95M-62.09M-56.62M-87.87M-55.81M-75.74M

Bluelinx Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price76.41
Price Trends
50DMA
79.16
Negative
100DMA
74.79
Positive
200DMA
84.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
42.89
Neutral
STOCH
10.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BXC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 76.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.45, below the 50-day MA of 79.16, and below the 200-day MA of 84.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BXC.

Bluelinx Holdings Risk Analysis

Bluelinx Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bluelinx Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bluelinx Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
1.41B32.9413.57%-14.06%-65.38%
72
Outperform
903.20M-64.48-4.61%-0.11%-213.56%
63
Neutral
$603.06M22.604.46%-2.32%-21.44%
46
Neutral
500.46M-1.40-74.46%-15.16%-1232.39%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
76.41
-34.04
-30.82%
GMS
GMS
109.96
17.95
19.51%
JELD
JELD-WEN
5.86
-10.10
-63.28%
JBI
Janus International Group
10.17
0.05
0.49%
SWIM
Latham Group
7.75
1.39
21.86%

Bluelinx Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
BlueLinx Secures New $350M Credit Facility
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

On August 27, 2025, BlueLinx Holdings Inc. entered into a new five-year, $350 million syndicated secured asset-based revolving credit facility, with an option to increase commitments by up to $300 million. This facility, which matures on August 27, 2030, replaces the company’s previous $350 million credit facility. The new arrangement, led by Bank of America, Citizens Bank, and Truist Securities, enhances BlueLinx’s liquidity to approximately $730 million, providing significant flexibility for strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Hold with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
BlueLinx Holdings Announces $50 Million Stock Buyback
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, BlueLinx Holdings Inc. announced a new $50 million stock repurchase program, highlighting its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The company reported second quarter 2025 financial results with net sales of $780 million and a net income of $4.3 million, despite challenging market conditions. BlueLinx’s strategic focus on specialty and structural products contributed to sales growth, although gross profit saw a slight decline. The company remains well-positioned for future growth with strong liquidity and a low leverage ratio.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 13, 2025