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Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC)
NYSE:BXC

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) AI Stock Analysis

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BXC

Bluelinx Holdings

(NYSE:BXC)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(4.24% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and unstable financial performance (near-breakeven profitability, reduced cash-flow-to-debt coverage) and a high P/E (~41) without dividend support. Technicals are mixed with subdued momentum, while the earnings call adds a modest offset due to strong liquidity and balance sheet positioning despite ongoing margin and pricing headwinds.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet liquidity and low net leverage
Substantial liquidity and a net cash position provide a durable financial cushion through construction cycles. With no near-term maturities and a stated long-term leverage target, the company can fund working capital, selective M&A, and capex without pressuring operations, increasing strategic optionality.
High-margin specialty product mix
A dominant specialty mix that drives outsized gross profit gives structural margin resilience versus commodity lumber. Concentrated specialty and higher-margin national accounts reduce earnings cyclicality and support sustainable gross-profit generation across multiple channels.
Strategic M&A expanding capabilities and geography
Successful integration of Distero expands the company’s geographic reach and specialty inventory, enhancing distribution scale and customer access. Durable benefits include greater regional diversification, higher-margin product breadth, and incremental cross-sell opportunities to national and multifamily accounts.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue and compressed profitability
Large swings in sales and erosion of margins to near-zero undermine earnings visibility. Persistently volatile top-line and collapsed ROE reduce ability to sustain reinvestment and shareholder returns, making operating leverage a recurring risk across medium-term cycles.
Weakened cash-flow coverage vs. debt
Declining cash-flow-to-debt signals less durable free cash conversion relative to obligations. Lower coverage constrains flexibility for buybacks, M&A, and cyclical working-capital needs, increasing reliance on available liquidity if cash generation weakens again.
Structural margin pressure from price deflation and SG&A
Sustained price deflation in commodity categories combined with rising SG&A and investments compresses gross and operating margins. If structural product pricing remains weak or investment-driven SG&A persists, margin recovery will be limited even with volume gains.

Bluelinx Holdings (BXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bluelinx Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlueLinx Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes residential and commercial building products in the United States. The company distributes specialty products comprising engineered wood, industrial products, cedar, moulding, siding, metal, and insulation products; and structural products include lumber, plywood, oriented strand boards, rebars and remesh, spruce, and other wood products primarily that are used for structural support in construction projects. It also provides various value-added services and solutions to customers and suppliers. The company serves dealers, specialty distributors, national home centers, and manufactured housing customers through a network of distribution centers. BlueLinx Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Marietta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBluelinx generates revenue primarily through the wholesale distribution of building materials. The company's key revenue streams include sales of lumber, plywood, engineered wood products, and other related construction materials. Additionally, Bluelinx earns income from value-added services such as logistics, inventory management, and supply chain solutions, which enhance its offering to customers. The company benefits from significant partnerships with major manufacturers and suppliers in the building materials industry, allowing it to maintain a competitive edge in pricing and product availability. Economic cycles in the construction sector, housing market trends, and infrastructure development significantly influence Bluelinx's earnings, as demand for building products correlates with construction activity.

Bluelinx Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Absolute dollar contribution from each segment after subtracting the cost of goods sold, indicating which parts of the business actually generate earnings. Tracking segment gross profit highlights where growth is meaningful for the company’s overall results and how swings in commodity prices or volumes are impacting reported profitability.
Chart InsightsSpecialty Products remains BlueLinx’s profit engine—after a 2022 peak it retrenched but has stabilized recently thanks to volume strength in engineered wood and outdoor living; management says specialty now drives the vast majority of gross profit and margins would look modestly better excluding a duty-related charge. Structural Products’ gross profit has materially contracted to a new, lower baseline, removing a prior earnings cushion. The Disdero acquisition and digital/AI efficiencies offer upside, but tariff/duty headwinds and housing/mortgage weakness are the main downside risks to margin recovery.
Data provided by:The Fly

Bluelinx Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: management highlighted meaningful operational wins—multifamily volume growth (+19%), specialty mix gains (≈70% of sales and >80% of gross profit), strong liquidity (~$726M), successful Distero integration, and progress on digital/AI initiatives—while acknowledging material near-term headwinds including Q4 GAAP loss (-$8.6M), low adjusted EBITDA margin (2.8%), structural price deflation (lumber -12%, panels -20%), and SG&A increases weighing on profitability. Execution on channel/product strategy and a strong balance sheet support a constructive long-term view, but 2025 results show notable margin and pricing pressures in the current cycle.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Full-Year Revenue with Volume Growth
Net sales of $3.0 billion for full year 2025, essentially flat year-over-year, driven by higher volumes and the Distero acquisition; EWP volumes grew >7% and multifamily volumes grew 19% in 2025.
Strong Specialty Product Performance
Specialty products represented ~70% of net sales and >80% of gross profit for both Q4 and full year 2025; Q4 specialty net sales $505 million (up >4% YoY) with specialty gross margin ~18.1% (Q4) and full-year specialty margin ~18%.
Multifamily and National Accounts Momentum
Multifamily channel volumes +19% YoY in 2025; select national accounts volumes grew ~17% YoY, driving share gains across higher-margin product lines.
Liquidity and Balance Sheet Strength
Available liquidity of approximately $726 million at year-end (including $386 million cash and $340 million undrawn revolver); total debt (ex-leases) $381 million and net debt reported as negative $5 million with net leverage ~-0.1x adjusted EBITDA; no material maturities until 2029.
Positive Cash Generation in Q4
Q4 operating cash flow of $62 million and free cash flow of $56 million (driven by disciplined inventory and working capital management); full year operating cash flow and free cash flow reported as $60 million and $33 million respectively.
Completed Strategic Acquisition (Distero)
Acquisition of Distero Lumber Company closed and integrated as planned, strengthening high-margin specialty wood product offerings and Pacific West Coast presence; contributed to specialty sales and incremental volumes.
Digital Transformation and AI Progress
Phase one completed under budget (master data management and Oracle Transportation Management); e-commerce pilots run and AI initiatives expanded internally (AI agents for modeling, analytics, and productivity) with WMS pilot showing promising results.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Completed $38 million in share repurchases during 2025 and had $58.7 million remaining under authorization at year-end.
Negative Updates
Quarterly and Non-GAAP Profitability Pressure
Q4 2025 net loss of $8.6 million (loss of $1.08 per share) and adjusted net loss of $3.7 million ($0.47 per share); full year adjusted EBITDA of $83 million representing a 2.8% adjusted EBITDA margin—relatively low profitability.
Margins and Gross Profit Compression
Total gross margin for full year 2025 was 15.3%, down 130 basis points YoY; Q4 gross margin 15.7% down slightly from 15.9% prior-year period.
Structural Products Weakness and Price Deflation
Q4 structural net sales $211 million, down 7% YoY; structural gross profit fell 14% YoY and structural gross margin declined to 10.0% from 10.8% prior-year period.
Significant Lumber and Panel Price Declines
Average lumber prices in Q4 ~ $378 per MBF (-12% YoY) and panel prices ~ $438 per MSF (-20% YoY), contributing to deflationary pressure on structural and some specialty categories.
SG&A and Investment-Related Expense Growth
SG&A for Q4 was $102 million (up $10 million YoY) and full-year SG&A $381 million (up 4% YoY), driven by personnel expense, Distero addition, extra week, and investments in sales/logistics and technology—pressuring near-term profitability.
Modest Full-Year Adjusted Net Income
Adjusted net income for 2025 was $7.8 million ($0.97 diluted EPS) and GAAP net income only $219,000 ($0.02 diluted EPS), indicating constrained full-year earnings in a tough market.
Soft Housing Market Headwinds
Challenging end-market backdrop: single-family housing starts down ~7% YoY and broader housing demand indicators weak (affordability, turnover), producing ongoing competitive pricing conditions and longer inventory cycles in multifamily.
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call centered on near‑term margin and operating expectations: for Q1 2026 BlueLinx expects specialty product gross margins of 17%–18% (based on the first seven weeks) and structural product gross margins of 9%–10%, with specialty daily volumes lower than Q4 2025 but higher than Q1 2025 (which was weather‑impacted) and structural daily volumes down vs. Q4 2025 but up vs. Q1 2025; SG&A is expected to increase slightly as a percentage of sales due to the Distero acquisition, added strategic sales headcount and material handlers, and inflationary costs; full‑year 2026 tax rate is anticipated to be ~25% of pretax earnings before $3–4 million of permanent nondeductible items; CapEx will be managed to market conditions with focus on facility improvements, truck/trailer replacements and technology; liquidity at year‑end was ~$726 million (cash $386M + $340M undrawn revolver), total debt (ex real property leases) $381M with net debt of negative $5M (net leverage −0.1x adjusted EBITDA), no material maturities until 2029, a long‑term net leverage target of ≤2.0x adjusted EBITDA, and ~$58.7M remaining on the share repurchase authorization after $38M repurchased in 2025.

Bluelinx Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement weakness dominates: revenue has been volatile with sharp declines in 2023–2024, and profitability has deteriorated to near breakeven in 2026. The balance sheet is healthier with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.1) and improved capitalization versus earlier years, but ROE has collapsed (~0.0%). Cash flow is mixed—strong in 2022–2023 but meaningfully weaker in 2024–2026, reducing cash-flow-to-debt coverage despite improved free cash flow in 2026.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue has been volatile, falling sharply in 2023 (-29.5%) and again in 2024 (-5.9%), before rebounding in 2026 (+17.5%). Profitability has deteriorated materially: net profit margin dropped from ~6.7% (2022) to ~1.8% (2024) and is near breakeven in 2026 (~0.0%), alongside lower gross and EBITDA margins versus the 2021–2022 peak. The main strength is that the business has previously demonstrated strong earnings power in up-cycles, but current earnings quality and margin stability are weak.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage is moderate for the current period, with debt-to-equity around ~1.1 (2026) and generally near ~1.0 since 2022, a major improvement versus 2020 when equity was very low and leverage was extremely high. The balance sheet shows reasonable scale (assets ~$1.55B in 2026) and improved capitalization versus earlier years. The key weakness is profitability on equity has collapsed in 2026 (return on equity ~0.0%) after solid levels in 2023–2024, which reduces the cushion and flexibility if the operating environment stays soft.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed: operating cash flow was very strong in 2022–2023, but declined in 2024–2026, with 2026 operating cash flow at ~$59.8M. Cash flow relative to debt has weakened (operating cash flow to total debt ~0.28 in 2026 vs ~1.40–1.90 in 2022–2023), implying reduced near-term debt-carrying capacity compared with prior years. A positive is that 2026 free cash flow improved sharply versus 2024, but overall cash flow durability looks less consistent across the cycle.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.95B2.95B3.14B4.45B4.28B
Gross Profit451.63M489.14M527.02M832.98M778.43M
EBITDA72.39M128.54M137.68M464.65M467.57M
Net Income219.00K53.12M48.54M296.18M296.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55B1.58B1.54B1.49B1.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments385.84M505.62M521.74M298.94M85.20M
Total Debt673.98M636.20M617.97M612.94M615.66M
Total Liabilities931.96M931.28M903.32M900.01M954.21M
Stockholders Equity617.32M646.44M634.29M590.03M363.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.78M45.07M278.76M364.41M130.61M
Operating Cash Flow59.78M85.18M306.29M400.30M145.02M
Investing Cash Flow-119.49M-39.21M-26.86M-98.69M-4.09M
Financing Cash Flow-60.08M-62.09M-56.62M-87.87M-55.81M

Bluelinx Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.15
Price Trends
50DMA
69.90
Negative
100DMA
67.38
Negative
200DMA
71.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
39.82
Neutral
STOCH
19.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BXC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.48, below the 50-day MA of 69.90, and below the 200-day MA of 71.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BXC.

Bluelinx Holdings Risk Analysis

Bluelinx Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bluelinx Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bluelinx Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$967.61M20.868.64%-10.84%-53.49%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$1.50B665.0013.29%-9.21%-97.43%
54
Neutral
$1.02B-3.82-28.88%2.12%43.81%-584.11%
52
Neutral
$12.13B26.3610.06%-6.44%-48.84%
49
Neutral
$551.97M-37,305.562.20%-0.19%-50.51%
42
Neutral
$174.79M-0.27-155.46%-15.28%-350.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
67.15
-14.00
-17.25%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
102.63
-36.52
-26.25%
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
49.21
-15.64
-24.12%
NX
Quanex
20.98
1.72
8.92%
JELD
JELD-WEN
1.96
-3.90
-66.55%
JBI
Janus International Group
7.01
-1.54
-18.01%

Bluelinx Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BlueLinx Updates Bylaws to Enhance Board Accountability
Positive
Feb 6, 2026

On February 3, 2026, BlueLinx Holdings Inc. amended its bylaws to change how directors are elected and to strengthen accountability mechanisms for board members. In uncontested elections, directors will now be chosen by a majority of votes cast, while contested elections will continue to be decided by a plurality, and the company has adopted a director resignation policy requiring any incumbent director in an uncontested race who fails to secure a majority to offer their resignation, with the board obligated to decide and publicly disclose within 90 days whether to accept it, signaling a heightened focus on shareholder input and board responsiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Hold with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
BlueLinx Holdings Announces CCO Transition Plan
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, BlueLinx Holdings announced the retirement of Michael Wilson, the Chief Commercial Officer, effective January 4, 2026. Wilson will transition to a Senior Advisor role until August 1, 2026, to ensure a smooth transition of duties. Leo Oei, currently Vice President of National Accounts, will succeed Wilson as Chief Commercial Officer. This transition is part of BlueLinx’s strategy to continue its growth and strengthen its market position, leveraging Oei’s extensive experience in commercial leadership roles.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXC) stock is a Hold with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bluelinx Holdings stock, see the BXC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026