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Gibraltar Industries (ROCK)
NASDAQ:ROCK

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) AI Stock Analysis

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ROCK

Gibraltar Industries

(NASDAQ:ROCK)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▼(-9.58% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is held back most by weak price momentum (below major averages with negative MACD) and an unfavorable valuation signal (very high P/E). Fundamentals are steadier than the stock action suggests due to low historical leverage and strong operating/free cash flow, and guidance plus strategic moves provide some support, but recent revenue contraction and the swing to a net loss keep the overall score in the mid-range.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Gibraltar’s very low leverage provides durable financial flexibility in cyclical construction markets. With minimal debt relative to equity, the company can absorb volatility, fund M&A or capex, and pursue deleveraging or opportunistic investments without immediate refinancing pressure.
Reliable cash generation and FCF
Sustained operating cash flow and positive free cash flow despite a TTM net loss indicate high-quality underlying cash generation from operations. Strong cash conversion supports working capital, debt reduction, buyouts, and reinvestment, reducing reliance on capital markets over the medium term.
Acquisition expands scale in core residential market
The OmniMax acquisition materially increases scale and market share in residential building products, promising cost synergies and margin uplift. A larger, concentrated residential platform can drive operating leverage and distribution efficiency if integration and cross-selling are executed well.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and swing to net loss
Recent revenue contraction and a swing to an accounting loss reflect structural demand headwinds and below-the-line pressures. Persistent revenue weakness reduces margin leverage and strains returns on capital, increasing reliance on cash reserves or restructuring to restore profitability.
Increased concentration in residential end market
A shift to ~80% residential revenue raises exposure to housing cycle volatility and inventory swings. Greater concentration reduces diversification benefits across end markets, making revenues and margins more sensitive to residential construction slowdowns and channel inventory normalization.
Large acquisition financing and covenant exposure
The sizable secured credit package increases leverage and introduces covenant and amortization obligations. Meeting targeted deleveraging is necessary to restore flexibility; failure or slower-than-expected synergies could constrain capital allocation and increase refinancing or compliance risk.

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gibraltar Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes building products for the renewable energy, residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in North America and Asia. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Residential, Agtech, and Infrastructure. The Renewables segment designs, engineers, manufactures, and installs solar racking and electrical balance of systems. The Residential segment offers roof and foundation ventilation products and accessories, such as solar powered units; mail and electronic package solutions, including single mailboxes, cluster style mail and parcel boxes for single and multi-family housing, and electronic package locker systems; roof edgings and flashings; soffits and trims; drywall corner beads; metal roofing products and accessories; rain dispersion products comprising gutters and accessories; and exterior retractable awnings. This segment also provides electronic parcel lockers, rooftop safety kits, chimney caps, heat trace coils and exterior products, remote-controlled deck awnings for sun protection, and solar-powered ventilation products. The Agtech segment offers growing and processing solutions, including the designing, engineering, manufacturing, and installation of greenhouses; and botanical extraction systems. The Infrastructure segment offers expansion joints, structural bearings, rubber pre-formed seals and other sealants, elastomeric concrete, and bridge cable protection systems. It serves solar developers, institutional and commercial growers of food and plants, home improvement retailers, wholesalers, distributors, and contractors. Gibraltar Industries, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyGibraltar Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its manufactured products across various sectors, including renewable energy, residential construction, and industrial infrastructure. Key revenue streams include the sale of solar mounting solutions, which benefit from the growing demand for renewable energy installations, as well as residential products like gutters and roofing accessories. The company also earns income from its industrial and infrastructure segment by providing products used in commercial construction projects. Significant partnerships with solar energy developers and construction firms enhance Gibraltar's market presence and contribute to its earnings. Additionally, the company benefits from trends in sustainability and energy efficiency, which drive demand for its innovative product offerings.

Gibraltar Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong cash flow performance, growth in the Building Accessories and Agtech segments, and successful expansion initiatives. However, there were notable challenges including revenue shortfalls in the Mail and Package business, delays in key projects, and margin decreases in several segments. The sentiment is balanced with significant positive achievements but also considerable challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Performance
Generated $57 million in cash from operations, an increase of 39%, and $49 million in free cash flow, achieving 16% of sales.
Building Accessories Business Growth
Delivered 2% growth in a soft residential roofing market, outperforming a market down between 5% and 10%.
Agtech Segment Growth
Net sales grew $16.1 million or 38.8%, driven by the acquisition of Lane Supply with strong demand continuing.
Expansion Initiatives
Entered 9 MSAs in 2025 through organic or M&A investment, with additional operations planned in the Western region.
Bookings and Backlog Acceleration in Agtech
Total bookings year-to-date are up 121% with organic bookings up 44%. The average backlog is up 110% over the prior year with organic backlog up 70%.
New Patented Technology in Infrastructure
Launched a new patented technology to protect telecom fiber optic cables, supporting fiber optic installation projects in 13 states since late Q2 2024.
Negative Updates
Revenue Shortfall in Mail and Package Business
Lower demand caused revenue to come in below plan with centralized mail solutions down 8% in the quarter.
Decrease in Adjusted Operating Income and EBITDA Margins
Adjusted operating and EBITDA margins decreased 200 and 130 basis points respectively in the Residential segment.
Delay in CEA Project and Impact on Agtech Margins
A large CEA project in Arizona has been delayed by 6 months, affecting Agtech margins by 440 basis points.
Infrastructure Segment Margin Decrease
Both adjusted operating and EBITDA margins decreased 740 basis points due to a supplier transition.
Company Guidance
During the Gibraltar Industries Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, Bill Bosway, the Chairman, President, and CEO, provided guidance for the company's performance for the remainder of the year. The company expects net sales to range between $1.15 billion and $1.175 billion, marking an increase of approximately 15%. Adjusted operating margins are projected to be between 14.1% and 14.2%, with adjusted EBITDA margins between 17.1% and 17.2%. GAAP EPS is anticipated to be in the range of $3.67 to $3.77, while adjusted EPS is expected to be between $4.20 and $4.30, reflecting an increase of about 10% to 12%. The company also aims for free cash flow to account for 10% of net sales. These projections are based on assumptions regarding continued sluggishness in the residential market, growth in Agtech bookings and backlog, and expected improvements in Infrastructure margins.

Gibraltar Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. The income statement is weak with TTM revenue down (-6.4%) and a swing to a net loss (-$30.1M) despite stable EBIT margin (~11.8%). Offsetting this, the balance sheet is strong with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.05) and cash flow remains solid (TTM operating cash flow $173.2M; free cash flow $127.1M).
Income Statement
46
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-6.4%) and the period swung to a net loss (-$30.1M) after strong profitability in 2024 (net income $137.3M, ~10.5% net margin). Operating profitability looks steadier than bottom-line results—EBIT margin is ~11.8% in both TTM and 2024—suggesting below-the-line items drove the loss. Gross margin remains solid (~26–28%) but the sharp deterioration in net results and the recent revenue contraction weigh on the score.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively levered, with very low debt relative to equity (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.05), providing flexibility in a cyclical construction end market. Equity remains substantial (~$950M TTM) and assets are well supported. The main weakness is profitability on equity: return on equity fell sharply in TTM (~0.4%) versus 2024 (~13.1%), reflecting the earnings decline rather than balance-sheet stress.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation remains a clear strength: TTM operating cash flow is $173.2M and free cash flow is $127.1M, with free cash flow up ~16.9% versus the prior period shown. Cash flow is notably healthier than earnings in TTM (positive cash flow despite a net loss), which supports quality-of-earnings resilience. Offsetting this, cash conversion versus revenue is moderate (operating cash flow about 39% of revenue), and free cash flow is down versus 2023 levels (from $204.6M to $127.1M), indicating some recent normalization.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B1.31B1.38B1.39B1.34B
Gross Profit305.19M360.34M361.97M318.69M290.01M
EBITDA122.75M181.63M179.37M141.70M133.17M
Net Income97.56M137.34M110.53M82.41M75.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.26B1.42B1.26B1.21B1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments115.72M269.48M99.43M17.61M12.85M
Total Debt46.20M46.60M46.27M116.42M42.41M
Total Liabilities313.80M371.38M341.45M388.51M389.64M
Stockholders Equity950.40M1.05B915.00M822.10M825.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.98M154.33M204.57M82.63M5.37M
Operating Cash Flow137.11M174.26M218.48M102.69M23.07M
Investing Cash Flow-257.40M8.54M-15.72M-71.68M24.54M
Financing Cash Flow-63.67M-12.19M-120.33M-25.01M-66.61M

Gibraltar Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price55.30
Price Trends
50DMA
51.96
Negative
100DMA
55.47
Negative
200DMA
58.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
38.94
Neutral
STOCH
7.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 55.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.52, above the 50-day MA of 51.96, and below the 200-day MA of 58.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ROCK.

Gibraltar Industries Risk Analysis

Gibraltar Industries disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gibraltar Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gibraltar Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$967.61M20.868.64%-10.84%-53.49%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$865.35M21.757.73%2.77%1.19%-56.98%
55
Neutral
$1.02B-3.82-28.88%2.12%43.81%-584.11%
54
Neutral
$1.50B665.0013.29%-9.21%-97.43%
49
Neutral
$551.97M-37,305.562.20%-0.19%-50.51%
42
Neutral
$174.79M-0.27-155.46%-15.28%-350.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
49.03
-15.82
-24.39%
APOG
Apogee
39.93
-6.08
-13.21%
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
68.07
-13.08
-16.12%
NX
Quanex
20.85
1.59
8.24%
JELD
JELD-WEN
1.95
-3.91
-66.72%
JBI
Janus International Group
7.11
-1.44
-16.84%

Gibraltar Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Gibraltar Industries Divests Renewables Electrical Balance-of-Systems Business
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

On February 20, 2026, Gibraltar Industries sold assets related to its Renewables electrical balance-of-systems business to a subsidiary of GameChange Energy Technologies for approximately $70 million in cash, following its classification as held for sale and discontinued operations in June 2025. Announced publicly on February 23, 2026, the divestiture marks the first step in a planned two-part exit from its Renewables segment, as Gibraltar also pursues a sale of its racking and foundations business and intends to use proceeds from both transactions to reduce debt and sharpen its strategic focus on core building products and structures markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROCK) stock is a Hold with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibraltar Industries stock, see the ROCK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Gibraltar Industries Completes Transformational OmniMax Acquisition Financing
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Gibraltar Industries closed its $1.335 billion all-cash acquisition of OmniMax International, a leading North American manufacturer of residential roofing accessories and rainwater management solutions, significantly expanding Gibraltar’s presence in the residential building products market. To finance the OmniMax deal and refinance prior indebtedness, Gibraltar entered into a new senior secured credit package comprising a $500 million revolving credit facility and $1.3 billion in senior secured term loans, replacing its December 2022 credit agreement. The new facilities, guaranteed by Gibraltar’s domestic subsidiaries and governed by leverage and interest coverage covenants, are structured with staggered maturities and quarterly amortization, and are intended to support working capital, general corporate needs and future acquisitions. Management expects the transaction to immediately enhance EBITDA margins and cash flow, make the residential segment more than 80% of Gibraltar’s revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and deliver substantial cost synergies alongside a targeted reduction in leverage to roughly 2.0–2.5 times within 24 months, underscoring the acquisition’s transformational impact on the company’s scale and profitability in residential building products.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROCK) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibraltar Industries stock, see the ROCK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Gibraltar Industries Acquisition Clears Key Antitrust Milestone
Neutral
Jan 22, 2026

On November 16, 2025, Gibraltar Industries, Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement to acquire all of the issued and outstanding equity interests of Arundel Square Garden, LLC from Barnsbury Estate LLC, advancing its expansion through a negotiated transaction that remains subject to customary closing conditions. On January 16, 2026, the Federal Trade Commission granted early termination of the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act waiting period, clearing a key antitrust hurdle but leaving the deal’s completion still contingent on remaining conditions and exposing Gibraltar and its stakeholders to potential execution, integration, operational, and market risks identified by the company, including possible delays, legal challenges, supply chain pressures, and broader economic and competitive uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROCK) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibraltar Industries stock, see the ROCK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026