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Gibraltar Industries (ROCK)
NASDAQ:ROCK

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) AI Stock Analysis

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ROCK

Gibraltar Industries

(NASDAQ:ROCK)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▼(-25.86% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating TTM earnings (net loss and revenue decline) and a strongly bearish technical setup (below all major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting these risks are a low-leverage balance sheet pre-deal and continued positive free cash flow, plus earnings-call guidance indicating scale-driven sales growth and improved EBITDA margins from the OmniMax acquisition—though near-term charges, higher interest expense, and integration timing risks temper the upside.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.05) provides lasting financial flexibility in cyclical construction markets. This conservative capital structure supports acquisitions, weathering demand troughs, and enables purposeful deleveraging or opportunistic investments over the next 2–24 months.
Negative Factors
Earnings Deterioration
Recent deterioration—TTM revenue down ~6.4% and a swing to a $30.1M net loss—reflects weaker top-line and below-the-line pressures. This reduces ROE and retained earnings, increases sensitivity to cyclical demand, and requires operational recovery or deal synergies to restore prior profitability levels.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.05) provides lasting financial flexibility in cyclical construction markets. This conservative capital structure supports acquisitions, weathering demand troughs, and enables purposeful deleveraging or opportunistic investments over the next 2–24 months.
Read all positive factors

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gibraltar Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes building products for the renewable energy, residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in North America and Asia. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Residential, Agtech, and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Gibraltar Industries makes money primarily by selling manufactured products and engineered solutions to contractors, installers, distributors, and OEM/customers across its operating segments. Key revenue streams include: (1) Renewable energy/solar...

Gibraltar Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced view: strong strategic progress and material scale expansion from the OmniMax acquisition, higher backlog, improved company-level EBITDA margin guidance and an upgraded synergy plan underpin constructive medium-term prospects. Offsetting these positives are near-term headwinds including a soft residential market, Q1 earnings and cash flow pressure, sizable acquisition-related charges and elevated leverage/interest expense that will depress GAAP results in 2026. Integration is progressing well operationally, but some logistics synergies were delayed to 2027. Overall, the positive strategic and operational developments are tempered by meaningful near-term financial pressure and execution/timing risks.
Positive Updates
Quarterly and Full-Year Growth
Q4 adjusted net sales grew 17% (in line with prior range); Q4 adjusted EPS was $0.76. For fiscal 2025, adjusted net sales grew 12% to $1.14 billion and adjusted EPS was $3.92.
Negative Updates
Residential End-Market Weakness
Residential organic sales decreased 4% for the year; building accessories revenue down 2.7% in Q4 and faced significant channel inventory rightsizing and slower single- and multifamily new construction starts.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Quarterly and Full-Year Growth
Q4 adjusted net sales grew 17% (in line with prior range); Q4 adjusted EPS was $0.76. For fiscal 2025, adjusted net sales grew 12% to $1.14 billion and adjusted EPS was $3.92.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Gibraltar guided 2026 continuing operations net sales of $1.76–$1.83 billion (vs. $1.14B in 2025), assuming OmniMax contributes roughly $570M of revenue and about 5% organic growth at the midpoint; adjusted operating margin of 12.6–13.0% (vs. 13.3% in 2025) and adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.6–17.8% (vs. 16.3%, +140 bps), with OmniMax plus synergies expected to add roughly $70M of adjusted operating income and $120M of adjusted EBITDA. Management expects adjusted EPS of $3.65–$4.05 (GAAP EPS $2.40–$2.80), with OmniMax slightly dilutive in 2026 by ~$0.09 but accretive in 2027; they anticipate less than 20% of adjusted EPS in Q1 and that about two‑thirds of the ~ $50M of special charges will be recorded in Q1. The company expects $24M of run‑rate synergies in 2026 (up from $20M) with just over $15M flowing to 2026 EBITDA and $9M to 2027, free cash flow of ~8% of sales in 2026 (ramping to ~10% in year two), depreciation/amortization and stock comp of ~ $90M (including ~ $40M of noncash amortization), interest/financing fees > $70M, a 26% tax rate, and targets to be below ~$1.1B net debt at year‑end, below $900M in year two and roughly 2.5x adjusted EBITDA leverage within 24 months; financing comprises $1.3B of term loans and a $500M revolver with covenants of 5.25x stepping to 4.25x and a minimum interest coverage of 3.0x.

Gibraltar Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: income statement is weak with TTM revenue down (-6.4%) and a swing to a net loss (-$30.1M), despite stable EBIT margins (~11.8%). Offsetting that, the balance sheet is strong with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.05), and cash generation remains solid with positive TTM operating cash flow ($173.2M) and free cash flow ($127.1M).
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B1.31B1.38B1.39B1.34B
Gross Profit305.19M360.34M361.97M318.69M290.01M
EBITDA156.43M181.63M179.37M141.70M133.17M
Net Income97.56M137.34M110.53M82.41M75.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.39B1.42B1.26B1.21B1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments115.72M269.48M99.43M17.61M12.85M
Total Debt103.88M46.60M46.27M116.42M42.41M
Total Liabilities443.20M371.38M341.45M388.51M389.64M
Stockholders Equity950.40M1.05B915.00M822.10M825.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.87M154.33M204.57M82.63M5.37M
Operating Cash Flow167.00M174.26M218.48M102.69M23.07M
Investing Cash Flow-257.40M8.54M-15.72M-71.68M24.54M
Financing Cash Flow-63.67M-12.19M-120.33M-25.01M-66.61M

Gibraltar Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price55.30
Price Trends
50DMA
45.57
Negative
100DMA
48.13
Negative
200DMA
55.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.42
Negative
RSI
43.48
Neutral
STOCH
68.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROCK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 55.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.30, above the 50-day MA of 45.57, and below the 200-day MA of 55.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ROCK.

Gibraltar Industries Risk Analysis

Gibraltar Industries disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gibraltar Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gibraltar Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$748.45M17.169.76%-10.84%-53.49%
59
Neutral
$779.10M11.748.07%2.77%1.19%-56.98%
56
Neutral
$1.19B15.149.87%-9.21%-97.43%
52
Neutral
$915.00M-30.23%2.12%43.81%-584.11%
45
Neutral
$440.23M2,188.092.20%-0.19%-50.51%
41
Neutral
$90.62M-0.34-217.71%-15.28%-350.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
40.18
-13.15
-24.66%
APOG
Apogee
36.22
-8.73
-19.42%
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
55.96
-15.30
-21.47%
NX
Quanex
19.92
3.02
17.83%
JELD
JELD-WEN
1.05
-4.12
-79.69%
JBI
Janus International Group
5.39
-0.94
-14.85%

Gibraltar Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Gibraltar Industries Divests Renewables Electrical Balance-of-Systems Business
Positive
Feb 23, 2026
On February 20, 2026, Gibraltar Industries sold assets related to its Renewables electrical balance-of-systems business to a subsidiary of GameChange Energy Technologies for approximately $70 million in cash, following its classification as held f...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Gibraltar Industries Completes Transformational OmniMax Acquisition Financing
Positive
Feb 2, 2026
On February 2, 2026, Gibraltar Industries closed its $1.335 billion all-cash acquisition of OmniMax International, a leading North American manufacturer of residential roofing accessories and rainwater management solutions, significantly expanding...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Gibraltar Industries Acquisition Clears Key Antitrust Milestone
Neutral
Jan 22, 2026
On November 16, 2025, Gibraltar Industries, Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement to acquire all of the issued and outstanding equity interests of Arundel Square Garden, LLC from Barnsbury Estate LLC, advancing its expansion through a ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 01, 2026