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JELD-WEN Inc (JELD)
NYSE:JELD

JELD-WEN (JELD) AI Stock Analysis

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JELD

JELD-WEN

(NYSE:JELD)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-12.28% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—sharp profitability deterioration, negative free cash flow, and severe balance-sheet stress from equity erosion with high debt. Technicals reinforce the risk with a strong downtrend (despite oversold signals), while valuation remains constrained by ongoing losses. The earnings call adds some credit for operational progress and liquidity actions, but guidance points to continued revenue pressure, expected cash use, and elevated leverage.
Positive Factors
Operational improvements (Kissimmee)
Dramatic service and quality improvements at Kissimmee show the company can materially raise operational reliability. Sustained OTIF/right-first-time above 95% reduces rework, warranty and expedited freight costs, supports customer retention and protects margins across cycles, making future service-driven recovery more durable.
Negative Factors
Severe leverage and equity erosion
A collapsed equity base and very high debt-to-equity ratio sharply reduce financial flexibility. Elevated leverage limits ability to fund capex or absorb further operating setbacks, increases covenant and refinancing vulnerability, and raises the risk that adverse shocks force asset sales or aggressive restructurings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operational improvements (Kissimmee)
Dramatic service and quality improvements at Kissimmee show the company can materially raise operational reliability. Sustained OTIF/right-first-time above 95% reduces rework, warranty and expedited freight costs, supports customer retention and protects margins across cycles, making future service-driven recovery more durable.
Read all positive factors

JELD-WEN (JELD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JELD-WEN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells doors and windows primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia. The company offers a line of residential interior and exterior door products, including patio doors, and folding or slid...
How the Company Makes Money
JELD-WEN primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling doors and windows and related building-product systems to customers involved in new construction and repair-and-remodel activity. Revenue is generated when the company fulfills product or...

JELD-WEN Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Reveals how much sales come from each region, showing where JELD‑WEN is strongest and where demand or pricing power is growing or shrinking. Highlights exposure to local housing cycles and concentration risk, which affects revenue stability and opportunities for geographic expansion.
Chart InsightsNorth America — long the revenue engine — has tumbled in 2025 and is the proximate cause of JELD‑WEN’s sharply lowered guidance; Europe has been a slow, persistent downtrend and is now under active strategic review, signaling potential disposals or restructuring. Australasian revenue drops to zero in reporting, increasing geographic concentration in already‑weak markets and amplifying downside. Management’s headcount cuts and cost savings provide some cushion, but higher leverage and housing‑market weakness make a meaningful near‑term recovery unlikely.
Data provided by:The Fly

JELD-WEN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational progress and disciplined financial actions against ongoing market softness and profitability pressures. Positives include delivering at the high end of guidance, meaningful service and productivity improvements (notably at Kissimmee), structural cost reductions, improved cash management and added liquidity from a sale-leaseback. Negatives include continued volume-driven revenue declines (Q4 revenue down 10%), a sharp drop in adjusted EBITDA and margins, rising leverage (8.6x net debt leverage), ongoing input cost pressure, and an expected free cash flow use in 2026. Management’s tone is cautious and focused on controllable actions rather than expecting a near-term market recovery.
Positive Updates
Delivered at the High End of Guidance
Fourth quarter results came in at the high end of the sales and adjusted EBITDA ranges. Full year 2025 sales were $3.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $120 million, in line with upper-end guidance provided after Q3.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline and Volume Pressure
Q4 net revenue was $802 million, down 10% year-over-year from $896 million. Core revenue declined 8%, with volume being the primary driver. North America Q4 revenue declined from $640 million to $522 million.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Delivered at the High End of Guidance
Fourth quarter results came in at the high end of the sales and adjusted EBITDA ranges. Full year 2025 sales were $3.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $120 million, in line with upper-end guidance provided after Q3.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided 2026 net revenue of $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion with core revenue down 5%–10% and adjusted EBITDA of $100 million to $150 million (midpoint $125 million), noting FY‑2025 sales were $3.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $120 million; Q4 revenue was $802 million (down 10% YoY) with Q4 adjusted EBITDA $15 million (1.8% of sales) including roughly $7 million of timing items. They expect operating cash flow of ~ $40 million, capital expenditures of ~ $100 million and a free cash flow use of ~ $60 million (weighted to Q1), plan to use the revolver seasonally in Q1 and pay most down by year‑end, and finished the year with ~$136 million cash and ~$350 million revolver availability (net proceeds of ~ $38 million from a Coral Springs sale‑leaseback). The 2026 EBITDA bridge assumes roughly a $25 million market volume/mix headwind, a $60 million share‑loss headwind, a $10 million price/cost headwind, offset by ~$75 million from rightsizing and ~$35 million of carryover transformation benefits (with ~ $10 million of compensation/timing headwinds), and reported net debt leverage of 8.6x with no debt maturities until December 2027 and a minimum liquidity covenant of ~ $40 million.

JELD-WEN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is highly stressed: multi-year revenue declines, margins swung to deeply negative in 2024–2025, and cash generation deteriorated to negative free cash flow. The biggest red flag is the 2025 balance sheet—equity collapsed while debt stayed elevated, leaving very high leverage and limited flexibility.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.21B3.78B4.30B4.54B4.18B
Gross Profit514.20M688.97M832.62M785.92M822.92M
EBITDA-292.60M22.20M301.02M244.52M364.99M
Net Income-619.10M-189.02M62.45M45.73M168.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.10B2.62B2.98B3.50B3.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.10M150.34M288.31M164.47M395.60M
Total Debt1.49B1.32B1.38B1.88B1.92B
Total Liabilities2.01B2.00B2.13B2.78B2.90B
Stockholders Equity94.30M620.06M850.64M723.55M842.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-124.70M-55.69M246.86M-52.88M92.06M
Operating Cash Flow-4.90M106.21M345.19M30.34M175.67M
Investing Cash Flow16.30M-153.34M279.17M-67.03M-92.36M
Financing Cash Flow-33.00M-80.63M-563.16M-120.01M-401.21M

JELD-WEN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.14
Price Trends
50DMA
2.16
Negative
100DMA
2.35
Negative
200DMA
3.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
25.00
Positive
STOCH
6.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JELD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.51, below the 50-day MA of 2.16, and below the 200-day MA of 3.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 25.00 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JELD.

JELD-WEN Risk Analysis

JELD-WEN disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JELD-WEN reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JELD-WEN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$694.29M17.169.76%-10.84%-53.49%
61
Neutral
$1.19B15.149.87%-9.21%-97.43%
52
Neutral
$800.63M-52.26-30.23%2.12%43.81%-584.11%
45
Neutral
$407.66M2,188.092.20%-0.19%-50.51%
41
Neutral
$98.16M-0.34-155.46%-15.28%-350.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JELD
JELD-WEN
1.14
-4.83
-80.90%
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
51.82
-23.16
-30.89%
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
40.39
-18.27
-31.15%
NX
Quanex
17.43
-0.81
-4.44%
JBI
Janus International Group
5.00
-2.20
-30.56%

JELD-WEN Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
JELD-WEN Posts Lower Q4 Revenue and Wider 2025 Loss
Negative
Feb 17, 2026
JELD-WEN reported that for the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31, 2025, net revenue fell 10.5% to $802 million as weaker demand drove an 8% decline in core volume and the impact of a court-ordered Towanda divestiture, while a favorable currency shift p...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
JELD-WEN Appoints Jeffrey Embt as Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Jan 5, 2026
On January 5, 2026, JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. announced that it had appointed Jeffrey Embt as chief accounting officer, effective immediately, adding a seasoned finance executive with more than two decades of experience in accounting, financial manag...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 11, 2026