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Quanex (NX)
NYSE:NX

Quanex (NX) AI Stock Analysis

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NX

Quanex

(NYSE:NX)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▲(4.72% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
NX scores mid-range primarily due to weak financial performance (losses, shrinking TTM revenue, and higher leverage) that outweigh improving free cash flow. Technicals are a relative bright spot with a supportive uptrend and neutral momentum, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings despite a modest dividend. The latest earnings call adds a mixed view: record adjusted EBITDA and synergies, but flat 2026 guidance with near-term pressure and operational headwinds.
Positive Factors
Acquisitive Revenue Growth
The 43.8% full-year sales jump from the Tyman acquisition materially expands scale and product breadth. Larger revenue base and added channels improve market position, enable cross-selling, and reduce single-product concentration, supporting more durable top-line resilience over coming quarters.
Free Cash Flow Strength
Strong free cash flow growth and a $75M debt repayment demonstrate improved cash conversion and financial flexibility. Sustainable FCF supports capital allocation for capex, dividends, and deleveraging, cushioning the business against cyclical revenue swings and enabling strategic investments.
Synergy & Resegmentation Gains
Realizing synergies above targets and resegmenting the business indicate successful post-acquisition integration and structural cost improvements. These changes can permanently lower unit costs, improve margin sustainability, and unlock cross-selling opportunities across the enlarged product set.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability Trend
A -12% net margin and declining TTM revenue point to structural profitability weaknesses. Persistent negative margins erode return on invested capital, limit reinvestment capacity, and increase sensitivity to raw material and pricing pressure, making sustainable earnings recovery more challenging.
Rising Leverage
Higher debt-to-equity reduces balance sheet flexibility and raises interest and covenant risk. With cyclical exposure to residential construction, elevated leverage limits the company's ability to invest, pursue opportunistic M&A, or absorb demand shocks without further restructuring or cash generation improvements.
Goodwill Impairment & One-time Loss
A large noncash goodwill impairment signals that prior acquisition assumptions underperformed and reduces shareholders' equity. This weakens the firm's acquisition currency, raises the risk of further write-downs, and highlights execution or valuation shortcomings tied to the company's M&A strategy.

Quanex (NX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Quanex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuanex Building Products Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides components for the fenestration industry in the United States, Europe, Canada, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North American Fenestration, European Fenestration, and North American Cabinet Components. It offers flexible insulating glass spacers, extruded vinyl profiles, window and door screens, and precision-formed metal and wood products, as well as cabinet doors and other components for original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the kitchen and bathroom cabinet industry. The company also provides various non-fenestration components and products, including solar panel sealants, trim moldings, vinyl decking, fencing, water retention barriers, and conservatory roof components. It sells its products to OEMs in the building products industry through sales representatives, direct sales force, distributors, and independent sales agents. The company was founded in 1927 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyQuanex generates revenue primarily through the sale of its manufactured products in the building materials sector. The company operates on a business-to-business model, supplying its products to manufacturers, distributors, and contractors in the construction industry. Key revenue streams include the sale of window and door systems, which benefit from increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions, and cabinetry components that cater to the remodeling and new construction markets. Additionally, Quanex benefits from partnerships with leading building products companies and collaborations that enhance product development and market reach. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability also positions it favorably in an increasingly environmentally conscious market.

Quanex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 11, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment, with significant achievements in revenue growth and synergy realization, but also challenges such as operational issues in Monterrey and a net loss due to goodwill impairment. The company is optimistic about long-term growth despite short-term macroeconomic challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Full Year Revenue Growth
Net sales for the full year 2025 increased by approximately 43.8% to $1.84 billion compared to $1.28 billion in 2024, driven primarily by the Tyman acquisition.
Synergy Realization Exceeds Expectations
The company delivered synergy realization above the original $30 million commitment, enhancing operational efficiency.
Improved Safety Performance
The company continued to improve safety performance, achieving a world-class standard, which is critical for operational reliability and future growth.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Free cash flow for the full year 2025 increased by about 98% to $102.3 million, enabling the company to repay $75 million of debt.
Successful Business Resegmentation
The company resegmented its business to better align with market opportunities, contributing to operational improvements and innovation.
Negative Updates
Fourth Quarter Revenue Slight Decline
Net sales decreased by approximately 0.5% to $489.8 million in Q4 2025 compared to $492.2 million in Q4 2024, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic challenges.
Operational Challenges in Monterrey, Mexico
Operational issues at the Monterrey plant resulted in an $8 million negative impact on adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025, with an expected $3 million additional impact in Q1 2026.
Full Year Net Loss Due to Goodwill Impairment
Reported a net loss of $250.8 million for the full year 2025, primarily due to non-cash goodwill impairment in the third quarter.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA for Q4
Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter decreased by 12.6% to $70.9 million compared to $81.1 million during the same period last year, due to lower volumes and operational challenges.
Challenging Macroeconomic Environment
The market continues to face demand headwinds globally, with affordability challenges due to inflationary pressures and housing inventory shortages.
Company Guidance
During the Quanex Building Products Corporation earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, the company provided detailed guidance and financial metrics. Quanex reported net sales of $489.8 million for Q4 2025, a slight decrease of 0.5% compared to 2024, while full year sales increased by 43.8% to $1.84 billion, largely due to the Tyman acquisition. Net income for Q4 was $19.6 million, or $0.43 per diluted share, contrasting with a net loss in the same period the previous year. For fiscal 2025, the company recorded a net loss of $250.8 million, primarily due to a noncash goodwill impairment. Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 decreased by 12.6% to $70.9 million, but for the full year, it rose by 33.2% to a record $242.9 million. The company's leverage ratio remained at 2.6x net debt to last 12 months adjusted EBITDA. Looking ahead, Quanex anticipates a flat revenue and adjusted EBITDA environment in fiscal 2026, with expectations of a challenging first half followed by a potentially improved second half. Key assumptions for Q1 2026 include a revenue decline of 16% to 18% compared to Q4 2025, an adjusted EBITDA margin decrease of 800 to 825 basis points, and SG&A expenses of approximately $73 million.

Quanex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak profitability and declining TTM revenue (net margin -12% and revenue growth -12.6%) pressure results, and leverage has increased (debt-to-equity 1.18). Offsetting this, cash generation has improved with strong free cash flow growth, but the low operating cash flow to net income ratio (0.27) suggests quality-of-earnings risk.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Quanex's income statement reveals significant challenges, particularly in the TTM period, with a negative net profit margin of -12% and declining revenue growth of -12.6%. The company has struggled to maintain profitability, as evidenced by the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and declining margins, indicating instability in financial performance.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a concerning increase in leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio rising to 1.18 in the TTM period, indicating higher financial risk. Return on equity has turned negative, reflecting poor profitability. However, the equity ratio remains relatively stable, suggesting some level of asset backing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Quanex's cash flow statement presents a mixed picture. While free cash flow growth has been strong at 272% in the TTM period, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.27, indicating potential cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to earnings.
BreakdownOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.84B1.28B1.13B1.22B1.07B
Gross Profit499.23M305.62M277.52M268.50M240.61M
EBITDA-83.34M123.00M148.05M152.43M125.36M
Net Income-250.81M33.06M82.50M88.34M56.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.97B2.32B831.14M724.62M717.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments76.02M97.74M58.47M55.09M40.06M
Total Debt853.73M892.98M116.39M87.69M106.50M
Total Liabilities1.24B1.31B285.59M259.78M297.54M
Stockholders Equity726.18M1.01B545.55M464.83M419.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow102.25M51.73M109.66M64.84M54.58M
Operating Cash Flow164.90M88.81M147.05M97.97M78.59M
Investing Cash Flow-62.01M-420.59M-128.44M-32.96M-18.71M
Financing Cash Flow-127.48M385.16M-16.15M-45.88M-71.86M

Quanex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.53
Price Trends
50DMA
18.65
Positive
100DMA
16.19
Positive
200DMA
17.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.79
Positive
RSI
50.64
Neutral
STOCH
12.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.20, above the 50-day MA of 18.65, and above the 200-day MA of 17.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NX.

Quanex Risk Analysis

Quanex disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Quanex reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Quanex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$966.22M20.718.64%-10.84%-53.49%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$856.53M21.537.73%2.77%1.19%-56.98%
55
Neutral
$943.12M-3.74-28.88%2.12%43.81%-584.11%
54
Neutral
$1.34B-30.0813.29%-9.21%-97.43%
49
Neutral
$518.58M-36,622.222.20%-0.19%-50.51%
42
Neutral
$168.77M-0.27-155.46%-15.28%-350.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NX
Quanex
20.53
1.59
8.41%
APOG
Apogee
39.82
-6.87
-14.72%
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings
65.92
-13.45
-16.95%
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
45.48
-20.23
-30.79%
JELD
JELD-WEN
1.96
-3.54
-64.36%
JBI
Janus International Group
6.96
-1.13
-13.97%

Quanex Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Quanex Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Signals Ongoing Stability
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Quanex Building Products Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share on its common stock. The dividend will be paid on March 31, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 17, 2026.

The decision to maintain a regular cash dividend underlines Quanex’s ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders and may signal confidence in the company’s cash generation and financial stability. The payout reinforces the company’s role as a steady income vehicle for investors while it continues to pursue growth across its diversified building-products and adjacent markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (NX) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quanex stock, see the NX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Quanex investor Teleios ends board observer role
Neutral
Jan 9, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Quanex Building Products Corporation reported that Teleios Global Opportunities Master Fund had notified the company of the resignation of its designated observer to Quanex’s board of directors, effective January 8, 2026. Following this move, Teleios no longer holds any observer rights to the company’s board, signaling a formal step back from direct board-level monitoring that may slightly alter the governance dynamic between the investor and the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (NX) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quanex stock, see the NX Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Quanex Declares Quarterly Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Quanex Building Products Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share on its common stock, payable on December 31, 2025, to shareholders of record on December 15, 2025. This announcement reflects Quanex’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness to investors, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (NX) stock is a Hold with a $12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quanex stock, see the NX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026