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Owens Corning (OC)
NYSE:OC

Owens Corning (OC) AI Stock Analysis

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OC

Owens Corning

(NYSE:OC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$112.00
▼(-0.81% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by solid cash generation and a manageable balance sheet, which support resilience despite cyclical market weakness. Offsetting this, the latest sharp earnings deterioration and cautious near-term guidance (notably Roofing volume declines and curtailment impacts) keep the outlook constrained. Technicals and valuation are both mixed, with the stock below key long-term averages and a negative P/E limiting valuation support.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow and a large year‑over‑year free cash flow increase give Owens Corning durable internal funding to support capital projects, dividends and buybacks. This cash conversion buffers cyclicality and funds strategic investments without immediate reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
A sharp swing to a net loss and collapsed EBIT reflect recurring margin pressure and one‑time charges that materially weaken earnings quality. If persistent, this undermines internal capital generation, reduces return on invested capital and constrains the company’s ability to self‑fund investments and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash flow and a large year‑over‑year free cash flow increase give Owens Corning durable internal funding to support capital projects, dividends and buybacks. This cash conversion buffers cyclicality and funds strategic investments without immediate reliance on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Owens Corning (OC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Owens Corning Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Owens Corning manufactures and markets insulation, roofing, and fiberglass composite materials in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Composites, Insulation, and Roofing. The Com...
How the Company Makes Money
Owens Corning makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling building-material products through its operating segments, generating revenue from product sales to contractors, builders, distributors/wholesalers, retailers, and industrial custome...

Owens Corning Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call communicated a balanced picture: meaningful executional achievements (strong margins, cash returns, exceeded synergy targets, safety and innovation progress, and targeted capacity investments) contrasted with material near-term market headwinds (sharp Roofing volume decline, ongoing curtailments, negative price/cost dynamics, a $1.1 billion goodwill impairment in Doors, and free cash flow pressure from elevated CapEx). Management emphasized multiple levers to drive recovery and a path to long-term targets, while acknowledging near-term softness and one-time/noncash charges.
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year Financials and Margins
Full-year revenue of $10.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.3 billion with a 22% adjusted EBITDA margin; Q4 revenue $2.1 billion with adjusted EBITDA $362 million and a 17% Q4 margin. This marks the company's fifth consecutive year with 20%+ EBITDA margins.
Negative Updates
Significant Near-Term Roofing Volume Declines
Q4 Roofing sales of $774 million, down 27% year-over-year driven primarily by lower shingle volumes, unusually quiet second-half storm season and distributor destocking; Q1 shipments expected to be down low-20% vs. prior year with production curtailments creating a roughly $30 million P&L headwind as higher-cost inventory is sold through.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Full-Year Financials and Margins
Full-year revenue of $10.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.3 billion with a 22% adjusted EBITDA margin; Q4 revenue $2.1 billion with adjusted EBITDA $362 million and a 17% Q4 margin. This marks the company's fifth consecutive year with 20%+ EBITDA margins.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Owens Corning guided first-quarter revenue from continuing operations of about $2.1–$2.2 billion with adjusted EBITDA margin in the mid‑teens; by business, Roofing ARMA shipments are expected down low‑20% with roofing revenue down low‑20%, Q1 roofing EBITDA margin in the low‑20s and a roughly $30 million curtailment headwind (an April price increase should begin to realize in Q2); Insulation revenue is expected down mid‑ to high‑single digits (North American residential down low double‑digits) with Q1 EBITDA margins just below 20%; Doors revenue is expected down mid‑teens (including ~$150 million of divested annual revenue) with Q1 EBITDA margins around 7%; corporate guidance includes general corporate EBITDA expense of $245–255 million, an effective tax rate of 24–26%, D&A of ~ $680 million and capital additions of ~ $800 million (more than half to strategic investments), with year‑end leverage at 2.1x EBITDA, liquidity of $1.8 billion, continued commitment to shareholder returns (Investor Day $2 billion target for 2025–26 already underway) and full‑year revenue/adjusted EBITDA largely aligned with consensus.

Owens Corning Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: cash flow is strong (operating cash flow $1.79B; free cash flow up ~61% YoY) and leverage appears moderate-to-manageable (debt ~$1.0B vs. equity ~$3.9B). However, profitability deteriorated sharply in the latest year (net loss of -$522M, EBIT down to $360M from $2.1B) alongside a revenue decline (~-6% YoY), making near-term earnings quality the key risk.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.10B10.97B9.68B9.76B8.50B
Gross Profit2.88B3.29B2.84B2.71B2.22B
EBITDA975.00M1.75B2.17B2.07B1.91B
Net Income-522.00M647.00M1.20B1.24B995.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.98B14.07B11.24B10.75B10.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments353.00M361.00M1.61B1.10B959.00M
Total Debt6.16B5.62B3.27B3.22B3.12B
Total Liabilities9.09B8.96B6.03B6.13B5.68B
Stockholders Equity3.85B5.08B5.17B4.58B4.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow962.00M1.25B1.19B1.31B1.09B
Operating Cash Flow1.79B1.89B1.72B1.76B1.50B
Investing Cash Flow-765.00M-3.39B-356.00M-623.00M-377.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.07B334.00M-877.00M-974.00M-881.00M

Owens Corning Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price112.91
Price Trends
50DMA
117.06
Negative
100DMA
114.66
Negative
200DMA
125.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.09
Negative
RSI
55.19
Neutral
STOCH
50.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 112.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.41, below the 50-day MA of 117.06, and below the 200-day MA of 125.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OC.

Owens Corning Risk Analysis

Owens Corning disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Owens Corning reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Owens Corning Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$11.48B30.0625.82%0.47%2.48%-6.92%
72
Outperform
$7.40B31.8036.09%0.66%15.10%23.35%
64
Neutral
$9.08B-17.89-11.39%2.43%3.47%-148.53%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$12.67B16.37-537.31%1.94%-3.62%3.41%
45
Neutral
$9.19B90.3110.11%-6.44%-48.84%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OC
Owens Corning
112.91
-24.98
-18.12%
AWI
Armstrong World
172.77
38.25
28.43%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
83.09
-41.64
-33.38%
MAS
Masco
62.23
-0.36
-0.57%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
147.42
39.24
36.28%

Owens Corning Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Owens Corning director to step down, board shrinks
Neutral
Feb 6, 2026
On February 4, 2026, Owens Corning director Maryann T. Mannen informed the board that she will not stand for re-election at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with the company stating her decision is not related to any disagr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026