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Owens Corning (OC)
NYSE:OC

Owens Corning (OC) AI Stock Analysis

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OC

Owens Corning

(NYSE:OC)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$127.00
▲(3.95% Upside)
Owens Corning's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, with declining revenues and profitability. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation concerns are present due to negative earnings. The earnings call provided some positive insights into cash flow and shareholder returns, but market pressures remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow & shareholder returns
Owens Corning's strong cash generation (FCF growth 21.23% TTM; operating cash flow to net income 0.70; FCF to net income 0.89) and >$700M returned YTD demonstrate durable internal funding. This gives sustained flexibility for capex, dividends, buybacks, and recession resilience.
Diversified market leadership
Owens Corning's three-segment footprint (Insulation, Roofing, Composites) spreads exposure across residential, commercial, and industrial end markets. Diversification and exposure to energy-efficiency and composites for automotive/wind provide structural demand support and reduce single-market risk.
Operational efficiency & margin resilience
The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 24% and segment margins (Roofing 34%, Insulation 23%) through structural improvements and cost management. Sustained ability to lift margins under weak volumes indicates lasting operational leverage and durability of profitability enhancements.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and negative profitability
Revenue contraction (TTM revenue growth -3.24%) alongside a negative net profit margin (-4.46%) and negative ROE (-9.88%) signals persistent earnings pressure. Prolonged top-line decline and losses can erode reinvestment capacity and challenge long-term growth and competitiveness.
Significant goodwill impairment
A $780M goodwill write-down reflects weakened expectations for the Doors business and suggests prior overpayment or deteriorating cash flow assumptions. Large impairments reduce equity cushions and constrain future M&A, dividend policy, and balance-sheet flexibility over the medium term.
Cyclicality and weather-driven demand exposure
Roofing and insulation revenues are materially exposed to residential construction cycles and storm activity; insulation down 7% and shingle volumes fell sharply. This structural demand volatility pressures capacity utilization, pricing, and long-term margin predictability across business cycles.

Owens Corning (OC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Owens Corning Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOwens Corning manufactures and markets insulation, roofing, and fiberglass composite materials in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Composites, Insulation, and Roofing. The Composites segment manufactures, fabricates, and sells glass reinforcements in the form of fiber; and glass fiber products in the form of fabrics, non-wovens, and other specialized products. Its products are used in building structures, roofing shingles, tubs and showers, pools, flooring, pipes and tanks, poles, electrical equipment, and wind-energy turbine blades applications in the building and construction, renewable energy, and infrastructure markets. This segment sells its products directly to parts molders, fabricators, and shingle manufacturers. The Insulation segment manufactures and sells insulation products for residential, commercial, industrial, and other markets for thermal and acoustical applications; and glass fiber pipe insulation, flexible duct media, bonded and granulated mineral fiber insulation, cellular glass insulation, and foam insulation products used in construction applications. This segment sells its products primarily to the insulation installers, home centers, lumberyards, retailers, and distributors under the Thermafiber, FOAMULAR, FOAMGLAS, Paroc, Owens Corning PINK, and FIBERGLAS Insulation brand names. The Roofing segment manufactures and sells aminate and strip asphalt roofing shingles, oxidized asphalt materials, and roofing components used in residential and commercial construction, and specialty applications, as well as synthetic packaging materials. This segment sells its products through distributors, home centers, lumberyards, retailers, and contractors, as well as to roofing contractors for built-up roofing asphalt systems; and manufacturers in automotive, chemical, rubber, and construction industries. Owens Corning was incorporated in 1938 and is headquartered in Toledo, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyOwens Corning generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from its three business segments. The Insulation segment earns money by selling fiberglass insulation products for residential and commercial applications, capitalizing on the growing demand for energy-efficient building materials. The Roofing segment generates income through the sale of roofing shingles and related products, catering to both new construction and repair markets. The Composites segment profits by providing fiberglass reinforcements and other composite solutions to industries like automotive, aerospace, and wind energy. Significant partnerships with construction firms, contractors, and distributors enhance their market reach. Additionally, Owens Corning's focus on innovation and sustainability allows it to command premium pricing on advanced products, contributing to its overall profitability.

Owens Corning Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook for Owens Corning, with solid financial performance and strategic investments highlighted, but also significant challenges in the market leading to revenue declines and goodwill impairments. The near-term outlook remains cautious, with expectations of continued market pressures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Resilient Financial Performance
Owens Corning delivered $2.7 billion in revenue and $638 million in adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2025, maintaining an adjusted EBITDA margin of 24% despite challenging market conditions.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
The company generated $752 million in free cash flow and returned over $700 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the first three quarters of 2025.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
Owens Corning achieved operational efficiencies and structural improvements, leading to improved margins by over 500 basis points in Roofing and Insulation compared to similar market conditions over the past 10 years.
Recognition for Corporate Responsibility
Owens Corning was named to the 100 Best Corporate Citizens list, ranking third, marking the eighth consecutive year in the top 10 for environmental, social, and governance performance and transparency.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased by 3% year-over-year in Q3 2025 due to lower volumes, with a significant impact from weaker market conditions and lower demand for residential products in North America.
Goodwill Impairment in Doors Business
A non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $780 million was recorded due to updates in macro assumptions affecting the Doors business, despite no change in the long-term view of its earnings potential.
Challenging Roofing Market Conditions
Roofing market demand was impacted by a quiet storm season, leading to no named storms making landfall in the U.S. in Q3, resulting in a significant volume decline expected in Q4.
Insulation Market Pressures
The Insulation business faced a 7% revenue decline in Q3 due to lower demand and the sale of its building materials business in China, with ongoing cost inflation resulting in negative price cost.
Company Guidance
During the Owens Corning third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance highlighting various financial metrics. Owens Corning reported $2.7 billion in revenue and an adjusted EBITDA of $638 million, achieving an adjusted EBITDA margin of 24%. The company also emphasized its strong cash flow, with over $700 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the first three quarters, aligning with its commitment to return $2 billion over this year and next. The roofing segment faced a 2% increase in sales, with a 34% EBITDA margin, despite a 20% decline in the U.S. asphalt shingle market volume due to a quiet storm season. The insulation segment saw a 7% revenue decrease, maintaining a 23% EBITDA margin, impacted by lower North American residential demand. Meanwhile, the doors segment experienced a 5% revenue drop with a 10% EBITDA margin, affected by weaker new construction activity and discretionary spending. Looking ahead, Owens Corning anticipates fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16% to 18%. The company remains focused on strategic investments to enhance efficiency and growth, maintaining disciplined capital allocation while navigating near-term market challenges.

Owens Corning Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Owens Corning faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as evidenced by negative net income and shrinking margins. The balance sheet remains stable with manageable leverage, but the negative return on equity is concerning. Cash flow generation is a bright spot, showing resilience and efficiency in cash management. The company needs to address profitability issues to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Owens Corning's income statement shows a decline in revenue growth with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.24% in the TTM period. The company also experienced a negative net profit margin of -4.46%, indicating a loss. While the gross profit margin remains relatively stable at 29.22%, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased significantly compared to previous years, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 in the TTM period, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -9.88%, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 32.53%, reflecting a stable capital structure but highlighting potential risks due to the negative ROE.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 21.23% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, suggesting strong cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.89, reflecting efficient cash conversion despite the net loss.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.80B10.97B9.68B9.76B8.50B7.05B
Gross Profit3.16B3.29B2.84B2.71B2.22B1.64B
EBITDA992.00M1.75B2.17B2.07B1.91B341.00M
Net Income-482.00M647.00M1.20B1.24B995.00M-383.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.52B14.07B11.24B10.75B10.02B9.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments294.00M361.00M1.61B1.10B959.00M717.00M
Total Debt5.61B5.62B3.27B3.22B3.12B3.28B
Total Liabilities9.08B8.96B6.03B6.13B5.68B5.54B
Stockholders Equity4.40B5.08B5.17B4.58B4.30B3.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.11B1.25B1.19B1.31B1.09B828.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.87B1.89B1.72B1.76B1.50B1.14B
Investing Cash Flow-713.00M-3.39B-356.00M-623.00M-377.00M-205.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.35B334.00M-877.00M-974.00M-881.00M-358.00M

Owens Corning Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price122.17
Price Trends
50DMA
115.10
Positive
100DMA
121.58
Positive
200DMA
130.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.71
Positive
RSI
56.48
Neutral
STOCH
37.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 122.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.02, above the 50-day MA of 115.10, and below the 200-day MA of 130.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OC.

Owens Corning Risk Analysis

Owens Corning disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Owens Corning reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Owens Corning Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$7.92B26.3138.03%0.66%15.10%23.35%
74
Outperform
$11.82B25.9427.09%0.47%2.48%-6.92%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$12.65B21.5613.56%-6.44%-48.84%
53
Neutral
$13.73B16.931.94%-3.62%3.41%
52
Neutral
$9.85B-3.27%2.43%3.47%-148.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OC
Owens Corning
122.17
-54.60
-30.89%
AWI
Armstrong World
186.78
38.36
25.85%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
113.27
-50.16
-30.69%
MAS
Masco
66.57
-9.30
-12.26%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
156.30
39.38
33.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025