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Owens Corning (OC)
NYSE:OC

Owens Corning (OC) AI Stock Analysis

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OC

Owens Corning

(NYSE:OC)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$151.00
▲(9.64%Upside)
Owens Corning's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook drive the stock's appeal. However, overvaluation concerns and technical indicators suggest caution. Strategic investments and sustainability recognition are significant positives, yet challenges in residential insulation and market conditions temper expectations.
Positive Factors
Growth Opportunities
OC is seeing share gain opportunities in Doors as it improves service while its largest competitor is under stress.
Operational Efficiency
The company has exited lower-margin businesses and reduced its variable manufacturing cost per unit by 10% since 2019, enhancing profitability.
Shareholder Returns
Management has committed to returning $2 billion of cash back to shareholders largely through buybacks, indicating strong commitment to shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Market Skepticism
Some of the goals will be viewed as 'show me' by the Street until proven in a variety of markets, indicating potential skepticism from investors.
Price Fluctuations
Some pressure on insulation prices, with insulation volumes falling 6% and sales falling 5%, could negatively impact financial performance.
Tariff Impact
OC expects a gross tariff impact of $50 million in 2Q, with a net impact after mitigation efforts mostly in the doors segment, potentially impacting profitability.

Owens Corning (OC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Owens Corning Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOwens Corning (OC) is a global leader in the building and construction materials industry, specializing in the production of composite materials, insulation, and roofing products. The company operates through three key segments: Insulation, Roofing, and Composites. Owens Corning provides high-quality materials that improve energy efficiency, offer durability, and enhance aesthetics in residential, commercial, and industrial applications. With a strong commitment to sustainability and innovation, the company serves a diverse customer base across various sectors worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyOwens Corning generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of its insulation, roofing, and composite products. The Insulation segment offers a wide range of solutions for thermal and acoustical management in residential, commercial, and industrial buildings, contributing significantly to the company's revenue. The Roofing segment provides asphalt roofing shingles and related accessories, which are widely used in residential construction and renovation projects, making it another substantial revenue stream. The Composites segment manufactures glass fiber materials used in various applications, including building, transportation, and industrial sectors, thereby diversifying the company's income sources. Additionally, Owens Corning benefits from strategic partnerships, innovation in product development, and a focus on sustainable practices, which enhance its market position and drive earnings.

Owens Corning Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong revenue growth and consistent EBITDA margins, along with strategic investments and recognition for sustainability. However, there were concerns about the impact of tariffs, challenges in the Residential Insulation segment, and slower new residential construction due to macroeconomic factors. The highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive overall sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Owens Corning delivered revenue of $2.5 billion in Q1 2025, an increase of 25% year-over-year compared to the prior year's revenue of $2 billion.
Consistent EBITDA Margins
The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $565 million with a margin of 22%, marking the 19th consecutive quarter of delivering adjusted EBITDA margins above 20%.
Safety Achievements
Owens Corning reported a recordable incident rate of 0.54, which is 80% lower than the manufacturing industry average.
Strategic Investments and Divestitures
The company continues to invest in its Roofing and Insulation businesses and is on track with strategic divestitures, including the sale of glass reinforcements in China and Korea.
Recognition for Sustainability
Owens Corning was recognized by Barron's as one of the 100 most sustainable companies in the U.S., ranking fourth on the annual list.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Residential Insulation
North America Residential Insulation volume was down due to market uncertainty tied to the broader U.S. macro environment.
Tariff Impact Concerns
Tariffs could have a net impact of around $10 million in Q2, primarily affecting the Doors business, with potential future exposure of 1% to 2% of cost of goods sold.
Weaker Demand in New Residential Construction
New residential construction, which accounts for about a quarter of the company's revenue, started the year slower due to elevated interest rates.
Free Cash Flow Outflow
Free cash flow for the quarter was a net outflow of $252 million, driven by the timing of working capital from seasonality and capital additions.
Company Guidance
During Owens Corning's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic actions. Owens Corning reported a revenue of $2.5 billion for the first quarter, marking a 25% year-over-year increase from $2 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA of $565 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22%. The call highlighted their ongoing focus on safety, with a recordable incident rate of 0.54, which is 80% lower than the industry average. The company emphasized the durability of their earnings and strategic investments in their Roofing and Insulation businesses, projecting future growth and network flexibility. Despite a mixed market environment, particularly in North America and Europe, Owens Corning expects high single-digit revenue growth in the second quarter compared to the prior year's $2.5 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margins projected in the low to mid-20% range. The company also discussed ongoing tariff impacts, with a $50 million gross exposure in the second quarter, mitigated to around $10 million net, primarily affecting the Doors business. They remain committed to maintaining strong free cash flow and returning about 50% to investors over time while executing their growth strategies.

Owens Corning Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Owens Corning demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, challenges in maintaining net profit margins and high leverage levels require attention.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Owens Corning shows strong revenue growth with a 2.1% increase in TTM compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin stands at 29.5%, indicating healthy profitability. However, the net profit margin has declined to 2.3% from the previous period's 5.9%, suggesting some challenges in cost management or extraordinary expenses impacting net income. The EBIT margin is solid at 11.3%, and the EBITDA margin is 14.7%, reflecting robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.23, which is relatively high, indicating significant leverage. However, the return on equity (ROE) is 5.2%, which is moderate, suggesting that shareholders are receiving a reasonable return on their investment. The equity ratio stands at 34.2%, showing a balanced approach to asset financing with equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Owens Corning exhibits stable free cash flow generation, although there is a slight decrease in free cash flow growth compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 7.1, highlighting effective cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high at 4.4, indicating robust cash conversion despite lower net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.21B10.97B9.68B9.76B8.50B7.05B
Gross Profit
3.30B3.25B2.68B2.62B2.22B1.61B
EBIT
1.13B1.13B1.81B1.71B1.44B-138.00M
EBITDA
1.84B1.80B2.28B2.25B1.94B369.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
255.00M647.00M1.20B1.24B995.00M-383.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
400.00M361.00M1.61B1.10B959.00M717.00M
Total Assets
14.27B14.07B11.24B10.75B10.02B9.48B
Total Debt
6.00B5.62B3.27B3.20B3.12B3.23B
Net Debt
5.60B5.25B1.66B2.10B2.16B2.51B
Total Liabilities
9.34B8.96B6.03B6.13B5.68B5.54B
Stockholders Equity
4.88B5.08B5.17B4.58B4.30B3.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.12B1.25B1.19B1.31B1.09B828.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.82B1.89B1.72B1.76B1.50B1.14B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.41B-3.39B-356.00M-623.00M-377.00M-205.00M
Financing Cash Flow
832.00M334.00M-877.00M-974.00M-881.00M-358.00M

Owens Corning Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price137.72
Price Trends
50DMA
138.69
Negative
100DMA
151.02
Negative
200DMA
164.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.92
Negative
RSI
49.67
Neutral
STOCH
77.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 137.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 137.40, below the 50-day MA of 138.69, and below the 200-day MA of 164.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OC.

Owens Corning Risk Analysis

Owens Corning disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Owens Corning reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Owens Corning Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CSCSL
78
Outperform
$16.36B10.3333.11%1.06%-0.14%135.52%
OCOC
70
Outperform
$11.89B50.1811.93%1.97%16.16%-77.11%
WMWMS
70
Neutral
$9.17B20.5331.26%0.61%1.04%-10.78%
67
Neutral
$12.97B15.0619.62%-5.49%-33.51%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.295.40%3.67%4.15%-12.21%
MAMAS
65
Neutral
$13.78B17.85-118.61%1.90%-2.67%-10.72%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OC
Owens Corning
137.72
-40.70
-22.81%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
114.36
-36.79
-24.34%
CSL
Carlisle Companies
368.79
-40.71
-9.94%
MAS
Masco
63.86
-5.44
-7.85%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
117.10
-56.00
-32.35%

Owens Corning Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Owens Corning Announces Strategic Shift with Reorganization
Neutral
May 5, 2025

On February 13, 2025, Owens Corning announced a strategic shift by selling its glass reinforcements business and reorganizing its segments into Roofing, Insulation, and Doors, effective January 1, 2025. This reorganization aims to align with the new operating structure, and the company will report financial results under this new segmentation starting with the first quarter of 2025. The recast financial information for 2024 is provided to enhance investor understanding, though it does not affect previously reported financial metrics.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.