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Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI)
:AWI
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Armstrong World (AWI) AI Stock Analysis

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AWI

Armstrong World

(NYSE:AWI)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$213.00
▲(12.35% Upside)
Armstrong World Industries displays strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which are the most significant factors driving the score. However, technical indicators suggest the stock might be overbought, and the valuation indicates the stock is relatively expensive. These factors collectively contribute to the overall score.
Positive Factors
Architectural Specialties market
Significant growth potential exists in the architectural specialty market, where AWI holds a 20% share and sees opportunities for growth in new verticals and materials.
Earnings and cash flow growth
AWI is well positioned to grow earnings and cash flow even if the macro environment remains challenging.
Product innovation
Templok energy saving ceiling panels can reduce heating and cooling costs by up to 15% and carry 2-3x AUV compared to traditional ceiling tiles.
Negative Factors
End market uncertainty
Management sees end markets 'moving sideways', guiding to lower mineral fiber volumes due to weaker discretionary activity given the macro uncertainty.
Home center demand
Mineral Fiber volumes were negatively impacted by one less day and weaker home center demand due to weather conditions.

Armstrong World (AWI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Armstrong World Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArmstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI) is a leading designer and manufacturer of innovative commercial and residential ceiling, wall, and suspension system solutions. Operating primarily in North America, the company serves diverse sectors including education, healthcare, office, retail, and hospitality. AWI is known for its high-quality and sustainable products that enhance the aesthetics and functionality of spaces.
How the Company Makes MoneyArmstrong World Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its ceiling and wall systems, which are used in a variety of commercial and residential applications. The company earns money by manufacturing and distributing these products to building materials distributors and retailers, as well as directly to contractors and builders. AWI's revenue streams include sales of mineral fiber and architectural specialties products. The company also benefits from partnerships and strategic acquisitions that expand its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, AWI invests in innovation and sustainability to maintain its competitive edge and meet the evolving demands of the construction and design industries.

Armstrong World Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by Armstrong World Industries in the second quarter of 2025, with record sales and earnings driven by both organic and inorganic growth. Despite facing market uncertainties and input cost inflation, the company has raised its full-year guidance, indicating confidence in its growth strategy and operational efficiency. The sentiment is positive, with significant highlights outweighing the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Earnings
Armstrong World Industries reported a 16% increase in net sales and a 23% increase in adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 29% year-over-year.
Mineral Fiber Segment Performance
The Mineral Fiber segment saw a 7% increase in net sales and a 16% increase in adjusted EBITDA. The adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 350 basis points to 45%.
Architectural Specialties Growth
Architectural Specialties segment net sales grew by 37%, with organic growth at 15%. Adjusted EBITDA grew 61% with a margin of approximately 22%.
Successful Acquisitions
New acquisitions 3form and Zahner exceeded expectations, contributing significantly to the growth in the Architectural Specialties segment.
Positive Guidance Update
The company raised full-year 2025 guidance, expecting total company net sales growth of 11% to 13% and adjusted EBITDA growth in the 12% to 15% range.
TEMPLOK Innovation
The TEMPLOK product line is gaining traction, included in energy modeling software, and may be eligible for significant tax credits.
Negative Updates
Market Uncertainty and Softening
The company anticipates slightly softer market conditions in the second half of 2025 due to economic uncertainty, which may impact commercial construction activities.
Input Cost Inflation
The company faced modest input cost inflation in the second quarter, primarily in energy and raw materials.
Tariff Impacts
Tariffs have been identified as a modest headwind impacting the total cost of goods sold, although mitigation actions are in place.
Company Guidance
During Armstrong World Industries' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance for the year based on their strong first-half performance. Armstrong increased its full-year expectations for total company net sales growth to 11% to 13%, up from prior guidance of 9% to 11%, and adjusted EBITDA growth to 12% to 15%, up from the previous range of 8% to 12%. The company also raised guidance for adjusted diluted net earnings per share and adjusted free cash flow. Despite anticipating softer market conditions in the second half, the company expects to continue outperforming the market through consistent AUV growth, productivity gains, and margin expansion. Armstrong highlighted its strategic initiatives, including innovation and growth in the Architectural Specialties segment, as key factors driving its optimistic outlook.

Armstrong World Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Armstrong World exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The balance sheet is well-managed with low debt levels and high returns on equity. Cash flow management remains strong with positive growth and efficient cash generation from operations, positioning the company favorably in the construction industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Armstrong World shows strong revenue growth with a 4% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year. Gross Profit Margin remains healthy at 40.44%, and Net Profit Margin is solid at 18.25%. The company maintains robust EBIT and EBITDA margins at 24.04% and 30.04%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.12. The Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 34.54%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 42.78% suggests a healthy balance of equity financing, though a slight increase in liabilities warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Armstrong World demonstrates solid cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 5.54% in TTM. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 1.03, showcasing efficient cash generation from operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.71, indicating strong cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.45B1.30B1.23B1.11B936.90M
Gross Profit581.60M497.00M449.10M405.60M333.10M
EBITDA495.60M434.30M309.00M283.10M-13.00M
Net Income264.90M223.80M202.90M183.20M-84.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.84B1.67B1.69B1.71B1.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.30M70.80M106.00M98.10M136.90M
Total Debt599.90M640.40M687.00M671.60M755.70M
Total Liabilities1.09B1.08B1.15B1.19B1.27B
Stockholders Equity757.10M591.80M535.00M519.70M450.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow184.00M149.70M107.60M107.40M163.40M
Operating Cash Flow266.80M233.50M182.40M187.20M218.80M
Investing Cash Flow-79.30M-10.40M28.20M-13.90M-141.10M
Financing Cash Flow-177.60M-258.60M-201.90M-212.10M13.50M

Armstrong World Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price189.58
Price Trends
50DMA
164.83
Positive
100DMA
154.21
Positive
200DMA
151.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.61
Negative
RSI
74.05
Negative
STOCH
90.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AWI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 189.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 175.19, above the 50-day MA of 164.83, and above the 200-day MA of 151.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.05 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AWI.

Armstrong World Risk Analysis

Armstrong World disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Armstrong World reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Armstrong World Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$8.26B28.2539.29%0.65%15.59%23.46%
71
Outperform
$6.82B17.8516.84%1.73%-5.79%-9.90%
71
Outperform
$7.61B23.1917.88%0.62%2.95%0.76%
68
Neutral
$6.61B16.6917.53%1.17%-1.44%-31.12%
66
Neutral
$7.05B35.2119.81%-9.65%-28.30%
58
Neutral
HK$13.20B4.34-2.94%5.82%2.95%-48.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AWI
Armstrong World
187.87
68.88
57.89%
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovations
56.65
-15.32
-21.29%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
92.54
-2.22
-2.34%
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co
182.03
7.39
4.23%
TREX
Trex Company
61.46
0.76
1.25%

Armstrong World Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Armstrong World Reports Record Q2 2025 Sales and Earnings
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Armstrong World Industries reported record second-quarter sales and earnings for 2025, with a 16% increase in net sales to $425 million. The company experienced significant growth in both its Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties segments, with operating income rising by 30% and net earnings per share increasing by 34%. The results were driven by strong commercial execution, growth initiatives, and contributions from recent acquisitions, despite ongoing macro-economic uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (AWI) stock is a Hold with a $122.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Armstrong World stock, see the AWI Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Armstrong World Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Armstrong World Industries announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.308 per share, payable on August 21, 2025, to shareholders recorded by August 7, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing financial strategy, with future dividends contingent on financial health and operational results, impacting stakeholders’ expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AWI) stock is a Hold with a $122.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Armstrong World stock, see the AWI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Armstrong World Elects Board and Appoints Committees
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Armstrong World Industries, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where all seven nominees were elected to the Board of Directors, KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and the executive compensation program was approved on an advisory basis. Following the meeting, the Board appointed members and chairs to its standing committees, impacting the company’s governance structure and potentially influencing its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AWI) stock is a Hold with a $122.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Armstrong World stock, see the AWI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Armstrong World Releases Updated Investor Presentation
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Armstrong World Industries released an updated Investor Presentation on its website ahead of upcoming investor meetings. The presentation highlights the company’s strong financial performance in 2024, with net sales of $1,446 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $486 million. Armstrong World emphasizes its focus on sustainability and innovation, aiming to lead in the design and building of spaces that promote thriving communities. The company continues to leverage its strong brand, extensive product portfolio, and strategic growth initiatives to maintain its industry-leading position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025