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Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS)
NYSE:WMS
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Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) AI Stock Analysis

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WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems

(NYSE:WMS)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$159.00
▲(12.84% Upside)
Advanced Drainage Systems demonstrates strong financial performance and technical momentum, supported by efficient operations and strategic initiatives. While the valuation is relatively high, the company's robust cash flow and profitability metrics, along with positive earnings call insights, contribute to a solid overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Management
The company's ability to generate significant free cash flow highlights its effective working capital management and financial strength, providing a solid foundation for future investments and growth.
Product Innovation
New product launches in water quality enhance the company's competitive edge and market position, supporting long-term growth in the sustainable infrastructure sector.
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency reduces costs and enhances profitability, enabling the company to maintain competitive pricing and invest in strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue indicates potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum, which could impact future profitability and market share if not addressed.
Tepid Demand Environment
A sluggish demand environment poses risks to revenue growth and market expansion, potentially affecting the company's ability to capitalize on its strategic initiatives.
Infrastructure Revenue Decline
A decline in infrastructure revenue suggests challenges in capturing project activity, which could hinder the company's growth in a key market segment.

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Advanced Drainage Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvanced Drainage Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related water management products, and drainage solutions for use in the underground construction and infrastructure marketplace in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through Pipe, International, Infiltrator, and Allied Products & Other segments. It offers single, double, and triple wall corrugated polypropylene and polyethylene pipes; plastic leachfield chambers and systems, EZflow synthetic aggregate bundles, mechanical aeration wastewater solutions, septic tanks and accessories, and combined treatment and dispersal systems; and allied products, including storm retention/detention and septic chambers, polyvinyl chloride drainage structures, fittings, and water quality filters and separators. The company also purchases and distributes construction fabrics and other geosynthetic products for soil stabilization, reinforcement, filtration, separation, erosion control, and sub-surface drainage, as well as drainage grates and other products. It offers its products for non-residential, residential, agriculture, and infrastructure applications through a network of approximately 38 distribution centers. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Hilliard, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdvanced Drainage Systems generates revenue through the production and sale of its extensive product line, which includes various types of drainage pipes, fittings, and geosynthetic materials. The company primarily serves contractors, engineers, and municipalities involved in construction and infrastructure projects. Key revenue streams are derived from direct sales to these customers, as well as distribution partnerships with wholesalers and retailers. Additionally, the company may benefit from government contracts and public sector projects focused on infrastructure development and environmental management. Factors contributing to its earnings include a strong focus on innovation, a robust supply chain, and strategic acquisitions that enhance its product offerings and market reach.

Advanced Drainage Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reveals a company that is navigating a challenging environment with operational efficiency and strategic product launches leading to strong profitability metrics, despite facing a tepid demand environment and challenges in specific segments like infrastructure and DIY. The sentiment is balanced, reflecting both positive operational achievements and external market challenges.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Achieved a resilient 33.5% adjusted EBITDA margin despite a challenging market environment.
Revenue Growth Driven by Orenco Acquisition
Overall revenue increased by 2%, primarily driven by the Orenco acquisition. Organic sales were slightly down but core nonresidential and residential markets remained resilient.
Successful New Product Launches
Introduced the Arcadia hydrodynamic separator and EcoStream Biofiltration products, enhancing the water quality product category, which has grown at a high-teens CAGR over the last 3 years.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
Closed several production operations while maintaining customer service, increased production efficiency by over 20% compared to pre-COVID levels.
Record Low Safety Incidents
Achieved the safest quarter ever with a total recordable incident rate below 1.5 compared to an industry average of 3.2.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Generated $222 million in free cash flow year-to-date, compared to $126 million in the prior year, primarily due to better working capital performance.
Negative Updates
Tepid Demand Environment
Overall demand is described as 'tepid' with regional variability, impacting both residential and nonresidential markets.
Infrastructure Revenue Decline
Infrastructure revenue was down compared to the prior year due to uneven project activity, despite it being the third highest revenue quarter in the company's history.
Challenges in DIY and Single-Family Segments
The DIY channel and single-family housing were challenged by high interest rates and affordability constraints.
Unfavorable Manufacturing Costs
Experienced unfavorable fixed cost absorption during the quarter, though partially offset by favorable transportation costs.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Advantage Drainage Systems reported a robust 33.5% adjusted EBITDA margin despite challenging market conditions. The company's revenue increased by 2% to $830 million, primarily driven by the Orenco acquisition, while organic sales saw a slight decline. Key growth areas included Allied products and Infiltrator, both of which achieved revenue increases. The company emphasized its strategic focus on product innovation, such as the recent launch of the Arcadia hydrodynamic separator, and infrastructure improvements, including a new engineering and technology center boasting a 90,000-gallon closed-loop hydraulics lab. Despite the tepid demand environment, ADS maintained stable sequential pricing and favorable price/cost performance, partly due to lower material costs. The company generated $222 million in free cash flow, attributed to better working capital performance, and ended the quarter with over $1.2 billion in available liquidity, highlighting its financial strength and strategic flexibility.

Advanced Drainage Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Advanced Drainage Systems exhibits strong profitability and cash flow management, despite a recent dip in revenue. The company maintains a balanced leverage position and continues to generate solid returns on equity. While the revenue decline poses a challenge, the company's operational efficiency and cash flow strength provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Advanced Drainage Systems shows a solid performance with a Gross Profit Margin of 36% and a Net Profit Margin of 13.3% in the TTM period. However, the company experienced a revenue decline of 4.3% in the TTM, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 20.9% and 27.7%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.91, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on Equity is robust at 23.9%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 42.9%, suggesting a stable financial structure with a reasonable level of equity financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is positive at 2.7% in the TTM, indicating healthy cash generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.52, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.64, both demonstrating strong cash flow management and the ability to convert earnings into cash effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.78B2.90B2.87B3.07B2.77B1.98B
Gross Profit1.00B1.09B1.15B1.12B800.38M690.08M
EBITDA769.54M864.55M907.39M868.46M554.55M493.51M
Net Income370.00M450.17M509.92M507.09M271.33M224.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.91B3.69B3.27B2.90B2.65B2.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments638.27M463.32M490.16M217.13M20.13M195.01M
Total Debt1.43B1.45B1.37B1.34B958.84M850.50M
Total Liabilities2.13B2.05B1.99B1.91B1.54B1.35B
Stockholders Equity1.76B1.62B1.26B977.37M1.09B1.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow465.21M368.55M534.12M540.90M125.81M373.46M
Operating Cash Flow673.04M581.49M717.93M707.81M274.89M452.22M
Investing Cash Flow-460.58M-447.87M-155.66M-214.48M-198.83M-77.87M
Financing Cash Flow-114.96M-157.73M-284.34M-296.28M-251.07M-354.58M

Advanced Drainage Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price140.91
Price Trends
50DMA
141.19
Negative
100DMA
128.37
Positive
200DMA
121.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
52.10
Neutral
STOCH
74.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 140.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 139.66, below the 50-day MA of 141.19, and above the 200-day MA of 121.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WMS.

Advanced Drainage Systems Risk Analysis

Advanced Drainage Systems disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advanced Drainage Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Advanced Drainage Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$10.93B25.3727.68%0.48%0.24%-12.68%
69
Neutral
$5.96B15.6016.84%2.00%-5.79%-9.90%
69
Neutral
$10.56B33.3012.26%2.10%13.08%-67.65%
64
Neutral
$14.24B18.07-118.61%1.79%-2.73%-8.31%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$13.59B18.6017.83%-6.39%-42.36%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
140.91
-15.54
-9.93%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
122.54
-72.43
-37.15%
FBIN
Fortune Brands Innovations
50.10
-38.46
-43.43%
MAS
Masco
67.87
-16.38
-19.44%
OC
Owens Corning
126.96
-60.05
-32.11%

Advanced Drainage Systems Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Advanced Drainage Systems Reports Q1 2026 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Advanced Drainage Systems announced its fiscal first quarter results for 2026, revealing a 1.8% increase in net sales to $829.9 million, despite a decrease in net income by 11.2% to $144.1 million. The company highlighted strong execution amid challenging conditions, with investments in engineering and new product offerings like the Arcadia stormwater separator. The acquisition of River Valley Pipe and Orenco Systems contributed to growth, while the company remains focused on long-term profitability and market expansion.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Advanced Drainage Systems Holds Successful Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

On July 15, 2025, Darin Harvey, the Executive Vice President of Supply Chain at Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc., announced his resignation effective August 22, 2025, without any disputes or disagreements with the company. During the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on July 17, 2025, stockholders elected eleven directors, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm for fiscal year 2026, and approved the executive officers’ compensation, reflecting continued shareholder support for the company’s governance and financial strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025