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Masco Corporation (MAS)
NYSE:MAS
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Masco (MAS) AI Stock Analysis

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MAS

Masco

(NYSE:MAS)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$80.00
▲(20.16% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/23/26
MAS earns a mid-to-upper score primarily due to strong profitability and robust free cash flow, reinforced by steady guidance and raised sales outlook. The biggest constraint is balance-sheet weakness (negative equity and meaningful leverage), while technically the stock is in a strong uptrend but looks overextended based on RSI/Stoch readings; valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend.
Positive Factors
Robust free cash flow generation
Consistent, sizable operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, dividends, and buybacks while supporting debt service. Over months this cash conversion underpins flexibility to execute buybacks/acquisitions and absorb cyclical revenue swings without relying on external capital.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity and elevated leverage
A negative equity position and sizable debt burden materially reduce financial flexibility and elevate covenant and refinancing risk. Even with strong cash flow, negative equity can limit strategic optionality and amplify downside in a revenue or margin shock over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust free cash flow generation
Consistent, sizable operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, dividends, and buybacks while supporting debt service. Over months this cash conversion underpins flexibility to execute buybacks/acquisitions and absorb cyclical revenue swings without relying on external capital.
Read all positive factors

Masco (MAS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Masco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Masco Corporation designs, manufactures, and distributes home improvement and building products in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company's Plumbing Products segment offers faucets, showerheads, handheld showers, valves, bath hard...
How the Company Makes Money
Masco makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling branded home improvement and building products, generating revenue when its products are purchased by retailers, distributors/wholesalers, and professional customers (e.g., contractors and b...

Masco Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Reports segment-level EBITDA after removing one-time or non-core items to show underlying operating performance. Helps compare profitability across business units on a cleaner basis and judge sustainable margins and the impact of recurring operations.
Chart InsightsPlumbing is the clear earnings driver—more resilient, higher-margin and the chief source of free cash flow that funds buybacks—while Decorative Architectural shows a steady drop and deeper Q4 troughs tied to DIY weakness, tariffs and lower volumes. Management’s 2026 guidance effectively rests on plumbing sustaining margins and on sourcing/pricing and $50M of restructuring to stabilize decorative; if tariff/volume headwinds persist, decorative EBITDA is the key downside risk to hitting consolidated margin and EPS targets.
Data provided by:The Fly

Masco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call reflected solid operational and financial execution in Q1 — with revenue growth, improved margins, 13% operating profit growth and 20% EPS growth — driven largely by strong plumbing performance, cost-savings and disciplined capital returns (notably an increased share-repurchase program). Management remains cautious due to material headwinds: elevated commodity inflation (copper, oil/resins), tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks that are expected to pressure costs and create near-term margin cadence headwinds (flat H1 margins and a Q2 contraction implied). Balance sheet strength and active mitigation levers (pricing, footprint, restructuring savings) underpin confidence in delivering full-year guidance, but the outlook is guarded.
Positive Updates
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Strength
Gross debt-to-EBITDA was 2.1x at quarter end and liquidity totaled $1.3 billion (cash plus revolver availability). Management expects working capital to normalize from 19.5% of sales to ~16.5% by year-end.
Negative Updates
Elevated Commodity Inflation
Management highlighted higher commodity and input costs (copper, zinc, oil and resin-based inputs). Copper remains elevated (management referenced levels above ~$6/lb) and oil-driven resin costs are creating mid- to high-single-digit upward pressure in some inputs; overall company expects mid-single-digit inflationary pressure that may offset tariff favorability.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Strength
Gross debt-to-EBITDA was 2.1x at quarter end and liquidity totaled $1.3 billion (cash plus revolver availability). Management expects working capital to normalize from 19.5% of sales to ~16.5% by year-end.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Masco maintained 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.10–$4.30 while raising full‑year sales guidance to up low single digits (previously flat to up low single digits) and targeting consolidated margins of about 17% (with margins expected to be roughly flat in H1 and to expand in H2 as tariff impacts are lapped and mitigations take hold). By segment, Plumbing is expected to be up low single digits with operating margin around 18%, Decorative Architectural roughly flat with ~19% margin (Pro paint sales mid‑single digit growth, DIY paint down mid‑single digits). Guidance assumes a ~200 million average diluted share count, a 24.5% effective tax rate, and contemplates higher commodity/inflationary pressure (mid‑single‑digit inflation; elevated copper and oil/resin costs) that could offset favorable tariff developments (management previously estimated ~ $200M of incremental tariffs pre‑mitigation); Masco expects to incur about $50M of restructuring charges in 2026 (≈$8M in Q1) and to reduce working capital to ~16.5% of sales by year‑end. Capital allocation plans call for at least $800M of share repurchases or acquisitions in 2026 (up from ~$600M), with $1.3B of liquidity and gross debt/EBITDA of 2.1x at quarter end.

Masco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and cash generation are strong (TTM gross margin ~35%, EBIT margin ~16%, operating cash flow ~$1.47B and free cash flow ~$1.31B), supporting earnings quality. The major offset is balance-sheet risk: persistent negative equity (about -$0.24B TTM) and sizable debt (~$3.3B TTM) reduce flexibility despite solid cash flow coverage.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.68B7.56B7.83B7.97B8.68B8.38B
Gross Profit2.72B2.69B2.84B2.81B2.71B2.86B
EBITDA1.39B1.38B1.41B1.49B1.45B951.00M
Net Income837.00M810.00M822.00M908.00M842.00M406.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.23B5.20B5.02B5.36B5.19B5.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments388.00M647.00M634.00M634.00M452.00M926.00M
Total Debt3.30B3.44B3.21B3.25B3.44B3.17B
Total Liabilities5.21B5.13B5.07B5.25B5.43B5.50B
Stockholders Equity-242.00M-186.00M-280.00M-126.00M-480.00M-179.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow943.00M866.00M907.00M1.17B616.00M802.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.10B1.02B1.07B1.41B840.00M930.00M
Investing Cash Flow-147.00M-144.00M-65.00M-383.00M-230.00M-12.00M
Financing Cash Flow-953.00M-888.00M-1.00B-854.00M-1.07B-1.30B

Masco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.58
Price Trends
50DMA
66.15
Positive
100DMA
65.85
Positive
200DMA
66.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
60.91
Neutral
STOCH
76.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.47, above the 50-day MA of 66.15, and below the 200-day MA of 66.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MAS.

Masco Risk Analysis

Masco disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Masco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Masco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$11.88B30.0625.82%0.47%1.60%0.43%
74
Outperform
$7.61B26.6434.81%0.66%12.11%17.75%
68
Neutral
$14.62B26.6538.36%1.28%-0.53%-1.29%
67
Neutral
$14.98B14.37-566.50%1.94%-0.31%10.03%
67
Neutral
$10.09B-17.89-11.39%2.43%-7.95%-187.64%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
45
Neutral
$9.94B90.3110.11%-7.38%-57.13%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAS
Masco
71.26
11.77
19.79%
AWI
Armstrong World
168.84
24.90
17.30%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
83.38
-36.25
-30.30%
CSL
Carlisle Companies
346.65
-28.47
-7.59%
OC
Owens Corning
121.18
-20.70
-14.59%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
146.41
33.50
29.67%

Masco Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Masco Announces Planned Leadership Transition in Plumbing Segment
Neutral
Apr 21, 2026
On April 21, 2026, Masco Corporation said that Jai Shah, its Group President for Plumbing and Wellness, will conclude his service with the company on July 3, 2026, under an agreement dated April 16, 2026. The departure package includes a $1,206,00...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Masco Boosts Liquidity With New $1 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
On March 20, 2026, Masco Corporation and its subsidiary Masco Europe S.à r.l. entered into a new unsecured revolving credit agreement providing aggregate commitments of $1 billion, replacing a prior 2022 facility of the same size that was ter...
Executive/Board Changes
Masco Adjusts CEO Jonathon Nudi’s Equity Compensation Plan
Neutral
Feb 12, 2026
On February 6, 2026, Masco Corporation’s Compensation and Talent Committee approved a full-value restricted stock unit award of $1,749,000 for President and Chief Executive Officer Jonathon J. Nudi. This award replaces a previously disclosed...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 23, 2026