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Masco (MAS)
NYSE:MAS

Masco (MAS) AI Stock Analysis

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MAS

Masco

(NYSE:MAS)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(4.31% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/12/26
The score is driven mainly by strong cash generation and solid profitability, offset by meaningful balance-sheet risk (negative equity, high debt) and a weak revenue trajectory. Technicals are supportive with positive momentum and the stock trading above key moving averages, while valuation is reasonable (P/E 18.34) with a modest dividend. Earnings call guidance points to modest improvement in 2026, but tariffs, decorative/DIY weakness, and restructuring costs remain key execution risks.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Masco's very strong free cash flow generation and high conversion provide durable internal funding for dividends, buybacks, M&A or debt paydown. Over the next 2–6 months this cash cushion underpins capital returns and funds mitigation actions without needing external financing.
Healthy Margins and High ROIC
Sustained mid-30s gross margins and double-digit net margins, plus a very high 2025 ROIC, indicate structural pricing power and capital efficiency. These durable profitability metrics should help protect cash flow and fund strategic initiatives even if top-line growth is muted.
Leading Brands & Plumbing Outperformance
Plumbing segment outperformance, recognized brands (Delta, Moen, Behr) and retailer partnerships create durable market share and stable demand from pros and consumers. Strength in plumbing provides a reliable earnings base and reduces reliance on weaker decorative demand.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage / Negative Equity
Significant gross debt and negative shareholders' equity limit financial flexibility and increase refinancing and covenant risk. Over the medium term this constrains strategic options, raises funding costs, and makes the company more vulnerable to cyclical shocks or larger M&A funding needs.
Weak Revenue Trajectory & Volume Pressure
Persistent top-line weakness and volume declines, especially in decorative/DIY, undermine operating leverage and make margin expansion harder to sustain. Unless volumes recover, reliance on pricing and cost cuts may be insufficient to offset lost scale and could pressure long-term growth prospects.
Material Tariff and Sourcing Exposure
Ongoing tariff and duties exposure is a structural cost headwind that can persist for multiple quarters. Mitigation via sourcing and pricing takes time and may not fully offset higher input costs, pressuring margins and working capital until supply-chain shifts are completed.

Masco (MAS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Masco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMasco Corporation designs, manufactures, and distributes home improvement and building products in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company's Plumbing Products segment offers faucets, showerheads, handheld showers, valves, bath hardware and accessories, bathing units, shower bases and enclosures, sinks, toilets, acrylic tubs, shower trays, spas, exercise pools, and fitness systems; brass, copper, and composite plumbing system components; connected water products; thermoplastic solutions, extruded plastic profiles, specialized fabrications, and PEX tubing products; and other non-decorative plumbing products. This segment provides its products under the DELTA, BRIZO, PEERLESS, HANSGROHE, AXOR, KRAUS, EASY DRAIN, STEAMIST, ELITESTEAM, GINGER, NEWPORT BRASS, BRASSTECH, WALTEC, BRISTAN, HERITAGE, MIROLIN, HOT SPRING, CALDERA, FREEFLOW SPAS, FANTASY SPAS, ENDLESS POOLS, BRASSCRAFT, PLUMB SHOP, COBRA, COBRA PRO, and MASTER PLUMBER brands. Its Decorative Architectural Products segment offers paints, primers, specialty coatings, stains, and waterproofing products, as well as paint applicators and accessories; cabinet and door hardware, functional hardware, wall plates, hook and rail products, closet organization systems, and picture hanging accessories; decorative bath hardware, mirrors, and shower accessories and doors; and decorative indoor and outdoor lighting fixtures, ceiling fans, landscape lighting, and LED lighting systems. This segment provides its products under the BEHR, KILZ, WHIZZ, Elder & Jenks, LIBERTY, BRAINERD, FRANKLIN BRASS, KICHLER, and ÉLAN brands. It sells its products to the plumbing, heating, and hardware wholesalers; home centers and online retailers; hardware stores; electrical and landscape distributors; lighting showrooms; building supply outlets; and other mass merchandisers. Masco Corporation was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Livonia, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMasco generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse range of products in the plumbing and decorative segments. Key revenue streams include the direct sales of plumbing fixtures and fittings, cabinetry, and paint products to retailers, wholesalers, and contractors. The company benefits from strong brand recognition and customer loyalty, which helps maintain steady demand for its products. Significant partnerships with major retailers such as Home Depot and Lowe's enhance Masco's distribution capabilities, allowing the company to reach a broad customer base. Additionally, Masco's focus on innovation and product development enables it to capture market share and respond to changing consumer preferences, further contributing to its earnings.

Masco Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Highlights profitability across different business units, indicating which segments are driving earnings and where there may be opportunities for improvement or growth.
Chart InsightsMasco's Plumbing Products segment shows resilience with a recent uptick in EBITDA, supported by strong North American sales and strategic brand initiatives like the Newport Brass relaunch. However, the Decorative Architectural Products segment faces headwinds, with a notable decline in EBITDA driven by softer DIY paint sales and the Kichler divestiture. Despite these challenges, Masco is focusing on innovation and cost-saving measures to counteract tariff impacts and enhance shareholder value, as highlighted in their earnings call.
Data provided by:The Fly

Masco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced clear operational and financial strengths — strong free cash flow, disciplined capital returns, plumbing segment outperformance, brand awards, and an actionable plan to mitigate tariff impacts — against meaningful near-term headwinds from tariffs, commodity price volatility, volume declines (especially in decorative/DIY paint), and restructuring costs. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (flat to modest sales growth, margin expansion to ~17%, EPS up to $4.10–$4.30) and concrete mitigation steps (restructuring, sourcing changes, pricing), which combined with robust cash generation and shareholder return initiatives point to a cautiously constructive outlook despite execution and macro risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Generation and Shareholder Returns
Free cash flow > $850M for 2025 with ~100% conversion; returned $832M to shareholders (dividends + $571M repurchases full year, $217M repurchased in Q4); Board approved new $2B repurchase program and raised dividend 3% to $1.28 (13th consecutive increase).
Solid Full-Year Profitability and ROIC
Full-year operating profit ~$1.3B with operating margin 16.8%; full-year EPS $3.96; delivered a return on invested capital of 41% for 2025.
Plumbing Segment Outperformance
Plumbing sales grew in Q4 (reported +5%/- +3% ex-currency; management also cited +3% in local currency); Q4 plumbing operating profit $204M with margin 16.3%; full-year plumbing sales +3% (+2% ex-currency) and full-year plumbing operating profit $904M with margin 18.1; 2026 plumbing sales guided up low single digits and margin ~18%.
Defensive Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Gross debt/EBITDA 2.1x at year-end; $1.6B liquidity (cash + revolver availability); working capital 16.7% of sales with expected normalization to ~16.5% in 2026.
Operational Actions and Cost Savings Plan
Company initiated broader restructuring with $18M charges in 2025 and expects ~$50M charges in 2026 to streamline operations, reduce headcount and fund growth/efficiency initiatives; management expects margin expansion in 2026 driven by mitigation of tariff/commodity costs and cost savings.
Targeted Strategy & Organizational Changes
Announced integration of Liberty Hardware into Delta Faucet to leverage complementary portfolios; formed an executive committee with business-unit leaders to accelerate cross-enterprise capability building (digital, brand, innovation).
Brand and Market Recognition
Delta Faucet named Home Depot Kitchen & Bath Partner of the Year; Behr rated #1 in interior paint, exterior paint, and exterior stain in a third-party study; Behr recognized as Supplier of the Year (U.S. & Canada paint dept.) and Interconnected Partner of the Year (Mexico).
Category and Product Wins
Watkins Wellness integration of Sana 360 produced double-digit sales growth; launched cold plunge products to expand consumer wellness offerings; Hansgrohe gained market share in premium segments and received sustainability awards.
Improved Tariff Outlook vs Prior Quarter
Estimated annualized tariff cost impact reduced to ~$200M for 2026 (from $270M earlier), with $80M from China 20% tariffs and ~$120M from other tariffs/duties; management expects mitigation actions to offset direct tariff impact in 2026.
2026 Financial Guidance and Upside
Full-year 2026 guidance: sales flat to up low single digits, operating margin ~17% (vs 16.8% in 2025), EPS $4.10–$4.30, capex ~$190M, and ~$600M expected available for buybacks/M&A.
Negative Updates
Overall Sales Decline
Net sales decreased 2% in Q4 (3% in local currency) and decreased 3% for full year 2025 (2% excluding currency and Kichler divestiture); North American sales down ~5% in Q4 in local currency.
Decorative Architectural Weakness
Decorative architectural sales decreased 15% in Q4 and 14% for full year 2025; Q4 paint sales fell double digits (DIY paint down high-single digits; pro paint grew low-single digits); Q4 decorative operating profit $76M with margin 13.9%.
Tariff and Commodity Headwinds
Tariffs and commodity costs materially pressured margins and working capital in 2025; in-year tariff impact ~ $150M in 2025 and estimated ~$200M in 2026 before mitigation; significant duties include 50% steel/aluminum/copper tariffs and large glass antidumping duties (noted 323% on shower glass).
China Market and Sourcing Challenges
Weaker market in China impacted international plumbing performance; China tariff-exposed imports expected at ~$400M in 2026 (down from $450M in 2025) with target < $300M by end-2026 — highlighting ongoing exposure and transition risk.
Restructuring and Near-Term Charges
Restructuring actions resulted in ~$18M charges in 2025 and expected ~$50M charges in 2026; management noted full benefit will be realized in 2027–2028, implying near-term costs and execution risk.
Volume Pressure Across Categories
Lower volumes were a primary driver of revenue declines (company cited lower volumes across segments); plumbing volumes expected down low single digits in 2026 despite pricing, and overall R&R market assumed roughly flat.
Specific Business Impacts: Liberty and Kichler
Liberty Hardware experienced margin pressure in 2025 (mid-to-high single-digit margins vs prior ~16–17%) due to tariffs/duties and lower volumes; Kichler divestiture removed ~2% of sales year-over-year for 2025.
DIY Paint Demand Weakness
DIY paint sales showed continued weakness (down high-single digits), tied to depressed existing home sales and inventory timing; management expects DIY to decline mid-single digits in 2026.
Company Guidance
Masco guided 2026 sales to be flat to up low-single-digits with consolidated operating margin expanding to about 17% (vs. 16.8% in 2025); plumbing sales are expected up low-single-digits with plumbing margin ~18% (vs. ~17.6% in 2025) and decorative architectural sales roughly flat with decorative margin ~19% (vs. ~18.9% in 2025). The company expects EPS of $4.10–$4.30 (assumes ~202 million diluted shares and a 24.5% effective tax rate), plans ~$190 million of capital expenditures, will pay a $1.28 annual dividend per share (up 3%) with a ~30% payout target, and expects to deploy roughly $600 million of available free cash flow to share repurchases or M&A (Board authorized a new $2.0 billion repurchase program). Masco assumes SG&A as a percent of sales in line with 2025, working capital ~16.5% of sales, liquidity of ~$1.6 billion, gross debt/EBITDA ~2.1x, and an annualized tariff headwind of roughly $200 million before mitigation (including about $80 million from 20% China tariffs) that management expects to offset through sourcing, cost savings and pricing; additional restructuring charges of ~ $50 million are expected in 2026 (after ~$18 million in 2025).

Masco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is a strength (2025 operating cash flow ~$1.02B; free cash flow ~$866M with strong conversion), and profitability is solid (gross margin mid-30s; net margin ~10–11%). However, the balance sheet is a major risk with negative equity (-$186M in 2025) and sizable debt (~$3.4B), and the revenue trend is weak with a sharp 2025 decline noted in the financial statement analysis.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Profitability is solid for the industry, with gross margin holding around the mid-30% range (35.5% in 2025) and net margin staying ~10–11% in 2024–2025. However, growth is a clear weak spot: revenue has been down for several years and fell sharply in 2025 (-46.1% vs. 2024), and earnings also trended lower versus 2023. Overall: healthy margins, but the recent top-line trajectory is a meaningful concern.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage risk is elevated. Total debt remains high (~$3.4B in 2025) while shareholders’ equity is negative in most years (including -$186M in 2025), which makes equity-based leverage and return measures unfavorable and signals limited balance-sheet cushion. Assets are relatively stable (~$5.2B in 2025), but the capital structure (negative equity) is the key weakness.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: 2025 operating cash flow was ~$1.02B and free cash flow was ~$866M, with free cash flow running at ~85% of net income—suggesting earnings are generally backed by cash. Free cash flow growth also rebounded strongly in 2025 (off a weaker 2024). The main watch-out is that operating cash flow covers less than the full level of accounting profit (coverage below 1.0 across the period), implying some working-capital or timing drag at times.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.56B7.83B7.97B8.68B8.38B
Gross Profit2.69B2.84B2.81B2.71B2.86B
EBITDA1.38B1.41B1.49B1.45B951.00M
Net Income810.00M822.00M908.00M842.00M406.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.20B5.02B5.36B5.19B5.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments647.00M634.00M634.00M452.00M926.00M
Total Debt3.44B3.21B3.25B3.44B3.17B
Total Liabilities5.13B5.07B5.25B5.43B5.50B
Stockholders Equity-186.00M-280.00M-126.00M-480.00M-179.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow866.00M907.00M1.17B616.00M802.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.02B1.07B1.41B840.00M930.00M
Investing Cash Flow-144.00M-65.00M-383.00M-230.00M-12.00M
Financing Cash Flow-888.00M-1.00B-854.00M-1.07B-1.30B

Masco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.82
Price Trends
50DMA
68.33
Positive
100DMA
66.51
Positive
200DMA
66.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.21
Negative
RSI
56.54
Neutral
STOCH
32.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.78, above the 50-day MA of 68.33, and above the 200-day MA of 66.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MAS.

Masco Risk Analysis

Masco disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Masco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Masco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$16.58B23.6535.05%1.28%0.14%3.88%
76
Outperform
$8.48B28.1638.03%0.66%15.10%23.35%
75
Outperform
$13.24B28.2526.50%0.47%2.48%-6.92%
64
Neutral
$15.62B19.891.94%-3.62%3.41%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$12.60B28.6210.06%-6.44%-48.84%
52
Neutral
$11.04B-22.77-3.27%2.43%3.47%-148.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAS
Masco
73.88
-0.80
-1.07%
AWI
Armstrong World
174.30
22.12
14.54%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
109.68
-31.10
-22.09%
CSL
Carlisle Companies
407.86
72.46
21.60%
OC
Owens Corning
126.63
-28.89
-18.58%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
170.82
55.44
48.05%

Masco Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Masco details separation agreement for departing senior executive
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Masco Corporation disclosed the terms of a separation agreement with Imran Ahmad, its former Group President of Decorative Architectural Products, whose service with the company concluded on December 31, 2025. Under this agreement, Ahmad will receive a cash payment of $998,875, a 2025 cash bonus based on his target opportunity if performance goals are achieved, the cash equivalent of an annual restricted stock unit award at his target level, and a cash payment under the company’s 2023–2025 Long-Term Incentive Program contingent on performance, and he will retain the right to exercise the vested portion of his stock options and stock appreciation rights for 90 days after his departure, underscoring Masco’s adherence to structured executive transition and incentive policies for senior leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAS) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Masco stock, see the MAS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Masco Appoints Gary Coombe as New Director
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Masco‘s Board of Directors appointed Mr. Gary A. Coombe as a Class II Director, effective January 1, 2026. Mr. Coombe, who has extensive experience from his tenure at Procter & Gamble, will join the Audit Committee and the Corporate Governance and Nominating Committee. His appointment is in line with the company’s governance standards, as he meets the independence requirements of the New York Stock Exchange and the SEC.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAS) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Masco stock, see the MAS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Masco Announces Leadership Change in Management Structure
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Masco Corporation announced that Imran Ahmad, the Group President of Decorative Architectural Products, will leave the company on December 31, 2025, as his position is being eliminated. Jon Nudi, the President & CEO, will assume oversight of the Decorative Architectural Products segment, indicating a strategic shift in management structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAS) stock is a Hold with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Masco stock, see the MAS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026