Carlisle Companies (CSL)
NYSE:CSL
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Carlisle Companies
(NYSE:CSL)
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Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$376.00
▲(9.35% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
CSL scores well primarily on strong financial performance—especially robust free cash flow and solid margins—supported by a bullish technical trend and constructive 2026 guidance with significant buybacks. The score is tempered by earnings/margin volatility, some balance-sheet comparability uncertainty, overbought technical readings, and only moderate valuation support (P/E ~20.8, ~1.06% yield).
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow above $1B and near-$1B free cash flow provide durable internal funding for operations, capex, R&D and capital returns. Strong cash conversion reduces refinancing reliance and underpins the firm's ability to execute Vision 2030 investments and buyback plans even in cyclical troughs.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility
Meaningful quarter-to-quarter margin and EPS swings highlight earnings sensitivity to volumes, input costs and interest expense. Persistent volatility complicates forecasting, can depress realized returns during cyclical troughs, and raises execution risk for steady progress toward long-term targets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow above $1B and near-$1B free cash flow provide durable internal funding for operations, capex, R&D and capital returns. Strong cash conversion reduces refinancing reliance and underpins the firm's ability to execute Vision 2030 investments and buyback plans even in cyclical troughs.
Read all positive factors
Carlisle Companies (CSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$13.56B
Dividend Yield1.28%
Average Volume (3M)392.15K
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.5
Beta (1Y)1.17
Revenue Growth0.14%
EPS Growth3.88%
CountryUS
Employees5,500
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryConstruction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.90
Shares Outstanding40,883,870
10 Day Avg. Volume291,196
30 Day Avg. Volume392,147
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.48
Price to Book (P/B)7.63
Price to Sales (P/S)2.73
P/FCF Ratio14.10
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.17
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.15
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit8.83
Enterprise Value/Ebitda12.93
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$429.25Price Target Upside24.84% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)20.71
Revenue Forecast (FY)$5.08B
Carlisle Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Carlisle Companies Incorporated operates as a diversified manufacturer of engineered products in the United States, Europe, Asia, Canada, Mexico, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Carlisle Constructi...
How the Company Makes Money
Carlisle makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling building-envelope and roofing products, with the majority of revenue generated through its Carlisle Construction Materials segment. Revenue is earned from (1) product sales of commercial ...
Carlisle Companies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Highlights revenue from different business units, indicating which segments are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Highlights revenue from different business units, indicating which segments are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCarlisle Companies Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call struck a constructive overall tone: Carlisle reported strong full-year financial results driven by high ROIC (≈25%), robust cash generation (operating cash flow > $1B and free cash flow of $972M), aggressive capital returns ($1.3B buybacks and a 10% dividend increase), and clear long-term targets under Vision 2030 supported by product innovation and operational improvements. Near-term headwinds were also acknowledged—organic revenue declines, margin compression in Q4 (300 bps) and a 13% drop in quarterly EPS, soft new construction and residential markets, and a muted M&A environment due to elevated seller valuations. Management provided a conservative but constructive 2026 outlook (low single-digit revenue growth, ~50 bps EBITDA expansion, $1B planned buybacks) and reiterated strategic levers (COS, innovation, disciplined M&A) to reach long-term goals. Overall, positives around cash generation, returns, strategic clarity and innovation outweigh the near-term demand and margin pressures.Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Profitability
Full-year 2025 revenue of $5.0 billion; adjusted EPS of $19.40; adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.4%; ROIC approximately 25% (management describes as best-in-class).
Negative Updates
Organic Revenue Declines and End-Market Softness
Organic consolidated revenue declined 3% in Q4 2025; CCM revenue down 0.8% in Q4; CWT organic revenue declined 7% in Q4 due to softer residential and nonresidential new construction demand.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year Revenue and Profitability
Full-year 2025 revenue of $5.0 billion; adjusted EPS of $19.40; adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.4%; ROIC approximately 25% (management describes as best-in-class).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Carlisle guided 2026 to consolidated revenue growth of low single digits (Q1 down low-single-digits, Q2 flat, with a stronger second half), about +50 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion versus 2025, a $1.0 billion share repurchase plan, and an expected ROIC of ~25% with free cash flow margin >15%; this guidance is framed against 2025 results of $5.0 billion revenue, $19.40 adjusted EPS, 24.4% adjusted EBITDA margin, ~25% ROIC, $972 million free cash flow (19.4% margin), $1.3 billion of share repurchases and $181 million of dividends, and Q4 2025 of ~$1.1 billion revenue, $249 million adjusted EBITDA (22.1% margin) and $3.90 adjusted EPS (CCM Q4 revenue $827M, EBITDA $222M, 26.8% margin; CWT Q4 revenue $301M, EBITDA $48M, 15.9% margin); management reiterated Vision 2030 targets — $40 adjusted EPS, >25% ROIC, enterprise EBITDA ≥25% (CCM >30%, CWT >25%), R&D to 3% of sales and 25% of revenue from products ≤5 years old — while assuming largely flat pricing and mixed raw-material dynamics with tailwinds beginning in Q2.Carlisle Companies Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 5.02B | 5.00B | 4.59B | 5.45B | 3.84B |
| Gross Profit | 1.79B | 1.89B | 1.63B | 1.87B | 1.10B |
| EBITDA | 1.22B | 1.36B | 1.21B | 1.46B | 796.30M |
| Net Income | 740.70M | 1.31B | 767.40M | 924.00M | 421.70M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 6.26B | 5.82B | 6.62B | 7.22B | 7.25B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.11B | 753.50M | 576.70M | 364.80M | 324.40M |
| Total Debt | 2.88B | 1.99B | 2.32B | 2.62B | 2.99B |
| Total Liabilities | 4.47B | 3.35B | 3.79B | 4.20B | 4.62B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.80B | 2.46B | 2.83B | 3.02B | 2.63B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 970.60M | 945.80M | 1.07B | 817.40M | 292.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.10B | 1.06B | 1.21B | 1.00B | 426.80M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -240.40M | 1.23B | 352.40M | -61.10M | -1.49B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -503.70M | -2.11B | -1.35B | -862.00M | 488.10M |
Carlisle Companies Technical Analysis
Neutral
343.85
Price Trends
365.45
Negative
347.14
Negative
354.58
Negative
Market Momentum
-8.61
Negative
48.91
Neutral
40.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 343.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 336.25, below the 50-day MA of 365.45, and below the 200-day MA of 354.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CSL.
Carlisle Companies Risk Analysis
Carlisle Companies disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Carlisle Companies reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Carlisle Companies Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $13.56B | 18.48 | 36.69% | 1.28% | 0.14% | 3.88% | |
76 Outperform | $11.48B | 30.06 | 25.82% | 0.47% | 2.48% | -6.92% | |
72 Outperform | $7.40B | 31.80 | 36.09% | 0.66% | 15.10% | 23.35% | |
64 Neutral | $9.08B | -17.89 | -11.39% | 2.43% | 3.47% | -148.53% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
56 Neutral | $12.67B | 16.37 | -537.31% | 1.94% | -3.62% | 3.41% | |
45 Neutral | $9.19B | 90.31 | 10.11% | ― | -6.44% | -48.84% |
* Industrials Sector Average
CSL
Carlisle Companies
343.85
5.25
1.55%
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112.91
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.