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Carlisle Companies (CSL)
NYSE:CSL

Carlisle Companies (CSL) AI Stock Analysis

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CSL

Carlisle Companies

(NYSE:CSL)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$354.00
▲(6.68% Upside)
Carlisle Companies' overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and effective cash flow management, tempered by challenges in profitability and market conditions. The technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, while valuation metrics indicate reasonable pricing. The earnings call highlighted both challenges and strategic initiatives, and the recent corporate event adds a positive outlook for future growth.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Management
Effective cash management and operational efficiency ensure financial stability and support growth initiatives, enhancing long-term resilience.
Reroofing Demand Stability
Stable demand for reroofing driven by aging infrastructure and energy efficiency mandates supports sustained revenue in the core segment.
Leadership Change at CCM
New leadership with industry expertise can drive strategic growth and innovation, enhancing competitive positioning in the construction materials sector.
Negative Factors
New Construction Market Challenges
Economic uncertainties and high interest rates dampen new construction activity, potentially affecting revenue growth and market expansion.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Decline
Margin decline indicates increased costs or inefficiencies, which can pressure profitability and limit financial flexibility over time.
Flat Revenue Forecast
A flat revenue outlook suggests limited growth opportunities, potentially impacting long-term strategic objectives and shareholder value.

Carlisle Companies (CSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Carlisle Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCarlisle Companies Incorporated is a diversified global manufacturer of niche-oriented and highly engineered products. Headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, the company operates across several key sectors, including construction materials, specialty roofing, and industrial components. Carlisle's core products include roofing systems, insulation, and a variety of engineered products for the commercial and industrial markets, aimed at enhancing performance and sustainability.
How the Company Makes MoneyCarlisle Companies generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse range of products across multiple sectors. Key revenue streams include the manufacturing and distribution of roofing systems and related products, which are sold to contractors, distributors, and building owners. Additionally, the company earns income from its construction materials segment, which focuses on insulation and waterproofing solutions. Strategic partnerships with contractors and distributors enhance Carlisle's market reach and customer base. The company also capitalizes on growth opportunities through acquisitions, expanding its product offerings and market presence, further solidifying its earnings potential.

Carlisle Companies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCarlisle's U.S. revenue shows a strong rebound in Q2 2025, aligning with the company's robust reroofing business, which is a key growth driver. However, international revenue remains subdued, reflecting broader challenges in new construction and higher interest rates. The earnings call highlights a strategic focus on sustainability and innovation, with acquisitions like Bonded Logic enhancing market presence. Despite flat overall revenue growth and margin pressures, Carlisle's Vision 2030 aims for significant EPS growth, signaling long-term confidence amidst current headwinds.
Data provided by:The Fly

Carlisle Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Carlisle Companies demonstrated strong performance in its CCM segment and maintained financial discipline with capital deployment, significant challenges in the new construction market and the CWT segment's performance dampened overall results. The flat revenue forecast and margin declines further balance out the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Reroofing Demand
Reroofing demand, which represents approximately 70% of CCM's commercial roofing revenue, remains strong due to factors such as aging commercial building stock and energy efficiency mandates.
Successful Capital Deployment
Carlisle repurchased 800,000 shares for $300 million and raised its dividend by 10%, marking the 49th consecutive annual increase.
Innovation Pipeline and Vision 2030
New products like RapidLock and VP Tech are gaining traction, aligning with industry trends of energy efficiency and labor savings. Vision 2030 aims for 25% of revenue from recently introduced products.
Strong Financial Position
Carlisle has a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.4x, within the target range, and issued $1 billion of debt to enhance liquidity for growth initiatives.
Negative Updates
New Construction Market Challenges
Continued weakness in new construction due to high interest rates and economic uncertainty, affecting both residential and commercial sectors.
Impact on CWT Segment
CWT segment negatively impacted by elevated mortgage rates and affordability challenges, leading to a 13% year-over-year decline in adjusted EBITDA.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Decline
Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased by 170 basis points to 25.9% due to lower volumes at CWT and investments in innovation.
Flat Revenue Forecast
Full year consolidated revenue is expected to be flat year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA margin down 250 basis points.
Company Guidance
During Carlisle Companies' Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a flat revenue outlook for the full year 2025, with an expected adjusted EBITDA margin decline of 250 basis points year-over-year. Despite a challenging environment in the new construction market due to high interest rates and economic uncertainties, the company achieved a third-quarter revenue of $1.3 billion, up 1% from the previous year, and an adjusted EPS of $5.61. Carlisle's focus on its Vision 2030 initiatives, including product innovation and strategic M&A, remains strong, with a commitment to generating $40 of adjusted EPS by 2030 and maintaining a 25% ROIC. The company also emphasized disciplined capital deployment, having repurchased 800,000 shares for $300 million and increased its dividend by 10%.

Carlisle Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Carlisle Companies demonstrates strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, positioning it well for future expansion. However, challenges in maintaining net profitability and managing leverage remain areas for improvement. The company shows resilience in the construction industry, with opportunities to enhance profitability and leverage management for sustained growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Carlisle Companies shows strong revenue growth in the TTM period with a 26.6% increase, indicating robust demand and effective business strategies. The gross profit margin improved significantly in the TTM period compared to the previous year, suggesting better cost management. However, the net profit margin decreased from 26.2% to 15.5%, indicating increased expenses or other financial pressures affecting net income. Overall, the company demonstrates strong revenue growth but faces challenges in maintaining net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management, although it remains a concern with a high level of debt relative to equity. The return on equity decreased from 53.3% to 35.5%, reflecting reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not available for the TTM period, but previous data suggests a stable equity position. Overall, the balance sheet shows improvement in leverage but highlights the need for better profitability management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Carlisle Companies exhibits strong cash flow performance with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 11.6% in the TTM period, indicating effective cash management and operational efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains high at 88.2%, demonstrating the company's ability to convert net income into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is unavailable for the TTM period. Overall, the company's cash flow position is strong, supporting its financial stability and growth potential.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.02B5.00B4.59B5.45B3.84B3.97B
Gross Profit1.82B1.89B1.63B1.87B1.10B1.14B
EBITDA1.24B1.36B1.21B1.46B796.30M705.00M
Net Income776.10M1.31B767.40M924.00M421.70M320.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.46B5.82B6.62B7.22B7.25B5.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.10B753.50M576.70M364.80M324.40M897.10M
Total Debt2.88B1.99B2.32B2.62B2.99B2.13B
Total Liabilities3.64B3.35B3.79B4.20B4.62B3.33B
Stockholders Equity1.99B2.46B2.83B3.02B2.63B2.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow958.50M945.80M1.07B817.40M292.00M604.80M
Operating Cash Flow1.09B1.06B1.21B1.00B426.80M700.30M
Investing Cash Flow-478.70M1.23B352.40M-61.10M-1.49B-122.60M
Financing Cash Flow-1.03B-2.11B-1.35B-862.00M488.10M-24.70M

Carlisle Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price331.82
Price Trends
50DMA
322.02
Positive
100DMA
344.85
Negative
200DMA
356.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.92
Negative
RSI
59.99
Neutral
STOCH
69.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 331.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 317.14, above the 50-day MA of 322.02, and below the 200-day MA of 356.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSL.

Carlisle Companies Risk Analysis

Carlisle Companies disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Carlisle Companies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Carlisle Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.04B26.6838.03%0.68%15.10%23.35%
74
Outperform
$11.64B25.5327.09%0.47%2.48%-6.92%
70
Outperform
$13.83B18.7332.36%1.27%0.14%3.88%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$12.00B19.9213.56%-6.44%-48.84%
53
Neutral
$13.28B16.381.91%-3.62%3.41%
52
Neutral
$9.53B-19.89-3.27%2.43%3.47%-148.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSL
Carlisle Companies
331.82
-68.12
-17.03%
AWI
Armstrong World
184.80
35.31
23.62%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
104.66
-55.46
-34.64%
MAS
Masco
64.92
-10.26
-13.65%
OC
Owens Corning
113.70
-66.03
-36.74%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
148.33
27.19
22.45%

Carlisle Companies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Carlisle Companies Appoints New President for CCM
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Carlisle Companies announced the appointment of Jason Taylor as President of Carlisle Construction Materials, succeeding Steve Schwar who will become Vice Chairman. Taylor, with extensive experience from Beacon Building Products, is expected to lead CCM into its next growth phase, leveraging his industry knowledge and leadership skills.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025