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Lennox International (LII)
NYSE:LII
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Lennox International (LII) AI Stock Analysis

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LII

Lennox International

(NYSE:LII)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$660.00
â–²(14.18% Upside)
Lennox International's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are significant strengths, supporting a solid stock score. However, technical indicators suggest limited momentum, and the valuation indicates moderate pricing, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
Lennox announced the acquisition of NSI Industries’ HVAC assets, Duro Dyne and Supco, for $550 million, which is expected to add $225 million in revenue and enhance the company's overall financial performance.
Financial Performance
Shares are up 8% with a 14% EPS beat and raised guide mainly due to stronger margins, signaling strong financial performance.
Joint Venture
Lennox announced a joint venture with Ariston Group to sell residential water heaters by leveraging the Lennox brand and distribution, expanding product categories and improving distribution economics.
Negative Factors
Consumer Sentiment
Consumer purchase intentions have likely decreased, which may contribute to ongoing challenges for Lennox International.
Demand Challenges
The industry is facing potential demand headwinds in 2026 and beyond, as it has already pulled forward more than 4 million units of demand over the last five years.
Market Uncertainty
There is limited near-term relative valuation expansion expected due to elevated market uncertainty and diminished revision risk.

Lennox International (LII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lennox International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLennox International Inc. (LII) is a global leader in the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) markets. The company operates through three primary segments: Residential Heating & Cooling, Commercial Heating & Cooling, and Refrigeration. Lennox designs, manufactures, and distributes a range of innovative HVAC systems, equipment, and related products, focusing on energy efficiency and sustainability. Its core offerings include air conditioners, furnaces, heat pumps, and refrigeration products, serving both residential and commercial customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyLennox International generates revenue primarily through the sale of HVAC systems and related products across its three segments. The Residential Heating & Cooling segment contributes significantly to revenue by providing a wide range of heating and cooling systems for homes. The Commercial Heating & Cooling segment focuses on larger-scale HVAC solutions for businesses and commercial properties, while the Refrigeration segment offers products and services for the food service and retail industries. Additionally, Lennox earns revenue through service and maintenance contracts, as well as parts and accessories for its systems. The company's strong relationships with distributors and contractors enhance its market reach and sales, contributing to its overall earnings. Lennox also invests in research and development to innovate and improve product efficiency, which helps maintain its competitive edge and attract customers in a rapidly evolving industry.

Lennox International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a mix of strong financial performance and strategic progress, offset by challenges such as industry destocking, refrigerant shortages, and softness in new construction demand. Despite these challenges, the company raised its full-year guidance, indicating confidence in its strategic initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Margin Growth
Revenue grew by 3%, and segment margin reached a record 23.6%, an increase of 170 basis points, highlighting the company's strong performance amid challenging conditions.
Successful Product Transition
The transition to R-454B refrigerant products was successful, with about 90% of refrigerant-based product sales containing the new refrigerant, contributing positively to both revenue and profit growth.
Increased Financial Guidance
The company raised its full-year guidance, now expecting adjusted earnings per share between $23.25 and $24.25, and revenue growth of approximately 3%.
Strategic Partnerships
Joint ventures with Samsung and Ariston are expected to enhance the product portfolio and drive growth in future years, with Samsung contributing meaningfully in 2026 and Ariston in 2027.
Improved Factory Productivity
BCS segment showed improved factory productivity for the first time in several quarters, helping to offset inflationary pressures.
Negative Updates
Softness in New Construction
The company faced challenges due to softness in new residential construction demand, impacting sales volumes.
Refrigerant Canister Shortages
Shortages of R-454B refrigerant canisters affected dealer confidence and sales, impacting the HCS segment.
Industry Destocking
Industry-wide destocking of R-410A equipment presented a challenge, although it was largely in line with expectations.
Pressure in Light Commercial HVAC
The light commercial HVAC sector faced pressure from soft end-market demand, with industry shipment volumes down double digits.
Company Guidance
During the Lennox second quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong performance and strategic execution despite challenging market conditions. Lennox reported a 3% revenue growth and a record segment margin of 23.6%, up 170 basis points. The company raised its full-year outlook, expecting adjusted earnings per share to range from $23.25 to $24.25 and revenue growth of approximately 3%. The guidance accounts for anticipated cost inflation of 6%, down from a prior estimate of 9%, due to successful tariff mitigation efforts. The company expects continued margin expansion, with full-year margins projected to increase by 50 basis points. Lennox emphasized its strategic focus on enhancing product offerings through joint ventures, notably with Samsung and Ariston, to drive future growth. The guidance reflects confidence in overcoming headwinds, such as industry destocking and R-454B refrigerant shortages, with the expectation of improved conditions in the second half of the year.

Lennox International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lennox International shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, robust profit margins, and solid cash flow management. However, the balance sheet indicates moderate leverage, which requires monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Lennox International has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 1.41% compared to the prior year. Gross profit margins are robust at 33.12%, and net profit margins have improved to 15.41%. The EBIT margin of 19.52% and EBITDA margin of 19.89% indicate strong operational efficiency. The steady revenue growth and healthy profit margins reflect a solid financial performance in the construction industry.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has managed to improve its stockholders' equity, which stands positive at $900.5 million as of the latest TTM data. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.72, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 92.67%, due to the significant net income relative to equity. An equity ratio of 24.65% suggests a balanced approach to leveraging assets for growth. Overall, the balance sheet reflects improving financial stability, though attention to debt levels remains crucial.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Lennox International exhibits strong cash flow management, with a free cash flow of $680.1 million for the TTM, marking a growth of -13.05% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.00, indicating that operating cash flow fully supports net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.81 suggests solid cash conversion from earnings. While free cash flow has declined slightly, cash flow from operations remains robust, supporting ongoing investment and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.42B5.34B4.98B4.72B4.19B3.63B
Gross Profit1.79B1.77B1.55B1.28B1.19B1.04B
EBITDA1.16B1.13B879.50M733.50M658.50M547.50M
Net Income834.60M806.90M590.10M497.10M464.00M356.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.65B3.47B2.80B2.57B2.17B2.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.10M422.30M69.10M61.10M36.50M129.00M
Total Debt1.55B1.49B1.53B1.75B1.44B1.18B
Total Liabilities2.75B2.62B2.51B2.77B2.44B2.05B
Stockholders Equity900.50M850.20M285.30M-203.10M-269.00M-17.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow680.10M782.10M486.00M201.20M408.70M533.90M
Operating Cash Flow835.50M945.70M736.20M302.30M515.50M612.40M
Investing Cash Flow-168.80M-174.40M-319.70M-103.00M-106.40M-79.70M
Financing Cash Flow-668.50M-418.60M-406.20M-174.10M-498.70M-441.80M

Lennox International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price578.05
Price Trends
50DMA
597.32
Negative
100DMA
578.37
Negative
200DMA
593.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-11.56
Positive
RSI
49.07
Neutral
STOCH
43.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LII, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 578.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 578.66, below the 50-day MA of 597.32, and below the 200-day MA of 593.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -11.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LII.

Lennox International Risk Analysis

Lennox International disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lennox International reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lennox International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$19.72B23.30112.94%0.85%7.92%29.72%
74
Outperform
$12.74B39.0312.26%1.72%13.08%-67.65%
73
Outperform
$15.15B19.22-118.61%1.65%-2.73%-8.31%
71
Outperform
$91.93B32.4038.89%0.88%10.20%24.57%
71
Outperform
$70.08B31.8112.52%1.39%-13.10%40.62%
68
Neutral
$54.07B24.9310.79%1.32%-5.24%-33.37%
66
Neutral
$2.65B14.3813.52%3.54%2.94%43.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LII
Lennox International
578.05
27.53
5.00%
TT
Trane Technologies
413.83
71.71
20.96%
JCI
Johnson Controls
106.23
38.83
57.61%
MAS
Masco
76.07
0.06
0.08%
OC
Owens Corning
155.59
1.67
1.08%
CARR
Carrier Global
65.51
-4.37
-6.25%

Lennox International Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Lennox International Elects Tracy A. Embree to Board
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Lennox International announced the election of Tracy A. Embree to its Board of Directors as a Class III Director, effective June 1, 2025. Ms. Embree, with extensive leadership experience from Otis Americas and Cummins Inc., will also join the Board Governance and Compensation and Human Resources Committees. Her compensation aligns with the company’s standard for non-employee directors. The Board confirmed her independence and lack of related party transactions requiring disclosure. Additionally, during the company’s Annual Meeting, stockholders voted on three proposals: electing two Class III Directors, approving executive compensation, and ratifying Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. All proposals received significant approval, with the advisory vote on executive compensation achieving approximately 93% support.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025