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Lennox International (LII)
NYSE:LII
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Lennox International (LII) AI Stock Analysis

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LII

Lennox International

(NYSE:LII)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$524.00
▲(6.46% Upside)
Lennox International's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and promising acquisition strategies, tempered by bearish technical indicators and revised revenue guidance. The company's high leverage and recent cash flow challenges also contribute to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Segment Margin Strength
Record segment margins indicate strong operational efficiency and pricing power, which can sustain profitability even amidst market challenges.
Acquisition Strategy
Strategic acquisitions enhance product offerings and market reach, potentially driving long-term revenue growth and margin expansion.
BCS Segment Growth
Strong performance in the BCS segment reflects effective market positioning and product demand, supporting overall company growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue highlights challenges in core markets, which may impact future growth unless market conditions improve.
High Debt Levels
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, particularly in volatile market conditions, affecting long-term stability.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Declining free cash flow growth can constrain investment capacity and shareholder returns, impacting future financial health.

Lennox International (LII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lennox International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLennox International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets a range of products for the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration markets in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Residential Heating & Cooling, Commercial Heating & Cooling, and Refrigeration. The Residential Heating & Cooling segment provides furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, packaged heating and cooling systems, indoor air quality equipment and accessories, comfort control products, and replacement parts and supplies for residential replacement and new construction markets. The Commercial Heating & Cooling segment offers unitary heating and air conditioning equipment, applied systems, controls, installation and service of commercial heating and cooling equipment, and variable refrigerant flow commercial products for light commercial markets. The Refrigeration segment offers condensing units, unit coolers, fluid coolers, air cooled condensers, air handlers, and refrigeration rack systems for preserving food and other perishables in supermarkets, convenience stores, restaurants, warehouses, and distribution centers, as well as for data centers, machine tooling, and other cooling applications; and compressor racks and industrial process chillers. The company sells its products and services through direct sales, distributors, and company-owned parts and supplies stores. Lennox International Inc. was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyLennox International generates revenue primarily through the sale of HVAC systems and related products across its three segments. The Residential Heating & Cooling segment contributes significantly to revenue by providing a wide range of heating and cooling systems for homes. The Commercial Heating & Cooling segment focuses on larger-scale HVAC solutions for businesses and commercial properties, while the Refrigeration segment offers products and services for the food service and retail industries. Additionally, Lennox earns revenue through service and maintenance contracts, as well as parts and accessories for its systems. The company's strong relationships with distributors and contractors enhance its market reach and sales, contributing to its overall earnings. Lennox also invests in research and development to innovate and improve product efficiency, which helps maintain its competitive edge and attract customers in a rapidly evolving industry.

Lennox International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong performance in segment margins and record earnings per share, but faced significant challenges with revenue declines and inventory issues. The acquisition strategy appears promising, yet the company had to revise its full-year guidance downwards. Looking ahead, the company is optimistic about 2026, expecting market recovery and growth from acquisitions and product introductions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Segment Margin
Lennox International Inc. achieved a segment margin of 21.7%, a record for the third quarter.
Record Adjusted Earnings Per Share
The adjusted earnings per share reached a third quarter record of $6.98, marking a 4% year-over-year increase.
BCS Segment Performance
Building Climate Solutions (BCS) segment profit margins expanded by 330 basis points, and revenue grew by 10% despite weak end markets.
Successful Acquisition Strategy
The acquisition of Durodyne and Subco, with annual revenues of approximately $225 million, is expected to be accretive in 2026 and offers strong margins and growth trajectory.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Overall revenue declined by 5% due to soft residential and commercial end markets, weak dealer confidence, and ongoing channel inventory rebalancing.
HCA Revenue Decline
Home Comfort Solutions (HCA) revenues declined by 12% due to a weak summer selling season and inventory rebalancing by contractors and distributors.
Lower Operating Cash Flow
Operating cash flow was $301 million, lower than the previous year due to elevated finished goods inventory levels.
Reduced Full-Year Revenue Guidance
The full-year revenue guidance was revised to a decline of 1%, down from a previous expectation of 3% growth.
Company Guidance
During the Lennox International Inc. third quarter earnings call for 2025, CEO Alok Maskara and CFO Michael P. Quenzer provided guidance amid challenging market conditions. The company experienced a 5% decline in revenue due to soft residential and commercial markets and inventory rebalancing issues, while maintaining a record segment margin of 21.7%. Operating cash flow reached $301 million, with adjusted earnings per share at $6.98, a 4% increase year-over-year. Despite a 12% revenue decline in the Home Comfort Solutions segment, the Building Climate Solutions segment achieved a 10% revenue growth, supported by share gains and strategic initiatives. The company adjusted its full-year outlook to a 1% anticipated sales decline and revised EPS guidance to a range of $22.75 to $23.25. Additionally, Lennox highlighted its recent acquisitions aimed at increasing the attachment rate for parts and accessories and anticipated significant opportunities for growth and cost synergies, contributing to an optimistic outlook for 2026.

Lennox International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lennox International shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and healthy profitability margins. The balance sheet indicates improving equity positions, though debt levels require monitoring. Cash flow generation remains solid, supporting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Lennox International has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 1.41% compared to the prior year. Gross profit margins are robust at 33.12%, and net profit margins have improved to 15.41%. The EBIT margin of 19.52% and EBITDA margin of 19.89% indicate strong operational efficiency. The steady revenue growth and healthy profit margins reflect a solid financial performance in the construction industry.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has managed to improve its stockholders' equity, which stands positive at $900.5 million as of the latest TTM data. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.72, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 92.67%, due to the significant net income relative to equity. An equity ratio of 24.65% suggests a balanced approach to leveraging assets for growth. Overall, the balance sheet reflects improving financial stability, though attention to debt levels remains crucial.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Lennox International exhibits strong cash flow management, with a free cash flow of $680.1 million for the TTM, marking a growth of -13.05% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.00, indicating that operating cash flow fully supports net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.81 suggests solid cash conversion from earnings. While free cash flow has declined slightly, cash flow from operations remains robust, supporting ongoing investment and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.35B5.34B4.98B4.72B4.19B3.63B
Gross Profit1.78B1.77B1.55B1.28B1.19B1.04B
EBITDA1.20B1.13B879.50M733.50M658.50M547.50M
Net Income841.40M806.90M590.10M497.10M464.00M356.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.52B3.47B2.80B2.57B2.17B2.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.20M422.30M69.10M61.10M36.50M129.00M
Total Debt1.21B1.49B1.53B1.75B1.44B1.18B
Total Liabilities2.45B2.62B2.51B2.77B2.44B2.05B
Stockholders Equity1.07B850.20M285.30M-203.10M-269.00M-17.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow534.30M782.10M486.00M201.20M408.70M533.90M
Operating Cash Flow684.10M945.70M736.20M302.30M515.50M612.40M
Investing Cash Flow-153.90M-174.40M-319.70M-103.00M-106.40M-79.70M
Financing Cash Flow-718.60M-418.60M-406.20M-174.10M-498.70M-441.80M

Lennox International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price492.22
Price Trends
50DMA
529.25
Negative
100DMA
562.58
Negative
200DMA
567.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-12.42
Positive
RSI
39.80
Neutral
STOCH
36.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LII, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 492.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 507.41, below the 50-day MA of 529.25, and below the 200-day MA of 567.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LII.

Lennox International Risk Analysis

Lennox International disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lennox International reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lennox International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$96.59B33.5237.07%0.84%8.58%20.37%
70
Outperform
$79.09B24.0311.86%1.24%-10.19%100.65%
68
Neutral
$47.88B22.819.44%1.56%-7.93%-35.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$17.19B20.6892.25%1.00%3.77%12.46%
53
Neutral
$13.08B16.142.00%-3.62%3.41%
51
Neutral
$9.29B-3.27%2.65%3.47%-148.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LII
Lennox International
492.22
-133.19
-21.30%
TT
Trane Technologies
434.50
27.70
6.81%
JCI
Johnson Controls
122.25
39.01
46.86%
MAS
Masco
61.99
-17.48
-21.99%
OC
Owens Corning
104.20
-82.62
-44.22%
CARR
Carrier Global
57.51
-18.15
-23.99%

Lennox International Corporate Events

Lennox International Reports Mixed Q3 Results
Oct 23, 2025

Lennox International, a prominent player in the energy-efficient climate-control solutions sector, offers a diverse range of HVAC systems and services for both residential and commercial clients, emphasizing sustainability and innovation.

Lennox International’s Earnings Call: Mixed Results and Optimistic Outlook
Oct 23, 2025

Lennox International’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of the company’s financial health and strategic direction. While the company celebrated record achievements in segment margins and earnings per share, it also faced notable challenges such as revenue declines and inventory issues. The company’s acquisition strategy appears promising, yet it had to revise its full-year guidance downwards. Looking ahead, Lennox remains optimistic about 2026, expecting market recovery and growth from acquisitions and new product introductions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025