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Trane Technologies (TT)
NYSE:TT
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Trane Technologies (TT) AI Stock Analysis

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TT

Trane Technologies

(NYSE:TT)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$483.00
â–²(14.07% Upside)
Trane Technologies' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. However, technical analysis and valuation present some concerns, with bearish momentum and a high P/E ratio suggesting potential overvaluation. The company's strategic initiatives and strong backlog provide confidence, but regional challenges and sector-specific risks remain.
Positive Factors
Company Ratings
Analyst upgrades the rating from equal-weight to overweight based on the belief that Trane Technologies is headed toward top-tier compounder status, valued with a quality-growth premium.
Stock Performance
Following earnings, Trane Technologies was rallying intraday, remaining an outperformer and ending up approximately 8% at the close.
Negative Factors
Economic Outlook
Uncertainties in the tariff landscape and concerns about consumer and economic growth create an uncertain outlook for US industrial stocks.
Market Demand
Negative catalysts could include weakening CHVAC demand, continued deterioration in the China business, and/or evidence of tariff-related uncertainty.

Trane Technologies (TT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trane Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrane Technologies plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the designing, manufacturing, selling, and servicing of solutions for heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and transport refrigeration. It offers air conditioners, exchangers, and handlers; airside and terminal devices; auxiliary power units; chillers; coils and condensers; gensets; furnaces; heat pumps; home automation products; humidifiers; hybrid and non-diesel transport refrigeration, and ice energy storage solutions; indoor air quality assessments and related products; large and light commercial unitary products; motor replacements; refrigerant reclamation products; thermostats/controls; transport heater products; variable refrigerant flow products; and water source heat pumps. The company also provides building management, control, ductless, geothermal, package heating and cooling, temporary heating and cooling, and unitary systems; bus, rail, and multi-pipe heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems; and container, cryogenic, diesel-powered, electric-powered trailer and truck, hybrid-powered trailer, industrial, rail, self-powered truck, trailer, and vehicle-powered truck refrigeration systems, as well as aftermarket and OEM parts and supplies. In addition, it offers energy and facility management, installation and performance contracting, repair and maintenance, and rental services. It markets and sells its products under the Trane and Thermo King brands through sales offices, distributors, and dealers in the United States; and through sales and service companies with a supporting chain of distributors worldwide. The company was formerly known as Ingersoll-Rand Plc and changed its name to Trane Technologies plc in March 2020. Trane Technologies plc was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrane Technologies generates revenue through the sale of its HVAC systems, services, and solutions. The company has a robust revenue model that includes multiple key streams: product sales from heating and cooling systems, installation and maintenance services, and energy management solutions. A significant portion of its earnings comes from recurring service contracts that provide ongoing maintenance and support for installed systems. Additionally, Trane Technologies benefits from partnerships with contractors, distributors, and builders, which help expand its market reach. The company's commitment to sustainability also attracts clients looking to reduce energy costs and comply with environmental regulations, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Trane Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Geography
Adjusted EBITDA by Geography
Highlights profitability across different regions, revealing where the company is most efficient and where it may face challenges or opportunities for margin improvement.
Chart InsightsTrane Technologies is experiencing strong growth in the Americas, with Adjusted EBITDA reaching new highs, driven by robust performance in the Commercial HVAC segment. However, EMEA and APAC regions face margin pressures due to challenging market conditions, particularly in China. Despite these challenges, the company has raised its full-year revenue and EPS guidance, reflecting confidence in its strategic initiatives and strong backlog. Investors should note the potential risks in residential HVAC and transport refrigeration sectors, which could impact future performance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Trane Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the commercial HVAC sector and robust services growth, leading to increased revenue and EPS guidance. However, challenges were noted in the residential HVAC segment due to supply shortages, and margin pressures in EMEA and Asia Pacific due to market conditions in China.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Bookings and Revenue Growth
Trane Technologies achieved record bookings and revenues in Q2 2025, with a 90 basis point expansion in adjusted operating margins and an 18% growth in adjusted EPS.
Americas Commercial HVAC Performance
Americas Commercial HVAC organic bookings reached all-time highs, with increases of over 20%. Orders for Applied Solutions surged by over 60% in the quarter.
Robust Services Business Growth
The services business delivered low teens growth in the quarter, maintaining a low teens compound annual growth rate since 2020.
Strong Backlog and Project Pipeline
The backlog remains strong at $7.1 billion, up 6% compared to year-end 2024, with a commercial HVAC book-to-bill ratio exceeding 100% in all regions.
Increased Revenue and EPS Guidance
Trane Technologies raised its full year revenue guidance to approximately 8% organic growth and adjusted EPS to approximately $13.05, up 16% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Residential HVAC Revenue Decline
Residential HVAC revenues fell short due to a near-term industry shortage of R-454B refrigerant cylinders, leading to a mid-single-digit decline in the quarter.
EMEA and Asia Pacific Margin Contraction
EMEA's adjusted EBITDA margin declined by 200 basis points, and Asia Pacific's margin contracted by 220 basis points due to lower volumes in China.
Transport Refrigeration Market Challenges
Americas transport refrigeration revenues were down low single digits, with end markets down over 30%.
Company Guidance
During Trane Technologies' second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a robust performance with record bookings and revenues, particularly in the Americas Commercial HVAC segment, which saw organic bookings rise by over 20%. The adjusted operating margins expanded by 90 basis points, and adjusted EPS grew by 18%. The services business, representing one-third of enterprise revenues, delivered low teens growth, maintaining a compound annual growth rate of low teens since 2020. The company's backlog remained strong at $7.1 billion, despite a sequential decline of $125 million due to expected reductions in the residential sector. Trane Technologies raised its full-year revenue and EPS guidance, with organic revenue growth now expected to be approximately 8%, and adjusted EPS projected at $13.05, a 16% year-over-year increase. The guidance also reflects adjustments for FX impacts, with M&A contributions remaining unchanged at 100 basis points for the year.

Trane Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trane Technologies demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and strong cash flow generation. The company maintains a strong balance sheet, although it carries a moderate level of debt.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Trane Technologies shows strong performance with a consistent increase in revenue, evidenced by significant revenue growth from 2020 to the TTM period. Gross profit and net profit margins are healthy, with a gross profit margin of 35.97% and a net profit margin of 13.27% in the TTM. The company has maintained stable EBIT and EBITDA margins, demonstrating operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 and an equity ratio of 48.85% in the TTM. Return on equity is robust at 21.09%, indicating effective management of shareholder equity. However, some potential risks include the relatively high total debt, which could impact financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Trane Technologies exhibits strong cash flow performance with a substantial free cash flow growth rate in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.56, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.42 further supports the company's ability to generate cash beyond its earnings, highlighting operational strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.31B19.84B17.68B15.99B14.14B12.45B
Gross Profit7.30B7.08B5.86B4.96B4.47B3.80B
EBITDA4.06B3.86B3.15B2.72B2.32B1.83B
Net Income2.74B2.57B2.02B1.76B1.42B854.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.12B20.15B19.39B18.08B18.06B18.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments860.50M1.59B1.10B1.22B2.16B3.29B
Total Debt4.77B4.77B4.78B4.84B4.84B5.27B
Total Liabilities12.60B12.66B12.37B11.98B11.79B11.73B
Stockholders Equity7.49B7.46B7.00B6.11B6.27B6.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.83B2.77B2.09B1.21B1.37B1.29B
Operating Cash Flow3.23B3.15B2.39B1.50B1.59B1.44B
Investing Cash Flow-863.80M-562.90M-1.17B-540.40M-545.70M-376.20M
Financing Cash Flow-2.35B-2.02B-1.35B-1.85B-2.13B884.30M

Trane Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price423.43
Price Trends
50DMA
435.32
Negative
100DMA
406.68
Positive
200DMA
391.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.86
Positive
RSI
40.96
Neutral
STOCH
29.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 423.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 441.87, below the 50-day MA of 435.32, and above the 200-day MA of 391.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TT.

Trane Technologies Risk Analysis

Trane Technologies disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trane Technologies reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trane Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$95.35B34.0038.89%0.84%10.20%24.57%
72
Outperform
$21.05B25.62112.94%0.80%7.92%29.72%
69
Neutral
$16.72B21.7431.34%1.05%1.37%5.96%
68
Neutral
$68.72B31.1912.52%1.43%-13.10%40.62%
68
Neutral
$55.96B26.2410.79%1.32%-5.24%-33.37%
66
Neutral
$6.78B56.6615.52%0.43%5.39%-34.28%
63
Neutral
$10.80B16.806.58%2.07%2.49%-15.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TT
Trane Technologies
423.43
85.33
25.24%
AAON
Aaon
79.55
-8.81
-9.97%
CSL
Carlisle Companies
381.42
-18.06
-4.52%
JCI
Johnson Controls
103.52
35.35
51.86%
LII
Lennox International
591.66
27.03
4.79%
CARR
Carrier Global
65.40
-1.16
-1.74%

Trane Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Trane Technologies Shareholders Approve Key Governance Decisions
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

At the 2025 Annual General Meeting, Trane Technologies‘ shareholders elected twelve directors, approved executive compensation, and appointed PriceWaterhouseCoopers as independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, shareholders renewed the directors’ authority to issue shares and reallot treasury shares, indicating strong support for the company’s governance and strategic financial decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TT) stock is a Sell with a $295.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trane Technologies stock, see the TT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Trane Technologies Announces Retirement of Senior VP
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Evan M. Turtz, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary of Trane Technologies, announced his decision to retire later in the year. His retirement will follow a transition period with his successor to ensure a smooth leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (TT) stock is a Hold with a $407.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trane Technologies stock, see the TT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Trane Technologies Secures New $1 Billion Credit Agreement
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Trane Technologies entered into a new $1 billion senior unsecured revolving credit agreement, replacing the previous agreement set to expire in 2026. This new agreement, effective until 2030, will be used for working capital, supporting commercial paper programs, and other corporate purposes, with obligations guaranteed by the company and its subsidiaries.

The most recent analyst rating on (TT) stock is a Hold with a $407.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trane Technologies stock, see the TT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025