Trane Technologies (TT)
NYSE:TT
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Trane Technologies (TT) AI Stock Analysis

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TT

Trane Technologies

(NYSE:TT)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$509.00
â–²(20.69% Upside)
Trane Technologies' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, highlighting robust growth in key segments and strategic initiatives. Technical analysis supports a bullish trend, although valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overvalued. Challenges in certain markets are noted but are offset by the company's strong backlog and strategic focus.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Trane Technologies' strong revenue growth, particularly in the Americas Commercial HVAC segment, indicates robust market demand and effective sales strategies, which are crucial for long-term business expansion and profitability.
Robust Services Business
The consistent growth in the services segment, a key revenue driver, underscores the company's ability to generate recurring income and enhance customer loyalty, supporting sustainable long-term financial performance.
Strong Financial Health
Trane Technologies' stable balance sheet and high return on equity reflect efficient capital management and financial resilience, enabling the company to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Residential HVAC Challenges
The decline in residential HVAC revenues due to refrigerant shortages highlights potential supply chain vulnerabilities, which could impact the company's ability to meet demand and maintain market share in this segment.
EMEA Margin Decline
The margin decline in EMEA, despite revenue growth, indicates cost pressures and strategic challenges in the region, which could affect profitability and require strategic adjustments to improve efficiency.
Asia Pacific Revenue Decline
The revenue and margin decline in Asia Pacific suggests challenges in market penetration and competitive positioning, which may necessitate strategic initiatives to regain growth and improve operational efficiency in the region.

Trane Technologies (TT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trane Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrane Technologies plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the designing, manufacturing, selling, and servicing of solutions for heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and transport refrigeration. It offers air conditioners, exchangers, and handlers; airside and terminal devices; auxiliary power units; chillers; coils and condensers; gensets; furnaces; heat pumps; home automation products; humidifiers; hybrid and non-diesel transport refrigeration, and ice energy storage solutions; indoor air quality assessments and related products; large and light commercial unitary products; motor replacements; refrigerant reclamation products; thermostats/controls; transport heater products; variable refrigerant flow products; and water source heat pumps. The company also provides building management, control, ductless, geothermal, package heating and cooling, temporary heating and cooling, and unitary systems; bus, rail, and multi-pipe heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems; and container, cryogenic, diesel-powered, electric-powered trailer and truck, hybrid-powered trailer, industrial, rail, self-powered truck, trailer, and vehicle-powered truck refrigeration systems, as well as aftermarket and OEM parts and supplies. In addition, it offers energy and facility management, installation and performance contracting, repair and maintenance, and rental services. It markets and sells its products under the Trane and Thermo King brands through sales offices, distributors, and dealers in the United States; and through sales and service companies with a supporting chain of distributors worldwide. The company was formerly known as Ingersoll-Rand Plc and changed its name to Trane Technologies plc in March 2020. Trane Technologies plc was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrane Technologies generates revenue through the sale of its HVAC systems, services, and solutions. The company has a robust revenue model that includes multiple key streams: product sales from heating and cooling systems, installation and maintenance services, and energy management solutions. A significant portion of its earnings comes from recurring service contracts that provide ongoing maintenance and support for installed systems. Additionally, Trane Technologies benefits from partnerships with contractors, distributors, and builders, which help expand its market reach. The company's commitment to sustainability also attracts clients looking to reduce energy costs and comply with environmental regulations, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Trane Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Geography
Adjusted EBITDA by Geography
Highlights profitability across different regions, revealing where the company is most efficient and where it may face challenges or opportunities for margin improvement.
Chart InsightsTrane Technologies is experiencing strong growth in the Americas, with Adjusted EBITDA reaching new highs, driven by robust performance in the Commercial HVAC segment. However, EMEA and APAC regions face margin pressures due to challenging market conditions, particularly in China. Despite these challenges, the company has raised its full-year revenue and EPS guidance, reflecting confidence in its strategic initiatives and strong backlog. Investors should note the potential risks in residential HVAC and transport refrigeration sectors, which could impact future performance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Trane Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call depicted a strong performance in the Commercial HVAC and Services segments, with record bookings and robust free cash flow. However, challenges in the Residential and Transport markets, along with declining margins in EMEA, were notable lowlights. The company's strategic focus on innovation and backlog growth positions it well for the future, but market challenges in certain segments remain a concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Bookings
Trane Technologies achieved record quarterly bookings of $6 billion, representing organic growth of 13% year-over-year.
Strong Performance in Commercial HVAC
Americas Commercial HVAC bookings reached an all-time high, surging 30% year-over-year, with applied bookings more than doubling.
Robust Free Cash Flow
The company reported robust free cash flow, contributing to a strong financial performance.
Adjusted Operating Margin Expansion
Trane Technologies delivered 170 basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion and 15% adjusted EPS growth.
Significant Growth in Asia Pacific
In Asia Pacific, Commercial HVAC bookings were up mid-30s, with revenues growing in the low teens.
Services Business as a Growth Driver
The Services business, constituting approximately 1/3 of total revenues, grew in low double digits year-to-date and boasts a low-teens CAGR since 2020.
Positive Price Realization in Americas
The Americas segment reported positive price realization, contributing to the 4% organic revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Residential Bookings and Revenues Decline
Residential bookings and revenues declined approximately 30% and 20%, respectively, due to channel inventory normalization.
Impact of Residential Market Slowdown
The Residential market slowdown is expected to impact Q4 revenues by approximately $150 million.
Transport Refrigeration Market Challenges
The Americas Transport market forecast has softened incrementally, with Q4 expected revenues down approximately 10%.
EMEA Adjusted EBITDA Margins Decline
EMEA adjusted EBITDA margins declined by 60 basis points due to year-1 M&A-related integration costs.
Company Guidance
During the Trane Technologies Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year and into 2026. The guidance highlighted record quarterly bookings of $6 billion, marking a 13% organic growth year-over-year, and a 170 basis points expansion in adjusted operating margin. Adjusted EPS grew by 15%, and free cash flow remained strong. The Commercial HVAC business in the Americas experienced a 30% increase in bookings, with applied bookings more than doubling, contributing to an ending backlog of $7.2 billion. However, the Residential segment saw bookings and revenues decline by approximately 30% and 20%, respectively. Looking ahead, Trane Technologies revised its full-year guidance to reflect 6% organic revenue growth, despite headwinds in Residential and Transport Americas markets. The company expects adjusted EPS for 2025 to range between $12.95 and $13.05, indicating a 15% to 16% increase year-over-year. For Q4, organic revenue growth is projected at 3%, with adjusted EPS expected to be $2.75 to $2.85. The company emphasized its strategic focus on reinvestment, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and deploying excess cash through dividends, M&A, and share repurchases to maximize shareholder returns. Trane Technologies remains well-positioned for growth in 2026, driven by a strong backlog, innovative offerings, and a rapidly expanding pipeline in high-growth verticals such as data centers.

Trane Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trane Technologies demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage and high return on equity. While cash flow growth has faced recent challenges, the company maintains strong cash conversion metrics. Overall, the financial outlook remains positive, with potential for continued growth and profitability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Trane Technologies has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.45%. The company maintains healthy margins, including a gross profit margin of 36.42% and a net profit margin of 13.93% for TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 18.62% and 20.44%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is impressive at 37.67%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 39.05%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Trane Technologies faces challenges in cash flow growth, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -9.26% for TTM. However, the company maintains a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 86.36%, indicating good cash conversion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 45.28%, suggesting adequate cash flow generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.05B19.84B17.68B15.99B14.14B12.45B
Gross Profit7.67B7.08B5.86B4.96B4.47B3.80B
EBITDA4.30B3.86B3.15B2.72B2.32B1.83B
Net Income2.93B2.57B2.02B1.76B1.42B854.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.37B20.15B19.39B18.08B18.06B18.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.13B1.59B1.10B1.22B2.16B3.29B
Total Debt4.62B5.38B4.78B4.84B4.84B5.27B
Total Liabilities13.03B12.66B12.37B11.98B11.79B11.73B
Stockholders Equity8.35B7.46B7.00B6.11B6.27B6.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.55B2.77B2.09B1.21B1.37B1.29B
Operating Cash Flow2.95B3.15B2.39B1.50B1.59B1.44B
Investing Cash Flow-230.90M-562.90M-1.17B-540.40M-545.70M-376.20M
Financing Cash Flow-3.09B-2.02B-1.35B-1.85B-2.13B884.30M

Trane Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price421.75
Price Trends
50DMA
419.56
Positive
100DMA
426.62
Negative
200DMA
399.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.61
Positive
RSI
45.48
Neutral
STOCH
20.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 421.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 428.21, above the 50-day MA of 419.56, and above the 200-day MA of 399.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TT.

Trane Technologies Risk Analysis

Trane Technologies disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trane Technologies reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trane Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$96.12B33.3637.07%0.87%8.58%20.37%
70
Outperform
$80.27B24.3911.86%1.24%-10.19%100.65%
69
Neutral
$8.63B87.8212.08%0.37%8.77%-47.50%
69
Neutral
$13.40B18.1532.36%1.26%0.14%3.88%
68
Neutral
$48.28B23.019.44%1.58%-7.93%-35.00%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$17.17B20.6692.25%1.01%3.77%12.46%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TT
Trane Technologies
421.75
10.57
2.57%
AAON
Aaon
102.04
-32.04
-23.90%
CSL
Carlisle Companies
320.80
-129.33
-28.73%
JCI
Johnson Controls
122.66
38.34
45.47%
LII
Lennox International
476.95
-136.95
-22.31%
CARR
Carrier Global
55.99
-19.39
-25.72%

Trane Technologies Corporate Events

Trane Technologies Reports Robust Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 31, 2025

Trane Technologies plc is a global climate innovator specializing in efficient and sustainable climate solutions for buildings, homes, and transportation through its strategic brands Trane and Thermo King. In its latest earnings report, Trane Technologies announced robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighted by record enterprise bookings of $6 billion, a 15% increase from the previous year, and a 15% rise in adjusted earnings per share. The company also reported a significant growth in its commercial HVAC segment, particularly in the Americas, where organic bookings surged by 30% driven by a more than 100% increase in applied solutions.

Trane Technologies Reports Strong Q2 Results and Raises Guidance
Jul 31, 2025

Trane Technologies plc is a global climate innovator specializing in efficient and sustainable climate solutions for buildings, homes, and transportation through its strategic brands, Trane and Thermo King. In its latest earnings report, Trane Technologies announced a strong second quarter for 2025, with record enterprise bookings and a significant increase in earnings per share. The company reported a 5% increase in bookings, with net revenues rising by 8% compared to the previous year. The Americas segment led the growth, particularly in the Commercial HVAC sector, which saw a substantial rise in demand.

Trane Technologies Reports Strong Q2 Earnings
Jul 31, 2025

Trane Technologies’ recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, driven by strong performance in the commercial HVAC sector and robust growth in services. The company reported increased revenue and EPS guidance, although challenges were noted in the residential HVAC segment due to supply shortages and margin pressures in EMEA and Asia Pacific, particularly influenced by market conditions in China.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025