RTH - ETF AI Analysis

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VanEck Retail ETF (RTH)

Rating:70Outperform

Price Target:―

RTH, the VanEck Retail ETF, has a solid overall rating driven largely by heavyweight holdings like Walmart and Amazon, which benefit from strong financial performance, growth in e-commerce and cloud/ad businesses, and generally positive earnings commentary. Costco and TJX also support the fund’s quality through robust sales growth and strategic expansion, though concerns about overvaluation and some bearish technical signals in several holdings, along with leverage and profitability issues at names like CVS and McKesson, keep the rating from being higher. The main risk factor is that many top holdings face high valuations and leverage, which could make the fund more sensitive to market downturns or shifts in investor sentiment toward retail and consumer-related stocks.

Positive Factors

Broad Retail Exposure

The ETF holds a mix of leading retail and related companies across consumer cyclical, consumer defensive, and health care areas, giving investors diversified access to the retail theme.

Strong Recent Performance

The fund’s returns over the past month, three months, and year to date have been positive, showing solid recent momentum.

Generally Strong Top Holdings

Most of the largest positions, including major retailers and health care distributors, have shown steady to strong gains so far this year, supporting the fund’s overall results.

Negative Factors

High Stock Concentration

A small number of companies, especially Amazon and Walmart, make up a large share of the portfolio, which increases the impact if any of these stocks struggle.

Narrow U.S. Focus

Almost all of the fund’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if the U.S. market or economy weakens.

Sector Concentration in Consumer Spending

Heavy weighting in consumer cyclical and consumer defensive sectors means the ETF is sensitive to changes in consumer spending and retail industry conditions.

RTH vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM262.77M

RegionGlobal

Expense Ratio0.35%

Beta0.69

IssuerVanEck

Inception DateMay 02, 2001

Dividend Yield0.93%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedMVIS US Listed Retail 25

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume6,249

30 Day Avg. Volume5,415

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

303.08

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusStrong Buy

Number of Analyst Covering25

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

RTH Summary

The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) is a fund that follows the MVIS US Listed Retail 25 Index, focusing on major U.S. retail and consumer companies. It holds well-known names like Amazon and Walmart, along with other big retailers and related businesses that benefit when consumers spend more. Someone might invest in RTH to get simple, one-stop exposure to many leading retail brands instead of picking individual stocks, with potential growth as shopping and e-commerce continue to expand. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to the retail sector, so it can rise or fall sharply with consumer spending and the overall economy.

How much will it cost me?The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is a sector-focused fund, which often requires more active management to maintain its targeted exposure. It’s important to consider this cost when evaluating your investment options.

What would affect this ETF?The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) could benefit from continued growth in e-commerce and technological advancements, especially with top holdings like Amazon and Walmart driving innovation in online shopping and logistics. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact consumer spending, which is crucial for the retail sector. Additionally, regulatory changes or supply chain disruptions could pose challenges for some of the ETF's key companies.

RTH Top 10 Holdings

RTH is very much a retail story, with a tilt toward U.S. giants that dominate how and where people shop. Walmart and Costco are doing the heavy lifting right now, with steady-to-rising share prices that help offset Amazon, which has been losing steam and acting as a drag on the fund. Home Depot and Lowe’s are also in the plus column, riding firmer housing and renovation trends, while CVS and O’Reilly Auto have been lagging. Overall, it’s a concentrated bet on consumer spending, mostly tied to the U.S. economy.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
AMZN	Amazon	17.83%	$46.86M	$2.29T	9.74%	71 Outperform
WMT	Walmart	12.43%	$32.67M	$991.01B	41.58%	78 Outperform
COST	Costco	9.16%	$24.06M	$446.22B	7.59%	72 Outperform
TJX	TJX Companies	4.96%	$13.03M	$175.61B	34.46%	79 Outperform
HD	Home Depot	4.94%	$12.98M	$351.97B	-5.63%	66 Neutral
MCK	McKesson	4.93%	$12.96M	$115.40B	43.00%	62 Neutral
LOW	Lowe's	4.46%	$11.73M	$140.36B	3.23%	69 Neutral
ORLY	O'Reilly Auto	4.23%	$11.12M	$79.33B	5.39%	66 Neutral
CVS	CVS Health	4.23%	$11.12M	$99.56B	19.98%	64 Neutral
COR	Cencora	3.51%	$9.21M	$70.38B	38.32%	70 Neutral

RTH Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Neutral

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

260.79

Negative

100DMA

254.88

Positive

200DMA

247.77

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.04

Positive

RSI

47.48

Neutral

STOCH

44.80

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RTH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 261.97, equal to the 50-day MA of 260.79, and equal to the 200-day MA of 247.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RTH.

RTH Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
RTH	―	―	$262.77M	0.35%	70 Outperform
IVES	―	―	$925.25M	0.75%	73 Outperform
BUG	―	―	$850.61M	0.51%	65 Neutral
NUKZ	―	―	$833.32M	0.85%	58 Neutral
RXI	―	―	$266.64M	0.39%	69 Neutral
IBUY	―	―	$129.23M	0.65%	66 Neutral

Performance Comparison

RTH

VanEck Retail ETF

259.98

39.27

17.79%

IVES

Dan IVES Wedbush AI Revolution ETF

―

BUG

Global X Cybersecurity Etf

―

NUKZ

Range Nuclear Renaissance Index ETF

―

RXI

iShares Global Consumer Discretionary ETF

―

IBUY

Amplify Online Retail ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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