RTH - ETF AI Analysis

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VanEck Retail ETF (RTH)

Rating:70Outperform

Price Target:―

The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) demonstrates solid performance, driven primarily by its top holdings in Amazon and Walmart. Amazon contributes significantly with its strong financial performance and growth in AWS and advertising, though short-term technical weakness and premium valuation slightly temper its impact. Walmart adds further strength with its strategic advancements in e-commerce and technology, positioning it well for future growth despite valuation concerns. However, weaker holdings like O'Reilly Auto and Lowe's, which face challenges such as high leverage and bearish technical indicators, slightly weigh on the overall rating. A key risk for this ETF is its high concentration in a few top holdings, which could increase volatility if these stocks underperform.

Positive Factors

Strong Top Holdings

Several key holdings, such as Walmart, TJX Companies, and McKesson, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF's overall returns.

Sector Diversification

The ETF is diversified across consumer cyclical, consumer defensive, and health care sectors, reducing reliance on a single industry.

Reasonable Expense Ratio

The fund charges a relatively low expense ratio, making it cost-effective compared to many actively managed funds.

Negative Factors

High Concentration in Top Holdings

Amazon alone accounts for nearly 19% of the portfolio, increasing the risk tied to the performance of a single company.

Weak Recent Performance

The ETF's one-month performance has been slightly negative, indicating short-term challenges in the retail sector.

Limited Geographic Exposure

The fund is entirely focused on U.S. companies, offering no diversification across international markets.

RTH Historical Chart

AUM258.98M

RegionGlobal

Expense Ratio0.35%

Beta0.70

IssuerVanEck

Inception DateMay 02, 2001

Dividend Yield0.68%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedMVIS US Listed Retail 25

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume3,083

30 Day Avg. Volume3,953

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

296.06

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusStrong Buy

Number of Analyst Covering25

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

RTH Summary

The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) is an investment fund that focuses on the consumer discretionary sector, specifically retail companies. It includes a mix of well-known names like Amazon and Walmart, as well as other major players in e-commerce and brick-and-mortar retail. This ETF is designed for investors who want to benefit from the growth and innovation in the retail industry, which is constantly evolving to meet consumer needs. However, since it focuses heavily on retail, its performance can be affected by changes in consumer spending habits and economic conditions.

How much will it cost me?The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This expense ratio is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is a sector-focused fund, which often requires more active management to maintain its targeted exposure. It’s important to consider this cost when evaluating your investment options.

What would affect this ETF?The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) could benefit from continued growth in e-commerce and technological advancements, especially with top holdings like Amazon and Walmart driving innovation in online shopping and logistics. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact consumer spending, which is crucial for the retail sector. Additionally, regulatory changes or supply chain disruptions could pose challenges for some of the ETF's key companies.

RTH Top 10 Holdings

The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) is leaning heavily on Amazon, Walmart, and TJX Companies to drive performance, with Amazon showing mixed results as its e-commerce and cloud segments face short-term challenges. Walmart’s steady growth and e-commerce expansion provide a solid foundation, while TJX Companies is rising on strong profitability and strategic growth. However, Home Depot and Costco are dragging the fund, with bearish momentum and valuation concerns weighing on their outlook. The ETF is concentrated in consumer discretionary names, offering global exposure but heavily reliant on U.S. retail giants.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
AMZN	Amazon	19.79%	$51.35M	$2.51T	9.83%	71 Outperform
WMT	Walmart	9.88%	$25.63M	$896.23B	20.21%	78 Outperform
COST	Costco	7.45%	$19.33M	$408.62B	-6.12%	68 Neutral
HD	Home Depot	6.61%	$17.16M	$352.44B	-16.77%	66 Neutral
MCK	McKesson	5.49%	$14.24M	$102.41B	34.27%	72 Outperform
TJX	TJX Companies	5.31%	$13.77M	$166.96B	20.26%	79 Outperform
CVS	CVS Health	4.69%	$12.18M	$98.53B	31.14%	74 Outperform
ORLY	O'Reilly Auto	4.25%	$11.04M	$84.28B	20.00%	60 Neutral
LOW	Lowe's	4.00%	$10.38M	$136.41B	-11.38%	63 Neutral
COR	Cencora	3.64%	$9.44M	$68.03B	40.24%	76 Outperform

RTH Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

249.75

Positive

100DMA

247.95

Positive

200DMA

239.10

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

1.13

Negative

RSI

58.10

Neutral

STOCH

89.96

Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RTH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 251.21, equal to the 50-day MA of 249.75, and equal to the 200-day MA of 239.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RTH.

RTH Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
RTH	―	―	$258.98M	0.35%	―
CRBN	―	―	$989.25M	0.20%	―
BUG	―	―	$988.25M	0.51%	―
EIPI	―	―	$967.99M	1.11%	―
RXI	―	―	$459.69M	0.39%	―
IBUY	―	―	$142.14M	0.65%	―

Performance Comparison

RTH

VanEck Retail ETF

254.69

21.72

9.32%

CRBN

iShares MSCI ACWI Low Carbon Target ETF

―

BUG

Global X Cybersecurity Etf

―

EIPI

FT Energy Income Partners Enhanced Income ETF

―

RXI

iShares Global Consumer Discretionary ETF

―

IBUY

Amplify Online Retail ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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