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CVS Health Corp (CVS)
NYSE:CVS
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CVS Health (CVS) AI Stock Analysis

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CVS

CVS Health

(NYSE:CVS)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(13.60% Upside)
CVS Health's strong technical momentum and positive earnings outlook are the most significant factors driving the score. While financial performance is solid, there is room for improvement in profitability. The valuation is reasonable, and the earnings call provided a positive outlook despite some challenges.
Positive Factors
Analyst Upgrade
Analyst upgrades CVS from Neutral to Buy, following two strong consecutive quarters of execution and early signs that the Healthcare Benefits (HCB) segment fixes are on track.
Contract Wins
CVS Caremark wins contract from OptumRx, providing outpatient prescription drug benefits for approximately 587K members enrolled in Basic or Medicare HMO and PPO plans.
Earnings Guidance
Management has increased the adjusted EPS guidance for 2025, indicating confidence in future performance.
Negative Factors
Operating Income Decline
There is an expectation of a decline in adjusted operating income for PCW in the second half of the year.
Stars Results and Drug Pricing
There remain several key risks to the stock, with Stars results and potential most favored nation drug pricing being immediate concerns.

CVS Health (CVS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CVS Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCVS Health Corporation provides health services in the United States. The company's Health Care Benefits segment offers traditional, voluntary, and consumer-directed health insurance products and related services. It serves employer groups, individuals, college students, part-time and hourly workers, health plans, health care providers, governmental units, government-sponsored plans, labor groups, and expatriates. Its Pharmacy Services segment offers pharmacy benefit management solutions, including plan design and administration, formulary management, retail pharmacy network management, mail order pharmacy, specialty pharmacy and infusion, clinical, and disease and medical spend management services. It serves employers, insurance companies, unions, government employee groups, health plans, prescription drug plans, Medicaid managed care plans, plans offered on public health insurance and private health insurance exchanges, other sponsors of health benefit plans, and individuals. This segment operates retail specialty pharmacy stores; and specialty mail-order, mail-order dispensing, and compounding pharmacies, as well as branches for infusion and enteral nutrition services. The company's Retail/LTC segment sells prescription and over-the-counter drugs, consumer health and beauty products, and personal care products; and provides health care services through its MinuteClinic walk-in medical clinics. This segment also distributes prescription drugs; and provides related pharmacy consulting and other ancillary services to care facilities and other care settings. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 9,900 retail locations and 1,200 MinuteClinic locations, as well as online retail pharmacy websites, LTC pharmacies, and onsite pharmacies. The company was formerly known as CVS Caremark Corporation and changed its name to CVS Health Corporation in September 2014. CVS Health Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, Rhode Island.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVS Health generates revenue through multiple streams. The retail pharmacy segment earns money by selling prescription medications and a wide range of health and wellness products in its stores. The pharmacy services segment derives income from managing prescription drug benefits for employers, insurance companies, and other health plan sponsors. Additionally, CVS Health's health care benefits segment, which includes its Aetna subsidiary, provides health insurance products and services, contributing significantly to overall revenue. Key partnerships with pharmaceutical manufacturers and collaborations with various healthcare providers enhance its service offerings and can lead to increased earnings. The integration of in-store clinics and telehealth services also plays a role in diversifying revenue and attracting more customers.

CVS Health Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different business units, revealing which areas contribute most to growth and where the company might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsCVS Health's Health Care Benefits and Pharmacy and Consumer segments are experiencing robust growth, reflecting strong demand and strategic positioning. The Health Services segment shows fluctuations, indicating potential volatility or strategic shifts. Intersegment eliminations are increasing, suggesting higher internal transactions or structural changes. The Corporate and Other segment remains inconsistent, possibly due to non-core activities. Without recent earnings call insights, the focus remains on leveraging growth in core segments while managing intersegment dynamics to sustain overall revenue momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

CVS Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong revenue growth and solid performance in the Pharmacy and Consumer Wellness segment, alongside improvements in Health Care Benefits. However, challenges remain in the Health Services segment, particularly with Oak Street Health and Group Medicare Advantage, which have pressured the overall results. Despite these challenges, the company's outlook remains positive with an increased EPS guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Second quarter revenues of nearly $99 billion increased approximately 8% over the prior year quarter, driven by revenue growth across all segments.
Improvement in Health Care Benefits
Adjusted operating income in Health Care Benefits increased nearly 40% from the prior year quarter, driven by improvements in government businesses and higher favorable prior period development.
Pharmacy and Consumer Wellness Segment Performance
The segment delivered another strong quarter with revenues of over $33 billion, an increase of over 12% versus the prior year quarter.
Adjusted EPS Guidance Increase
Full year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance increased to a range of $6.30 to $6.40, reflecting strong performance and a positive outlook.
Pharmacy Volume Growth
Retail pharmacy script share in the quarter grew to approximately 27.8%, an increase of approximately 60 basis points from the same period last year.
Negative Updates
Pressure in Health Care Delivery
The Health Services segment experienced a decline in adjusted operating income by approximately 18%, driven by a higher medical benefit ratio within the health care delivery business.
Challenges in Group Medicare Advantage
A premium deficiency reserve in the group Medicare Advantage business of approximately $470 million due to elevated trends, impacting profitability.
Oak Street Health Pressures
The health care delivery business faced pressure from a higher medical benefit ratio at Oak Street Health, impacting the segment's performance.
Company Guidance
During CVS Health's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance, with adjusted operating income reaching $3.8 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.81. The company increased its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $6.30 to $6.40, up from the previous range of $6.00 to $6.20. CVS Health's revenue for the quarter was nearly $99 billion, marking an approximate 8% increase year-over-year. The Health Care Benefits segment saw revenue growth of over 11%, reaching more than $36 billion, driven by government business increases. The company also highlighted a strong start to the 2026 selling season with retention expected to be in the high 90s. Despite pressures in the health care delivery business, driven by higher medical benefit ratios at Oak Street, the Pharmacy and Consumer Wellness (PCW) segment delivered a strong quarter with revenue growth of over 12% and same-store pharmacy sales increasing by over 18%. The company is focused on tackling health care challenges by leveraging its diverse, scaled businesses and extensive consumer connections.

CVS Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CVS Health demonstrates solid revenue growth and effective cash management, though profitability margins and return on equity could be improved. The balance sheet is stable, with moderate leverage, supporting long-term financial health. Overall, CVS Health is positioned well in the healthcare sector but should focus on enhancing profitability metrics.
Income Statement
78
Positive
CVS Health has shown consistent revenue growth over recent periods, with a TTM revenue increase of 3.71% compared to the previous year. The company's gross profit margin remains steady at around 13.8% and the EBIT margin improved slightly to 2.3%. However, net profit margins are relatively low at 1.2%, indicating room for profitability enhancement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.07, suggesting moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 29.9%, pointing to a solid capital structure. Return on equity is modest at 5.9%, indicating potential for improved shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flows are robust, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.67, showing strong cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow has decreased, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.05, suggesting efficient cash utilization despite recent declines.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue386.64B372.81B357.78B322.47B292.11B268.71B
Gross Profit53.45B51.40B54.43B54.50B52.12B49.05B
EBITDA13.01B13.68B18.20B12.35B17.53B17.12B
Net Income4.53B4.61B8.34B4.31B8.00B7.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets258.34B253.22B249.73B228.28B233.00B230.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.22B10.99B11.46B15.72B12.53B10.85B
Total Debt82.72B82.92B79.39B70.73B76.00B85.04B
Total Liabilities180.79B177.49B173.09B156.51B157.62B161.01B
Stockholders Equity77.38B75.56B76.46B71.47B75.08B69.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.78B6.33B10.39B13.45B15.74B13.43B
Operating Cash Flow7.57B9.11B13.43B16.18B18.27B15.87B
Investing Cash Flow-5.68B-7.61B-20.89B-5.05B-5.26B-5.53B
Financing Cash Flow-2.68B-1.14B2.68B-10.52B-11.36B-7.70B

CVS Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.30
Price Trends
50DMA
65.12
Positive
100DMA
64.68
Positive
200DMA
60.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.10
Negative
RSI
73.47
Negative
STOCH
90.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.52, above the 50-day MA of 65.12, and above the 200-day MA of 60.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.47 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVS.

CVS Health Risk Analysis

CVS Health disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CVS Health reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CVS Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$90.43B19.895.95%3.73%6.27%-36.28%
73
Outperform
$278.42B13.3223.14%2.77%9.98%52.31%
71
Outperform
$36.02B22.999.03%1.18%9.88%-7.25%
71
Outperform
$69.72B13.1812.48%2.11%10.21%-17.79%
70
Outperform
$9.37B8.6023.93%16.12%10.99%
63
Neutral
$14.44B7.277.50%12.96%-23.25%
51
Neutral
$7.88B-0.12-39.83%2.18%21.38%-1.56%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVS
CVS Health
71.30
15.17
27.03%
CNC
Centene
29.41
-48.26
-62.13%
HUM
Humana
299.51
-48.85
-14.02%
MOH
Molina Healthcare
174.44
-172.85
-49.77%
UNH
UnitedHealth
307.42
-268.83
-46.65%
ELV
Elevance Health
316.55
-219.61
-40.96%

CVS Health Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
CVS Health Issues $4 Billion in Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

On August 11, 2025, CVS Health Corporation entered into an Underwriting Agreement to issue and sell $4 billion in senior notes with varying maturity dates and interest rates, including 5.000% Senior Notes due 2032 and 6.250% Senior Notes due 2065. The issuance, completed on August 15, 2025, is expected to yield net proceeds of approximately $3.96 billion, which may impact the company’s financial strategy and market positioning by potentially enhancing its capital structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025