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CVS Health Corp (CVS)
NYSE:CVS
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CVS Health (CVS) AI Stock Analysis

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CVS

CVS Health

(NYSE:CVS)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$114.00
▲(47.48% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is driven by attractive valuation (low P/E with dividend support) and positive technical momentum (price above major moving averages), reinforced by a guidance raise and strong Q1 execution. The main limiter is financial performance: margins and ROE have compressed materially despite revenue growth, and several earnings-call risks (medical cost trends, segment profit pressure, and regulatory/PBM uncertainty) temper upside.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent TTM operating cash flow of $10.3B and free cash flow of $7.4B provides durable internal funding for debt reduction, capex, technology investments and dividends. Reliable FCF supports multi-year strategic initiatives and cushions the business against cyclical earnings shocks.
Negative Factors
Profitability compression
Material compression in net margins and returns erodes the enterprise’s earnings power and constrains reinvestment and capital returns. Persistently low margins make CVS more sensitive to medical-cost inflation and reimbursement pressure, limiting durable upside without structural margin recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent TTM operating cash flow of $10.3B and free cash flow of $7.4B provides durable internal funding for debt reduction, capex, technology investments and dividends. Reliable FCF supports multi-year strategic initiatives and cushions the business against cyclical earnings shocks.
Read all positive factors

CVS Health Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different business units, revealing which areas contribute most to growth and where the company might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsHealth Care Benefits and Pharmacy & Consumer are the primary engines of CVS’s revenue momentum—driven by Aetna’s profit recovery and strong pharmacy retail/script growth—while Health Services has shifted from a mid‑cycle dip into accelerating, higher‑margin growth (Oak Street, in‑home care). Note intersegment eliminations have widened materially, which inflates gross internal activity and can mask true consolidated growth. Management’s reaffirmed 2026 revenue/EPS targets validate the top‑line strength, but rising medical cost trends and an expected MBR increase pose near‑term margin risk.
Data provided by:The Fly

CVS Health (CVS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CVS Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CVS Health Corp. is a health solutions company, which engages in the provision of healthcare services. It operates through the following segments: Health Care Benefits, Health Services, Pharmacy and Consumer Wellness, and Corporate and Other. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
CVS Health makes money primarily by (1) collecting premiums and other administrative/service revenue in its health insurance business, (2) earning fees and margins in its pharmacy services and pharmacy benefit management (PBM) business, and (3) ge...

CVS Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive tone driven by clear top-line growth, strong cash generation, profit and EPS beats, an upward revision to full-year EPS guidance, meaningful improvement at Aetna (material AOI gain and operational efficiencies), and ongoing technology/AI initiatives (Health100). Offsetting risks include segment-level profit declines (Health Services and PCW), membership impacts from the Individual Exchange exit, continued elevated medical cost trends, PBM rebate pressures and regulatory/state-level uncertainty. On balance, the favorable operating metrics, raised guidance, and credible path to margin recovery outweighed the identifiable challenges.
Positive Updates
Top-Line Revenue Growth
Enterprise revenue of over $100 billion in Q1 2026, up more than 6% year-over-year, driven by growth across all operating segments; full-year revenue now expected to be at least $405 billion.
Negative Updates
Health Services Adjusted Operating Income Decline
Health Services adjusted operating income was approximately $1.5 billion in Q1, down about 7% year-over-year, driven primarily by continued pharmacy client price improvements (partially offset by better purchasing economics and drug mix).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-Line Revenue Growth
Enterprise revenue of over $100 billion in Q1 2026, up more than 6% year-over-year, driven by growth across all operating segments; full-year revenue now expected to be at least $405 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
CVS raised its full‑year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $7.30–$7.50 (from $7.00–$7.20) and now expects total revenues of at least $405 billion and cash flow from operations of at least $9.5 billion; enterprise adjusted operating income is guided to $15.53–$15.87 billion with a roughly 60/40 first‑half/second‑half earnings split. Segment guidance includes Health Care Benefits adjusted operating income of ~$4.0–$4.34 billion with a medical benefit ratio expected around 90.5% ±50 bps, and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness AOI of at least $6.18 billion (HSS reiterated). Q1 results that underpin the raise: revenue >$100 billion (+>6% YoY), adjusted operating income ≈$5.2 billion (+>12% YoY), adjusted EPS $2.57 (+>14% YoY), cash from operations ≈$4.2 billion, returned ~$850 million in dividends, cash at parent ≈$2.2 billion, leverage 3.84x, and Aetna with ~26 million medical members (down ~600k sequentially).

CVS Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong scale and resilient cash generation (TTM operating cash flow $10.3B; free cash flow $7.4B), but profitability and returns have materially weakened (net margin ~2.7% in 2021 to ~0.7% TTM; ROE down to ~3.9% TTM). Leverage is meaningful but improving (debt-to-equity ~1.01 vs ~1.24 in 2025).
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue407.90B402.07B372.81B357.78B322.47B292.11B
Gross Profit56.59B55.36B51.40B54.43B54.50B52.12B
EBITDA11.13B9.86B13.68B18.20B12.35B17.53B
Net Income2.93B1.77B4.61B8.34B4.31B8.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets252.97B261.06B253.22B249.73B228.28B233.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.80B10.66B10.99B11.46B15.72B12.53B
Total Debt78.34B93.59B82.92B79.39B70.73B76.00B
Total Liabilities175.34B185.68B177.49B173.09B156.51B157.62B
Stockholders Equity77.46B75.21B75.56B76.46B71.47B75.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.39B7.81B6.33B10.39B13.45B15.74B
Operating Cash Flow10.33B10.64B9.11B13.43B16.18B18.27B
Investing Cash Flow-5.98B-5.87B-7.61B-20.89B-5.05B-5.26B
Financing Cash Flow-4.93B-4.94B-1.14B2.68B-10.52B-11.36B

CVS Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price77.30
Price Trends
50DMA
91.18
Positive
100DMA
83.26
Positive
200DMA
80.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.46
Negative
RSI
71.37
Negative
STOCH
84.50
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.02, below the 50-day MA of 91.18, and below the 200-day MA of 80.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.37 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.50 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVS.

CVS Health Risk Analysis

CVS Health disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CVS Health reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CVS Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$85.82B16.8111.95%1.99%9.44%-8.53%
74
Outperform
$388.59B32.2712.40%2.69%9.67%-44.84%
69
Neutral
$133.13B45.173.87%3.41%7.68%-45.09%
63
Neutral
$46.08B40.926.19%1.38%14.08%-33.82%
57
Neutral
$32.46B-5.01-28.72%17.02%-294.77%
57
Neutral
$11.97B67.774.44%7.72%-83.64%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVS
CVS Health
104.34
37.79
56.79%
CNC
Centene
65.73
11.45
21.09%
HUM
Humana
383.84
142.84
59.27%
MOH
Molina Healthcare
229.74
-68.16
-22.88%
UNH
UnitedHealth
427.89
124.06
40.83%
ELV
Elevance Health
395.18
14.22
3.73%

CVS Health Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CVS Health Shareholders Approve New 2026 Incentive Plan
Positive
May 18, 2026
At its May 14, 2026 annual meeting, CVS Health stockholders approved a new 2026 Incentive Compensation Plan to replace the expiring 2017 plan, with the new framework applying to awards granted after that date and reinforcing the company’s lo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026