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CVS Health Corp (CVS)
NYSE:CVS
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CVS Health (CVS) AI Stock Analysis

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CVS

CVS Health

(NYSE:CVS)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(12.05%Upside)
CVS Health's strong financial performance and increased earnings guidance are significant positives, supported by solid valuation metrics, including a high dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook with weak momentum. Challenges in specific business areas and legislative impacts are risks that offset some of the positive sentiment from earnings.
Positive Factors
Aetna Margins
Aetna's margins continue to improve, signaling a potential for sustained positive earnings revisions.
Contract Wins
CVS Caremark wins a contract from OptumRx, enhancing its position in providing outpatient prescription drug benefits to a large member base.
Health Services Growth
The CalPERS contract win and increased biosimilar adoption bolster confidence in CVS's target of 7% long-term EBIT growth in the Health Services segment.
Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness
CVS's strong performance in the Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment is a sustainable advantage that sets it apart from competitors.
Negative Factors
Managed Care Risks
Managed Care is recognized as a challenging sector with persistent risks, indicating potential headwinds for CVS.
Performance Guarantees
The five-year contract includes CVS putting approximately $250 million at risk, highlighting the pressures of maintaining performance guarantees.

CVS Health (CVS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CVS Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCVS Health Corporation is a leading American healthcare company that operates across multiple sectors, including retail, pharmacy, and health services. The company is headquartered in Woonsocket, Rhode Island, and is one of the largest pharmacy chains in the United States. CVS Health provides a wide array of services and products such as prescription medications, over-the-counter drugs, health and wellness products, and a range of healthcare services through its retail locations, online platforms, and its subsidiary Aetna, a health insurance provider.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVS Health generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is its retail and pharmacy operations, where it sells prescription medications as well as a wide range of health and beauty products, general merchandise, and convenience items. Another significant revenue stream comes from its pharmacy benefit management (PBM) services, which include managing drug benefit programs for insurance companies and other clients. Additionally, CVS Health benefits from its health insurance segment, Aetna, which provides health insurance plans and services to individuals and businesses. The company's MinuteClinic locations offer various health services, further diversifying its revenue. Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and insurers, as well as initiatives in digital health and telemedicine, also contribute to its earnings.

CVS Health Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different business units, revealing which areas contribute most to growth and where the company might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsCVS Health's revenue growth across all segments is robust, with the Health Care Benefits and Health Services segments showing significant year-over-year increases, reflecting strong market demand and strategic execution. The Pharmacy and Consumer segment also saw double-digit growth, driven by increased prescription volumes. However, challenges like exiting the individual exchange business and legislative impacts in Arkansas could pose risks. Despite these hurdles, CVS's increased EPS guidance and strategic partnerships, such as expanding GLP-1 access, underscore its commitment to innovation and market leadership.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

CVS Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
CVS Health delivered strong financial results in Q1 2025 and increased its full-year EPS guidance, reflecting solid performance across all segments. The company is leading in market innovation with expanded access to GLP-1 medications and growth in pharmacy market share. However, challenges persist in individual exchange products, legislative impacts in Arkansas, and elevated medical cost trends. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with strong highlights, but significant lowlights remain.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q1 2025
CVS Health reported first quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.25 and adjusted operating income of $4.6 billion. Revenue for the quarter was nearly $95 billion, marking a 7% increase over the prior year.
Increased Full Year 2025 EPS Guidance
The company raised its full year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $6 to $6.20, up from the previous range of $5.75 to $6, reflecting solid performance and execution across all business segments.
Expansion in GLP-1 Access
CVS announced a partnership with Novo Nordisk to increase access to Wegovy for members at a more affordable price, demonstrating the value of its integrated model and continuing leadership in market innovation.
Pharmacy Market Share Growth
Retail pharmacy script share in Q1 grew to approximately 27.6%, an increase of approximately 70 basis points from the same period last year, driven by strong execution and superior customer experiences.
Successful Leadership Transition
The appointments of Brian Newman as Chief Financial Officer and Amy Compton-Phillips as Chief Medical Officer are expected to support continued momentum and strategic execution.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Individual Exchange Products
CVS experienced continued underperformance from individual exchange products and plans to exit the states where Aetna independently operates ACA plans effective 2026, citing no near or long-term pathway for improvement.
Impact of Arkansas Legislation
Legislation in Arkansas could disrupt access to CVS pharmacies for thousands of patients, potentially increasing costs for employers and consumers, and affecting more than 10,000 people with complex conditions.
Elevated Medical Cost Trends
Medical cost trends remained high, especially in Medicare, including in-patient, outpatient, and medical pharmacy categories, although there are early signs of stabilization.
Potential Vaccine Demand Impact
CVS is monitoring potential changes in consumer sentiment towards vaccines that may impact market demand, particularly concerning COVID-19 vaccines.
Company Guidance
During the CVS Health Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong financial performance, with first quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.25 and adjusted operating income of $4.6 billion. CVS Health increased its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $6 to $6.20, up from the previous range of $5.75 to $6. The company generated nearly $95 billion in revenue, a 7% increase year-over-year, driven by growth across all segments. The healthcare benefits segment generated nearly $35 billion in revenue, an 8% increase, while the health services segment saw revenues of over $43 billion, reflecting an 8% growth. The pharmacy and consumer wellness segment recorded nearly $32 billion in revenues, an 11% increase compared to the prior year. CVS also processed and dispensed over 1.7 billion prescriptions annually, with a 7% increase in same-store prescription volumes. However, the company is exiting the individual exchange business in 2026, projecting variable losses of $350 million to $400 million for 2025. CVS Health remains committed to innovation and improving healthcare access and affordability through strategic partnerships and digital solutions.

CVS Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CVS Health demonstrates solid revenue growth and effective cash management, though profitability margins and return on equity could be improved. The balance sheet is stable, with moderate leverage, supporting long-term financial health. Overall, CVS Health is positioned well in the healthcare sector but should focus on enhancing profitability metrics.
Income Statement
78
Positive
CVS Health has shown consistent revenue growth over recent periods, with a TTM revenue increase of 3.71% compared to the previous year. The company's gross profit margin remains steady at around 13.8% and the EBIT margin improved slightly to 2.3%. However, net profit margins are relatively low at 1.2%, indicating room for profitability enhancement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.07, suggesting moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 29.9%, pointing to a solid capital structure. Return on equity is modest at 5.9%, indicating potential for improved shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flows are robust, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.67, showing strong cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow has decreased, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.05, suggesting efficient cash utilization despite recent declines.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue386.64B372.81B357.78B322.47B292.11B268.71B
Gross Profit53.45B51.40B54.43B54.50B52.12B49.05B
EBITDA13.01B13.68B18.20B12.35B17.53B17.12B
Net Income4.53B4.61B8.34B4.31B8.00B7.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets258.34B253.22B249.73B228.28B233.00B230.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.22B10.99B11.46B15.72B12.53B10.85B
Total Debt82.72B82.92B79.39B70.73B76.00B85.04B
Total Liabilities180.79B177.49B173.09B156.51B157.62B161.01B
Stockholders Equity77.38B75.56B76.46B71.47B75.08B69.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.78B6.33B10.39B13.45B15.74B13.43B
Operating Cash Flow7.57B9.11B13.43B16.18B18.27B15.87B
Investing Cash Flow-5.68B-7.61B-20.89B-5.05B-5.26B-5.53B
Financing Cash Flow-2.68B-1.14B2.68B-10.52B-11.36B-7.70B

CVS Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price62.47
Price Trends
50DMA
63.74
Negative
100DMA
64.46
Negative
200DMA
59.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.97
Negative
RSI
48.60
Neutral
STOCH
55.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 62.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.55, below the 50-day MA of 63.74, and above the 200-day MA of 59.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CVS.

CVS Health Risk Analysis

CVS Health disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CVS Health reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CVS Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$29.74B18.989.03%1.43%9.88%-7.25%
75
Outperform
$78.56B17.335.95%4.26%6.27%-36.28%
71
Outperform
$63.74B12.0512.48%2.43%10.21%-17.79%
68
Neutral
$215.69B10.3024.33%3.58%9.98%
63
Neutral
$70.00B14.3212.31%2.22%20.93%43.98%
58
Neutral
$12.73B6.417.50%12.96%-23.25%
51
Neutral
$7.35B0.50-65.61%2.47%15.28%1.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVS
CVS Health
62.47
7.19
13.01%
CNC
Centene
25.91
-51.52
-66.54%
CI
Cigna
262.23
-57.75
-18.05%
HUM
Humana
247.26
-104.34
-29.68%
UNH
UnitedHealth
237.77
-321.63
-57.50%
ELV
Elevance Health
274.66
-240.69
-46.70%

CVS Health Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CVS Health Elects Board at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

At the CVS Health Corporation Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 15, 2025, all 13 nominees for the Board of Directors were elected for a one-year term. The stockholders approved the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 and the advisory approval of executive compensation. However, a stockholder proposal to reduce the threshold for stockholder rights to act by written consent was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVS) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CVS Health stock, see the CVS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025