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Elevance Health (ELV)
NYSE:ELV

Elevance Health (ELV) AI Stock Analysis

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Elevance Health

(NYSE:ELV)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$415.00
▲(10.38%Upside)
Elevance Health's overall score of 71 reflects a strong financial foundation with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability, though offset by technical weaknesses and challenges in the Medicaid segment. Valuation is fair, but not compelling enough alone to drive a strong buy recommendation. The earnings call provided positive strategic updates, yet acknowledged ongoing cost pressures. Overall, this positions Elevance Health as a stable investment with areas for improvement, especially in technical momentum and cost management.
Positive Factors
Business Momentum
Carelon Services revenue increased significantly, driven by mergers and acquisitions, with new behavioral and post-acute risk-based contracts highlighting business momentum.
Earnings Potential
Price target for Elevance Health, Inc. has been raised from $463 to $510, reflecting increased confidence in its future earnings potential.
Revenue Growth
Elevance Health's revenue increased by 15.4% year over year, surpassing previous estimates.
Negative Factors
Commercial Risk Retention
HIX effectuation and commercial risk retention are trending weaker than original expectations, leading to a guidance cut in commercial risk membership.
Health Benefits Performance
The Health Benefits division's EBIT margin fell short of expectations, negatively impacting overall performance.
Membership Attrition
The company expects membership attrition in the second quarter as effectuation rates on renewing members are tracking below initial expectations.

Elevance Health (ELV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Elevance Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElevance Health Inc. operates as a health benefits company. It supports consumers, families, and communities across the entire care journey connecting to the care, support, and resources to lead healthier lives. It serves approximately 118 million people through a portfolio of medical, digital, pharmacy, behavioral, clinical, and care solutions. The company was formerly known as Anthem, Inc. and changed its name to Elevance Health Inc. in June 2022. Elevance Health Inc. was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyElevance Health makes money primarily through the sale of health insurance plans, which constitute its main revenue stream. The company generates income by providing a variety of insurance products, including private individual and group plans, as well as government-sponsored programs like Medicaid and Medicare Advantage. Premiums paid by members, both individuals and employers, form the bulk of its revenue. Additionally, Elevance Health earns from administrative fees for managing healthcare plans for other organizations. Significant partnerships with healthcare providers and pharmaceutical companies enhance its service offerings and allow for negotiated cost savings, which can lead to improved margins. The company's focus on value-based care arrangements also plays a role in its financial performance by incentivizing better health outcomes and cost efficiency.

Elevance Health Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Medical Memberships
Medical Memberships
Indicates the number of individuals enrolled in health plans, reflecting the company's market reach, customer base growth, and potential revenue from premiums.
Chart InsightsElevance Health's medical memberships have been declining since mid-2023, reflecting challenges in Medicaid costs and lower-than-expected ACA membership effectuation rates. Despite this, the company achieved a slight membership increase in Q1 2025, driven by strategic growth in Medicare Advantage and Carelon Services. The focus on whole-person health and operational excellence, along with digital platform expansion, supports future membership stabilization. However, ongoing cost pressures and elevated utilization trends could continue to impact membership growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Elevance Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Elevance Health started 2025 with robust revenue growth and strong performances in key segments like Medicare Advantage and Carelon Services. However, the company faces challenges with elevated Medicaid costs and lower-than-expected ACA membership effectuation rates. Overall, the positive achievements in strategic areas were tempered by ongoing cost pressures.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
Elevance Health delivered results aligned with expectations, with GAAP diluted EPS at $9.61 and adjusted diluted EPS at $11.97, reflecting over 10% year-over-year growth.
Revenue Growth
Operating revenue for Q1 was $48.8 billion, an increase of over 15% driven by higher premium yields, growth in Medicare Advantage and Individual ACA membership, and CarelonRx product revenue.
Carelon Services and CarelonRx Growth
Carelon Services reported over 60% growth, with expansion in offerings such as post-acute care and behavioral health. CarelonRx also showed strong performance, particularly in SpecialtyRx.
Medicare Advantage Success
Medicare Advantage retention remained strong with targeted and disciplined growth supporting both margin and membership sustainability.
Value-Based Care Savings
Value-based care models drove nearly $100 per member per month savings across medical and pharmacy.
Negative Updates
Medicaid Cost Trends
The consolidated benefit expense ratio increased by 80 basis points year-over-year, driven by higher cost trends in Medicaid.
Individual ACA Membership Attrition
Individual ACA membership grew approximately 11% sequentially, but effectuation rates are tracking below initial expectations, leading to anticipated single-digit percent membership attrition in Q2.
Elevated Trend Environment
Utilization patterns in the Health Benefit segment remain elevated, consistent with a trend environment that was higher than historical norms.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Elevance Health reported substantial progress across its strategic initiatives, with a focus on whole-person health and operational excellence. The company supported over 6 million members with patient advocacy solutions, achieving a 95% satisfaction rate. HealthOS, their digital platform, expanded to support over 88,000 care providers. They eliminated prior authorization requirements for more than 400 outpatient procedures for high-performing providers. The value-based oncology care model was expanded to Medicare Advantage. Elevance Health reported a GAAP diluted EPS of $9.61 and an adjusted EPS of $11.97, with operating revenue reaching $48.8 billion, reflecting a 15% increase. The benefit expense ratio was 86.4%, with Carelon's operating gain increasing by 34%. The company ended Q1 with 45.8 million medical members, a 99,000 increase from the previous year, and maintained a debt-to-capital ratio of approximately 41%. Guidance for 2025 remained unchanged, with adjusted EPS expected between $34.15 and $34.85, and operating cash flow projected at $8 billion.

Elevance Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elevance Health demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and solid profitability metrics. The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, there is room for improvement in net margins and free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Elevance Health demonstrates robust revenue growth with a consistent upward trajectory, highlighted by a TTM revenue growth rate of 8.38%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, including a gross profit margin of 62.60% and a notable EBIT margin of 23.67% in TTM. However, the net profit margin is relatively lower at 3.23%, signaling potential areas for cost optimization. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy financial position with room for profitability enhancement.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 35.50%, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.04, suggesting prudent leverage management. Return on equity stands at 13.92%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The company shows a strong financial base, though continuous monitoring of liabilities is advisable to maintain balance sheet health.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Elevance Health's cash flow statement is characterized by a healthy free cash flow, although there is a decline in the free cash flow growth rate of -19.30% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.82, indicating effective cash generation relative to net earnings. The company should focus on enhancing free cash flow generation to support future investments.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
183.12B176.81B171.34B156.59B138.64B121.87B
Gross Profit
114.62B157.06B47.01B39.95B35.99B33.82B
EBIT
7.54B7.90B8.74B8.45B8.95B7.71B
EBITDA
10.09B9.09B10.49B10.13B6.00B8.18B
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.92B5.98B5.99B5.89B6.10B4.57B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.50B33.49B36.14B33.34B31.15B29.17B
Total Assets
119.72B116.89B108.93B102.75B97.46B86.61B
Total Debt
30.00B31.23B25.12B24.11B23.03B20.04B
Net Debt
22.50B22.94B18.59B16.73B18.15B14.29B
Total Liabilities
77.10B75.46B69.52B66.42B61.33B53.42B
Stockholders Equity
42.50B41.31B39.31B36.24B36.06B33.20B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.67B4.55B6.76B7.25B7.28B9.67B
Operating Cash Flow
4.85B5.81B8.06B8.40B8.36B10.69B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.75B-5.17B-5.57B-4.56B-9.64B-7.32B
Financing Cash Flow
-748.00M1.19B-3.35B-1.32B423.00M-2.57B

Elevance Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price375.98
Price Trends
50DMA
418.53
Negative
100DMA
405.69
Negative
200DMA
432.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.71
Positive
RSI
38.62
Neutral
STOCH
33.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 375.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 401.30, below the 50-day MA of 418.53, and below the 200-day MA of 432.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ELV.

Elevance Health Risk Analysis

Elevance Health disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Elevance Health reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We are subject to risks associated with our use of AI, which could adversely affect our business, reputation or financial results. Q4, 2024
2.
The health benefits industry is subject to negative publicity, which could adversely affect our business, cash flows, financial condition and results of operations. Q4, 2024

Elevance Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CNCNC
77
Outperform
$28.07B8.4012.59%8.85%33.30%
CICI
74
Outperform
$84.41B17.5112.37%1.81%25.21%-29.37%
ELELV
71
Outperform
$84.11B14.5214.24%1.77%6.63%-3.26%
UNUNH
69
Neutral
$268.12B12.3624.33%2.84%8.68%45.24%
HUHUM
67
Neutral
$27.15B15.9010.09%1.57%10.09%-12.18%
CVCVS
65
Neutral
$76.95B14.537.00%4.37%4.84%-26.54%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.23-45.01%2.85%17.55%-0.69%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ELV
Elevance Health
372.27
-139.55
-27.27%
CNC
Centene
57.65
-15.07
-20.72%
CI
Cigna
315.28
-12.30
-3.75%
CVS
CVS Health
61.34
10.08
19.66%
HUM
Humana
226.61
-118.44
-34.33%
UNH
UnitedHealth
295.00
-200.75
-40.49%

Elevance Health Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Elevance Health Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Elevance Health, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key decisions were made. The election of directors saw Susan D. DeVore, Bahija Jallal, and Ryan M. Schneider elected for three-year terms. The advisory vote on executive compensation was approved, and the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified. However, a shareholder proposal requesting a report on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion efforts was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELV) stock is a Buy with a $600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevance Health stock, see the ELV Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Elevance Health Projects Q1 2025 Earnings Expectations
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

Elevance Health, Inc. announced its expectations for the first quarter of 2025, projecting a GAAP net income of $9.61 per diluted share, with adjusted net income at $11.97 per diluted share after accounting for net unfavorable items. The company noted that medical cost trends, particularly in its Medicare Advantage business, aligned with their expectations, and they anticipate maintaining their full-year guidance for Medicare Advantage membership and adjusted net income.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Elevance Health Reaffirms 2025 Earnings Guidance to Investors
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Elevance Health, Inc. announced that its officers will meet with investors to reaffirm the company’s earnings guidance for 2025, projecting earnings of $30.40 to $31.10 per diluted share, including net unfavorable items, and adjusted earnings of $34.15 to $34.85 per diluted share. The company also maintains its expectations for 2025 year-end total medical enrollment and Medicare Advantage membership, aligning with previous guidance. This announcement underscores Elevance Health’s commitment to transparency with its stakeholders and its strategic focus on maintaining stable enrollment figures and financial performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.