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PBDC - ETF AI Analysis

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PBDC

Putnam BDC Income ETF (PBDC)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
PBDC, the Putnam BDC Income ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong, income-focused business development companies like Ares Capital (ARCC), Hercules Capital (HTGC), and Main Street Capital (MAIN), which show robust financial performance, attractive valuations, and generally supportive earnings call commentary. These strengths are partly offset by weaker names such as FS KKR Capital (FSK), where operational challenges and cautious technical signals weigh on the fund, and by some holdings with cash flow volatility or mixed technical trends. The main risk factor is the ETF’s concentration in BDCs, which ties its fortunes closely to credit conditions and the health of the lending environment.
Positive Factors
Strong Year-to-Date Performance
The ETF has delivered a modestly positive return so far this year, showing generally steady performance.
Several Strong Top Holdings
Key positions like Main Street Capital, Ares Capital, Trinity Capital, and others have shown strong or steady gains, helping support the fund’s results.
Focused Exposure to U.S. Financials
The fund is heavily invested in U.S.-based business development companies, giving targeted exposure to a specific income-oriented corner of the financial sector.
Negative Factors
Very High Expense Ratio
The fund’s costs are extremely high, which can significantly eat into investor returns over time.
Heavy Concentration in a Single Sector
With most assets in financial companies and a few large positions, the ETF is vulnerable if business development companies or the broader financial sector struggle.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some major holdings, such as Blue Owl Technology Finance, FS KKR Capital, and Hercules Capital, have shown weak or negative performance, which can drag on the fund’s overall returns.

PBDC vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PBDC Summary

Putnam BDC Income ETF (PBDC) is a fund that invests mainly in U.S. Business Development Companies (BDCs), which lend money and provide support to small and mid-sized businesses. It doesn’t track a traditional index, but focuses on the financial sector, especially income-producing BDCs. Well-known names inside the fund include Ares Capital and Main Street Capital. Someone might consider this ETF if they want higher income potential through dividends and a way to tap into the growth of smaller companies. A key risk is that it is heavily concentrated in financial BDCs, so its price and income can swing with that niche of the market.
How much will it cost me?The Putnam BDC Income ETF (PBDC) has an expense ratio of 13.49%, which means you’ll pay $134.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is significantly higher than average because it is actively managed and focuses on a specialized niche in the financial sector, requiring more expertise and resources. While the cost is high, it reflects the fund's targeted approach and professional management.
What would affect this ETF?The Putnam BDC Income ETF (PBDC) could benefit from economic growth in the U.S., as Business Development Companies (BDCs) thrive when small and mid-sized businesses expand and seek capital. However, rising interest rates or tighter credit conditions could negatively impact BDCs by increasing borrowing costs and reducing demand for loans, potentially affecting the fund's income generation. Additionally, regulatory changes in the financial sector could influence the operations of top holdings like Ares Capital and Blue Owl Capital.

PBDC Top 10 Holdings

PBDC is essentially a pure play on U.S. business development companies, so financials are firmly in the driver’s seat. Ares Capital and Main Street Capital are doing much of the heavy lifting, with both stocks rising and helping support the fund’s income-focused story. Trinity Capital is another bright spot, adding some extra spark with strong recent momentum. On the flip side, Blue Owl’s BDCs and FS KKR Capital have been lagging, acting like a bit of a headwind. Overall, performance hinges on a concentrated group of U.S. specialty lenders.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Ares Capital11.98%$30.27M$14.24B-14.83%
80
Outperform
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.10.53%$26.60M$6.24B
Main Street Capital7.76%$19.62M$5.72B4.23%
75
Outperform
Blue Owl Capital7.45%$18.83M$6.13B-19.27%
69
Neutral
Hercules Capital7.29%$18.42M$3.37B-11.30%
79
Outperform
FS KKR Capital6.28%$15.87M$3.86B-40.20%
58
Neutral
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund6.17%$15.58M$5.93B-22.73%
74
Outperform
Sixth Street Specialty Lending5.05%$12.75M$2.07B-0.63%
75
Outperform
Trinity Capital4.38%$11.08M$1.27B13.28%
76
Outperform
Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.3.65%$9.22M-18.09%
72
Outperform

PBDC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
30.50
Negative
100DMA
30.26
Negative
200DMA
30.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
43.83
Neutral
STOCH
12.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PBDC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.75, equal to the 50-day MA of 30.50, and equal to the 200-day MA of 30.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PBDC.

PBDC Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$254.69M13.49%
$910.05M0.18%
$633.84M0.65%
$631.12M0.65%
$470.92M0.50%
$438.52M0.65%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PBDC
Putnam BDC Income ETF
30.20
-2.29
-7.05%
IETC
iShares Evolved US Technology ETF
FEPI
REX FANG & Innovation Equity Premium Income ETF
GTOP
Goldman Sachs Technology Opportunities ETF
JPRE
JPMorgan Realty Income ETF
SAMT
Strategas Macro Thematic Opportunities ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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