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Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL)
NYSE:BXSL

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) AI Stock Analysis

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BXSL

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund

(NYSE:BXSL)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(10.06% Upside)
The score is held back mainly by persistently negative operating/free cash flow despite strong reported profitability, which raises earnings-quality and flexibility risk. Support comes from attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) and a constructive earnings-call backdrop (strong NII and credit quality), while technical indicators point to softer near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong Net Investment Income
Strong net investment income indicates robust earnings power, supporting dividend sustainability and enhancing shareholder value.
Low Non-accruals
Low non-accruals reflect strong credit quality, reducing risk of defaults and preserving capital, which is crucial for long-term stability.
Robust Portfolio Growth
Robust portfolio growth indicates effective deployment of capital and enhances revenue potential, supporting long-term business expansion.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow limits financial flexibility and may constrain future investments, impacting long-term growth and stability.
Decreased NAV per Share
A decrease in NAV per share can signal underlying asset value erosion, potentially affecting investor confidence and future capital raising.
Inconsistent Revenue Momentum
Inconsistent revenue momentum may indicate challenges in maintaining growth, affecting long-term revenue stability and market position.

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackstone Secured Lending Fund is business development company and a Delaware statutory trust formed on March 26, 2018, and structured as an externally managed, non-diversified closed-end investment Fund. On October 26, 2018, the fund elected to be regulated as a business development company (BDC) under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the 1940 Act). In addition, the Fund elected to be treated for U.S. federal income tax purposes, as a regulated investment company (RIC), as defined under Subchapter M of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the Code). The fund also intends to continue to comply with the requirements prescribed by the Code in order to maintain tax treatment as a RIC. The fund's investment objectives are to generate current income and, to a lesser extent, long-term capital appreciation. The Fund seeks to achieve its investment objective primarily through originated loans, equity and other securities, including syndicated loans, of private U.S. companies, specifically small and middle market companies, typically in the form of first lien senior secured and unitranche loans (including first out/last out loans), and to a lesser extent, second lien, third lien, unsecured and subordinated loans and other debt and equity securities.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackstone Secured Lending Fund makes money primarily through interest income and fees associated with its lending activities. The company generates revenue by providing secured loans to middle-market companies, which pay interest on the borrowed amounts. Additionally, BXSL may earn income through origination fees, prepayment penalties, and other loan-related charges. The company's financial performance is largely influenced by the credit quality of its portfolio, interest rate trends, and macroeconomic conditions. Partnerships and networks established by Blackstone Credit enhance BXSL's ability to source attractive investment opportunities, contributing to its revenue generation.

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong net investment income, low non-accruals, and increased M&A activity, contributing to a robust growth outlook. However, challenges such as decreased NAV per share and lower weighted average yields were also noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased M&A Activity
M&A activity is up 63% year-over-year, contributing to growth and higher deal activity.
Low Non-accruals
Non-accruals dropped to 0.1% of costs, remaining the lowest among traded BDC peers.
Strong Net Investment Income
Net Investment Income was $0.82 per share, representing a 12% annualized return on equity.
High Dividend Yield
Dividend distribution of $0.77 per share was 106% covered by net investment income, representing an 11.3% annualized distribution yield.
Robust Portfolio Growth
BXSL ended the quarter with $13.8 billion of investments at fair value, a 15% increase year-over-year.
Strong Credit Quality
Portfolio companies have LTM EBITDA growth of nearly 9% and average interest coverage of 2x.
Increased Deployment
Deployment for the quarter surpassed $1 billion, up 90% compared to the second quarter.
Negative Updates
Decreased NAV per Share
NAV per share decreased by $0.18 quarter-over-quarter to $27.15 due to markdowns.
Lower Weighted Average Yield
Weighted average yield on performing debt investments at fair value was 10%, down from 10.2% last quarter.
Loan-to-Value Increase
Loan-to-Value increased to 49.7%, reflecting marginal adjustments in enterprise values.
Company Guidance
During Blackstone Secured Lending's Third Quarter 2025 Investor Call, the management team offered insight into their financial performance and future outlook. Key metrics highlighted included a net investment income (NII) of $0.82 per share, yielding a 12% annualized return on equity, primarily from interest income. The portfolio's average leverage ended at 1.22x, with a weighted average yield on performing debt investments at 10%. Non-accruals remained low at 0.1%, showcasing strong credit quality. The fund's NAV per share was $27.15, a decrease of $0.18 quarter-over-quarter due to markdowns. Additionally, the company reported a distribution of $0.77 per share, representing an 11.3% annualized yield. The management emphasized the benefits of an active M&A market, with third-quarter M&A activity up 63% year-over-year, and the company's focus on first lien senior secured loans with significant sponsor backing.

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund demonstrates robust revenue growth and operational efficiency with high EBIT margins. However, the decline in net profit margin and negative cash flow highlight potential financial stresses. The strong equity base and absence of debt reduce risk, but low ROE and negative free cash flow pose concerns. Continued focus on improving net income conversion and cash flow management is essential for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
The company has shown strong revenue growth with a 16% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins remain solid at 100% due to the nature of the revenue model. However, net profit margin dropped significantly from 53.5% in 2023 to 1.1% in 2024, indicating increased expenses or other financial pressures. EBIT margin is exceptionally high at 99.4%, showcasing operational efficiency, but the absence of EBITDA data limits further analysis.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 45.1%. The company has no total debt in 2024, highlighting a low-risk leverage profile. However, a return on equity of only 0.2% in 2024 signals inefficiency in generating profits from shareholders’ equity. The consistent growth in total assets is positive, but the low ROE is concerning.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows volatility with negative operating cash flow in 2024, a reversal from positive cash flow in 2023. Free cash flow has declined significantly, reflecting potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues relative to reported profits. The company must address these cash flow discrepancies to stabilize financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B1.05B874.72M584.09M587.46M238.40M
Gross Profit646.53M731.26M618.74M386.65M472.46M323.18M
EBITDA615.80M708.62M628.75M405.94M462.86M0.00
Net Income599.78M694.10M611.95M404.56M460.42M218.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.26B13.47B10.13B9.91B10.18B5.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments249.89M229.61M154.86M131.27M102.88M217.99M
Total Debt0.007.06B4.91B5.53B5.50B2.50B
Total Liabilities7.99B7.40B5.18B5.75B5.73B2.68B
Stockholders Equity6.27B6.08B4.95B4.16B4.45B3.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.13B-2.53B458.81M672.95M-3.83B-2.32B
Operating Cash Flow-1.13B-2.53B458.81M672.95M-3.83B-2.32B
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow1.20B2.60B-432.16M-648.18M3.71B2.47B

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.35
Price Trends
50DMA
27.06
Negative
100DMA
27.14
Negative
200DMA
28.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
42.38
Neutral
STOCH
29.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BXSL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.21, below the 50-day MA of 27.06, and below the 200-day MA of 28.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BXSL.

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Risk Analysis

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund disclosed 106 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackstone Secured Lending Fund reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$14.87B10.3710.06%9.64%10.34%-24.16%
77
Outperform
$5.57B10.1419.07%7.17%11.60%9.38%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$6.08B9.8710.02%11.44%10.95%-25.98%
60
Neutral
$4.10B15.004.24%18.52%-13.67%-48.49%
57
Neutral
$393.08M12.156.83%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
45
Neutral
$8.40B-750.11%2.17%92.02%-1386.34%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BXSL
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
26.35
-3.23
-10.92%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
62.20
8.21
15.20%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
6.02
-0.14
-2.27%
ARCC
Ares Capital
20.78
0.57
2.82%
FSK
FS KKR Capital
14.63
-3.73
-20.32%
STEP
StepStone Group
71.06
15.16
27.12%

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Finalizes $500M Indenture
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Blackstone Secured Lending Fund finalized a Ninth Supplemental Indenture with U.S. Bank Trust Company for $500 million in 5.125% notes due in 2031. These notes, which are general unsecured obligations, include covenants for asset coverage and financial reporting, and were sold under a registration statement filed with the SEC, marking a strategic financial move for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (BXSL) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackstone Secured Lending Fund stock, see the BXSL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025