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OILT - ETF AI Analysis

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OILT

Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF (OILT)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
OILT, the Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong, well-established energy companies like Diamondback Energy, ConocoPhillips, EOG Resources, Exxon Mobil, and APA, which show solid financial performance, attractive valuations, and supportive earnings call results. These strengths are partly offset by holdings such as Ovintiv and Crescent Energy, where bearish technical trends, valuation concerns, and other financial challenges introduce some risk. The main risk factor for this ETF is its concentrated exposure to the oil and energy sector, which can make it more sensitive to energy price swings and industry-specific downturns.
Positive Factors
Solid Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Strong Core Energy Holdings
Several of the largest positions, including major oil companies, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, helping support the fund’s returns.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is moderate for a specialized energy ETF, so fees are not excessively eating into investor returns.
Negative Factors
Heavy Energy Sector Concentration
With almost all assets in the energy sector, the ETF is highly sensitive to swings in oil prices and energy market conditions.
Meaningful Single-Stock Exposure
The top holdings each make up a sizable share of the portfolio, increasing the impact that any one company’s weakness can have on the fund.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
A few of the larger positions have shown weak or negative year-to-date performance, which can drag on overall returns if the trend continues.

OILT vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OILT Summary

The Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF (OILT) tracks the Alerian Texas Weighted Oil and Gas Index and focuses on oil and gas exploration and production, mainly in Texas. It holds a mix of big, well-known energy companies like Exxon Mobil and Chevron, along with smaller exploration firms. Someone might invest in this ETF if they believe oil demand and Texas energy production will stay strong and want a simple way to spread their money across many oil companies at once. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to the energy sector, so its price can swing sharply with oil prices and energy market news.
How much will it cost me?The Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF (OILT) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed and focuses on a specialized niche in the energy sector. Active management often involves higher costs due to research and portfolio adjustments.
What would affect this ETF?The Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF (OILT) could benefit from rising global energy demand and advancements in oil extraction technology, which may boost the profitability of its top holdings like Exxon Mobil and Diamondback. However, it faces risks from potential regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, fluctuating oil prices, and economic slowdowns that could reduce energy consumption. Its focus on Texas oil companies makes it highly sensitive to regional factors, such as weather disruptions or local policy shifts.

OILT Top 10 Holdings

OILT is riding a powerful Texas oil wave, with mid-cap producers like SM Energy, APA, and Crescent Energy doing much of the heavy lifting as their shares have been rising on solid financials and deal-making. The big guns—Exxon, ConocoPhillips, Chevron, and Occidental—are also trending higher, providing a steadier backbone but not quite shooting the lights out. Performance is overwhelmingly tied to one theme: U.S. oil and gas exploration and production, heavily rooted in Texas, so the fund lives and dies by the fortunes of the energy patch.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Diamondback7.24%$1.07M$54.99B63.94%
81
Outperform
Occidental Petroleum7.10%$1.05M$62.08B74.30%
67
Neutral
Exxon Mobil7.07%$1.04M$682.97B62.66%
74
Outperform
Conocophillips7.07%$1.04M$161.07B59.41%
78
Outperform
EOG Resources5.89%$870.14K$77.38B37.41%
78
Outperform
APA5.27%$777.85K$15.18B206.20%
73
Outperform
SM Energy5.25%$775.37K$7.47B53.75%
72
Outperform
Crescent Energy Company Class A4.98%$735.32K$4.49B87.93%
66
Neutral
Ovintiv4.61%$681.33KC$23.82B94.77%
60
Neutral
Chevron4.21%$622.26K$402.15B47.18%
71
Outperform

OILT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
28.63
Positive
100DMA
25.83
Positive
200DMA
24.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.28
Positive
RSI
64.08
Neutral
STOCH
32.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OILT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.51, equal to the 50-day MA of 28.63, and equal to the 200-day MA of 24.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OILT.

OILT Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$15.40M0.35%
72
Outperform
$93.14M0.61%
71
Outperform
$75.78M0.60%
68
Neutral
$69.70M0.45%
72
Outperform
$32.03M0.80%
58
Neutral
$26.32M0.96%
65
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OILT
Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF
32.83
12.65
62.69%
PXE
Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production ETF
PXI
Invesco DWA Energy Momentum ETF
LNGX
Global X U.S. Natural Gas ETF
BESF
Bastion Energy ETF
FPWR
First Trust Eip Power Solutions Etf
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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