MTUM - ETF AI Analysis

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iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM)

Rating:74Outperform

Price Target:―

MTUM’s rating suggests it is a solid-quality ETF, largely driven by strong, growing companies like Micron, Johnson & Johnson, and Walmart, which show robust financial performance and positive outlooks in areas such as AI, healthcare, and retail. Several major semiconductor names like Nvidia, Broadcom, Lam Research, and AMD also support the rating with strong growth prospects, but their high valuations and some mixed technical signals can limit upside. The main risk factor is the fund’s heavy exposure to a concentrated group of AI and semiconductor-related stocks, which could increase volatility if that sector faces a downturn.

Positive Factors

Strong Recent Performance

The ETF has shown strong gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating solid recent momentum.

Leading Growth-Oriented Holdings

Several of the largest positions, especially in technology and related industries, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, helping drive the fund’s returns.

Reasonable Expense Ratio for a Factor Strategy

The fund’s expense ratio is relatively low for an actively constructed factor ETF, allowing investors to keep more of their returns.

Negative Factors

Heavy Tilt Toward Technology

With a large share of assets in the technology sector, the fund is more exposed to swings in tech stocks than a more balanced market fund.

Single-Country Concentration

Almost all of the ETF’s holdings are in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if the U.S. market weakens.

Dependence on a Few Big Winners

A meaningful portion of the portfolio is concentrated in a small number of high-momentum stocks, so a downturn in these names could hurt overall performance.

MTUM vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM23.62B

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.15%

Beta1.24

IssueriShares

Inception DateApr 16, 2013

Dividend Yield0.69%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedMSCI USA Momentum SR Variant Index

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume669,847

30 Day Avg. Volume842,169

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

316.33

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering125

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

MTUM Summary

MTUM is the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF, which follows the MSCI USA Momentum Index. It focuses on U.S. stocks that have been rising in price more than others, especially in technology and industrials. Well-known holdings include Nvidia, Broadcom, Johnson & Johnson, Exxon Mobil, and JPMorgan Chase. Investors might consider MTUM if they want growth potential by tilting toward recent winners while still holding a mix of large U.S. companies. A key risk is that momentum stocks can fall quickly when trends reverse, so the ETF’s price can go up and down more than the overall market.

How much will it cost me?The iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which means you’ll pay $1.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average for actively managed funds, as MTUM is passively managed to track the MSCI USA Momentum Index, keeping costs down.

What would affect this ETF?The MTUM ETF, which focuses on U.S. stocks with strong price momentum, could benefit from continued growth in the technology sector, as it holds major companies like Broadcom, Nvidia, and Microsoft. However, it may face challenges if interest rates rise, potentially impacting high-growth sectors like tech and communication services, or if economic conditions weaken, affecting consumer spending and financial stocks. Regulatory changes in key sectors, such as technology or financials, could also influence the ETF's performance.

MTUM Top 10 Holdings

MTUM is riding a powerful U.S. tech and semiconductor wave, with Broadcom, Micron, Nvidia, AMD, and Lam Research doing most of the heavy lifting as their momentum in AI and chips keeps climbing. That cluster makes the fund heavily tilted toward one big theme: high-flying, AI-linked tech. Outside of that core, industrial name Caterpillar is quietly adding support, while defensive giants like Johnson & Johnson and energy heavyweight Exxon Mobil are more mixed, occasionally losing steam and softening the otherwise strong, tech-driven performance profile.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
MU	Micron	5.71%	$1.36B	$560.17B	567.72%	79 Outperform
AVGO	Broadcom	5.48%	$1.31B	$2.00T	117.28%	76 Outperform
NVDA	Nvidia	5.10%	$1.22B	$5.06T	99.22%	76 Outperform
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	3.85%	$920.30M	$567.05B	247.16%	73 Outperform
JNJ	Johnson & Johnson	3.73%	$890.30M	$547.64B	45.05%	78 Outperform
LRCX	Lam Research	3.68%	$879.03M	$334.88B	262.54%	77 Outperform
INTC	Intel	3.49%	$833.00M	$414.43B	314.38%	64 Neutral
XOM	Exxon Mobil	3.34%	$797.07M	$618.95B	36.42%	74 Outperform
CAT	Caterpillar	3.02%	$721.98M	$386.56B	169.91%	76 Outperform
JPM	JPMorgan Chase	2.89%	$690.06M	$831.44B	28.13%	72 Outperform

MTUM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

255.50

Positive

100DMA

254.60

Positive

200DMA

250.90

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

8.10

Negative

RSI

72.21

Negative

STOCH

73.45

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTUM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 268.83, equal to the 50-day MA of 255.50, and equal to the 200-day MA of 250.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.21 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTUM.

MTUM Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
MTUM	―	―	$23.62B	0.15%	74 Outperform
VTI	―	―	$614.88B	0.03%	72 Outperform
VIG	―	―	$105.35B	0.04%	72 Outperform
ITOT	―	―	$87.63B	0.03%	73 Outperform
QUAL	―	―	$49.78B	0.15%	75 Outperform
DFAC	―	―	$44.04B	0.17%	73 Outperform

Performance Comparison

MTUM

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF

283.98

69.33

32.30%

VTI

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF

―

VIG

Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF

―

ITOT

iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF

―

QUAL

iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF

―

DFAC

Dimensional U.S. Core Equity 2 ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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