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MTUM - ETF AI Analysis

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MTUM

iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
MTUM’s rating suggests it is a solid-quality ETF, largely driven by strong momentum in major semiconductor names like Micron and Broadcom, which benefit from robust financial performance and growth tied to AI and advanced chip technologies. Diversified leaders such as Johnson & Johnson and Caterpillar also support the fund with steady fundamentals and positive outlooks, though some holdings like Intel and GE Vernova face valuation and cash flow challenges that slightly weigh on the overall rating. A key risk is the fund’s meaningful exposure to cyclical and tech-related names, which can increase volatility if growth expectations or sector conditions change.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Year-to-Date Performance
The ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year, showing solid momentum in its overall performance.
Leading Semiconductor and Industrial Holdings
Several of the largest positions in semiconductor and industrial companies have shown strong performance, helping drive the fund’s returns.
Reasonable Expense Ratio for a Factor Strategy
The fund’s expense ratio is relatively low for an actively tilted factor ETF, allowing more of the returns to stay in investors’ pockets.
Negative Factors
Heavy Concentration in Technology
Nearly half of the portfolio is in the technology sector, which increases the fund’s sensitivity to swings in tech stocks.
High Exposure to a Small Group of Stocks
A handful of large holdings make up a significant share of the fund, so weakness in these names could have an outsized impact on performance.
Limited Geographic Diversification
With almost all assets invested in U.S. companies, the ETF offers little exposure to international markets and their potential growth.

MTUM vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MTUM Summary

MTUM is the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF, which follows the MSCI USA Momentum Index. It focuses on U.S. stocks that have been rising in price more than others, with a big tilt toward technology and industrial companies. Well-known holdings include Micron and Exxon Mobil. Investors might consider MTUM if they want a simple way to aim for higher growth by owning stocks that have recently been strong, while still staying diversified across many sectors. A key risk is that momentum stocks can fall quickly when trends reverse, so the price can move up and down more than the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which means you’ll pay $1.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average for actively managed funds, as MTUM is passively managed to track the MSCI USA Momentum Index, keeping costs down.
What would affect this ETF?The MTUM ETF, which focuses on U.S. stocks with strong price momentum, could benefit from continued growth in the technology sector, as it holds major companies like Broadcom, Nvidia, and Microsoft. However, it may face challenges if interest rates rise, potentially impacting high-growth sectors like tech and communication services, or if economic conditions weaken, affecting consumer spending and financial stocks. Regulatory changes in key sectors, such as technology or financials, could also influence the ETF's performance.

MTUM Top 10 Holdings

MTUM is riding a powerful U.S. tech wave, with chip names like Micron and AMD steering performance thanks to strong, AI-driven momentum, even if Micron’s recent pullback has taken a bit of shine off. Broadcom adds another pillar of semiconductor strength, though its signals look more mixed lately. Intel and Applied Materials are more of a tug-of-war, with longer-term gains but choppier near-term action. Outside tech, Caterpillar and Exxon Mobil provide industrial and energy ballast, keeping the fund grounded in the broader U.S. economy.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Micron5.59%$1.34B$926.70B544.06%
79
Outperform
Advanced Micro Devices4.89%$1.17B$741.30B139.30%
73
Outperform
Broadcom4.76%$1.14B$1.81T22.37%
76
Outperform
Exxon Mobil4.03%$962.47M$634.27B40.08%
74
Outperform
Intel3.90%$933.36M$435.30B302.56%
64
Neutral
Johnson & Johnson3.88%$928.06M$642.79B58.75%
78
Outperform
Caterpillar3.72%$889.11M$387.33B80.30%
76
Outperform
GE Vernova Inc.2.96%$707.26M$251.25B37.45%
69
Neutral
Walmart2.88%$687.95M$900.06B17.04%
78
Outperform
Applied Materials2.83%$676.10M$378.29B130.45%
77
Outperform

MTUM Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
316.32
Negative
100DMA
290.82
Negative
200DMA
271.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
RSI
STOCH
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTUM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 310.93, equal to the 50-day MA of 316.32, and equal to the 200-day MA of 271.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of ― indicates undefined momentum. The RSI at ― is undefined, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of ― is undefined, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MTUM.

MTUM Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$23.96B0.15%
74
Outperform
$658.65B0.03%
73
Outperform
$111.59B0.04%
73
Outperform
$93.69B0.03%
73
Outperform
$47.57B0.17%
72
Outperform
$46.26B0.15%
75
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTUM
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
298.77
59.18
24.70%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
VIG
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF
ITOT
iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF
DFAC
Dimensional U.S. Core Equity 2 ETF
QUAL
iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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