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MGV - ETF AI Analysis

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MGV

Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
MGV, the Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF, earns a solid overall rating thanks to several high-quality, financially strong holdings like Micron, Johnson & Johnson, Walmart, Cisco, and Caterpillar, which show robust growth, positive earnings calls, and generally supportive technical trends. The rating is held back somewhat by weaker names such as Intel and Berkshire Hathaway B, where valuation and profitability challenges or bearish momentum reduce their contribution. A key risk factor is the fund’s reliance on a relatively small group of large value stocks, meaning issues at a few major holdings could have an outsized impact on the ETF’s performance.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The fund has delivered strong gains so far this year, helped by solid returns over the past few months.
Low Expense Ratio
The ETF charges a very low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Broad Sector Diversification
Holdings are spread across many sectors, including financials, health care, technology, and industrials, which helps reduce the impact if one area of the market struggles.
Negative Factors
High U.S. Concentration
Almost all of the fund’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little diversification across global markets.
Heavy Weight in a Single Stock
Micron makes up a relatively large share of the portfolio, so any sharp moves in this one company can have an outsized effect on the ETF.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
While several major positions have performed strongly, a few key holdings have shown weaker or negative returns, which can dampen overall results.

MGV vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MGV Summary

Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) is a fund that tracks the CRSP US Mega Value Index, focusing on some of the largest U.S. companies that appear relatively cheap based on their fundamentals. It holds well-known names like JPMorgan Chase and Walmart, along with firms in financials, health care, and technology. An investor might choose MGV to add broad, blue-chip U.S. stocks to their portfolio, aiming for long-term growth and stability from established businesses. However, the ETF can still rise and fall with the overall stock market and may lag when high-growth stocks are leading.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which means you’ll pay $0.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs down.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) could benefit from economic stability and rising interest rates, which often favor financial and value-oriented stocks like JPMorgan Chase and Berkshire Hathaway. Additionally, strong performance in sectors like healthcare and consumer defensive could provide resilience during economic uncertainty. However, potential risks include regulatory changes affecting financial and healthcare sectors, as well as broader market downturns that could impact large-cap stocks disproportionately.

MGV Top 10 Holdings

MGV leans heavily into U.S. mega-cap value names, with Micron and JPMorgan setting the tone. Micron has been a key engine lately, riding strong demand tied to AI, while JPMorgan’s steady climb reflects the fund’s sizable financials tilt. Defensive health care names like Johnson & Johnson and AbbVie are quietly supporting returns, adding stability when markets wobble. On the flip side, Walmart and Costco have been losing a bit of steam, softening the consumer edge. Overall, it’s a U.S.-centric, value-heavy mix anchored by financials, health care, and mature tech.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Micron6.14%$818.18M$929.52B684.73%
79
Outperform
JPMorgan Chase3.86%$514.46M$942.63B21.57%
72
Outperform
Berkshire Hathaway B3.32%$441.82M$992.60B8.18%
66
Neutral
Johnson & Johnson2.88%$384.26M$617.78B53.20%
78
Outperform
Exxon Mobil2.67%$356.19M$644.21B41.77%
74
Outperform
Walmart2.34%$312.09M$884.94B12.90%
78
Outperform
Caterpillar2.31%$308.29M$375.33B90.07%
76
Outperform
AbbVie2.10%$279.44M$443.36B28.54%
66
Neutral
Cisco Systems1.97%$261.89M$457.17B72.84%
77
Outperform
Costco1.96%$260.86M$422.14B-0.07%
72
Outperform

MGV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
161.16
Positive
100DMA
154.78
Positive
200DMA
148.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
RSI
STOCH
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 163.22, equal to the 50-day MA of 161.16, and equal to the 200-day MA of 148.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of ― indicates undefined momentum. The RSI at ― is undefined, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of ― is undefined, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MGV.

MGV Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$13.32B0.05%
73
Outperform
$188.22B0.03%
72
Outperform
$81.53B0.18%
72
Outperform
$49.06B0.18%
72
Outperform
$36.25B0.04%
72
Outperform
$21.34B0.06%
72
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGV
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF
163.20
35.37
27.67%
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
IWD
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IVE
iShares S&P 500 Value ETF
SPYV
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF
VONV
Vanguard Russell 1000 Value ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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