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MGV - ETF AI Analysis

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MGV

Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
MGV, the Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF, earns a solid overall rating thanks to high-quality leaders like Johnson & Johnson, Walmart, and Micron, which bring strong financial performance, positive earnings calls, and generally supportive technical trends. Energy giants like Exxon Mobil and Chevron also add strength through robust cash generation, though some holdings such as Berkshire Hathaway, AbbVie, and Procter & Gamble face issues like bearish momentum, financial stability concerns, or valuation challenges that slightly weigh on the fund. A key risk is that several major holdings show signs of either overvaluation or bearish technical trends, which could increase volatility despite the fund’s otherwise strong blue-chip profile.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has delivered solid gains so far this year and over the past few months, showing positive momentum.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund’s very low annual fee helps investors keep more of the returns generated by the portfolio.
Broad Sector Diversification
Holdings are spread across many sectors, with meaningful exposure to financials, health care, industrials, consumer stocks, and energy, which helps reduce reliance on any single industry.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. Concentration
Almost all assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little diversification across global markets.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Several of the largest positions, such as JPMorgan, Berkshire Hathaway, AbbVie, and Procter & Gamble, have shown weak or negative performance this year, which can drag on overall returns.
High Weight in Financials
The fund’s sizable allocation to financial stocks means it could be more sensitive to issues affecting banks and other financial companies.

MGV vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MGV Summary

Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) tracks the CRSP US Mega Value Index, which focuses on very large U.S. companies that appear relatively cheap based on their fundamentals. It owns many well-known names such as JPMorgan Chase and Exxon Mobil, along with other big firms in finance, health care, consumer goods, and energy. Someone might invest in MGV to get broad diversification across many established blue-chip companies, with the potential for steady long-term growth and dividends. A key risk is that value stocks can lag the overall market for long periods and the share price can still go up and down with the market.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which means you’ll pay $0.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs down.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) could benefit from economic stability and rising interest rates, which often favor financial and value-oriented stocks like JPMorgan Chase and Berkshire Hathaway. Additionally, strong performance in sectors like healthcare and consumer defensive could provide resilience during economic uncertainty. However, potential risks include regulatory changes affecting financial and healthcare sectors, as well as broader market downturns that could impact large-cap stocks disproportionately.

MGV Top 10 Holdings

MGV leans heavily into classic U.S. value names, with big banks, energy giants, and defensive consumer staples steering the ship. JPMorgan is rising recently and helping offset some of the drag from a softer, lagging Berkshire Hathaway. In energy, Exxon and Chevron have had a mixed run—strong over the past few months but losing a bit of steam lately—yet they still add punch when oil sentiment improves. On the defensive side, Walmart and Costco are steadily pulling their weight, giving the fund a stable backbone in an all‑U.S., mega-cap value lineup.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
JPMorgan Chase3.86%$440.70M$843.78B26.27%
72
Outperform
Exxon Mobil3.69%$420.82M$616.31B42.14%
74
Outperform
Berkshire Hathaway B3.42%$390.74M$1.01T-9.34%
66
Neutral
Johnson & Johnson3.07%$350.66M$540.71B42.80%
78
Outperform
Walmart2.84%$324.30M$1.04T31.62%
78
Outperform
Costco2.31%$263.28M$441.77B-1.13%
72
Outperform
Chevron2.05%$233.47M$369.47B36.36%
71
Outperform
AbbVie2.01%$228.92M$362.65B9.01%
66
Neutral
Micron1.98%$226.35M$751.74B706.81%
79
Outperform
Procter & Gamble1.75%$199.82M$344.40B-7.15%
69
Neutral

MGV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
148.31
Positive
100DMA
147.15
Positive
200DMA
140.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.37
Negative
RSI
60.85
Neutral
STOCH
80.66
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 150.67, equal to the 50-day MA of 148.31, and equal to the 200-day MA of 140.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MGV.

MGV Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$12.14B0.05%
73
Outperform
$172.69B0.03%
72
Outperform
$72.73B0.18%
72
Outperform
$49.06B0.18%
72
Outperform
$33.83B0.04%
72
Outperform
$18.76B0.06%
71
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGV
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF
152.65
30.84
25.32%
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
IWD
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IVE
iShares S&P 500 Value ETF
SPYV
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF
VONV
Vanguard Russell 1000 Value ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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