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MGV - ETF AI Analysis

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MGV

Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
MGV, the Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF, earns a solid overall rating thanks to high-quality blue-chip holdings like Johnson & Johnson, Walmart, Exxon Mobil, and JPMorgan Chase, which all show strong financial performance and generally positive earnings call sentiment. These leaders help support the fund’s quality and stability, while weaker technical trends and leverage or valuation concerns in names like Costco, Home Depot, and AbbVie slightly weigh on the rating. The main risk factor is that several large holdings face issues such as bearish technical signals, high leverage, or less-attractive valuations, which could limit near-term upside even though the underlying businesses are strong.
Positive Factors
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a very low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Broad Sector Diversification
Holdings are spread across many sectors like financials, health care, industrials, and consumer stocks, which helps reduce the impact if any one sector struggles.
Solid Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating recent positive momentum.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. Concentration
Almost all of the fund’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification.
Weakness in Key Financial Holdings
Several large financial stocks in the top holdings have been lagging this year, which can drag on overall returns.
Mixed Performance Among Top Positions
While some major holdings like Costco and Exxon Mobil have been strong, others such as JPMorgan, Berkshire Hathaway, AbbVie, and Bank of America have been weak, creating uneven performance within the portfolio.

MGV vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MGV Summary

Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) is a fund that follows the CRSP US Mega Value Index, focusing on very large U.S. companies that appear relatively cheap based on their fundamentals. It holds well-known names like JPMorgan Chase and Berkshire Hathaway, along with other big financial, health care, and consumer companies. Someone might invest in MGV to get broad diversification across many stable blue-chip stocks with the potential for long-term growth and dividends. A key risk is that value stocks can underperform the overall market for long periods, so the price can go up and down.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which means you’ll pay $0.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs down.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) could benefit from economic stability and rising interest rates, which often favor financial and value-oriented stocks like JPMorgan Chase and Berkshire Hathaway. Additionally, strong performance in sectors like healthcare and consumer defensive could provide resilience during economic uncertainty. However, potential risks include regulatory changes affecting financial and healthcare sectors, as well as broader market downturns that could impact large-cap stocks disproportionately.

MGV Top 10 Holdings

Vanguard Mega Cap Value leans heavily on classic U.S. blue chips, with big banks and defensive giants setting the tone. Financials like JPMorgan and Bank of America have been lagging lately, acting as a mild brake on returns, while Berkshire Hathaway has also looked a bit tired. Offsetting that, steady climbers like Exxon Mobil in energy and health care heavyweight Johnson & Johnson are helping keep the fund on track, with Walmart and Costco adding consumer strength. Overall, it’s a U.S.-only, value-tilted portfolio anchored in financials, health care, and consumer staples.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
JPMorgan Chase4.72%$514.03M$823.87B9.42%
72
Outperform
Berkshire Hathaway B3.70%$402.95M$1.08T4.26%
66
Neutral
Exxon Mobil2.73%$297.40M$632.28B38.52%
74
Outperform
Johnson & Johnson2.68%$292.19M$589.34B56.61%
78
Outperform
Walmart2.63%$286.29M$1.07T28.45%
78
Outperform
AbbVie2.17%$236.65M$402.08B17.96%
66
Neutral
Costco2.06%$223.95M$443.36B-6.81%
72
Outperform
Bank of America1.95%$211.83M$378.80B11.84%
72
Outperform
Home Depot1.84%$200.74M$388.47B-4.71%
66
Neutral
Procter & Gamble1.80%$196.24M$374.65B-1.03%
69
Neutral

MGV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
145.03
Positive
100DMA
141.04
Positive
200DMA
135.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.33
Negative
RSI
67.93
Neutral
STOCH
76.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.26, equal to the 50-day MA of 145.03, and equal to the 200-day MA of 135.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MGV.

MGV Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$11.66B0.05%
$170.94B0.03%
$69.70B0.18%
$50.08B0.18%
$33.06B0.04%
$15.56B0.06%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGV
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF
152.65
23.11
17.84%
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
IWD
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IVE
iShares S&P 500 Value ETF
SPYV
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF
VONV
Vanguard Russell 1000 Value ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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