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DVDN - ETF AI Analysis

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DVDN

Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF (DVDN)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
DVDN’s rating suggests it is a middling-quality dividend ETF, with both notable strengths and meaningful risks. Stronger holdings like Trinity Capital and NexPoint Real Estate Finance support the fund with solid financial performance, attractive valuations, and positive technical trends, while several positions such as Ready Capital, Ares Commercial Real Estate, and AFC Gamma weigh on the rating due to weak profitability, negative momentum, and financial instability. The main risk is the fund’s concentration in leveraged, income-focused real estate and finance names, where high dividends come with elevated leverage and cash flow concerns.
Positive Factors
Income-Focused Real Estate and Financial Holdings
The ETF is heavily invested in real estate and financial companies that are typically used for dividend and income strategies, which may appeal to investors seeking regular cash flow.
Several Strong Individual Performers
A few of the top holdings have shown strong year-to-date performance, helping to offset weaker names in the portfolio.
Recent Short-Term Rebound
Despite weak results so far this year, the fund has shown a solid gain over the past month, suggesting some recent recovery in its holdings.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively high fee, which can eat into returns over time compared with lower-cost ETFs.
Heavy Concentration in Real Estate
With most of the portfolio in real estate and a small number of related stocks, the ETF is very sensitive to downturns in that sector.
Weak Overall Year-to-Date Performance
The ETF has delivered negative performance so far this year, and several top holdings have been lagging, which may concern performance-focused investors.

DVDN vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DVDN Summary

The Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF (DVDN) focuses on real estate, mainly through Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), rather than tracking a traditional index. It invests in U.S.-based companies that own or finance income-producing properties, aiming to provide steady dividend payments plus some growth. Well-known holdings include Annaly Capital and Arbor Realty. Someone might consider DVDN if they want regular income from real estate without buying property directly and to diversify beyond regular stocks. A key risk is that it is heavily concentrated in real estate, so its price and dividends can rise or fall with the health of the property and interest rate markets.
How much will it cost me?The Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF (Ticker: DVDN) has an expense ratio of 0.9%, which means you’ll pay $9 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, focusing on a niche sector like REITs that requires specialized expertise.
What would affect this ETF?The Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF (DVDN), with its focus on U.S. real estate and REITs, could benefit from a strong real estate market driven by economic growth, low interest rates, or increased demand for income-generating properties. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can increase borrowing costs for REITs, or economic downturns that negatively impact property values and rental income. Its concentrated exposure to the real estate sector makes it sensitive to these factors.

DVDN Top 10 Holdings

DVDN is heavily tilted toward U.S. mortgage and specialty REITs, so a handful of names really set the tone. Adamas Trust and Trinity Capital have been rising, giving the fund a welcome lift, while AFC Gamma has recently sprinted ahead and acts like a key spark plug. On the flip side, Annaly Capital, AGNC Investment, Orchid Island, and Invesco Mortgage have been lagging, dragging on overall returns. With most eggs in the real estate basket and a dash of financials, this ETF is a focused bet on income-heavy U.S. property plays.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Adamas Trust7.32%$246.36K$826.72M40.89%
60
Neutral
Annaly Capital7.23%$243.49K$16.01B15.30%
63
Neutral
AGNC Investment7.23%$243.36K$11.95B16.44%
66
Neutral
Orchid Island Capital7.23%$243.34K$1.36B-0.73%
65
Neutral
Trinity Capital7.16%$241.01K$1.52B15.80%
76
Outperform
Invesco Mortgage7.07%$237.99K$730.52M6.64%
60
Neutral
Cherry Hill Mortgage6.01%$202.27K$87.07M-19.93%
54
Neutral
AFC Gamma5.15%$173.51K$87.76M-24.80%
46
Neutral
NexPoint Real Estate ate Finance5.09%$171.28K$294.22M5.69%
74
Outperform
ACRES Commercial Realty4.77%$160.62K$145.47M7.88%
57
Neutral

DVDN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
16.86
Positive
100DMA
17.29
Negative
200DMA
18.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
50.74
Neutral
STOCH
90.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVDN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.97, equal to the 50-day MA of 16.86, and equal to the 200-day MA of 18.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DVDN.

DVDN Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$3.38M0.90%
57
Neutral
$57.49M0.35%
69
Neutral
$52.50M0.68%
70
Outperform
$52.26M0.75%
65
Neutral
$8.67M0.60%
63
Neutral
$1.08M0.59%
64
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVDN
Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF
16.94
-2.27
-11.82%
PSR
Invesco Active U.S. Real Estate Fund
REIT
ALPS Active REIT ETF
SRHR
SRH REIT Covered Call ETF
HAUS
Home Appreciation U.S. REIT ETF
REAI
Tidal Etf Trust Intelligent Real Estate Etf
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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